tiprankstipranks
Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI)
NYSE:CTRI
US Market
Want to see CTRI full AI Analyst Report?

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) AI Stock Analysis

49 Followers

Top Page

CTRI

Centuri Holdings, Inc.

(NYSE:CTRI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 52 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(1.01% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
CTRI scores in the low-50s primarily due to mixed financial performance—improving earnings and leverage are offset by weak recent free cash flow—alongside bearish technicals and a high P/E valuation. The latest earnings call was a notable positive (reaffirmed guidance, strong bookings/backlog, deleveraging targets), providing partial support despite near-term cash flow and margin variability.
Positive Factors
Strong demand, bookings and backlog
Strong customer demand and a record backlog improve revenue visibility over the next several quarters. Multi-year MSAs, replacement programs and pending bids support durable workload, reducing reliance on isolated project wins.
Negative Factors
Weak recent free cash flow
Negative and deteriorating free cash flow limits confidence in earnings quality and may constrain debt reduction or growth investment. Management expects improvement, but working-capital timing and capital needs remain important execution risks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong demand, bookings and backlog
Strong customer demand and a record backlog improve revenue visibility over the next several quarters. Multi-year MSAs, replacement programs and pending bids support durable workload, reducing reliance on isolated project wins.
Read all positive factors

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Centuri Holdings, Inc. delivers specialized utility infrastructure services across North America. The company's operations are divided into four key segments: Gas Utility Services in the U.S., Gas Utility Services in Canada, Union Electric Utility...
How the Company Makes Money
Centuri makes money primarily by delivering utility infrastructure services under contract for customers such as regulated natural gas utilities and other energy/infrastructure owners. Revenue is generated through project-based and programmatic wo...

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and strategic picture: strong revenue growth (+31% YoY), large improvements in gross profit and adjusted EBITDA, meaningful bookings and backlog momentum, improving leverage, and a clear multi-year strategy with specific targets. Short-term weaknesses include a Q1 negative free cash flow position (timing-driven), a remaining net loss, some segment margin pressure (non-union electric) and investor concern about conservative guidance and pipeline conversion timing. Overall, the company shows tangible improvement and a credible plan for growth and margin expansion, with manageable near-term cash and margin variability.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Revenue of $723M in Q1, up 31% year-over-year; base revenue $689M, up 29% YoY, demonstrating robust demand across segments.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow in Q1
Net cash used in operating activities was $35M and free cash flow was negative $54M in Q1, driven primarily by working capital timing, though management expects full-year free cash flow to exceed $60M.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Revenue of $723M in Q1, up 31% year-over-year; base revenue $689M, up 29% YoY, demonstrating robust demand across segments.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance with base revenue of $3.15–$3.45B and base gross profit of $255–$285M, total revenue of $3.24–$3.54B (including storm restoration using a 3‑year average of $88M revenue / $28M gross profit), adjusted EBITDA of $280–$310M, adjusted net income of $55–$75M, and net CapEx of $75–$90M, while expecting free cash flow to exceed $60M for 2026. They forecast net debt / adjusted EBITDA of ~2.0x by year‑end (down from 2.7x at quarter‑end and 3.5x a year ago), target 10–15% base revenue CAGR to 2029 with 70–170 bps of base gross profit margin expansion, adjusted EPS CAGR of 30–45% through 2029, and 40–50% free cash flow conversion by 2029; SG&A is expected to be ~4% of revenue and the fleet funding plan is ~50/50 lease vs. buy. Near‑term commercial metrics highlighted were a 2026 book‑to‑bill target of 1.1–1.2x (Q1 was 1.8x), $1.3B of Q1 bookings, a record backlog of about $6.5B, a $13B pipeline and roughly $2B of pending bids (including nearly $200M of data‑center work).

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are improving but uneven. Income statement trends show an earnings recovery and modest TTM revenue growth, and the balance sheet leverage has improved materially (debt-to-equity down to ~1.1x). The main drag is cash flow quality: TTM operating cash flow is positive, but free cash flow is negative and deteriorated sharply, which limits confidence in the recovery.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.24B2.89B2.64B2.90B2.76B2.16B
Gross Profit270.02M246.57M220.67M273.44M214.61M186.05M
EBITDA223.64M231.81M243.19M85.32M67.50M216.14M
Net Income28.85M22.39M-6.72M-186.18M-168.15M40.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.40B2.41B2.07B2.19B2.45B2.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments40.46M126.63M49.02M33.41M63.97M114.71M
Total Debt929.22M938.11M1.01B1.31B1.33B1.36B
Total Liabilities1.53B1.53B1.51B1.86B1.91B1.89B
Stockholders Equity868.95M872.97M555.55M225.99M386.75M479.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.22M-8.20M58.90M60.81M-34.96M-937.00K
Operating Cash Flow74.09M78.12M158.23M167.47M94.63M109.48M
Investing Cash Flow-94.44M-88.20M-89.38M-94.85M-117.06M-916.58M
Financing Cash Flow34.14M88.76M-52.62M-103.45M-27.45M883.54M

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price20.79
Price Trends
50DMA
26.23
Negative
100DMA
29.46
Negative
200DMA
28.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.50
Positive
RSI
34.98
Neutral
STOCH
10.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.33, below the 50-day MA of 26.23, and below the 200-day MA of 28.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CTRI.

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Risk Analysis

Centuri Holdings, Inc. disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centuri Holdings, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.25B21.309.33%2.05%14.61%11.96%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$6.45B12.6212.89%2.69%-63.47%166.76%
63
Neutral
$5.05B17.408.42%3.35%-0.78%10.67%
60
Neutral
$2.10B16.448.34%3.81%4.41%19.03%
55
Neutral
$4.92B9.3121.42%3.95%4.12%93.82%
52
Neutral
$2.10B67.483.62%25.17%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTRI
Centuri Holdings, Inc.
21.17
0.01
0.05%
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities
134.18
13.44
11.13%
SR
Spire
83.66
10.32
14.08%
NWN
Northwest Gas
50.39
10.73
27.05%
SWX
Southwest Gas
90.61
14.99
19.82%
OGS
ONE Gas
81.10
7.35
9.96%

Centuri Holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Centuri Holdings Announces Strategic Leadership Team Overhaul
Positive
Aug 12, 2026
On August 11, 2026, Centuri Holdings’ board appointed industry veteran Kelly Youngblood as executive vice president and chief financial officer, effective August 12, replacing Gregory A. Izenstark. Youngblood, a former CFO at MRC Global and ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026