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Nisource (NOU) AI Stock Analysis

DE:NOU

Nisource

(XETRA:NOU)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Regulated utility profitabilityNiSource’s regulated gas and electric operations generate solid, utility-like profitability, with healthy operating and net margins and rising net income. This recurring earnings base supports reinvestment, provides visibility through commission-approved rates, and helps fund long-term system modernization.
Negative Factors
Weak cash-flow conversionPersistently negative free cash flow and the sharp decline in operating cash generation show that accounting earnings are not currently converting into internally funded investment capacity. Continued capital spending may therefore require additional borrowing or equity, increasing financial pressure if cash generation remains weak.

Nisource (NOU) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%DE:NOU+12.84%EWG+4.43%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 21.37B
Dividend Yield
2.69%
Average Volume (3M)
93
Price to Earnings (P/E)
22.6
Beta (1Y)
0.22
Revenue Growth
3.42%
EPS Growth
-4.45%
Country
Germany
Employees
7,703
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Gas

Nisource Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

NiSource Inc., an energy holding company, operates as a regulated natural gas and electric utility company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations. The company provides natural gas to residential,...

Nisource Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:3.36%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights, supported by year-over-year EPS growth, narrowed 2026 guidance, new 2027 guidance, a higher 2033 growth commitment, the Microsoft agreement, increased customer savings, a $40 billion investment plan, and continued Genco execution. The principal challenges were storm damage and related reviews and costs, outstanding regulatory approvals, generation planning requirements, and ongoing financing needs.

Positive Updates

Third-Quarter EPS Growth and Raised Outlook Position
Third-quarter consolidated adjusted EPS was $0.27, compared with $0.19 in the same period last year, while year-to-date consolidated adjusted EPS reached $1.49. NiSource narrowed its 2026 consolidated adjusted EPS guidance to the upper half of the previously stated $2.02 to $2.07 range and initiated 2027 guidance of $2.22 to $2.30 per share.

Negative Updates

Severe Northern Indiana Storm Caused Significant System Damage
A derecho on August 11, described as one of the most severe weather events in NIPSCO's history, produced wind speeds of up to 110 mph. Additional severe weather caused further significant damage to the system and required a large-scale restoration response.

Company Guidance

NiSource narrowed 2026 consolidated adjusted EPS guidance to the upper half of its previously stated range of $2.02 to $2.07 and initiated 2027 adjusted EPS guidance at $2.22 to $2.30 per share, including $0.05 to $0.09 of contribution from Genco; through 2033, consolidated adjusted EPS is expected to grow at a 10-11% compound annual growth rate, while base plan adjusted EPS is expected to grow 6-8% annually. The 7-year capital plan totals $40 billion, including $32 billion of base plan investments and approximately $8 billion of Genco investments, supports consolidated investment growth of 9-10%, converts over 90% of investments into initial recovery within 12 months of investment, and targets adjusted earnings per share returns of 10-11% through 2033. The plan targets less than a 4% average annual residential customer bill increases from 2027 through 2031 and FFO to debt of 14-16% in all years, with $400 million to $600 million of maintenance equity annually in the near term stepping down to minimal levels starting in 2032; Genco is expected to contribute $0.32 to $0.40 in 2030 and $0.52 to $0.68 by 2033, while signed agreements are expected to provide approximately $1.75 billion in savings to existing NIPSCO electric customers, or approximately $140 per year for an average residential customer at full ramp.

Nisource Risk Analysis

Nisource disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nisource reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Nisource Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

DE:NOU against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SWXSWX81Outperform$6.74B12.9612.89%2.72%-63.47%166.76%
ATOATO74Outperform$29.14B20.319.67%2.32%6.45%15.84%
UGIUGI69Neutral$8.29B12.3913.15%3.88%-0.50%60.66%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
OGSOGS60Neutral$4.94B16.858.42%3.45%-0.78%10.67%
SRSR58Neutral$5.20B9.7915.87%3.75%4.12%93.82%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%DE:NOUATOSRSWXUGIOGSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:NOU and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:NOUNisource39.994.1611.62%
ATOAtmos Energy172.413.622.15%
SRSpire Inc88.003.604.26%
SWXSouthwest Gas93.0814.4218.33%
UGIUGI Corp38.676.5320.31%
OGSONE Gas Inc78.54-0.32-0.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.