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Jabil (JBL) AI Stock Analysis

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JBL

Jabil

(NYSE:JBL)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:$255.00â–²(0.29% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The score is anchored by solid fundamentals and cash generation but held back by elevated leverage and thin margins. Earnings call guidance is a major positive, pointing to strong AI-led growth and higher profitability, while technicals remain a clear near-term headwind with the stock in a weak downtrend despite oversold readings. Valuation provides only moderate support given the mid-20s P/E and minimal dividend yield.

Positive Factors
AI-led growth and customer diversificationRapid AI-related revenue growth and a broader base of major customers can strengthen Jabil’s market position and reduce reliance on any single account. The expansion also supports better capacity utilization and creates a durable pipeline across cloud, data center and infrastructure programs.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage limits flexibilityHigher leverage increases the financial burden carried by a low-margin manufacturing model and leaves less flexibility if customer demand or program timing weakens. It can also constrain investment choices because a larger share of future cash generation may need to support debt-related obligations.

Jabil Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by SegmentShows how revenue is distributed across different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and where the company might be focusing its strategic efforts.

$0.00$2.50B$5.00B$7.50B$10.00BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Jabil’s segment reset marks a strategic shift rather than a simple revenue decline: legacy EMS and DMS reporting gives way to faster-growing Intelligent Infrastructure and Regulated Industries, with AI and data-center demand becoming the primary growth engine. Intelligent Infrastructure is projected to scale sharply as committed customer programs fill new capacity, while Regulated Industries provides steadier diversification through automotive, healthcare and energy. Intelligent Devices & Robotics remains the weak spot, as Connected Living declines despite improving Commerce & Robotics momentum and management prioritizes profitability over low-return volume.

Data provided by:The Fly

Jabil (JBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%JBL+27.94%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$26.18B
Dividend Yield
0.13%
Average Volume (3M)
1.25M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
25.8
Beta (1Y)
1.67
Revenue Growth
20.64%
EPS Growth
63.69%
Country
US
Employees
140,000
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Hardware, Equipment & Parts

Jabil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Jabil Inc. is a global provider of manufacturing services and comprehensive solutions. The company organizes its operations into two main divisions: Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) and Diversified Manufacturing Services (DMS). Its offerings...

How the Company Makes Money

Jabil primarily makes money by providing outsourced manufacturing and supply-chain services to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other product companies, earning revenue when it builds and delivers customer products and when it performs ass...

Jabil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:-20.26%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 10, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly optimistic, supported by record fourth-quarter execution, broad fiscal 2027 revenue and earnings growth expectations, accelerating AI demand, committed business filling new capacity, improving margins, strong free cash flow and continued shareholder returns. The company also acknowledged inventory above target, constrained memory supply, ramp-related first-half margin pressure, a subdued communications market, seasonal effects and declines in Connected Living. Overall, the positive operating and financial trends significantly outweighed the stated challenges.

Positive Updates

Strong Fourth-Quarter Revenue and Earnings
Fourth-quarter revenue was approximately $10.6 billion, up 29% year-over-year and more than $1 billion above the midpoint of the June outlook. GAAP operating income was $602 million, core operating income was $675 million, and core diluted EPS was $4.40, up 34% year-over-year. Both revenue and core EPS exceeded the high end of guidance.

Negative Updates

Healthcare and Packaging Shortfall in the Fourth Quarter
Fourth-quarter Regulated Industries results included lower-than-expected revenue in healthcare and packaging, where performance was impacted by delays in automation equipment and the timing shift of a customer program.

Company Guidance

For Q1, Jabil anticipates Regulated Industries revenue of approximately $3.5 billion, up about 12% year-over-year; Intelligent Infrastructure revenue of approximately $6.3 billion, up about 63% year-over-year; and Intelligent Devices & Robotics revenue of approximately $1.2 billion, down about 10% year-over-year, with total company revenue in the range of $10.6 billion to $11.4 billion, GAAP operating income in the range of $481 million to $541 million, core operating income in the range of $592 million to $652 million, GAAP diluted earnings per share in the range of $2.78 to $3.18, core diluted earnings per share in the range of $3.80 to $4.20, net interest expense of approximately $95 million, full-year net interest expense in the range of $390 million to $400 million and a core tax rate of 20%; for fiscal 2027, Jabil expects Regulated Industries revenue of approximately $13.6 billion, up about 7%, including approximately $5 billion in automotive and transport revenue, up about 9%, approximately $5.6 billion in healthcare and packaging revenue, up about 6%, and approximately $3 billion in renewable and energy infrastructure revenue, up about 7%, while it expects to manufacture more than 700 million injectors and delivery pens, Intelligent Infrastructure revenue of approximately $25.6 billion, up about 43%, including approximately $4.2 billion in capital equipment revenue, up approximately 40%, approximately $17.5 billion in cloud and data center infrastructure revenue, up approximately 52%, and approximately $3.9 billion in networking and communications revenue, up approximately 15%, with AI-related revenue of approximately $22.1 billion, up 54%, or 50-plus percent year-on-year, and 6 customers in the segment expected to each generate more than $1 billion of revenue; Intelligent Devices & Robotics is expected at approximately $5.3 billion, down about 2%, including approximately $3 billion from Digital Commerce & Robotics, up approximately 11%, and approximately $2.3 billion from Connected Living, down about 15%; total fiscal 2027 revenue is expected to be approximately $44.5 billion, up about 24%, with core operating margin of 6.1%, an improvement of 30 basis points, core diluted earnings per share of $17.55, up about 34%, adjusted free cash flow of approximately $1.6 billion, net capital expenditures in the range of 1.5% to 2% of revenue, and free cash flow conversion above 100% over time, while returning 80% or more of adjusted free cash flow to shareholders over time.

Jabil Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid operating momentum and cash generation (TTM revenue growth ~7% and strong free cash flow ~$1.7B), but the balance sheet is a meaningful constraint with elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.94x) in a structurally low-margin model (TTM gross margin ~9.2%, net margin ~2.6%).

Income Statement

73Positive

Balance Sheet

46Neutral

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMAug 2026Aug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.95B35.95B29.80B28.88B34.70B33.48B
Gross Profit3.32B3.32B2.65B2.68B2.87B2.63B
EBITDA2.26B2.09B1.81B2.62B2.39B2.30B
Net Income1.04B1.04B657.00M1.39B818.00M996.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.43B27.43B18.54B17.35B19.42B19.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.74B1.74B1.93B2.20B1.80B1.48B
Total Debt4.02B4.02B3.37B3.26B3.25B3.41B
Total Liabilities25.82B25.82B17.03B15.61B16.56B17.27B
Stockholders Equity1.61B1.61B1.51B1.74B2.87B2.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.37B1.37B1.17B932.00M704.00M266.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.00B2.00B1.64B1.72B1.73B1.65B
Investing Cash Flow-1.33B-1.33B-714.00M1.35B-723.00M-858.00M
Financing Cash Flow-351.00M-866.00M-1.20B-2.67B-680.00M-888.00M

Jabil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price254.25

Price Trends

50DMA289.28Negative
100DMA308.82Negative
200DMA308.11Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-11.44Positive
RSI41.08Neutral
STOCH50.57Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 254.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 266.98, below the 50-day MA of 289.28, and below the 200-day MA of 308.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -11.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JBL.

Jabil Risk Analysis

Jabil disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jabil reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.We are subject to litigation and proceedings, which may result in substantial expenses, settlement costs, or judgments; require the time and attention of key management resources; and result in adverse publicity, any of which may negatively impact our financial performance.Q3, 2024

Jabil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JBL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FNFN76Outperform$11.71B24.4420.45%―42.98%37.16%
JBLJBL66Neutral$26.18B25.7674.11%0.13%20.64%63.69%
FLEXFLEX66Neutral$27.70B27.0719.23%―17.55%22.47%
PLXSPLXS65Neutral$5.56B27.5013.34%―23.11%18.53%
SANMSANM64Neutral$8.48B22.6114.76%―78.69%53.85%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
TTMITTMI59Neutral$7.81B28.8214.18%―37.56%99.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%JBLFNFLEXPLXSSANMTTMIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JBL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JBLJabil Inc.254.2553.9426.93%
FNFabrinet327.98-88.66-21.28%
FLEXFlex Ltd74.9816.2327.63%
PLXSPlexus208.4670.7451.37%
SANMSanmina-sci158.31-0.57-0.36%
TTMITtm Technologies74.089.7415.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026