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Southern Co (SO)
NYSE:SO
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Southern Co (SO) AI Stock Analysis

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SO

Southern Co

(NYSE:SO)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$99.00
â–²(7.84% Upside)
Southern Co's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, such as growth in retail electricity sales and strategic capital investments. However, high leverage, negative free cash flow, and increased operating costs present risks. The technical analysis indicates a neutral trend, and the valuation is moderate with a decent dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent growth in retail electricity sales indicates strong demand and market position, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Capital Investment
The expanded capital plan demonstrates commitment to growth and infrastructure, potentially enhancing future earnings and market competitiveness.
Economic Development
Significant economic development in service territories suggests a supportive business environment and potential for increased demand.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term financial stability and investment capacity.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow may constrain the company's ability to fund operations and investments without raising additional capital.
Earnings Decline
A decline in earnings compared to the previous year suggests potential challenges in maintaining profitability amid rising costs.

Southern Co (SO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Southern Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Southern Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. It operates through Gas Distribution Operations, Gas Pipeline Investments, Wholesale Gas Services, and Gas Marketing Services segments. The company also develops, constructs, acquires, owns, and manages power generation assets, including renewable energy projects and sells electricity in the wholesale market; and distributes natural gas in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee, as well as provides gas marketing services, wholesale gas services, and gas pipeline investments operations. In addition, it owns and/or operates 30 hydroelectric generating stations, 24 fossil fuel generating stations, three nuclear generating stations, 13 combined cycle/cogeneration stations, 45 solar facilities, 15 wind facilities, one fuel cell facility, and four battery storage facility; and constructs, operates, and maintains 76,289 miles of natural gas pipelines and 14 storage facilities with total capacity of 157 Bcf to provide natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company serves approximately 8.7 million electric and gas utility customers. Further, the company offers digital wireless communications and fiber optics services. The Southern Company was incorporated in 1945 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneySouthern Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's revenue model is largely based on regulated utility operations, where it earns a return on investment approved by state utility commissions. Key revenue streams include retail electricity sales, natural gas distribution services, and long-term contracts for energy generation. Additionally, Southern Company invests in renewable energy projects and may receive incentives or subsidies for clean energy initiatives. The company has established partnerships with various energy firms and governmental bodies to enhance its service offerings and expand its renewable energy portfolio, further contributing to its earnings.

Southern Co Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Kilowatt-Hour Sales by Segment
Kilowatt-Hour Sales by Segment
Monitors electricity sales across different customer segments, highlighting demand trends and potential growth areas within residential, commercial, or industrial markets.
Chart InsightsSouthern Co's industrial segment is showing notable growth, driven by a 13% increase in data center demand, aligning with the company's strategic focus on expanding its capital plan. Despite a slight dip in year-over-year earnings, the company is experiencing strong retail electricity sales, up 3% in Q2 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. This growth is supported by robust economic development and a significant capital plan expansion, indicating confidence in future load growth and customer demand.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Southern Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Southern Company reported strong adjusted earnings and significant growth in retail electricity sales, particularly in the data center segment. Economic development in their service territories is robust, and plans for expansion and modernization are well underway. However, there are notable challenges, including a decline in earnings compared to the previous year, higher operating costs, and the impact of state tax credit adjustments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted Earnings
Southern Company reported strong adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.92 for Q2 2025, which is $0.07 above estimates.
Retail Electricity Sales Growth
Year-over-year retail electricity sales grew by 3% in Q2 2025, including a 2.8% increase in residential sales.
Data Center Usage Increase
Data center usage was 13% higher compared to Q2 2024, indicating strong demand in this segment.
Economic Development in Service Territories
Nearly $2 billion in capital investment and more than 6,000 new jobs were announced in Southern Company's electric service territories.
Expansion and Modernization Plans
Georgia Power received authorization to provide generation procurement options for at least 6 gigawatts to meet increasing demand, with plans to certify 10 gigawatts of new generation resources.
Increased Capital Plan
Southern Company increased its 5-year base capital plan from $63 billion to $76 billion, with potential upside of approximately $5 billion.
Negative Updates
Earnings Decline Compared to Previous Year
Adjusted EPS for Q2 2025 was $0.18 lower than Q2 2024, largely due to milder weather and higher operating costs.
Higher Operating Costs and Interest Expenses
The company experienced higher operating costs, interest expenses, and depreciation and amortization.
Impact of State Tax Credit Adjustments
Current year state tax credit adjustments negatively impacted earnings.
Company Guidance
During the Southern Company Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. Southern Company reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.92 for the second quarter, which was $0.07 above their previous estimate but $0.18 lower than the same period in 2024. The company attributed its performance to increased earnings from state-regulated utilities, higher usage, and customer growth, which contributed an additional $0.06 year-over-year. However, these gains were partially offset by milder weather, prior year gains on transmission asset sales, and state tax credit adjustments. Looking forward, Southern Company has an adjusted EPS estimate of $1.50 for the third quarter of 2025. Furthermore, year-to-date, weather-normal retail electricity sales were up by 1.3% compared to the first half of 2024, with a notable 3% increase in retail electricity sales across all customer classes in the second quarter. The company also discussed ongoing investments and capital plans, announcing an increase in their 5-year base capital plan from $63 billion to $76 billion, with an additional potential upside of $5 billion. Additionally, Southern Company emphasized its commitment to maintaining a strong credit rating, projecting an increase in equity needs to approximately $5 billion through 2029 to support their capital investments.

Southern Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Southern Co demonstrates solid revenue growth with a strong net profit margin of 16.5% and effective operational efficiency. However, the high leverage and negative free cash flow due to significant capital expenditures are concerns, indicating a need for careful cash flow management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Southern Co exhibits solid revenue growth with a 4.2% increase in TTM compared to the previous annual figure. The gross profit margin stands at 45.4% TTM, indicating strong profitability. The net profit margin of 16.5% TTM is robust, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational efficiency at 26.4% and 48.7% respectively. Overall, the company demonstrates stable profitability and efficient operations, although gross profit has slightly decreased compared to the previous year.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.07, indicating a high leverage level typical in the regulated electric industry. The return on equity is healthy at 13.6% TTM, reflecting effective use of shareholders' capital. The equity ratio of 22.8% suggests a moderate reliance on equity financing. While leverage is high, the company maintains a stable equity base and good returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains strong at $9.73 billion TTM, although free cash flow is negative at -$39 million, mainly due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is solid at 2.11, indicating good cash conversion from earnings. However, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern, necessitating careful management of capital expenditures to improve cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.36B26.72B25.25B29.28B23.11B20.38B
Gross Profit13.85B13.34B11.71B10.63B10.25B9.90B
EBITDA13.68B13.24B11.78B10.31B8.39B9.22B
Net Income4.28B4.40B3.98B3.54B2.41B3.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets148.85B145.18B139.33B134.89B127.53B122.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.26B1.07B748.00M1.92B1.80B1.06B
Total Debt70.82B66.28B63.49B59.13B55.47B51.04B
Total Liabilities111.51B108.51B104.11B100.36B94.97B90.41B
Stockholders Equity34.01B33.21B31.44B30.41B28.16B28.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.08B833.00M-1.54B-1.62B-1.07B-745.00M
Operating Cash Flow9.22B9.79B7.55B6.30B6.17B6.70B
Investing Cash Flow-10.91B-9.40B-9.67B-8.43B-7.35B-7.03B
Financing Cash Flow1.75B-208.00M999.00M2.34B1.95B-576.00M

Southern Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price91.80
Price Trends
50DMA
93.10
Negative
100DMA
91.06
Positive
200DMA
87.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.40
Positive
RSI
45.74
Neutral
STOCH
58.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 91.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.12, below the 50-day MA of 93.10, and above the 200-day MA of 87.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SO.

Southern Co Risk Analysis

Southern Co disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Southern Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Southern Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
51.08B20.688.39%4.46%7.60%55.99%
74
Outperform
57.26B15.6812.22%3.47%5.84%36.33%
71
Outperform
94.15B19.809.50%3.47%4.07%9.94%
68
Neutral
146.37B24.7711.65%3.12%18.80%-6.73%
66
Neutral
$100.98B23.7012.89%3.18%8.53%-7.53%
66
Neutral
43.84B16.489.61%3.64%4.46%8.68%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SO
Southern Co
91.80
4.21
4.81%
AEP
American Electric Power
107.06
8.17
8.26%
D
Dominion Energy
59.85
4.62
8.37%
DUK
Duke Energy
121.08
7.96
7.04%
EXC
Exelon
43.41
4.48
11.51%
NEE
NextEra Energy
71.08
-11.18
-13.59%

Southern Co Corporate Events

DividendsPrivate Placements and Financing
Southern Co Adjusts Conversion Rate for Notes
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Southern Co announced an adjustment to the conversion rate for its Series 2023A 3.875% Convertible Senior Notes due December 15, 2025. This adjustment was necessary as the company had declared six regular quarterly cash dividends exceeding the distribution threshold, and no prior adjustments were made since each required less than a one percent increase. The new conversion rate is set at 11.9035 shares per $1,000 principal amount of the notes, reflecting the cumulative effect of previously deferred adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (SO) stock is a Hold with a $99.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Co stock, see the SO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025