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Jabil (JBL)
NYSE:JBL

Jabil (JBL) AI Stock Analysis

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Jabil

(NYSE:JBL)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
Jabil's stock is moderately positioned with an overall score of 64. The company's strong cash flow and operational efficiency provide a solid foundation, yet high leverage and valuation concerns weigh on the score. Technical indicators suggest mixed market sentiment, with the potential for growth in AI-related segments offering a positive outlook. However, challenges in certain markets and inventory management require careful monitoring.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy and Partnerships
The warrant issue with Amazon shows growth potential as it incentivizes Amazon to deepen the relationship with Jabil and provide more business opportunities.
Financial Performance
JBL recently reported a beat in F2Q and noted strength in Capital Equipment, AI-related cloud, and Data Center Infrastructure.
Guidance and Growth Potential
JBL raised FY25 guidance which indicates confidence despite uncertainties related to macro, government policy and impact from tariffs.
Negative Factors
Regulated Industries
Revenues in Regulated Industries declined 8% y/y given softness in EVs and renewable energy.
Sector Performance
Regulated Industries in F2Q was guided down 8% year-over-year, reflecting softness in Renewables and EVs.

Jabil (JBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jabil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJabil Inc. provides manufacturing services and solutions worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Electronics Manufacturing Services and Diversified Manufacturing Services. It offers electronics design, production, and product management services. The company provides electronic design services, such as application-specific integrated circuit design, firmware development, and rapid prototyping services; and designs plastic and metal enclosures that include the electro-mechanics, such as the printed circuit board assemblies (PCBA). It also specializes in the three-dimensional mechanical design comprising the analysis of electronic, electro-mechanical, and optical assemblies, as well as offers various industrial design, mechanism development, and tooling management services. In addition, the company provides computer-assisted design services consisting of PCBA design, as well as PCBA design validation and verification services; and other consulting services, such as the generation of a bill of materials, approved vendor list, and assembly equipment configuration for various PCBA designs. Further, it offers product and process validation services, such as product system, product safety, regulatory compliance, and reliability tests, as well as manufacturing test solution development services. Additionally, the company provides systems assembly, test, direct-order fulfillment, and configure-to-order services. It serves 5G, wireless and cloud, digital print and retail, industrial and semi-cap, networking and storage, automotive and transportation, connected devices, healthcare and packaging, and mobility industries. The company was formerly known as Jabil Circuit, Inc. and changed its name to Jabil Inc. in June 2017. Jabil Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyJabil makes money primarily through its diversified revenue streams from providing electronics manufacturing services and solutions. These include design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain management services for customers across various industries. The company's revenue is largely driven by its Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) segment, which serves industries such as consumer electronics, healthcare, and automotive. Jabil also benefits significantly from its Diversified Manufacturing Services (DMS) segment, which focuses on providing more complex and innovative product solutions. Key factors contributing to Jabil's earnings include long-term partnerships with major global brands, strategic investments in advanced manufacturing technologies, and a strong focus on operational efficiency and cost management. Additionally, Jabil's global presence enables it to capitalize on regional market opportunities and scale its operations effectively to meet customer demands.

Jabil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 20, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicated strong performance in key segments and a positive outlook for AI-related business and cash flow generation. However, challenges in the regulated industry and Connected Living & Digital Commerce segments, along with inventory management concerns, necessitate caution. Overall, the positives moderately outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Q2 Revenue and Earnings
Jabil reported strong Q2 results with $6.7 billion in revenue, a 3% year-over-year increase when excluding the divested mobility business. Core operating income was $334 million with core operating margins at 5%.
Intelligent Infrastructure Segment Growth
The Intelligent Infrastructure segment saw revenue of $2.6 billion, up 18% year-on-year, driven by strong demand in AI-related cloud, data center infrastructure, and capital equipment markets. Core operating margin improved by 110 basis points to 5.3%.
Positive Outlook for AI-Related Business
AI-associated business is projected to represent approximately $7.5 billion in revenue for FY 2025, marking a 40% year-on-year increase.
Strong Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Adjusted free cash flow for the quarter was $261 million, with a year-to-date adjusted free cash flow of $487 million. The company repurchased 2.5 million shares and plans to complete its $1 billion share repurchase authorization by FY 2025.
US Manufacturing Expansion
Jabil is well-positioned to navigate potential tariffs with a significant U.S. manufacturing footprint and plans to expand its operations in India to support photonics capabilities.
Negative Updates
Decline in Regulated Industry Segment
The regulated industry segment reported a revenue decrease of 8% year-over-year due to expected weakness in the renewable energy and EV markets.
Challenges in Connected Living & Digital Commerce
Revenue in the Connected Living & Digital Commerce segment was down 13% year-on-year due to the mobility divestiture. Excluding the divestiture, revenue growth was approximately 4%, but there was weaker demand in consumer-driven connected living products.
Inventory Management Concerns
Inventory days increased by 4 days sequentially to 80 days, with net inventory days slightly above the targeted range due to timing within the Intelligent Infrastructure segment.
Cautious Outlook for Certain Markets
The company remains cautious about the EV and renewable energy markets, with expectations of continued caution in these areas for the fiscal year.
Company Guidance
In the fiscal year 2025 second quarter earnings call, Jabil reported strong results with $6.7 billion in revenue, excluding $250 million from the divested mobility business. Revenue grew by 3% year-over-year, with core operating income at $334 million and a core operating margin of 5%. The regulated industry segment saw revenue of $2.7 billion, down 8% due to weakness in renewable energy and EV markets, yet core margins improved to 4.8%. The Intelligent Infrastructure segment experienced an 18% increase in revenue to $2.6 billion, driven by AI-related demand and achieving a core margin of 5.3%. Connected Living & Digital Commerce revenue declined by 13% to $1.3 billion, impacted by mobility divestiture, though excluding it, revenue grew by 4%. Inventory days rose to 80 days, but decreased year-on-year by 7 days. Adjusted free cash flow for Q2 was $261 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of $487 million, with expectations for full-year free cash flow to exceed $1.2 billion. The company anticipates Q3 revenue between $6.7 billion and $7.3 billion, with core diluted EPS projected between $2.08 and $2.48. Jabil also highlighted a 40% increase in AI-related revenue, expecting $7.5 billion in FY 2025, and emphasized its strong U.S. manufacturing footprint amid potential tariff challenges.

Jabil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jabil's financial performance shows strengths in operational efficiency and cash flow generation, with EBIT and EBITDA margins at 3.9% and 4.7% respectively. However, high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.42 and declining revenue are concerns. The net profit margin of 1.8% points to competitive pressures, and a low equity ratio suggests limited financial cushion.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Jabil's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue has declined compared to the previous year, indicating a challenge in maintaining growth. The gross profit margin is approximately 8.9%, which is modest, and the net profit margin stands at 1.8%, reflecting competitive pressure in the industry. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively healthy at 3.9% and 4.7%, respectively, suggesting efficient operational management. However, the overall decline in revenue and net income affects the score.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Jabil's balance sheet indicates a cautious approach. The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 2.42, signifying significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed well. The return on equity (ROE) is 35.6%, showing strong profitability relative to equity. However, the equity ratio is low at 7.8%, suggesting limited financial cushion. High leverage coupled with low equity raises concerns about financial stability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals positive trends. Free cash flow has seen significant growth, with a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.03, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.50, highlighting robust operational cash flow. These strong cash flow metrics bolster the company's financial flexibility despite the revenue challenges.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
27.45B28.88B34.70B33.48B29.29B27.27B
Gross Profit
2.44B2.68B2.87B2.63B2.36B1.93B
EBIT
1.08B2.01B1.54B1.39B1.05B861.64M
EBITDA
1.73B2.62B2.53B2.36B1.97B1.23B
Net Income Common Stockholders
484.00M1.39B818.00M996.00M696.00M54.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.59B2.20B1.80B1.48B1.57B1.39B
Total Assets
17.40B17.35B19.42B19.72B16.65B14.40B
Total Debt
3.29B3.26B3.25B3.41B3.32B3.14B
Net Debt
1.70B1.06B1.44B1.93B1.75B1.75B
Total Liabilities
16.04B15.61B16.56B17.27B14.52B12.57B
Stockholders Equity
1.36B1.74B2.87B2.45B2.14B1.81B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.35B932.00M704.00M266.00M274.00M274.24M
Operating Cash Flow
1.70B1.72B1.73B1.65B1.43B1.26B
Investing Cash Flow
-710.00M1.35B-723.00M-858.00M-851.00M-921.11M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.96B-2.67B-680.00M-888.00M-413.00M-65.12M

Jabil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price168.55
Price Trends
50DMA
146.72
Positive
100DMA
151.32
Positive
200DMA
137.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.45
Positive
RSI
71.01
Negative
STOCH
74.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 168.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 161.24, above the 50-day MA of 146.72, and above the 200-day MA of 137.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 71.01 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JBL.

Jabil Risk Analysis

Jabil disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jabil reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jabil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$15.66B19.8616.23%-8.07%-8.00%
79
Outperform
$4.49B19.4211.03%-1.50%1.84%
76
Outperform
$3.60B25.4010.93%-0.69%42.26%
ESESE
74
Outperform
$4.72B40.019.66%0.17%8.40%20.03%
73
Outperform
$3.03B40.015.02%11.65%
JBJBL
64
Neutral
$18.16B40.5424.10%0.19%-14.45%-64.32%
61
Neutral
$11.48B10.48-6.95%2.94%7.54%-9.55%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBL
Jabil
168.55
49.61
41.71%
ESE
Esco Technologies
181.17
73.34
68.01%
FLEX
Flex
41.94
8.16
24.16%
PLXS
Plexus
131.73
21.24
19.22%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
83.95
15.34
22.36%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
29.88
11.17
59.70%

Jabil Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Jabil Appoints Sujatha Chandrasekaran to Board
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Jabil Inc. announced the appointment of Sujatha Chandrasekaran to its Board of Directors, expanding the Board from nine to ten members. Ms. Chandrasekaran, who has extensive leadership experience in healthcare, retail, consumer, supply chain, and manufacturing sectors, is expected to bring valuable insights to Jabil’s Board. Her appointment is seen as a strategic move to enhance the company’s commitments to shareholders, customers, and communities.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.