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Dominion Energy (D)
NYSE:D

Dominion Energy (D) AI Stock Analysis

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D

Dominion Energy

(NYSE:D)

70Outperform
Dominion Energy's strengths include stable revenue and operating cash flows, supported by a strong start to the fiscal year and progress on key projects. However, moderate profitability challenges and high leverage present risks, and the stock may be slightly overvalued based on its P/E ratio. Positive guidance and project developments partially offset concerns about safety incidents and tariff uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Capital Investment
Dominion Energy raised its five-year capital plan by $7 billion, indicating a significant investment in growth.
Data Center Expansion
Dominion raised its data center contracted capacity numbers significantly, which suggests potential for future growth.
Growth Strategy
The core fundamentals of the company’s streamlined, VEPCO-centric profile have improved significantly and placed it in a favorable position to execute its regulated growth strategy.
Negative Factors
CVOW Project Risks
Continued macro/political uncertainty through the CVOW construction cycle keeps analysts on the sidelines, maintaining a Market Perform rating.
Macroeconomic Pressures
Potential exposure to tariffs and broader macroeconomic pressures could impact both the cost estimate and schedule for CVOW.
Market Performance
Shares of D have been under pressure year-to-date, underperforming peers by ~6-7%.

Dominion Energy (D) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Dominion Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDominion Energy, Inc. produces and distributes energy in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Dominion Energy Virginia, Gas Distribution, Dominion Energy South Carolina, and Contracted Assets. The Dominion Energy Virginia segment generates, transmits, and distributes regulated electricity to approximately 2.7 million residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental customers in Virginia and North Carolina. The Gas Distribution segment is involved in the regulated natural gas sales, transportation, gathering, storage, and distribution operations in Ohio, West Virginia, North Carolina, Utah, southwestern Wyoming, and southeastern Idaho that serve approximately 3.1 million residential, commercial and industrial customers. It also has nonregulated renewable natural gas facilities in operation. The Dominion Energy South Carolina segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 772,000 customers in the central, southern, and southwestern portions of South Carolina; and distributes natural gas to approximately 419,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in South Carolina. The Contracted Assets segment is involved in the nonregulated long-term contracted renewable electric generation and solar generation facility development operations; and gas transportation, LNG import, and storage operations, as well as in the liquefaction facility. As of December 31, 2021, the company's portfolio of assets included approximately 30.2 gigawatt of electric generating capacity; 10,700 miles of electric transmission lines; 78,000 miles of electric distribution lines; and 95,700 miles of gas distribution mains and related service facilities. The company was formerly known as Dominion Resources, Inc. Dominion Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyDominion Energy makes money through several key revenue streams. The primary source of income is the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company generates electricity from a mix of sources, including nuclear, natural gas, coal, solar, and wind, which it then distributes to its customer base. Additionally, Dominion Energy earns revenue from the transmission and distribution of natural gas through its extensive pipeline network. The company engages in regulated utility operations, which provide stable income through regulated rates approved by state and federal agencies. Dominion Energy also invests in renewable energy projects, which contribute to its earnings and support its sustainability initiatives. Significant partnerships with state governments, regulatory bodies, and other energy companies play a crucial role in facilitating its operations and expansion efforts.

Dominion Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Highlights income from different business units, providing insight into which areas are driving growth and how diversified the company's revenue streams are.
Chart InsightsDominion Energy's Virginia segment shows a robust recovery in 2025, with revenue rebounding significantly after a dip in 2023. This aligns with the company's strong financial performance and strategic focus on key projects like the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind initiative, which is progressing well. However, the absence of revenue from Gas Transmission and the decline in Gas Distribution highlight ongoing challenges. The earnings call underscores potential risks from tariff uncertainties, which could impact future financials despite current growth momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Dominion Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dominion Energy shows stability in revenue and operational cash flows typical of regulated utilities. However, profitability challenges and high leverage present risks if financial conditions worsen. The company needs to improve net income consistency and manage debt levels to enhance financial robustness.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Dominion Energy has shown a consistent revenue base typical for regulated utilities, with stable gross profit margins. However, the net profit margin has significantly decreased in the recent year due to a drop in net income, indicating potential cost pressures or one-off events affecting profitability. Revenue growth has been flat, reflecting the mature nature of the industry.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderately high debt-to-equity ratio, which is common in capital-intensive industries like utilities but still presents financial risk. The equity ratio indicates that a significant portion of assets is financed by debt, and return on equity has been volatile, impacted by fluctuating net income levels.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Dominion Energy's cash flow statements reveal a strong operating cash flow, but free cash flow has been negative in some years due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, demonstrating good cash generation relative to reported earnings, yet the free cash flow to net income ratio has been under pressure.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.46B14.39B13.94B11.42B14.17B
Gross Profit
6.92B6.96B6.38B5.41B7.30B
EBIT
3.25B3.41B1.43B2.00B2.06B
EBITDA
6.37B6.82B6.37B5.39B6.93B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.12B1.99B1.32B3.40B-401.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
310.00M184.00M153.00M283.00M172.00M
Total Assets
102.42B109.03B104.24B99.59B95.91B
Total Debt
41.75B44.24B45.68B40.58B37.01B
Net Debt
41.44B44.06B45.52B40.30B36.84B
Total Liabilities
72.22B81.50B76.36B72.28B69.44B
Stockholders Equity
27.25B27.53B27.88B27.31B26.12B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-7.18B-3.66B-3.89B-1.92B-793.00M
Operating Cash Flow
5.02B6.57B3.70B4.04B5.23B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.18B-7.21B-6.75B-6.25B-2.92B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.77B595.00M2.98B2.37B-2.33B

Dominion Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price55.00
Price Trends
50DMA
54.35
Positive
100DMA
54.13
Positive
200DMA
54.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
56.93
Neutral
STOCH
69.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For D, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.07, above the 50-day MA of 54.35, and above the 200-day MA of 54.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for D.

Dominion Energy Risk Analysis

Dominion Energy disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dominion Energy reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dominion Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DUDUK
77
Outperform
$93.71B21.229.10%3.42%4.46%54.09%
NENEE
75
Outperform
$138.11B25.0911.19%3.15%20.35%-27.07%
SOSO
74
Outperform
$100.07B22.8014.01%3.16%5.83%10.23%
EXEXC
73
Outperform
$46.92B18.9510.10%3.31%6.71%
AEAEP
73
Outperform
$59.93B19.2811.37%3.36%2.76%31.53%
DD
70
Outperform
$46.90B22.568.22%4.85%3.34%
63
Neutral
$8.48B11.845.71%4.35%3.05%-11.35%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
D
Dominion Energy
55.00
5.98
12.20%
AEP
American Electric Power
107.69
22.17
25.92%
DUK
Duke Energy
121.58
24.90
25.76%
EXC
Exelon
46.48
10.38
28.75%
NEE
NextEra Energy
67.09
-2.21
-3.19%
SO
Southern Co
91.05
18.11
24.83%

Dominion Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong start to the fiscal year with positive financial performance and progress on key projects, particularly the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project. However, challenges such as a tragic safety incident and tariff uncertainties pose concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Dominion Energy reported first-quarter operating earnings of $0.93 per share, outperforming expectations due to $0.03 of better-than-normal weather, $0.02 of RNG 45Z income, and $0.02 of better-than-expected sales. GAAP results were $0.75 per share, and the company affirmed its financial guidance for 2025 operating earnings per share of $3.28 to $3.52.
Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project Progress
The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project is 55% complete, on track for first delivery of electricity in early 2026, with full completion by the end of next year. The project has created approximately 2,000 jobs and generated $2 billion in economic activity.
Data Center Capacity and Demand
Dominion Energy has approximately 40 gigawatts of data center capacity in various stages of contracting, with no evidence of slowing demand from data center customers across its service area.
Regulatory and Legislative Support
The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project has robust bipartisan support from Virginia government and congressional leaders, and is consistent with American energy dominance goals.
Negative Updates
Safety Incident
A Dominion Energy employee, Ryan Barwick, died after being injured while unloading a railcar. The company emphasized its commitment to achieving zero injuries.
Tariff Uncertainty
The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project faces ongoing uncertainty regarding tariff impacts, with potential costs escalating to $500 million through 2026 if current policies remain unchanged.
Millstone Contracting Uncertainty
There is no new progress on contracting opportunities for the Millstone facility, which provides over 90% of Connecticut's carbon-free electricity.
Company Guidance
During the Dominion Energy First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reiterated its commitment to key priorities and financial guidance. Dominion Energy reported first-quarter operating earnings of $0.93 per share, surpassing its GAAP results of $0.75 per share. The company confirmed its 2025 operating earnings per share guidance of $3.28 to $3.52, with a midpoint of $3.40. Dominion emphasized the progress of its Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project, which is 55% complete and on schedule for full completion by the end of 2026. The project is expected to add $0.04 to residential customer bills over its life. Dominion also discussed its proactive approach to tariff exposure, estimating a potential cumulative impact of about $500 million if current policies persist through 2026, with Dominion bearing approximately $130 million of this cost. Additionally, the company highlighted steady equity issuance under its ATM program, amounting to approximately $1 billion at a weighted average price of $57, and an expectation to complete $200 million of DRIP-related equity by year-end, aligning with its 2025 common equity guidance.

Dominion Energy Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dominion Energy Updates CVOW Project and Secures Funding
Neutral
Feb 3, 2025

On February 3, 2025, Dominion Energy announced updates to its Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project, including a cost increase from $9.8 billion to $10.7 billion due to revised network upgrade costs by PJM. Despite the increase, the project remains on schedule for completion by the end of 2026, with significant construction milestones achieved and robust cost-sharing mechanisms in place to mitigate customer impact. The updated project cost is expected to slightly impact residential customer bills by 43 cents per month. Dominion Energy completed a non-controlling equity financing with Stonepeak Partners, which will fund 50% of project costs up to $11.3 billion, reducing financial risk for shareholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.