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Littelfuse (LFUS) AI Stock Analysis

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LFUS

Littelfuse

(NASDAQ:LFUS)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:$412.00â–²(6.61% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/28/26

LFUS scores moderately due to strong cash flow and a conservative balance sheet, reinforced by a very positive earnings call with strong guidance, bookings, and margin expansion. These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum (trading below key moving averages with negative MACD) and limited valuation support given a negative P/E and a low dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Strong and growing free cash flowSustained positive free cash flow provides Littelfuse with internally generated funding for reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, and shareholder returns. Its growth despite weaker accounting earnings indicates meaningful cash-generation capacity that can support resilience and strategic execution over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Material deterioration in profitabilityThe sharp decline in operating margin and recent losses show that strong cash generation has not yet translated into durable earnings quality. Thin profitability leaves less room for cost inflation, demand weakness, or execution setbacks and makes future results more sensitive to volume and mix.

Littelfuse Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income by SegmentCompares operating profit across Littelfuse’s reporting segments, revealing which parts of the business deliver the strongest margins, where cost pressures or investments are concentrated, and which segments are most important for overall profitability and capital allocation.

-$400.00M-$300.00M-$200.00M-$100.00M$0.00$100.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 26
Chart Insights

Electronics and Industrial are the real profit engines: Electronics’ operating income has rebounded with mix and power‑semiconductor tailwinds driving margin expansion, while Industrial’s step‑up aligns with Basler‑related growth (management now pegs Basler at ~$135–$140M in 2026). Transportation remains cyclical—still hurt by passenger‑vehicle sensor weakness but showing recovery supported by backlog. Crucially, the 'Other' line contains massive, lumpy negative charges that heavily distort consolidated results, so prioritize core segment run‑rates and record bookings when assessing earnings quality.

Data provided by:The Fly

Littelfuse (LFUS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%LFUS+60.51%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$9.82B
Dividend Yield
0.79%
Average Volume (3M)
229.74K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
286.3
Beta (1Y)
1.55
Revenue Growth
18.72%
EPS Growth
-74.52%
Country
US
Employees
18,000
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Hardware, Equipment & Parts

Littelfuse Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Littelfuse, Inc. is an industrial technology manufacturing company, which engages in the business of designing, manufacturing, and selling electronic components, modules, and subassemblies to empower the long-term secular growth themes of sustainabil...

How the Company Makes Money

Littelfuse makes money primarily by selling engineered components and modules to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and electronics/industrial distributors. Revenue is generated from the design, manufacture, and sale of: (1) circuit protection p...

Littelfuse Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.91%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 01, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, with record revenue, accelerating organic growth, record adjusted EPS, substantial margin expansion, strong free cash flow, record bookings, broad-based end-market momentum, and an improved Basler outlook. The main challenges were the $28.5 million 1-time Dortmund fee, a 5% decline in passenger vehicle organic sales, inflationary costs, and the fact that higher-voltage data center revenue has not yet ramped meaningfully. Management nevertheless maintained an optimistic outlook and reaffirmed its long-term growth and profitability targets.

Positive Updates

Record Third-Quarter Revenue and Organic Growth
Third-quarter net sales reached a record $767 million. Organic revenue growth accelerated to 22% year-over-year, with approximately 6% contribution from the Basler acquisition and neutral foreign exchange.

Negative Updates

Dortmund Amendment Fee Reduced Semiconductor Sales
A 1-time Dortmund contract amendment fee reduced semiconductor sales by $28.5 million and was not contemplated in previous guidance. Reported electronics sales also reflected the $28.5 million fee.

Company Guidance

For the fourth quarter, Littelfuse expects net sales in the range of $750 million to $770 million, with the midpoint representing approximately 28% growth versus the prior year and better than typical seasonal sales, and adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $5.05 to $5.25 per share, assuming an adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 24%; the company expects to realize approximately 5 million in 2026 run rate savings, intends to be price cost neutral in 2026, and is targeting 7 to 9% organic growth over time, adjusted EBITDA margin toward 24% to 26%, 4.5 billion revenue, 1.1 billion adjusted EBITDA, and more than $600 million of annual free cash flow by 2030, while its latest view for Basler is 130 million to $140 million in top line and about $0.25 to $0.30 of accretion.

Littelfuse Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals. Strengths include strong and growing free cash flow (TTM FCF ~$529M, up ~19.6%) and a conservatively positioned balance sheet with reduced debt and low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.27). The key drag is materially weakened profitability versus prior years (TTM operating margin ~4.1% vs mid-teens in 2022–2023, losses in 2025 and only thin profitability in TTM), which raises earnings-quality risk despite strong cash generation.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.76B2.39B2.19B2.36B2.51B2.08B
Gross Profit1.10B906.04M787.54M900.24M1.01B771.93M
EBITDA296.88M172.57M321.03M505.89M589.97M458.19M
Net Income37.79M-71.70M100.19M259.49M373.31M283.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.23B3.96B3.89B4.00B3.90B3.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments825.20M563.68M725.90M555.75M562.67M478.50M
Total Debt702.00M946.16M930.57M933.52M1.06B668.22M
Total Liabilities1.50B1.53B1.48B1.51B1.69B1.26B
Stockholders Equity2.72B2.43B2.41B2.48B2.21B1.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow526.92M366.13M291.74M371.20M315.38M282.78M
Operating Cash Flow593.34M433.76M367.62M457.39M419.72M373.34M
Investing Cash Flow-409.07M-468.86M-65.78M-284.32M-636.40M-499.16M
Financing Cash Flow-173.31M-149.27M-112.44M-185.73M310.20M-68.98M

Littelfuse Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price386.47

Price Trends

50DMA409.05Negative
100DMA421.75Negative
200DMA400.90Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-6.19Negative
RSI45.88Neutral
STOCH75.33Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LFUS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 386.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 391.93, below the 50-day MA of 409.05, and below the 200-day MA of 400.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LFUS.

Littelfuse Risk Analysis

Littelfuse disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Littelfuse reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Littelfuse Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

LFUS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
BELFBBELFB75Outperform$3.34B52.5211.27%0.13%20.98%-22.92%
APHAPH74Outperform$207.89B32.7839.61%0.63%57.56%53.30%
STST74Outperform$6.06B16.3812.57%1.17%3.84%―
CTSCTS71Outperform$1.79B24.0913.02%0.26%7.47%29.54%
LFUSLFUS65Neutral$10.48B286.271.47%0.79%18.72%-74.52%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
MEIMEI48Neutral$535.75M-12.78-5.46%1.51%1.36%32.69%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%200%LFUSAPHBELFBCTSMEISTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
LFUS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
LFUSLittelfuse386.47147.3961.65%
APHAmphenol Corporation79.0110.4315.22%
BELFBBel Fuse B217.4357.4735.92%
CTSCTS Corporation61.9121.0251.42%
MEIMethode Electronics13.276.90108.42%
STSensata Technologies41.1210.8035.62%

Littelfuse Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Littelfuse Delivers Record Q3 Sales and Earnings Growth

Positive
Oct 28, 2026

Littelfuse reported record third‑quarter 2026 net sales of $767 million and strong profitability gains, including a 62% jump in GAAP diluted EPS to $4.49 and a 96% rise in adjusted diluted EPS to $5.79, alongside significant margin expansion an...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Littelfuse Streamlines Dortmund Agreements for Greater Flexibility

Positive
Sep 17, 2026

On June 28, 2023, Littelfuse announced that its subsidiary agreed to acquire a 200mm wafer fab in Dortmund, Germany from Elmos Semiconductor, and on December 17, 2024 it entered lease and supply agreements that expanded its business and set a multi-y...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Littelfuse Announces Leadership Changes in Electronics Segment

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Littelfuse announced that longtime executive Deepak Nayar will transition from Senior Vice President and General Manager, Electronics Business to Special Advisor to the CEO on January 1, 2027, ahead of his retirement at the end...

Executive/Board Changes

Littelfuse Expands Board, Appoints Todd Kelsey Director

Positive
Aug 11, 2026

On August 6, 2026, the board of Littelfuse, Inc. expanded its membership from eight to nine and appointed Todd Kelsey, President and CEO of Plexus Corp., as an independent director and member of the Compensation Committee. His appointment, announced...

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Littelfuse Posts Strong Q2 Results, Raises Dividend

Positive
Jul 29, 2026

On July 29, 2026, Littelfuse reported a strong second quarter ended June 27, 2026, highlighted by net sales of $739 million, up 20% year-on-year, with 14% organic growth and significantly higher cash generation and margins. GAAP diluted EPS reached $...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2026