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e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) AI Stock Analysis
e.l.f. Beauty
(NYSE:ELF)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial fundamentals (notably strong cash flow and growth) and a constructive technical uptrend. These positives are tempered by pressured recent profitability and higher leverage, while valuation is the largest headwind due to the very high P/E. The latest earnings call was supportive with raised guidance, but one-time benefits and organic/unit softness add execution risk.
e.l.f. Beauty Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by GeographyBreaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
e.l.f. is clearly moving from U.S.-led growth toward an acquisition- and international-driven flywheel: recent gains are being powered disproportionately by Rhode/Naturium and faster international rollouts (management pegs Rhode at ~9ppt of next-year growth). That’s positive for scale and skincare exposure, but it masks softer organic demand in the core e.l.f. U.S. business—unit volumes remain pressured after price increases and management is increasing marketing and running pricing tests. Upside hinges on international execution and successful innovation/pricing reversals; downside risks include tariffs, elevated SG&A, and execution timing.
The Flye.l.f. Beauty (ELF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $6.53B
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 1.66M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 110.5
- Beta (1Y)
- 2.06
- Revenue Growth
- 31.23%
- EPS Growth
- -42.14%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 849
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Sector Strength
- 62
- Industry
- Household & Personal Products
e.l.f. Beauty Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
e.l.f. Beauty, Inc., a beauty company, provides cosmetics and skin care products worldwide. The company offers eye, lip, face, paw, and skin care products. It offers products under the e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. Skin, Well People, Naturium, and Keys So...
How the Company Makes Money
e.l.f. Beauty makes money primarily by selling beauty products (makeup and skincare) through a multi-channel distribution model. (1) Retail/wholesale sales: A significant portion of revenue comes from selling products to major third-party retailers a...
e.l.f. Beauty Earnings Call Summary
The call presents a strongly positive operational and financial picture: robust revenue growth (36% YoY), substantial international expansion (61% international growth), a meaningful contribution from the rhode acquisition (~$160M in Q1 with a $27M single-day DTC launch), and raised full-year guidance for sales and EBITDA. Profitability expanded materially in Q1, though a sizable portion of margin and net income improvement was driven by a one-time $50M tariff refund that management intends to reinvest across pricing and marketing over the rest of the year. Management is investing heavily in marketing, supply chain diversification and brand expansion (including international rollouts and a new haircare category), which increased SG&A and will pressure near-term operating leverage but is intended to drive long-term growth. On balance, the positive drivers (strong top-line beats, raised guidance, brand momentum, cash strength and supply-chain progress) outweigh the transitory headwinds (one-time tariff benefit, unit declines, temporary higher spending and certain market lapping effects).
Q1-2027 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
e.l.f. Beauty raised its fiscal 2027 guidance, now expecting net sales growth of approximately 18%–20% (up from 12%–14%), adjusted EBITDA of $401M–$407M (implying roughly a 21% margin, up ~20 bps year-over-year), adjusted net income of $212M–$215M and adjusted EPS of $3.50–$3.55 (vs. prior $3.27–$3.32), with an adjusted tax rate of ~25%–26% and a fully diluted share count of ~60.5M. Management expects rhode to contribute ~13 percentage points to net sales growth (vs. 9 ppt previously) and to drive organic net sales growth of ~6%–7% for the year (10%–12% organic for the balance of the year); Q2 total net sales are expected in the mid‑30s. They forecast full‑year gross margin up ~200 basis points (excluding the one‑time $50M IEEPA tariff refund benefit gross margin is expected to be ~flat year-over-year), plan marketing & digital at the high end of a 23%–25% range (tracking ahead in the back half), will fully reinvest the $50M tariff refund Q2–Q4 (net 0 EBITDA impact on the year), and maintain a strong balance sheet (cash ~$344M at quarter end and net debt <1.5x adjusted EBITDA).
e.l.f. Beauty Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Strong and improving free cash flow is a major positive, supported by very strong gross margins and continued revenue growth. Offsetting this, profitability has compressed sharply (TTM net margin ~3%) and leverage has risen meaningfully versus prior years, reducing earnings quality and balance-sheet resilience.
Income Statement
62PositiveBalance Sheet
54NeutralCash Flow
78Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.76B | 1.64B | 1.31B | 1.02B | 578.84M | 392.15M |
| Gross Profit | 1.31B | 1.16B | 935.69M | 724.10M | 390.40M | 251.73M |
| EBITDA | 221.87M | 160.60M | 206.25M | 182.57M | 85.31M | 54.63M |
| Net Income | 59.61M | 26.32M | 112.09M | 127.66M | 61.53M | 21.77M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.46B | 2.39B | 1.25B | 1.13B | 595.60M | 494.63M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 344.24M | 289.69M | 148.69M | 108.18M | 120.78M | 43.35M |
| Total Debt | 921.65M | 916.90M | 313.02M | 290.60M | 82.17M | 117.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.29B | 1.26B | 487.32M | 486.68M | 184.58M | 182.20M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.17B | 1.13B | 760.86M | 642.57M | 411.02M | 312.43M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 280.16M | 190.06M | 115.32M | 62.49M | 100.16M | 14.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 296.94M | 212.51M | 133.84M | 71.15M | 101.88M | 19.51M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -599.36M | -605.25M | -19.10M | -284.66M | -1.72M | -4.82M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 478.34M | 533.92M | -74.45M | 200.94M | -22.73M | -29.11M |
e.l.f. Beauty Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 113.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.35, above the 50-day MA of 105.70, and above the 200-day MA of 81.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ELF.
e.l.f. Beauty Risk Analysis
e.l.f. Beauty disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. e.l.f. Beauty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New Riskse.l.f. Beauty Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
- ELF68Neutral
EL58Neutral
COTY57Neutral
YSG55Neutral
ODD43Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELF | 68Neutral | $6.59B | 110.54 | 5.18% | ― | 31.23% | -42.14% |
| Sector * | 62Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% |
| EL | 58Neutral | $39.58B | 102.72 | 9.28% | 1.34% | 6.18% | ― |
| COTY | 57Neutral | $2.99B | -5.00 | -18.06% | ― | -1.46% | -60.87% |
| YSG | 55Neutral | $211.05M | -5.49 | -7.20% | ― | 25.10% | 59.14% |
| ODD | 43Neutral | $999.52M | 70.70 | 4.60% | ― | -9.68% | -84.42% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELF | e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. | 110.68 | -7.15 | -6.07% | |
| EL | Estée Lauder | 104.77 | 14.96 | 16.65% | |
| COTY | Coty Inc | 3.48 | -0.30 | -7.94% | |
| YSG | Yatsen Holding Ltd. | 1.79 | -4.97 | -73.52% | |
| ODD | ODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A | 21.21 | -21.09 | -49.86% |
e.l.f. Beauty Corporate Events
e.l.f. Beauty Shareholders Back Governance and Pay Policies
PositiveOn August 20, 2026, e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, at which shareholders elected four Class I directors to serve until the 2029 annual meeting, with all nominees receiving sufficient support to be seated. Stockholde...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 24, 2026