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Dillard's
(NYSE:DDS)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$722.00
▲(16.40% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is supported primarily by solid financial quality (strong margins, very low leverage, and meaningful free cash flow) and favorable valuation (moderate P/E with a high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weakening fundamentals and momentum signals—declining revenue, normalizing margins/FCF, and a technically weak setup with the stock below key moving averages—while the approved restructuring is modestly positive but adds some execution risk.
Positive Factors
Strong Retail Profitability
Dillard’s retains strong profitability for the department-store category, with healthy gross and net margins indicating effective merchandising, pricing, and expense management. This earnings base provides resilience and supports continued investment even as sales and margins normalize from prior peaks.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
Sustained revenue contraction suggests weaker demand, traffic, or customer spending across the retail base rather than a single quarterly fluctuation. If the trend persists, lower sales can reduce fixed-cost absorption and make it harder to preserve current profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Retail Profitability
Dillard’s retains strong profitability for the department-store category, with healthy gross and net margins indicating effective merchandising, pricing, and expense management. This earnings base provides resilience and supports continued investment even as sales and margins normalize from prior peaks.
Read all positive factors
Dillard's Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Stores
Counts the number of retail locations, reflecting the company's physical presence and potential market reach.
Counts the number of retail locations, reflecting the company's physical presence and potential market reach.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyDillard's (DDS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$10.26B
Dividend Yield4.75%
Average Volume (3M)162.60K
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.0
Beta (1Y)1.00
Revenue Growth0.21%
EPS Growth20.42%
CountryUS
Employees29,100
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryDepartment Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)43.66
Shares Outstanding11,633,238
10 Day Avg. Volume183,378
30 Day Avg. Volume162,597
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-16.16
Price to Book (P/B)5.33
Price to Sales (P/S)1.44
P/FCF Ratio15.20
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$545.67Price Target Upside-12.03% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)38.35
Revenue Forecast (FY)$6.60B
Dillard's Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Dillard's, Inc. functions as a prominent department store chain with locations primarily throughout the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern regions of the United States. Their retail outlets offer a broad spectrum of products, encompassing ...
How the Company Makes Money
Dillard’s primarily makes money by selling merchandise to consumers through its physical department stores and its online store, recognizing revenue at the point of sale. Its core revenue stream is retail sales across major categories such as appa...
Dillard's Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.60B | 6.56B | 6.59B | 6.87B | 7.00B | 6.62B |
| Gross Profit | 2.59B | 2.47B | 2.67B | 2.84B | 3.01B | 2.88B |
| EBITDA | 974.90M | 874.20M | 949.10M | 1.14B | 1.34B | 1.33B |
| Net Income | 682.20M | 570.60M | 593.48M | 738.85M | 891.64M | 862.47M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.75B | 3.50B | 3.53B | 3.45B | 3.33B | 3.25B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.26B | 1.07B | 1.04B | 956.32M | 799.24M | 716.76M |
| Total Debt | 456.80M | 557.60M | 555.32M | 564.44M | 555.22M | 608.73M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.63B | 1.73B | 1.73B | 1.75B | 1.73B | 1.79B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.12B | 1.78B | 1.80B | 1.70B | 1.60B | 1.45B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 631.72M | 623.60M | 609.58M | 750.65M | 828.29M | 1.18B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 721.05M | 717.00M | 714.13M | 883.59M | 948.39M | 1.28B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -391.03M | 22.50M | -269.73M | -115.59M | -235.85M | -69.79M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -579.02M | -595.90M | -534.83M | -620.04M | -768.97M | -853.81M |
Dillard's Technical Analysis
Positive
620.29
Price Trends
586.33
Positive
581.74
Positive
603.09
Positive
Market Momentum
14.70
Negative
63.06
Neutral
81.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DDS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 620.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 622.56, above the 50-day MA of 586.33, and above the 200-day MA of 603.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 14.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DDS.
Dillard's Risk Analysis
Dillard's disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dillard's reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Dillard's Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | $6.65B | 12.61 | 39.59% | 6.86% | 4.73% | 8.69% | |
79 Outperform | $6.94B | 12.46 | 20.72% | ― | 11.01% | 24.97% | |
70 Outperform | $10.26B | 15.04 | 34.24% | 4.75% | 0.21% | 20.42% | |
66 Neutral | $6.06B | 9.33 | 14.44% | 3.24% | -0.35% | 25.21% | |
65 Neutral | $2.20B | 8.06 | 6.68% | 2.57% | -2.87% | 28.86% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | $16.67B | 23.82 | 39.82% | ― | 10.89% | 31.47% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
DDS
Dillard's
656.69
103.18
18.64%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
149.67
54.28
56.90%
KSS
Kohl's
19.44
3.35
20.83%
M
Macy's
23.05
6.58
39.99%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
80.97
7.96
10.90%
BURL
Burlington Stores
265.33
-24.92
-8.59%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.