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Credit Agricole (CRARY)
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Credit Agricole (CRARY) AI Stock Analysis

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CRARY

Credit Agricole

(OTC:CRARY)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
â–²(7.28% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/30/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—solid profitability and growth, but elevated and rising leverage plus historically unstable cash flows. Valuation is a meaningful positive (low P/E and high dividend yield), while technical indicators are moderately weak, reflecting subdued near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Expansion
Multi-year revenue expansion indicates continued demand across Crédit Agricole’s diversified banking, insurance, asset-management and financing businesses, supporting its scale and broad client distribution over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising Financial Leverage
The sharp increase in leverage raises balance-sheet sensitivity to funding costs, credit losses and regulatory capital requirements. It also reduces financial flexibility, even though elevated leverage is partly characteristic of banking.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained Revenue Expansion
Multi-year revenue expansion indicates continued demand across Crédit Agricole’s diversified banking, insurance, asset-management and financing businesses, supporting its scale and broad client distribution over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Credit Agricole (CRARY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Credit Agricole Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Crédit Agricole S.A. (CRARY) is a globally active financial institution, delivering an extensive array of banking, insurance, and investment services. Its operations are structured into several key segments: Asset Gathering, Large Customers, Speci...
How the Company Makes Money
Crédit Agricole S.A. makes money primarily by earning income from banking and financial services provided across its main business lines. A core driver is net interest income: it takes deposits and other funding and uses that funding to originate ...

Credit Agricole Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong revenue generation at the group level (record EUR 10bn), solid net income and profitability (ROTE 13.7%), robust liquidity and capital headroom, significant customer acquisition and digital progress, and tangible synergy realizations. Offsetting this are higher year‑on‑year cost of risk driven by prudent Stage 1/2 provisioning and overlays (including ~EUR 60m linked to the Middle East), notable weather/nat‑cat claims (>EUR 200m gross), and material near‑term headwinds in Specialized Financial Services and mobility (residual value and used‑car market pressures, ~EUR 30m impact). CET1 marginally declined due to organic growth, methodological effects and the Banco BPM stake increase. Overall, the positives (record revenues, strong client capture, efficiency gains, capital and liquidity comfort) outweigh the cyclical and event‑driven lowlights, though key business sensitivities (automotive remarketing, market volatility and geopolitical provisioning) warrant monitoring.
Positive Updates
Strong profitability and net income
Credit Agricole S.A. reported net income of EUR 1.676 billion (≈ EUR 1.7bn) for Q1 2026. Gross operating income increased like‑for‑like by 5.5% and net income growth for the group was reported at +5.5% year‑on‑year (group), while CASA net income rose (like‑for‑like) and was communicated as EUR 1.676m.
Negative Updates
Higher cost of risk year‑on‑year
Cost of risk decreased versus Q4 2025 but increased by ~32% versus Q1 2025, driven mainly by Stage 1 and Stage 2 provisioning (approx. EUR 100 million) tied to scenario updates and overlays.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong profitability and net income
Credit Agricole S.A. reported net income of EUR 1.676 billion (≈ EUR 1.7bn) for Q1 2026. Gross operating income increased like‑for‑like by 5.5% and net income growth for the group was reported at +5.5% year‑on‑year (group), while CASA net income rose (like‑for‑like) and was communicated as EUR 1.676m.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated ACT 2028 guidance and kept a constructive near‑term outlook: CASA CET1 target 11% (Q1 CET1 11.4%, down from 11.8%), ROTE 13.7% and strategic flexibility of ~150 bps to 2028 (c.16–17 bps used so far), with CET1 expected to remain comfortable through 2026; LCL net interest income guidance remains high single‑digit for 2026; interim dividend policy is a 50% payout of H1 profit (provision enabling c.€0.26/share); CA Savings Germany total costs expected <€50m in 2026; Leasys is expected to deliver a double‑digit annual equity contribution in 2026 despite Q1 breakeven; Banco BPM stake increased to 22.9% (c.14 bps CET1 impact); liquidity reserves €475bn with LCR/NSFR strong and ~2/3 of the funding plan already completed; transition targets include a 90:10 green‑brown ratio, €240bn transition financing and €1bn annual CACIB sustainable finance revenues.

Credit Agricole Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and revenue growth are solid, but the overall financial picture is constrained by a sharp rise in leverage (debt-to-equity ~7.47x in 2025) and multi-year cash flow volatility (negative operating/free cash flow in 2023–2024 before a large rebound in 2025). Margin data also appears volatile/anomalous, reducing confidence in trend quality.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.76B66.08B74.47B68.33B37.61B33.07B
Gross Profit1.76B26.26B25.33B23.45B20.65B21.40B
EBITDA-10.92B11.74B11.87B10.70B8.97B9.25B
Net Income6.92B7.07B7.09B6.35B5.31B5.84B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.42T2.37T2.31T2.19T2.14T2.07T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments160.00B579.76B829.24B598.93B654.92B640.85B
Total Debt317.40B312.98B315.58B280.25B239.90B199.32B
Total Liabilities2.33T2.30T2.23T2.11T2.06T2.00T
Stockholders Equity79.10B77.66B74.71B71.09B66.52B68.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow47.14B45.55B-16.98B-37.40B-495.00M10.05B
Operating Cash Flow48.25B46.62B-15.91B-36.51B594.00M10.93B
Investing Cash Flow-33.73B-4.40B-1.78B9.85B-5.06B-838.00M
Financing Cash Flow-7.17B-4.49B9.45B16.55B1.57B-1.70B

Credit Agricole Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.72
Price Trends
50DMA
10.74
Positive
100DMA
10.20
Positive
200DMA
9.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
43.73
Neutral
STOCH
53.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRARY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.09, below the 50-day MA of 10.74, and above the 200-day MA of 9.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CRARY.

Credit Agricole Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$97.98B13.3612.34%2.92%5.73%24.15%
72
Outperform
$63.10B11.469.01%4.12%0.36%18.53%
72
Outperform
$75.26B7.3316.16%5.05%6.60%29.61%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$138.31B15.4012.28%1.65%2.65%54.00%
64
Neutral
$67.08B9.259.43%6.45%6.32%-3.96%
62
Neutral
$88.84B13.9111.05%3.57%-13.48%25.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRARY
Credit Agricole
10.86
1.72
18.77%
TFC
Truist Financial
50.55
7.28
16.84%
LYG
Lloyds Banking
6.00
1.68
38.89%
MFG
Mizuho Financial
11.14
4.43
66.02%
PNC
PNC Financial
242.91
47.45
24.28%
NWG
NatWest Group
18.67
5.16
38.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2026