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Codexis (CDXS)
NASDAQ:CDXS

Codexis (CDXS) AI Stock Analysis

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Codexis

(NASDAQ:CDXS)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-1.96%Downside)
Codexis faces multiple financial hurdles, including declining revenues and high leverage, which weigh heavily on its stock score. While technical indicators suggest some stability, the negative valuation metrics reflect ongoing losses and risk. The earnings call provides a cautiously optimistic outlook, highlighting potential for future growth, and the recent board appointment could strengthen leadership. However, these positives are overshadowed by the pressing need for financial improvement.
Positive Factors
Customer Engagement
CDXS delivered the first order to a large pharma customer and secured an initial order from a second customer, which is a drug innovator.
Operational Funding
Codexis has cash to fund operations to cash flow positivity by the end of 2026.
Revenue Generation
The company secured the first revenue-generating contract for the ECO Synthesis Innovation Lab and met industrial grade criteria across first-generation enzymes.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Revenues of $7.5M were 56% lower year-over-year, missing expectations by $2.2M.
Revenue Expectations
Q4 revenues of $21.5M missed consensus estimates of $27.4M.

Codexis (CDXS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Codexis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCodexis, Inc. discovers, develops, and sells enzymes and other proteins. It offers biocatalyst products and services; intermediate chemicals products that are used for further chemical processing; and Codex biocatalyst panels and kits that enable customers to perform chemistry screening. The company also provides biocatalyst screening and protein engineering services. In addition, it offers CodeEvolver protein engineering technology platform, which helps in developing and delivering biocatalysts that perform chemical transformations and enhance the efficiency and productivity of manufacturing processes. The company's platform is also used to discover novel biotherapeutic drug candidates for targeted human diseases, as well as for molecular biology and in vitro diagnostic enzymes. It sells its products to pharmaceutical manufacturers through its direct sales and business development force in the United States and Europe. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCodexis generates revenue primarily through product sales, research and development (R&D) collaborations, and licensing agreements. The company sells engineered enzymes to pharmaceutical companies and other industries, where these enzymes are used to improve manufacturing processes. Additionally, Codexis partners with leading firms to co-develop enzyme solutions, earning milestone payments and royalties. Key partnerships, such as those with major pharmaceutical companies, significantly contribute to its revenue through collaborative projects and long-term agreements. Codexis also licenses its CodeEvolver® technology platform, enabling partners to develop their own enzyme-based solutions, which provides another stream of income through licensing fees and royalties.

Codexis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.24%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Despite challenges such as a significant year-over-year revenue decline and increased net loss, Codexis maintains a strong financial position and projects future growth driven by advancements in its ecosynthesis platform and machine learning capabilities. The sentiment remains cautiously positive due to strategic progress in key areas.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
Codexis maintained a strong cash position, with $59.8 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, expected to fund operations until cash flow positivity by the end of 2026.
Pharma Biocatalysis Revenue Growth
Despite a delay in a $2.5 million payment, Codexis is confident in revenue growth for 2025, driven by new customers and commercial milestones in the Pharma Biocatalysis sector.
Ecosynthesis Platform Progress
Codexis has made significant progress with its ecosynthesis platform, signing its first revenue-generating ECO Contract and showcasing technical advancements at the TIDES meeting.
Improved Product Gross Margin
Product gross margin improved to 55% in Q1 2025, up from 49% in Q1 2024, driven by a shift to more profitable products.
Machine Learning Integration
Codexis successfully launched a machine learning tool for optimized enzyme selection, reducing process development time and cost for customers.
Negative Updates
Q1 Revenue Decline
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $7.5 million, a significant decrease from $17.1 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to non-recurring large orders from the previous year.
Increased Net Loss
The net loss for Q1 2025 increased to $20.7 million from $11.5 million in Q1 2024, driven by increased R&D expenses and variability in client ordering patterns.
Delayed $2.5 Million Payment
A $2.5 million order from a Pharma Biocatalysis customer was delayed, impacting Q1 revenue results.
Company Guidance
During the Codexis First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management reiterated their 2025 revenue guidance and shared various metrics underscoring their confidence in meeting these targets. The Q1 revenue was $7.5 million, with a product gross margin of 55%, up from 49% in Q1 2024. Despite the revenue drop from $17.1 million in Q1 2024, the company emphasized that revenue is expected to ramp up in the second half of 2025, largely driven by their ecosynthesis platform and increasing orders for their double-stranded RNA ligase from large pharma customers. The company maintains a strong cash position with $59.8 million in cash and investments, supporting operations through to their projected cash flow positivity by the end of 2026. Management highlighted that their ecosynthesis technology could reduce costs by 70% and enable five times larger batch sizes compared to traditional methods, which is crucial as more siRNA pipeline assets advance through clinical trials.

Codexis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Codexis faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage. The company's negative net profit margin and cash flow issues indicate a need for improved operational efficiency and cost management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Codexis has faced declining revenues and consistent net losses. TTM revenue decreased by 16.05% compared to the previous annual period. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 69.06% for TTM, but the net profit margin remains deeply negative at -149.45%. The company struggles with profitability as indicated by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Codexis has a precarious balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20, indicating high leverage. The equity ratio is around 42.65% for TTM, showing moderate equity financing. Return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's unprofitable operations. The company needs to address its high debt levels and improve profitability to stabilize its financial health.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
The cash flow situation is concerning with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow for TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive due to large adjustments, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash generation issues. The company continues to burn cash, necessitating improvements in operational efficiency.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
49.81M59.34M70.14M138.59M104.75M69.06M
Gross Profit
34.41M43.06M57.33M100.56M82.55M55.31M
EBIT
-66.95M-58.52M-68.07M-31.71M-22.70M-23.92M
EBITDA
-64.79M-58.52M-49.28M-23.07M-16.75M-19.37M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-74.46M-65.28M-76.24M-33.59M-21.28M-24.01M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
59.78M73.46M65.12M113.98M116.80M150.12M
Total Assets
11.64M149.01M136.56M250.39M246.38M221.65M
Total Debt
59.50M59.90M16.02M43.64M47.65M24.95M
Net Debt
41.18M40.63M-49.09M-70.35M-69.14M-124.17M
Total Liabilities
79.26M82.08M49.95M105.60M81.99M51.54M
Stockholders Equity
49.63M66.93M86.61M144.80M164.39M170.10M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-59.85M-53.72M-57.06M2.98M-28.09M-20.21M
Operating Cash Flow
-55.42M-49.41M-52.64M11.28M-14.27M-16.46M
Investing Cash Flow
-16.65M-56.98M-4.86M-13.58M-21.42M-5.75M
Financing Cash Flow
32.33M60.52M8.17M-575.00K3.77M80.81M

Codexis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.55
Price Trends
50DMA
2.44
Positive
100DMA
3.29
Negative
200DMA
3.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
54.51
Neutral
STOCH
70.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDXS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.44, above the 50-day MA of 2.44, and below the 200-day MA of 3.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDXS.

Codexis Risk Analysis

Codexis disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Codexis reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The timing of our customer orders and related product revenue recognition is unpredictable and may cause our operating results to vary significantly from quarter to quarter, which could adversely affect our stock price. Q4, 2024
2.
The biopharmaceutical industry is subject to extensive regulatory obligations and policies that may be subject to significant and abrupt change, including due to judicial challenges, election cycles, and resulting regulatory updates and changes in policy priorities. Q4, 2024
3.
We believe that our products are exempt from FDCA requirements, but FDA or other regulators may disagree and find that our products are subject to such requirements. Q4, 2024

Codexis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.23-45.01%2.85%17.55%-0.69%
50
Neutral
$225.75M322.49%-30.66%36.48%
48
Neutral
$205.38M-115.28%22.99%
47
Neutral
$248.18M-30.47%-22.66%
46
Neutral
$198.83M-115.53%-32.89%-5.03%
IKIKT
46
Neutral
$131.58M-79.02%-100.00%38.72%
45
Neutral
$262.89M-32.12%10.98%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDXS
Codexis
2.55
-0.60
-19.05%
FHTX
Foghorn Therapeutics
4.05
-1.75
-30.17%
IKT
Inhibikase Therapeutics
1.77
0.01
0.57%
AVIR
Atea Pharmaceuticals
2.95
-0.66
-18.28%
TERN
Terns Pharmaceuticals
3.01
-3.31
-52.37%
NVCT
Nuvectis Pharma
9.66
3.08
46.81%

Codexis Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Codexis Announces Board Member Retirement in April 2025
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Codexis announced that Byron Dorgan will retire from its Board of Directors at the end of his current term during the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Dorgan, who joined the board in 2011 and served as Chairman from 2021 to 2024, will continue as a consultant for a year post-retirement. His departure will reduce the board’s size from ten to nine members. The announcement highlights Dorgan’s contributions to Codexis’s transformation into a leading therapeutics manufacturing company and his pride in the company’s progress, particularly with the ECO Synthesis platform.

Executive/Board Changes
Codexis Appoints Cynthia Collins to Board of Directors
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

On March 28, 2025, Codexis, Inc. appointed Cynthia Collins as a Class II director on its Board of Directors, effective immediately. Ms. Collins, who is recognized as an independent director under Nasdaq rules, will also serve on the Compensation Committee. Her extensive experience includes roles as CEO of various biotech and healthcare companies, such as Editas Medicine and Human Longevity Inc. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance Codexis’s governance and operational oversight, leveraging Ms. Collins’s expertise in the biotech sector.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.