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Dominion Energy (D)
NYSE:D
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Dominion Energy (D) AI Stock Analysis

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Dominion Energy

(NYSE:D)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$67.00
▲(0.10% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/15/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial flexibility from persistently negative free cash flow and near-term bearish technical momentum. Offsetting those risks, the earnings call commentary was constructive with reaffirmed guidance, solid credit metrics, and strong demand/data center contracting progress, while valuation is supported by a ~4.14% dividend yield but constrained by a ~22.3 P/E.
Positive Factors
Regulated Utility Base
Dominated by regulated electric and gas operations, the business provides essential services with revenue supported by approved rate structures. This framework can improve earnings visibility, enable recovery of prudent infrastructure investment, and support durable cash flows over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative free cash flow shows that operating cash generation has not covered investment needs, reducing financial flexibility for a capital-intensive utility. Continued funding gaps can increase dependence on debt or external capital and constrain the company’s ability to absorb execution setbacks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated Utility Base
Dominated by regulated electric and gas operations, the business provides essential services with revenue supported by approved rate structures. This framework can improve earnings visibility, enable recovery of prudent infrastructure investment, and support durable cash flows over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Dominion Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and where there may be challenges or opportunities for expansion.
Chart InsightsDominion’s revenue mix has materially shifted: gas‑distribution contribution disappears after mid‑2023, concentrating revenue in regulated electric markets—Virginia now dominates and shows pronounced upside into early‑2026 coinciding with CVOW first power and accelerating data‑center demand, which supports management’s reaffirmed guidance. Meanwhile volatile, increasingly negative “Other” line signals larger corporate/project‑level adjustments (financing, project costs or eliminations) that add earnings volatility. South Carolina’s recovering seasonal pattern remains exposed to pending rate‑case outcomes, a near‑term cash‑flow risk.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dominion Energy (D) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dominion Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Dominion Energy, Inc. is an American energy company that provides regulated electricity and natural gas services. It generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to customers in Virginia and the Carolinas, and distributes natural gas to custo...
How the Company Makes Money
Dominion Energy primarily makes money through regulated utility operations, where it earns revenue by providing essential electric and natural gas service under state-approved rate structures. The company’s key revenue streams include: (1) Retail ...

Dominion Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was predominantly positive, with strong earnings, reaffirmed financial guidance, demand growth, robust data center contracting, solid safety and regulatory results, and substantial CVOW construction and operating progress. The principal challenges were the six-month CVOW schedule adjustment, the approximately 2% project cost increase and a transmission fault that caused some data centers to use backup power.
Positive Updates
Strong Second-Quarter Earnings and Reaffirmed Guidance
Second-quarter operating earnings were $0.79 per share, including $0.03 of RNG 45Z credits, while GAAP earnings were $0.37 per share. Management described the first half as strong and reaffirmed all financial guidance from the fourth-quarter earnings call, including operating earnings, credit, dividend and long-term growth guidance.
Negative Updates
CVOW Final Turbine Schedule Delayed Six Months
Dominion adjusted the expected installation timing for CVOW's final turbine by six months, to year-end 2027. The revised schedule reflects added weather and vessel-maintenance contingency, additional time required for loadouts at Portsmouth Marine Terminal based on observed performance, and longer expected jacking operations at certain remaining turbine locations.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Second-Quarter Earnings and Reaffirmed Guidance
Second-quarter operating earnings were $0.79 per share, including $0.03 of RNG 45Z credits, while GAAP earnings were $0.37 per share. Management described the first half as strong and reaffirmed all financial guidance from the fourth-quarter earnings call, including operating earnings, credit, dividend and long-term growth guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Dominion Energy reaffirmed all financial guidance provided on its fourth quarter earnings call, including operating earnings, credit, dividend and long-term growth guidance, and its 2026 operating EPS and credit targets; for CVOW, it is adjusting final turbine installation by 6 months and expects completion by the end of 2027, the third and final offshore substation to be energized by year-end, and approximately half of project investment adjusted for network upgrade costs to be in service by the end of the year, while updating the project cost estimate by approximately 2% to $11.65 billion, including $123 million of unused contingency, after about $288 million for the incremental 2 quarters, or about $144 million per additional quarter versus prior rule of thumb guidance of $150 million to $200 million per quarter; approximately 1/3 of the most recent cost increase is expected to be shared with the financing partner, and the project is expected to generate fuel savings of approximately $5 billion during its first 10 years of operation.

Dominion Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is solid (Score 72) with rising revenue into TTM, but profitability has weakened versus prior years (lower gross and net margins; net income down to $2.2B TTM). Balance sheet is acceptable but still a constraint (Score 61) given the historically high leverage, despite an improved TTM debt-to-equity snapshot that needs to prove durable. Cash flow is the primary drag (Score 38) due to persistently negative free cash flow (TTM -$2.1B; deeply negative in 2024–2025), limiting flexibility and increasing reliance on external funding.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
61
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.32B16.51B14.46B14.39B13.94B11.42B
Gross Profit9.03B8.09B6.92B6.96B6.38B5.41B
EBITDA7.35B8.02B6.71B7.53B4.44B5.39B
Net Income2.55B3.00B2.12B2.03B1.19B3.40B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets121.89B115.86B102.42B109.03B104.80B99.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments296.00M250.00M310.00M184.00M119.00M283.00M
Total Debt53.42B48.94B41.75B44.24B41.20B40.58B
Total Liabilities88.28B82.44B72.22B81.51B77.14B72.28B
Stockholders Equity28.92B29.08B27.25B27.53B27.66B27.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.83B-7.28B-7.41B-3.66B-4.06B-2.02B
Operating Cash Flow5.39B5.36B5.02B6.57B3.70B4.04B
Investing Cash Flow-12.57B-12.97B-3.18B-7.21B-6.75B-6.25B
Financing Cash Flow7.14B7.59B-1.77B595.00M2.98B2.37B

Dominion Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price66.93
Price Trends
50DMA
67.45
Negative
100DMA
66.38
Negative
200DMA
63.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.89
Positive
RSI
38.46
Neutral
STOCH
10.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For D, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 66.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.36, below the 50-day MA of 67.45, and above the 200-day MA of 63.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for D.

Dominion Energy Risk Analysis

Dominion Energy disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dominion Energy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dominion Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$65.70B20.9010.01%3.12%8.63%-14.89%
74
Outperform
$167.65B18.1816.82%3.00%11.83%55.48%
68
Neutral
$91.82B17.809.88%3.61%6.33%8.98%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
$43.81B15.569.61%3.89%6.56%3.72%
62
Neutral
$99.20B20.7912.61%3.46%6.40%6.90%
58
Neutral
$55.86B22.258.89%4.15%21.98%-0.39%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
D
Dominion Energy
64.29
6.89
12.01%
AEP
American Electric Power
121.62
17.78
17.12%
DUK
Duke Energy
118.54
1.57
1.34%
EXC
Exelon
42.64
0.77
1.83%
NEE
NextEra Energy
81.28
12.19
17.64%
SO
Southern Co
86.76
-2.10
-2.37%

Dominion Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Dominion Energy touts Virginia benefits in NextEra merger
Positive
Sep 14, 2026
On Sept. 14, 2026, NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy unveiled an expanded Virginia benefits package tied to their proposed combination, promising four years of $10-per-month residential bill credits, a $100 million boost to Dominion’s Energ...
M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Dominion Shareholders Approve Merger With NextEra Energy
Positive
Sep 3, 2026
On September 3, 2026, Dominion Energy shareholders approved all proposals at a special meeting tied to the company’s planned merger with NextEra Energy, including the core merger agreement and first plan of merger. Investors also backed, on ...
Legal ProceedingsM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Dominion Energy Addresses Merger-Related Shareholder Lawsuits
Neutral
Aug 25, 2026
On May 15, 2026, Dominion Energy agreed to merge with NextEra Energy in a two-step transaction that would ultimately make Dominion a wholly owned subsidiary of NextEra through successive mergers with dedicated NextEra entities. Dominion has called...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Dominion Energy Issues $1.5 Billion Junior Subordinated Notes
Neutral
Jun 16, 2026
On June 8, 2026, Dominion Energy entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate of major investment banks to issue $1.5 billion in junior subordinated notes split between a $1 billion 2026 Series A and a $500 million 2026 Series B, both d...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 15, 2026