Dillard's (DDS)
NYSE:DDS
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Dillard's
(NYSE:DDS)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$664.00
▲(9.61% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/02/26
DDS scores well primarily on strong fundamentals (conservative leverage and robust cash generation), supported by reasonable valuation and a high dividend yield. Offsetting factors are the notable TTM margin/profitability normalization and a mixed technical picture with longer-term trend resistance.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage and strong equity base
Very low and improving leverage gives Dillard's durable financial flexibility in the cyclical department‑store sector. A stronger equity base supports capital allocation choices (dividends, buybacks or investment) and reduces default and refinancing risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Margin compression from normalization
A pronounced downshift in gross and operating margins signals reduced profitability resilience versus prior peak years. Sustained lower margins increase sensitivity to sales mix, higher promotions, or cost pressures and can constrain long‑term return on invested capital even if sales recover.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative leverage and strong equity base
Very low and improving leverage gives Dillard's durable financial flexibility in the cyclical department‑store sector. A stronger equity base supports capital allocation choices (dividends, buybacks or investment) and reduces default and refinancing risk over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Dillard's Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Stores
Counts the number of retail locations, reflecting the company's physical presence and potential market reach.
Counts the number of retail locations, reflecting the company's physical presence and potential market reach.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyDillard's (DDS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$9.26B
Dividend Yield3.99%
Average Volume (3M)116.97K
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.5
Beta (1Y)1.15
Revenue Growth0.62%
EPS Growth16.32%
CountryUS
Employees28,800
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryDepartment Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)42.07
Shares Outstanding11,630,838
10 Day Avg. Volume136,245
30 Day Avg. Volume116,970
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-16.09
Price to Book (P/B)5.33
Price to Sales (P/S)1.44
P/FCF Ratio15.20
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.93
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.30
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.45
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.72
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$537.00Price Target Upside-11.35% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)35.84
Revenue Forecast (FY)$6.61B
Dillard's Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Dillard's, Inc. operates retail department stores in the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern areas of the United States. Its stores offer merchandise, including fashion apparel for women, men, and children; and accessories, cosmetics, home ...
How the Company Makes Money
Dillard's makes money primarily by purchasing merchandise from brands and other suppliers and reselling it to consumers at a markup through its department stores and online platform. Its core revenue stream is retail sales across key categories su...
Dillard's Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.61B | 6.56B | 6.59B | 6.87B | 7.00B | 6.62B |
| Gross Profit | 2.50B | 2.47B | 2.67B | 2.84B | 3.01B | 2.88B |
| EBITDA | 886.50M | 874.20M | 949.10M | 1.14B | 1.34B | 1.33B |
| Net Income | 657.40M | 570.60M | 593.48M | 738.85M | 891.64M | 862.47M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.14B | 3.50B | 3.53B | 3.45B | 3.33B | 3.25B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.42B | 1.07B | 1.04B | 956.32M | 799.24M | 716.76M |
| Total Debt | 555.40M | 557.60M | 555.32M | 564.44M | 555.22M | 608.73M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.11B | 1.73B | 1.73B | 1.75B | 1.73B | 1.79B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.03B | 1.78B | 1.80B | 1.70B | 1.60B | 1.45B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 751.30M | 623.60M | 609.58M | 750.65M | 828.29M | 1.18B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 845.01M | 717.00M | 714.13M | 883.59M | 948.39M | 1.28B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -95.87M | 22.50M | -269.73M | -115.59M | -235.85M | -69.79M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -492.04M | -595.90M | -534.83M | -620.04M | -768.97M | -853.81M |
Dillard's Technical Analysis
Positive
605.77
Price Trends
575.12
Positive
601.38
Positive
596.37
Positive
Market Momentum
6.92
Negative
63.58
Neutral
83.16
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DDS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 605.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 562.91, above the 50-day MA of 575.12, and above the 200-day MA of 596.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.16 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DDS.
Dillard's Risk Analysis
Dillard's disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dillard's reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Dillard's Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | $6.19B | 13.39 | 17.64% | ― | 11.23% | 8.96% | |
75 Outperform | $9.26B | 14.50 | 33.85% | 3.99% | 0.62% | 16.32% | |
71 Outperform | $3.43B | 6.96 | 36.89% | ― | 5.13% | 0.95% | |
67 Neutral | $7.67B | 8.08 | 26.47% | 2.45% | 1.58% | 11.13% | |
67 Neutral | $5.72B | -0.13 | 14.20% | 3.23% | -0.35% | 25.21% | |
62 Neutral | $1.78B | 6.39 | 4.34% | 2.33% | -3.80% | 122.79% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
DDS
Dillard's
611.14
228.79
59.84%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
76.42
0.39
0.51%
GAP
Gap Inc
21.19
0.75
3.66%
KSS
Kohl's
15.52
7.68
97.93%
M
Macy's
21.80
10.86
99.18%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
72.57
2.03
2.88%
Dillard's Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Dillard’s Shareholders Approve Merger and Corporate Restructuring
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
At its May 28, 2026 annual meeting in Little Rock, Dillard’s shareholders overwhelmingly approved a merger under which W.D. Company, Inc. will merge into Dillard’s, with Dillard’s as the surviving entity, and also backed the issu...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Dillard’s Announces Merger and Capital Structure Reorganization
Neutral
Mar 20, 2026
On March 20, 2026, Dillard’s, Inc. agreed to merge with W.D. Company, Inc., a private Arkansas family holding company that owns a large block of Dillard’s Class A and high-vote Class B shares but conducts no operating business. Under t...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.