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Dominion Energy (D)
NYSE:D

Dominion Energy (D) AI Stock Analysis

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D

Dominion Energy

(NYSE:D)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$58.00
â–²(7.05%Upside)
Dominion Energy's overall score is driven primarily by its solid financial performance and strong earnings call results, which highlight progress in key projects and robust financial performance. However, high leverage, negative free cash flow, and recent safety and tariff concerns weigh on the score. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while the valuation suggests the stock may be slightly overvalued.
Positive Factors
Capital Investment
Dominion Energy raised its five-year capital plan by $7 billion, indicating a significant investment in growth.
Data Center Development
Dominion Energy provided a positive update on data center development in its service territory that is not included in current guidance.
Regulated Growth Strategy
The core fundamentals of the company’s streamlined, VEPCO-centric profile have improved significantly and placed it in a favorable position to execute its regulated growth strategy.
Negative Factors
Earnings Expectations
The expected earnings per share for Dominion Energy are modestly below the consensus expectations.
Macroeconomic Pressures
Potential exposure to tariffs and broader macroeconomic pressures could impact both the cost estimate and schedule for CVOW.
Uncertainty in Construction
Continued macro/political uncertainty through the CVOW construction cycle keeps analysts on the sidelines, maintaining a Market Perform rating.

Dominion Energy (D) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dominion Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDominion Energy, Inc. is a prominent American energy company headquartered in Richmond, Virginia. The company operates in the utilities sector, primarily focusing on the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity and natural gas. Dominion Energy serves over seven million customers across the United States, providing reliable energy solutions and investing in infrastructure to support sustainable energy development. The company is committed to reducing carbon emissions and enhancing energy efficiency through its diverse energy portfolio, which includes natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and wind power sources.
How the Company Makes MoneyDominion Energy generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the sale and distribution of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's regulated utility operations are a significant source of income, as they involve long-term agreements and regulated pricing structures that ensure stable cash flows. Additionally, Dominion Energy earns money from its non-regulated operations, which include energy trading and merchant power generation. The company has also invested in renewable energy projects, which contribute to its earnings through power purchase agreements and government incentives. Partnerships with other energy companies and investments in energy infrastructure further support Dominion Energy's revenue model, enabling the company to optimize its energy delivery capabilities and expand its market presence.

Dominion Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and where there may be challenges or opportunities for expansion.
Chart InsightsDominion Energy's Virginia segment shows robust growth, reflecting strong demand and strategic positioning, while the Gas Distribution segment has ceased operations. The 'Other' segment's volatility continues, with recent improvements. The earnings call highlights the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project's progress, which is expected to bolster future revenues. However, tariff uncertainties and safety incidents pose risks. The company's reaffirmed earnings guidance and proactive equity management indicate confidence in navigating these challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Dominion Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong start to the fiscal year with positive financial performance and progress on key projects, particularly the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project. However, challenges such as a tragic safety incident and tariff uncertainties pose concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Dominion Energy reported first-quarter operating earnings of $0.93 per share, outperforming expectations due to $0.03 of better-than-normal weather, $0.02 of RNG 45Z income, and $0.02 of better-than-expected sales. GAAP results were $0.75 per share, and the company affirmed its financial guidance for 2025 operating earnings per share of $3.28 to $3.52.
Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project Progress
The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project is 55% complete, on track for first delivery of electricity in early 2026, with full completion by the end of next year. The project has created approximately 2,000 jobs and generated $2 billion in economic activity.
Data Center Capacity and Demand
Dominion Energy has approximately 40 gigawatts of data center capacity in various stages of contracting, with no evidence of slowing demand from data center customers across its service area.
Regulatory and Legislative Support
The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project has robust bipartisan support from Virginia government and congressional leaders, and is consistent with American energy dominance goals.
Negative Updates
Safety Incident
A Dominion Energy employee, Ryan Barwick, died after being injured while unloading a railcar. The company emphasized its commitment to achieving zero injuries.
Tariff Uncertainty
The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project faces ongoing uncertainty regarding tariff impacts, with potential costs escalating to $500 million through 2026 if current policies remain unchanged.
Millstone Contracting Uncertainty
There is no new progress on contracting opportunities for the Millstone facility, which provides over 90% of Connecticut's carbon-free electricity.
Company Guidance
During the Dominion Energy First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reiterated its commitment to key priorities and financial guidance. Dominion Energy reported first-quarter operating earnings of $0.93 per share, surpassing its GAAP results of $0.75 per share. The company confirmed its 2025 operating earnings per share guidance of $3.28 to $3.52, with a midpoint of $3.40. Dominion emphasized the progress of its Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project, which is 55% complete and on schedule for full completion by the end of 2026. The project is expected to add $0.04 to residential customer bills over its life. Dominion also discussed its proactive approach to tariff exposure, estimating a potential cumulative impact of about $500 million if current policies persist through 2026, with Dominion bearing approximately $130 million of this cost. Additionally, the company highlighted steady equity issuance under its ATM program, amounting to approximately $1 billion at a weighted average price of $57, and an expectation to complete $200 million of DRIP-related equity by year-end, aligning with its 2025 common equity guidance.

Dominion Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dominion Energy demonstrates strong operational efficiency and revenue growth, supported by stable margins. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow due to substantial capital expenditures pose potential risks. The company must focus on enhancing net profitability and managing debt levels to maintain financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Dominion Energy's income statement reflects stable revenue growth with a 3.08% increase in revenues for the TTM period. The gross profit margin stands at 48.95%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin slightly declined to 14.06% from 14.70% in the prior year, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT margin improved to 24.40%, reflecting better operational efficiency. Overall, the company displays solid revenue growth and operational efficiency but faces challenges in maintaining high net profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Dominion Energy shows a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.61, indicating relatively high leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. The return on equity (ROE) is 7.66%, reflecting a reasonable return on shareholders' investments, though it could be improved. The equity ratio of 26.17% suggests a balanced capital structure but highlights the importance of managing debt levels effectively. While the company maintains a stable asset base, high leverage remains a concern.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Dominion Energy's cash flow statement reveals challenges in cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.01, indicating strong cash generation capability. However, the free cash flow is negative, highlighting significant capital expenditures that exceed operating cash inflows. Free cash flow to net income ratio is -4.02, pointing towards heavy investments that may burden cash reserves. While operational cash flows are robust, the negative free cash flow underscores the need for careful capital allocation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.90B14.46B14.39B13.94B11.42B14.17B
Gross Profit
7.30B6.92B6.96B6.38B5.41B7.30B
EBIT
3.64B3.25B3.41B1.43B2.00B2.06B
EBITDA
7.26B6.71B6.82B6.37B5.39B6.93B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.10B2.12B1.99B1.32B3.40B-401.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
355.00M310.00M184.00M153.00M283.00M172.00M
Total Assets
104.56B102.42B109.03B104.24B99.59B95.91B
Total Debt
44.10B41.75B44.24B45.68B40.58B37.01B
Net Debt
43.75B41.44B44.06B45.52B40.30B36.84B
Total Liabilities
73.83B72.22B81.50B76.36B72.28B69.44B
Stockholders Equity
27.36B27.25B27.53B27.88B27.31B26.12B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-8.42B-7.18B-3.66B-3.89B-1.92B-793.00M
Operating Cash Flow
4.22B5.02B6.57B3.70B4.04B5.23B
Investing Cash Flow
-7.81B-3.18B-7.21B-6.75B-6.25B-2.92B
Financing Cash Flow
3.73B-1.77B595.00M2.98B2.37B-2.33B

Dominion Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price54.18
Price Trends
50DMA
54.27
Negative
100DMA
54.26
Negative
200DMA
54.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
42.64
Neutral
STOCH
15.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For D, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 54.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.63, below the 50-day MA of 54.27, and below the 200-day MA of 54.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for D.

Dominion Energy Risk Analysis

Dominion Energy disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dominion Energy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dominion Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NENEE
79
Outperform
$147.93B26.8711.19%3.17%20.35%-27.07%
AEAEP
74
Outperform
$54.44B19.6610.41%3.67%4.20%-3.64%
EXEXC
74
Outperform
$42.79B15.7310.10%3.78%6.71%16.09%
SOSO
74
Outperform
$97.18B21.2014.01%3.35%9.58%8.02%
DUDUK
72
Outperform
$89.22B19.159.48%3.65%5.02%45.08%
DD
67
Neutral
$45.85B20.178.22%4.93%3.62%40.33%
64
Neutral
$8.53B10.364.25%5.86%4.06%-12.76%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
D
Dominion Energy
54.18
6.66
14.02%
AEP
American Electric Power
101.20
16.50
19.48%
DUK
Duke Energy
114.58
18.12
18.78%
EXC
Exelon
42.37
8.75
26.03%
NEE
NextEra Energy
71.57
1.21
1.72%
SO
Southern Co
88.63
12.35
16.19%

Dominion Energy Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dominion Energy Secures $1 Billion in Senior Notes
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Dominion Energy, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with major financial institutions for the sale of $1 billion in Series C Senior Notes, which are due in 2028. This strategic financial move is expected to impact the company’s operations by potentially enhancing its capital structure and market positioning, although specific implications for stakeholders were not detailed in the release.

The most recent analyst rating on (D) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dominion Energy stock, see the D Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dominion Energy Elects Board and Approves Compensation Plan
Neutral
May 9, 2025

During Dominion Energy‘s 2025 Annual Meeting held on May 7, 2025, all 11 director nominees were elected to the Board of Directors, with each nominee receiving a majority of votes. Shareholders also approved the executive compensation plan and ratified the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. However, a shareholder proposal to eliminate non-carbon emitting generation goals in executive pay incentives was not approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.