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COMPASS Pathways (CMPS)
NASDAQ:CMPS
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COMPASS Pathways (CMPS) AI Stock Analysis

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CMPS

COMPASS Pathways

(NASDAQ:CMPS)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(9.51% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/10/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, large and expanding losses, and ongoing cash burn). Offsetting this, technicals show constructive price momentum and the earnings call conveyed strong clinical/regulatory progress and meaningful launch readiness supported by reported cash runway, though timing and access uncertainties remain.
Positive Factors
Durable Phase 3 efficacy and safety
Extended 52-week data strengthen evidence that COMP360 can deliver meaningful and durable benefit beyond an initial treatment response. Consistent safety findings and response across follow-up support regulatory confidence, differentiation in treatment-resistant depression, and a potentially durable clinical value proposition.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue model with widening losses
COMPASS remains dependent on successful clinical development and future approval because it has no reported revenue to offset substantial operating costs. Widening losses and persistent cash burn consume financial resources, increase dependence on capital availability, and could constrain investment if commercialization takes longer than planned.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Durable Phase 3 efficacy and safety
Extended 52-week data strengthen evidence that COMP360 can deliver meaningful and durable benefit beyond an initial treatment response. Consistent safety findings and response across follow-up support regulatory confidence, differentiation in treatment-resistant depression, and a potentially durable clinical value proposition.
Read all positive factors

COMPASS Pathways (CMPS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

COMPASS Pathways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
COMPASS Pathways plc is a mental healthcare company with a primary presence in the United Kingdom and the United States. Established in 2020 and headquartered in London, UK, the firm focuses on developing novel treatments. Its key product is COMP3...

COMPASS Pathways Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong clinical and commercial momentum: highly statistically significant Phase III efficacy, demonstrated 6-month durability, a generally favorable safety profile, an active rolling NDA with modules under review, a healthy cash position ($433M) through 2028, extensive commercial hiring, strong prescriber interest (~90% willing to prescribe), and substantial launch planning (training, payer engagement, partnerships). Key risks highlighted are timing and sequencing uncertainties around DEA rescheduling and REMS finalization, ongoing payer negotiations, remaining 52-week safety data submission, and potential competitive entrants. On balance, the positive clinical results and robust launch preparedness materially outweigh the timing and regulatory uncertainties.
Positive Updates
Statistically Significant Phase III Results
COMPASS reported highly statistically significant positive primary endpoint readouts from two Phase III trials for COMP360, with demonstrated rapid onset (as quickly as 1 day) and durability sustained through at least 6 months.
Negative Updates
Regulatory Timing and Guidance Uncertainties
New FDA guidance referencing 12-month blinded durability was noted as a tall order for psychiatry drugs; while COMPASS does not expect current guidance to derail the ongoing review, it creates regulatory uncertainty for future programs.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Statistically Significant Phase III Results
COMPASS reported highly statistically significant positive primary endpoint readouts from two Phase III trials for COMP360, with demonstrated rapid onset (as quickly as 1 day) and durability sustained through at least 6 months.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The call guided that COMPASS is advancing a rolling NDA submission (some modules already under review) with completion expected in Q4 2026 and potential for accelerated approval, targeting a commercial launch in H1 2027; key program metrics highlighted included two Phase III trials with highly statistically significant positive primary endpoints, rapid onset of effect as early as Day 1, durability through at least 6 months (with both studies providing 26‑week data and full safety follow‑up to 52 weeks), a 300‑patient PTSD study (3 arms, VA/military‑related patients capped at ≤15%), a post‑hoc finding that ~80% of administration sessions were silent, and commercial/readiness metrics including $433M cash on hand as of June 30, 2026 (runway into 2028), ~8,000 existing interventional psychiatry sites (growing ~500 sites/quarter), ~90% of interventional psychiatrists saying they would prescribe within the first year, >1,000 people already trained on the psychedelic portion of site training, 8 strategic collaborations, sales force recruiting underway, commercial leadership whose direct reports have led >70 product launches, an anticipated REMS minimum monitoring time of 6 hours, and the expectation that DEA rescheduling typically follows a ~90‑day process.

COMPASS Pathways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a development-stage biotech: $0 revenue, widening losses (TTM net loss about -$394.2M) and persistent cash burn (TTM operating/free cash flow about -$161.1M). Balance sheet leverage is low (debt-to-equity ~0.01), but equity volatility (including negative equity in 2025) and dependence on external funding constrain the score.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-391.63M-285.60M-148.82M-115.24M-90.77M-71.37M
Net Income-394.19M-287.86M-155.12M-118.46M-91.50M-71.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets504.56M210.35M213.67M275.99M197.29M300.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments433.30M149.61M165.08M220.20M143.21M273.24M
Total Debt54.63M20.93M32.19M33.05M1.93M3.61M
Total Liabilities420.03M263.20M58.97M50.24M16.01M16.49M
Stockholders Equity84.53M-52.85M154.69M225.74M181.28M284.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-161.14M-157.24M-119.19M-97.44M-106.05M-68.08M
Operating Cash Flow-161.14M-157.24M-119.19M-97.38M-105.45M-67.75M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.00-64.00K-596.00K-334.00K
Financing Cash Flow370.20M140.71M63.82M173.83M1.04M156.65M

COMPASS Pathways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.61
Price Trends
50DMA
13.26
Positive
100DMA
12.52
Positive
200DMA
9.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
59.08
Neutral
STOCH
68.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMPS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.19, above the 50-day MA of 13.26, and above the 200-day MA of 9.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMPS.

COMPASS Pathways Risk Analysis

COMPASS Pathways disclosed 100 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. COMPASS Pathways reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

COMPASS Pathways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$1.49B-512.08-1.05%15.93%91.65%
59
Neutral
$2.10B-2.69-398.21%-99.37%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$1.50B-5.72-119.35%0.23%0.32%23.86%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMPS
COMPASS Pathways
15.01
9.97
197.82%
INNV
InnovAge Holding
10.60
5.65
114.14%
AGL
Agilon Health
88.03
59.78
211.61%

COMPASS Pathways Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Compass Pathways reports positive Phase 3 depression results
Positive
Jul 7, 2026
On July 7, 2026, Compass Pathways reported 26-week results from Part B of its second Phase 3 COMP006 trial of COMP360 psilocybin in treatment-resistant depression, involving nearly 600 patients with highly chronic illness. The data confirmed rapid...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2026