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Coherent Corp (COHR)
NYSE:COHR
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Coherent Corp (COHR) AI Stock Analysis

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COHR

Coherent Corp

(NYSE:COHR)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$144.00
▲(8.51% Upside)
Coherent Corp's stock score is driven primarily by its strong technical indicators and mixed financial performance. The stock shows bullish momentum, but high leverage and negative P/E ratio are significant concerns. The earnings call provided positive strategic insights, but these were not included in the score calculation due to the redistribution of weights.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Coherent's products, particularly in data center and communications, supporting long-term business expansion.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Apple enhances Coherent's market reach and product development, potentially leading to increased revenue and competitive advantage.
Innovation in Optical Technologies
Innovations in optical technologies position Coherent as a leader in addressing data traffic demands, supporting growth in AI and data center markets.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Coherent's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Low Profitability Margins
Low profitability margins suggest challenges in converting revenue growth into net income, which may affect long-term financial health.
Industrial Market Challenges
Declining industrial market revenue highlights potential vulnerabilities in Coherent's business model, affecting overall growth prospects.

Coherent Corp (COHR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coherent Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoherent Corp (COHR) is a global leader in photonics, providing laser-based solutions and optical components for a variety of industries, including communications, industrial manufacturing, and life sciences. The company specializes in high-performance lasers, laser-based systems, and precision optics, catering to diverse applications such as materials processing, medical diagnostics, and telecommunications. With a strong emphasis on innovation and technology, Coherent Corp plays a pivotal role in advancing the capabilities of photonic technologies across multiple sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoherent Corp generates revenue primarily through the sale of laser systems and components, which are critical in various applications within industrial, scientific, and medical sectors. Key revenue streams include the manufacture and sale of laser products, optics, and related accessories. The company also benefits from recurring revenue through service contracts and maintenance agreements for its systems. Significant partnerships with major technology companies enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations often lead to joint product development and access to new markets. Additionally, Coherent Corp invests in research and development to drive innovation, which helps maintain its competitive edge and supports long-term revenue growth.

Coherent Corp Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Profit by Segment
Profit by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Coherent Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong growth in revenue and several strategic advancements, including new product launches and successful debt reduction. However, challenges in the industrial markets and foreign exchange impacts on gross margin present areas of concern.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Growth in Fiscal 2025
Full year revenue increased by approximately 23% year-over-year to a record $5.81 billion, driven by strong growth in the data center and communications business.
Significant Growth in Data Center and Communications
Data center revenue grew by 61% for the full year and 38% year-over-year in Q4. Communications revenue increased 23% for fiscal '25, with a 42% year-over-year increase in Q4.
Launch of New Products and Expansions
Initial revenue shipments of new 1.6T Transceivers and Optical Circuit Switch began in fiscal Q4, with further ramp expected. A new multiyear agreement with Apple for VCSEL products was also announced.
Successful Debt Reduction and Financial Health
Paid down $437 million in debt over the fiscal year, reducing the debt leverage ratio to 2x from 2.5x.
Indium Phosphide Production Milestone
Production began on the world's first 6-inch indium phosphide line in Sherman, Texas, expected to provide significant cost and volume advantages.
Negative Updates
Decline in Industrial-Related End Markets
Industrial-related revenue decreased 2% for the year and 8% year-over-year in Q4, impacted by a decline in the silicon carbide business.
Gross Margin Impact from Foreign Exchange
Q4 non-GAAP gross margin was down 43 basis points sequentially, primarily due to unfavorable foreign exchange impacts.
Cautious Outlook for Industrial Segment
Taking a cautious view on the industrial market due to macroeconomic uncertainty and tariff concerns, expecting Industrial to be flat to down sequentially in the near term.
Company Guidance
During the call, Coherent Corp provided guidance for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with expectations for revenue to range between $1.46 billion and $1.6 billion, reflecting the exclusion of approximately $20 million in revenue from the Aerospace and Defense business due to its anticipated sale. The non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be between 37.5% and 39.5%, with total operating expenses projected between $290 million and $310 million. The company anticipates a tax rate of 18% to 22% on a non-GAAP basis, and non-GAAP EPS is expected to be between $0.93 and $1.13. Coherent also shared progress on their new 6-inch indium phosphide production line, which commenced in August 2025, and discussed their expanded partnership with Apple, with revenue expected to begin in the second half of calendar 2026.

Coherent Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coherent Corp shows a mixed financial performance with strengths in revenue growth and cash flow generation. However, profitability margins and high leverage remain areas of concern. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiencies and managing debt levels to enhance financial stability and shareholder value.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Coherent Corp has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 3.84% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from the previous year's decline. The gross profit margin has improved to 35.16%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at 0.85%, suggesting challenges in translating revenue growth into net income. The EBIT margin is notably low, indicating potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.57, indicating higher leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is low at 0.77%, reflecting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the high debt levels could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Coherent Corp has achieved a significant free cash flow growth rate of 50.79% in the TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.63, indicating good cash conversion efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting room for improvement in cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.81B5.81B4.71B5.16B3.32B3.11B
Gross Profit2.04B2.04B1.46B1.62B1.27B1.18B
EBITDA668.51M668.51M700.59M613.00M689.84M682.56M
Net Income49.40M49.40M-156.15M-259.46M234.76M297.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.91B14.91B14.49B13.71B7.84B6.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments909.20M909.20M926.03M821.31M2.58B1.59B
Total Debt3.89B3.89B4.30B4.49B2.44B1.53B
Total Liabilities6.43B6.43B6.54B6.48B3.46B2.38B
Stockholders Equity8.13B8.13B7.57B7.23B4.38B4.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow386.40M192.76M198.91M197.97M99.00M428.02M
Operating Cash Flow1.14B633.60M545.73M634.02M413.33M574.35M
Investing Cash Flow-697.46M-414.21M-350.71M-5.93B-320.08M-172.96M
Financing Cash Flow-837.83M-451.73M758.27M3.55B862.95M675.73M

Coherent Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price132.71
Price Trends
50DMA
109.66
Positive
100DMA
102.24
Positive
200DMA
88.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.81
Negative
RSI
62.81
Neutral
STOCH
74.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COHR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 132.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 121.24, above the 50-day MA of 109.66, and above the 200-day MA of 88.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COHR.

Coherent Corp Risk Analysis

Coherent Corp disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coherent Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coherent Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$24.81B29.0317.45%0.77%
$9.36B35.9411.12%0.63%4.47%2887.37%
$16.28B28.747.79%0.47%-8.96%-30.29%
$18.89B67.795.06%-3.72%-80.83%
$20.68B0.63%23.42%71.17%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
$23.66B37.5340.43%0.15%3.18%-46.01%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COHR
Coherent Corp
131.96
39.68
43.00%
FLEX
Flex
62.52
27.04
76.21%
JBL
Jabil
220.89
93.47
73.36%
MKSI
MKS
139.31
39.59
39.70%
TRMB
Trimble
79.75
18.54
30.29%
FTV
Fortive
50.34
-3.17
-5.92%

Coherent Corp Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Coherent Corp Amends Credit Agreement with JPMorgan
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Coherent Corp. entered into significant amendments to its Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank and other lenders. These amendments included refinancing existing revolving credit commitments and obtaining additional senior secured incremental revolving credit commitments, increasing the total facility to $700 million. The company also secured a new tranche of senior secured incremental term A loans amounting to $1.25 billion, which were used to repay existing loans and for general corporate purposes. Additionally, Amendment No. 5 replaced the outstanding term B-2 loans with new term B-3 loans, maintaining similar terms but with adjusted interest rates.

The most recent analyst rating on (COHR) stock is a Buy with a $127.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coherent Corp stock, see the COHR Stock Forecast page.

Coherent Corp’s Earnings Call: Record Growth and Strategic Moves
Sep 1, 2025

Coherent Corp’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic advancements, tempered by some challenges in the industrial markets and foreign exchange impacts. The company reported strong revenue growth, driven by its data center and communications business, alongside successful debt reduction and new product launches. However, concerns were raised about the industrial markets and foreign exchange effects on gross margins.

Coherent Corp.’s Expansion Heightens Risk of Product Failures and Financial Setbacks
Aug 16, 2025

Coherent Corp. faces significant business risks due to the potential for products that fail to meet specifications, are defective, or are incompatible with end uses. Such issues can lead to substantial costs, including customer compensation, decreased revenue, and reputational damage. The company’s recent diversification and expansion of product offerings may increase the likelihood of these risks. Consequently, Coherent Corp.’s financial condition and operational results could be materially adversely affected.

Coherent Corp. Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Results
Aug 14, 2025

Coherent Corp. is a global leader in the photonics industry, specializing in innovative technologies for datacenters, communications, and industrial markets. With a strong presence in over 20 countries, Coherent is known for its extensive technology stack and robust supply chain resilience.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Coherent Corp Reports Record Revenue for FY 2025
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Coherent Corp. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, ending June 30, 2025. The company achieved a record annual revenue of $5.81 billion, marking a 23% year-over-year increase, and improved its non-GAAP gross margin to 37.9%. Despite a GAAP net loss, the non-GAAP earnings per share showed significant improvement. The company also announced plans to sell its Aerospace and Defense business, focusing on long-term growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (COHR) stock is a Buy with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coherent Corp stock, see the COHR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025