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Jabil (JBL)
NYSE:JBL
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Jabil (JBL) AI Stock Analysis

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JBL

Jabil

(NYSE:JBL)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$311.00
▲(0.75% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/01/26
The score is driven primarily by a very strong, guidance-raising earnings call and solid cash flow generation, which support the near-term fundamental outlook. Offsetting these positives are meaningful balance-sheet leverage and a clearly bearish technical trend (price below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is mixed, with a higher P/E partly balanced by the provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
AI and Intelligent Infrastructure growth
Strong AI-related and Intelligent Infrastructure growth indicates Jabil is gaining exposure to expanding data-center and networking demand. The scale of the opportunity, combined with rapid year-over-year expansion, can support sustained program growth and improve the company’s strategic relevance to major technology customers.
Negative Factors
High leverage limits financial flexibility
Elevated leverage increases balance-sheet sensitivity and reduces the flexibility available for investment, acquisitions, or absorbing weaker demand. Although returns on equity are strong, the pack states that leverage amplifies them, so financial performance is less resilient than the headline return level suggests.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
AI and Intelligent Infrastructure growth
Strong AI-related and Intelligent Infrastructure growth indicates Jabil is gaining exposure to expanding data-center and networking demand. The scale of the opportunity, combined with rapid year-over-year expansion, can support sustained program growth and improve the company’s strategic relevance to major technology customers.
Read all positive factors

Jabil Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and where the company might be focusing its strategic efforts.
Chart InsightsJabil restructured reporting in Q4 2024—legacy EMS/DMS lines drop to zero not from lost sales but from reclassification into industry verticals. That shift matters: Intelligent Industries and Regulated Industries have quickly become substantial revenue drivers, signaling Jabil’s strategic push up the value chain into steadier, end‑market‑specific businesses; Connected Living & Digital Commerce is smaller and more variable. For investors, focus on whether this realignment improves margins and backlog stability versus prior EMS cyclicality, and treat early 2025 growth as operational reshaping rather than pure organic expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Jabil (JBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jabil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Jabil Inc. is a global provider of manufacturing services and comprehensive solutions. The company organizes its operations into two main divisions: Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) and Diversified Manufacturing Services (DMS). Its offerin...
How the Company Makes Money
Jabil primarily makes money by providing outsourced manufacturing and supply-chain services to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other product companies, earning revenue when it builds and delivers customer products and when it performs ...

Jabil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly optimistic, supported by record fourth-quarter execution, broad fiscal 2027 revenue and earnings growth expectations, accelerating AI demand, committed business filling new capacity, improving margins, strong free cash flow and continued shareholder returns. The company also acknowledged inventory above target, constrained memory supply, ramp-related first-half margin pressure, a subdued communications market, seasonal effects and declines in Connected Living. Overall, the positive operating and financial trends significantly outweighed the stated challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Fourth-Quarter Revenue and Earnings
Fourth-quarter revenue was approximately $10.6 billion, up 29% year-over-year and more than $1 billion above the midpoint of the June outlook. GAAP operating income was $602 million, core operating income was $675 million, and core diluted EPS was $4.40, up 34% year-over-year. Both revenue and core EPS exceeded the high end of guidance.
Negative Updates
Healthcare and Packaging Shortfall in the Fourth Quarter
Fourth-quarter Regulated Industries results included lower-than-expected revenue in healthcare and packaging, where performance was impacted by delays in automation equipment and the timing shift of a customer program.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Fourth-Quarter Revenue and Earnings
Fourth-quarter revenue was approximately $10.6 billion, up 29% year-over-year and more than $1 billion above the midpoint of the June outlook. GAAP operating income was $602 million, core operating income was $675 million, and core diluted EPS was $4.40, up 34% year-over-year. Both revenue and core EPS exceeded the high end of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For Q1, Jabil anticipates Regulated Industries revenue of approximately $3.5 billion, up about 12% year-over-year; Intelligent Infrastructure revenue of approximately $6.3 billion, up about 63% year-over-year; and Intelligent Devices & Robotics revenue of approximately $1.2 billion, down about 10% year-over-year, with total company revenue in the range of $10.6 billion to $11.4 billion, GAAP operating income in the range of $481 million to $541 million, core operating income in the range of $592 million to $652 million, GAAP diluted earnings per share in the range of $2.78 to $3.18, core diluted earnings per share in the range of $3.80 to $4.20, net interest expense of approximately $95 million, full-year net interest expense in the range of $390 million to $400 million and a core tax rate of 20%; for fiscal 2027, Jabil expects Regulated Industries revenue of approximately $13.6 billion, up about 7%, including approximately $5 billion in automotive and transport revenue, up about 9%, approximately $5.6 billion in healthcare and packaging revenue, up about 6%, and approximately $3 billion in renewable and energy infrastructure revenue, up about 7%, while it expects to manufacture more than 700 million injectors and delivery pens, Intelligent Infrastructure revenue of approximately $25.6 billion, up about 43%, including approximately $4.2 billion in capital equipment revenue, up approximately 40%, approximately $17.5 billion in cloud and data center infrastructure revenue, up approximately 52%, and approximately $3.9 billion in networking and communications revenue, up approximately 15%, with AI-related revenue of approximately $22.1 billion, up 54%, or 50-plus percent year-on-year, and 6 customers in the segment expected to each generate more than $1 billion of revenue; Intelligent Devices & Robotics is expected at approximately $5.3 billion, down about 2%, including approximately $3 billion from Digital Commerce & Robotics, up approximately 11%, and approximately $2.3 billion from Connected Living, down about 15%; total fiscal 2027 revenue is expected to be approximately $44.5 billion, up about 24%, with core operating margin of 6.1%, an improvement of 30 basis points, core diluted earnings per share of $17.55, up about 34%, adjusted free cash flow of approximately $1.6 billion, net capital expenditures in the range of 1.5% to 2% of revenue, and free cash flow conversion above 100% over time, while returning 80% or more of adjusted free cash flow to shareholders over time.

Jabil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are supported by strong cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$2.0B; free cash flow ~$1.7B with ~14.6% growth) and improving TTM revenue and profitability, but the balance sheet is a material constraint with high leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~2.94x) in a structurally thin-margin model (TTM gross margin ~9.2%, net margin ~2.6%).
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownAug 2026Aug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.95B29.80B28.88B34.70B33.48B
Gross Profit3.32B2.65B2.68B2.87B2.63B
EBITDA1.70B1.81B2.62B2.39B2.30B
Net Income1.04B657.00M1.39B818.00M996.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.43B18.54B17.35B19.42B19.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.74B1.93B2.20B1.80B1.48B
Total Debt4.02B3.37B3.26B3.25B3.41B
Total Liabilities25.82B17.03B15.61B16.56B17.27B
Stockholders Equity1.61B1.51B1.74B2.87B2.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.00B1.17B932.00M704.00M266.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.00B1.64B1.72B1.73B1.65B
Investing Cash Flow-1.33B-714.00M1.35B-723.00M-858.00M
Financing Cash Flow-866.00M-1.20B-2.67B-680.00M-888.00M

Jabil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price308.68
Price Trends
50DMA
317.56
Negative
100DMA
335.78
Negative
200DMA
300.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.96
Negative
RSI
36.88
Neutral
STOCH
45.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 308.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 306.07, below the 50-day MA of 317.56, and above the 200-day MA of 300.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JBL.

Jabil Risk Analysis

Jabil disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jabil reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jabil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$33.41B29.0874.11%0.11%20.64%63.69%
67
Neutral
$7.09B37.7112.46%―14.20%15.36%
66
Neutral
$15.20B32.1221.01%―35.73%43.02%
64
Neutral
$11.94B37.7012.57%―58.56%19.37%
63
Neutral
$42.05B42.4718.71%―12.25%14.09%
62
Neutral
$12.94B53.8813.09%―27.59%149.44%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBL
Jabil
286.86
72.27
33.68%
FN
Fabrinet
424.27
52.95
14.26%
FLEX
Flex
109.99
51.98
89.61%
PLXS
Plexus
260.95
115.30
79.16%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
214.91
98.39
84.44%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
122.84
63.77
107.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026