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Check Point
(NASDAQ:CHKP)
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Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$141.00
▲(9.26% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/03/26
CHKP scores well on financial quality and valuation: strong profitability and cash generation support the story, and the P/E is relatively modest. The score is held back by weak technicals (trading below major moving averages) and a mixed near-term outlook from the earnings call, where subscription momentum and buybacks are positives but product weakness, GTM disruption, and reliance on a stronger Q4 increase execution risk.
Positive Factors
Recurring Revenue and Backlog Growth
Subscription growth and expanding deferred revenue and RPO provide durable visibility into future revenue. The recurring model should support customer retention, steadier cash generation, and continued monetization of deployed security platforms.
Negative Factors
Firewall Product Decline and GTM Execution Risk
The sharp appliance decline and sales-organization disruption indicate execution challenges in a core product area. Recovery depends on a stronger Q4 and successful sales hiring, creating meaningful near-term risk to growth delivery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring Revenue and Backlog Growth
Subscription growth and expanding deferred revenue and RPO provide durable visibility into future revenue. The recurring model should support customer retention, steadier cash generation, and continued monetization of deployed security platforms.
Read all positive factors
Check Point Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCheck Point (CHKP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$13.22B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.16M
Price to Earnings (P/E)13.0
Beta (1Y)0.43
Revenue Growth4.64%
EPS Growth25.51%
CountryUS
Employees6,825
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)9.90
Shares Outstanding102,100,630
10 Day Avg. Volume1,251,402
30 Day Avg. Volume1,156,624
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.66
Price to Book (P/B)6.91
Price to Sales (P/S)7.31
P/FCF Ratio16.98
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$144.81Price Target Upside12.21% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering25
EPS Forecast (FY)10.44
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.80B
Check Point Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is a global provider specializing in the development, marketing, and support of comprehensive information technology security solutions. Their extensive portfolio addresses critical areas such as network, end...
How the Company Makes Money
Check Point primarily makes money by selling cybersecurity products and associated support/services to businesses and public-sector organizations. Its revenue model is largely built on: (1) Software subscriptions and licenses: customers pay for ti...
Check Point Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a generally positive outlook driven by accelerating subscription growth, strong ARR/RPO trends, product innovation (AI Network Firewall and AI Defense plane), solid non-GAAP EPS and free cash flow, and a healthy balance sheet with an expanded buyback. Offsetting these positives are meaningful near-term challenges: a 14% decline in product revenues (firewall appliances), go-to-market disruptions that pushed deals from Q3 into Q4, rising operating costs for planned investments, and some billing timing noise. Management is maintaining full-year guidance, views Q3 as the trough, and is making significant sales investments that are expected to benefit 2027—overall the positives appear to outweigh the near-term headwinds.Positive Updates
Revenue and Subscription Growth
Total revenues of $674 million, up 1% year-over-year; subscription revenue grew 12% YoY to $333 million and is the primary driver of growth.
Negative Updates
Product Revenue Weakness
Product revenues declined 14% in Q2, driven by lower demand for firewall appliances; company expects similar weakness in Q3 with the view that Q4 will return to growth.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue and Subscription Growth
Total revenues of $674 million, up 1% year-over-year; subscription revenue grew 12% YoY to $333 million and is the primary driver of growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Check Point reiterated its full‑year 2026 guidance and said Q3 should mark a trough ahead of a stronger, back‑end‑loaded Q4; Q3 outlook is $665–$685M total revenue, $332–$343M subscription revenue, non‑GAAP EPS $2.43–$2.53 (GAAP ~ $0.70 lower), and adjusted free cash flow $235–$265M. For context, Q2 results were: $674M total revenue (1% YoY), $333M subscription revenue (12% YoY), product revenue down 14%, non‑GAAP EPS $2.55 (+8% YoY), adjusted FCF $161M (24% of revenues), deferred revenue $2.025B (+7%), RPO $2.55B (+7%) with current RPO $1.6B (+4%), calculated billing ~$639M (current $641M, +2%), cash & securities $4.2B, and ~103.5M diluted shares (buybacks of ~2.5M shares for $325M this quarter and a $2B repurchase program expansion); management expects product revenue to return to growth in Q4 and noted planned go‑to‑market expansion of roughly 300 sales hires whose ramp benefits are expected in 2027.Check Point Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.76B | 2.73B | 2.56B | 2.41B | 2.33B | 2.17B |
| Gross Profit | 2.38B | 2.36B | 2.25B | 2.13B | 2.03B | 1.91B |
| EBITDA | 983.20M | 1.04B | 1.06B | 1.02B | 966.30M | 984.90M |
| Net Income | 1.05B | 1.06B | 845.70M | 840.30M | 796.90M | 815.60M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 7.51B | 7.81B | 5.75B | 5.70B | 5.72B | 5.90B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.28B | 3.01B | 1.37B | 1.53B | 1.64B | 1.69B |
| Total Debt | 1.97B | 1.97B | 29.80M | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 4.78B | 4.92B | 2.97B | 2.87B | 2.80B | 2.64B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.74B | 2.88B | 2.79B | 2.82B | 2.93B | 3.26B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.14B | 1.17B | 1.03B | 1.02B | 1.08B | 1.19B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.17B | 1.20B | 1.05B | 1.04B | 1.10B | 1.20B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -701.28M | -680.40M | -24.00M | 468.70M | -6.40M | -75.30M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 587.21M | 752.00M | -1.06B | -1.16B | -1.17B | -1.11B |
Check Point Technical Analysis
Negative
129.05
Price Trends
130.34
Negative
130.39
Negative
153.09
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.17
Negative
48.08
Neutral
33.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHKP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 129.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.79, below the 50-day MA of 130.34, and below the 200-day MA of 153.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHKP.
Check Point Risk Analysis
Check Point disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Check Point reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Check Point Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $112.74B | 55.08 | 187.95% | ― | 18.77% | 12.93% | |
78 Outperform | $277.02B | 285.13 | 6.30% | ― | 19.51% | -33.05% | |
72 Outperform | $13.22B | 13.04 | 36.43% | ― | 4.64% | 25.51% | |
71 Outperform | $27.24B | -354.81 | -3.71% | ― | 24.61% | -91.58% | |
69 Neutral | $188.76B | 5,820.92 | -0.58% | ― | 23.17% | 73.57% | |
66 Neutral | $98.84B | -488.17 | -13.86% | ― | 33.53% | -72.17% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% |
* Technology Sector Average
CHKP
Check Point
129.05
-62.21
-32.53%
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170.31
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CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
189.18
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NET
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284.89
71.47
33.49%
Check Point Corporate Events
Check Point Software Delivers Solid Q2 2026 Results and Boosts Share Buybacks
Jul 30, 2026
On July 30, 2026, Check Point Software Technologies reported second-quarter 2026 results showing modest top-line growth and stronger performance in key subscription metrics. Total revenue for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 rose 1% year-on-year to...
Check Point Calls September 2 Annual Meeting to Approve Board, Auditor and Executive Pay
Jul 22, 2026
Check Point Software Technologies has called its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders for September 2, 2026 at its Tel Aviv headquarters, inviting holders of its ordinary shares as of the July 16, 2026 record date to participate and vote. Shareh...
Check Point Sets September 2026 Shareholder Meeting to Vote on Board, Executive Pay and Auditor
Jul 9, 2026
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. has called its Annual General Meeting of shareholders for September 2, 2026, at its Tel Aviv headquarters, detailing key governance and compensation decisions. The agenda includes the re-election of six curre...
Check Point Discloses VPN Vulnerability and Issues Software Fix
Jun 8, 2026
Check Point disclosed on June 8, 2026 that it had identified a security vulnerability affecting Remote Access VPN and Mobile Access functions in certain configurations of its security gateway products. The company said it became aware of the issue...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.