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Jabil (JBL)
NYSE:JBL
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Jabil (JBL) AI Stock Analysis

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JBL

Jabil

(NYSE:JBL)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$218.00
▲(2.62% Upside)
Jabil's overall stock score reflects strong earnings call performance and robust cash flow, offset by high leverage and valuation concerns. The strategic focus on AI and infrastructure positions the company for future growth, but profitability and technical indicators suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Projected revenue growth indicates Jabil's ability to expand its market presence, driven by strategic focus on AI infrastructure and healthcare.
Cash Flow Performance
Strong cash flow performance enhances Jabil's financial flexibility, enabling investment in growth initiatives and shareholder returns.
AI Infrastructure Expansion
Growth in AI infrastructure positions Jabil to capitalize on industry trends, supporting long-term revenue and market position.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting Jabil's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Profitability Margins
Pressure on profitability margins could impact Jabil's ability to sustain earnings growth, affecting long-term financial health.
Leadership Changes
Leadership changes may disrupt strategic continuity, impacting Jabil's ability to execute its long-term growth strategy effectively.

Jabil (JBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jabil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJabil Inc. provides manufacturing services and solutions worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Electronics Manufacturing Services and Diversified Manufacturing Services. It offers electronics design, production, and product management services. The company provides electronic design services, such as application-specific integrated circuit design, firmware development, and rapid prototyping services; and designs plastic and metal enclosures that include the electro-mechanics, such as the printed circuit board assemblies (PCBA). It also specializes in the three-dimensional mechanical design comprising the analysis of electronic, electro-mechanical, and optical assemblies, as well as offers various industrial design, mechanism development, and tooling management services. In addition, the company provides computer-assisted design services consisting of PCBA design, as well as PCBA design validation and verification services; and other consulting services, such as the generation of a bill of materials, approved vendor list, and assembly equipment configuration for various PCBA designs. Further, it offers product and process validation services, such as product system, product safety, regulatory compliance, and reliability tests, as well as manufacturing test solution development services. Additionally, the company provides systems assembly, test, direct-order fulfillment, and configure-to-order services. It serves 5G, wireless and cloud, digital print and retail, industrial and semi-cap, networking and storage, automotive and transportation, connected devices, healthcare and packaging, and mobility industries. The company was formerly known as Jabil Circuit, Inc. and changed its name to Jabil Inc. in June 2017. Jabil Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyJabil generates revenue primarily through its contract manufacturing services, which involve producing electronic components and assemblies for a variety of industries. Key revenue streams include the production of consumer electronics, medical devices, and automotive components. The company benefits from long-term contracts with major clients, which provide a stable revenue base. Additionally, Jabil's engineering and design services add value by offering integrated solutions that enhance customer products. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) also play a crucial role in expanding Jabil's market reach and driving earnings, as these collaborations often lead to large-scale manufacturing agreements.

Jabil Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Income by Segment
Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Jabil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showed strong performance in several areas, including revenue exceeding expectations, robust free cash flow, and growth in Intelligent Infrastructure and AI-related revenues. However, challenges remain in automotive and transportation, Connected Living & Digital Commerce, and underutilized capacity, indicating mixed results across different segments.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Performance
Jabil delivered approximately $8.3 billion in revenue for Q4, exceeding the midpoint of guidance by $800 million. Core operating income for the quarter was $519 million, above the high end of the expected range.
Robust Free Cash Flow
Full year adjusted free cash flow was over $1.3 billion. Cash from operations in Q4 was $588 million and $1.64 billion for the year.
Intelligent Infrastructure Growth
Revenue for Intelligent Infrastructure was $3.7 billion in Q4, $400 million above expectations, driven by cloud and data center efficiency and favorable mix.
Share Repurchase Program
Since FY '13, Jabil reduced shares outstanding by 47%, contributing to total shareholder returns of $7.7 billion through dividends and buybacks.
AI Infrastructure Expansion
AI-related revenue grew from approximately $5 billion in FY '24 to approximately $9 billion in FY '25. Expected to grow by 25% in FY '26.
Negative Updates
Automotive and Transportation Decline
Near-term growth in battery electric vehicles has slowed, with a projected 5% decline in automotive and transport end market for FY '26.
Connected Living & Digital Commerce Challenges
Revenue declined approximately 14% year-over-year in Q4, primarily due to softness in consumer-driven products, despite growth in warehouse and retail automation.
Underutilized Capacity
Ongoing headwinds from underutilized capacity outside of the U.S., contributing to a 20-25 basis points margin headwind for FY '26.
Consumer Device Segment Decline
Connected Living & Digital Commerce segment expected to decline about 13% in FY '26 as the company prunes lower-margin programs.
Company Guidance
During Jabil's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company provided a detailed financial outlook for fiscal year 2026. Jabil anticipates a 5% revenue growth, reaching approximately $31.3 billion. The company expects its core operating margin to improve by about 20 basis points to 5.6%. Core earnings per share are projected to be $11, while free cash flow is anticipated to exceed $1.3 billion. The guidance reflects strong growth in the Intelligent Infrastructure segment, expected to grow by 18%, with significant contributions from cloud and data center infrastructure and capital equipment. In contrast, the Connected Living & Digital Commerce segment is expected to decline by 13% as Jabil shifts away from lower-margin consumer products. Overall, Jabil's strategic focus on AI infrastructure, health care, and automation positions the company well for sustainable growth, with a target of achieving core operating margins above 6% in the long term.

Jabil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jabil shows solid revenue growth and robust cash flow performance, with a 68.7% increase in free cash flow. However, profitability margins are under pressure, and the company has high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.22, indicating financial risk.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Jabil's income statement shows moderate performance with a gross profit margin of 8.88% and a net profit margin of 2.20% for TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 4.52%, indicating a recovery from the previous year's decline. However, margins have decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.22, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is strong at 45.71%, but the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting potential financial risk due to high debt levels.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows robust free cash flow growth of 68.7% and a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio of 73.35%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is lower, indicating potential challenges in converting earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.80B29.80B28.88B34.70B33.48B29.29B
Gross Profit2.65B2.65B2.68B2.87B2.63B2.36B
EBITDA1.93B2.11B2.62B2.39B2.30B1.94B
Net Income657.00M657.00M1.39B818.00M996.00M696.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.54B18.54B17.35B19.42B19.72B16.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.93B1.93B2.20B1.80B1.48B1.57B
Total Debt3.37B3.37B3.26B3.25B3.41B3.32B
Total Liabilities17.03B17.03B15.61B16.56B17.27B14.52B
Stockholders Equity1.51B1.51B1.74B2.87B2.45B2.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.17B1.17B932.00M704.00M266.00M274.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.64B1.64B1.72B1.73B1.65B1.43B
Investing Cash Flow-714.00M-714.00M1.35B-723.00M-858.00M-851.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.20B-1.20B-2.67B-680.00M-888.00M-413.00M

Jabil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price212.44
Price Trends
50DMA
210.30
Positive
100DMA
211.09
Positive
200DMA
181.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.98
Negative
RSI
53.99
Neutral
STOCH
62.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 212.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 206.18, above the 50-day MA of 210.30, and above the 200-day MA of 181.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -1.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JBL.

Jabil Risk Analysis

Jabil disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jabil reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jabil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$7.13B28.6411.58%5.87%20.66%
77
Outperform
$3.88B22.9812.44%1.82%56.52%
77
Outperform
$23.98B28.2317.67%-3.63%2.26%
67
Neutral
$1.52B40.473.49%1.60%-5.95%-43.46%
66
Neutral
$6.07B65.935.89%14.24%424.78%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$22.07B34.8740.43%0.15%3.18%-46.01%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBL
Jabil
212.44
87.89
70.57%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
42.44
-1.97
-4.44%
FLEX
Flex
64.28
29.03
82.35%
PLXS
Plexus
143.92
0.60
0.42%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
133.77
65.26
95.26%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
58.75
38.97
197.02%

Jabil Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Jabil Announces Board Changes with Key Departures
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Jabil Inc. announced that Executive Chairman Mark T. Mondello and Directors Kathleen A. Walters and James Siminoff will not seek re-election to the Board at the end of their terms in January 2026. Mondello, who has been pivotal in shaping Jabil’s diversification strategy, will be succeeded by Lead Director Steven Raymund as chairman. The Board will be reduced to seven members, reflecting a strategic transition for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBL) stock is a Hold with a $216.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jabil stock, see the JBL Stock Forecast page.

Jabil Inc. Earnings Call: Strong Q4 and Strategic Growth
Oct 10, 2025

Jabil Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment with strong performance in key areas such as revenue, free cash flow, and growth in Intelligent Infrastructure and AI-related revenues. Despite these successes, the company faces challenges in segments like automotive and transportation, Connected Living & Digital Commerce, and underutilized capacity, showcasing mixed results across its various business segments.

Jabil Inc. Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Results
Sep 26, 2025

Jabil Inc. is a global manufacturing solutions provider offering engineering, supply chain, and manufacturing services across various industries, with a strong emphasis on sustainability and community engagement. In its latest earnings report, Jabil Inc. announced robust financial results for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting significant growth in revenue and earnings per share, driven by strong demand in AI-driven sectors and strategic portfolio adjustments. The company reported a net revenue of $29.8 billion and a core diluted earnings per share of $9.75 for the fiscal year 2025, showcasing its ability to navigate challenges in the automotive and renewable sectors while capitalizing on opportunities in AI and digital commerce. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2026, Jabil projects continued growth with an expected revenue of $31.3 billion and a core diluted earnings per share of $11.00, supported by strategic investments in AI data centers, healthcare, and automation. The company remains focused on enhancing shareholder returns and sustainable value creation through strategic capital deployment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2025