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Century Communities, Inc (CCS)
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Century Communities (CCS) AI Stock Analysis

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CCS

Century Communities

(NYSE:CCS)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$67.00
▲(12.79% Upside)
Century Communities' overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial stability, valuation, and earnings outlook. The company's strong cash flow and stable balance sheet are significant positives, while the mixed earnings call and technical indicators suggest caution. The valuation remains attractive, providing potential for future growth.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances liquidity and operational flexibility, supporting long-term investments and financial stability.
Community Growth
Community growth indicates expanding market presence and potential for increased future sales, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Debt Management
Effective debt management enhances financial stability and reduces refinancing risk, supporting long-term strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenues suggest challenges in maintaining sales momentum, potentially impacting long-term profitability and growth.
Increased Incentives
Rising incentives can pressure margins, affecting profitability and indicating competitive challenges in the market.
Inventory Impairment
Inventory impairments and lot abandonments reflect potential misalignment in supply-demand, impacting asset utilization and profitability.

Century Communities (CCS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Century Communities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentury Communities, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, construction, marketing, and sale of single-family attached and detached homes. It is also involved in the entitlement and development of the underlying land; and provision of mortgage, title, and insurance services to its home buyers. The company offers homes under the Century Communities and Century Complete brands. It sells homes through its sales representatives, retail studios, and internet, as well as through independent real estate brokers in 17 states in the United States. Century Communities, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentury Communities generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties, which includes both new home sales and the development of land for future residential projects. The company profits by acquiring land, developing it into communities, and then selling homes at a markup. Key revenue streams include home sales, which are influenced by market demand and the company's ability to manage construction costs effectively. Additionally, Century Communities may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with landowners and other developers, which can provide access to prime locations and shared resources, further enhancing its earnings potential. The company also benefits from economies of scale as it operates in multiple states, allowing for cost efficiencies and broader market reach.

Century Communities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While the company showed strength in cost management, community growth, and financial performance, challenges remain with declining sequential home deliveries, revenue, and increased incentives impacting margins.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Home Deliveries and Margin Performance
Delivered 2,486 homes, hitting the high end of guidance, with an adjusted homebuilding gross margin of 20.1%, slightly up sequentially.
Cost Management Success
Reduced direct construction costs by 3% year-to-date and maintained stable land costs, contributing to improved margins.
Community Growth
Third-quarter ending community count of 321 communities increased by 5% year-over-year, with expectations for mid-single-digit percentage growth by year-end.
Financial Metrics
Sequential improvement in pretax income by 710%, and net income of $37 million, or $1.25 per diluted share.
Leverage and Liquidity
Completed refinancing of 2027 senior notes, improving debt maturity profile with no senior debt maturing until August 2029. Ended the quarter with $836 million of liquidity.
Negative Updates
Sequential Decline in Home Deliveries and Revenue
Deliveries of 2,486 homes declined by 4% on a sequential basis, and sales revenues were down 2% sequentially to $955 million.
Net New Contracts Decline
Third-quarter net new contracts of 2,386 homes declined by 6% on a sequential basis.
Increased Incentives Impacting Margins
Incentives on closed homes averaged 1,100 basis points in Q3, with expectations to increase by 100 basis points in Q4 due to competition.
Inventory Impairment and Lot Abandonment
Took an inventory impairment charge of $3.2 million and recorded $5.2 million in lot option contract abandonments.
Company Guidance
During the Century Communities Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, management provided guidance on several key financial metrics. The company narrowed its full-year 2025 home delivery guidance to a range of 10,000 to 10,250 homes, with home sales revenues projected between $3.8 billion and $3.9 billion. Adjusted homebuilding gross margin for the third quarter was 20.1%, slightly above the second quarter's 20%, driven by cost controls that offset higher incentives. The company's net income for the quarter was $37 million, or $1.25 per diluted share, and adjusted net income was $46 million, or $1.52 per diluted share. Century Communities also reported a third-quarter EBITDA of $70 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $82 million. The company anticipates that incentives will remain a key factor affecting gross margins, with a projected increase of 100 basis points in the fourth quarter. They also expect their year-end 2025 community count to rise in the mid-single-digit percentage range, positioning the company for future growth.

Century Communities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Century Communities shows solid profitability with a strong equity base but faces challenges with declining revenue, shrinking margins, and cash flow pressures. The leverage is managed conservatively, yet declining ROE and cash flow generation indicate areas for improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Century Communities shows a mixed performance in its income statement metrics. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 20.89%, indicating solid profitability, although it has decreased compared to the previous year. The net profit margin for the TTM is 6.02%, which is healthy for the industry, but it reflects a decline from the previous annual period. Revenue growth is a concern with a decline of 1.91% from the previous year to the TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are 8.69% and 9.15% respectively, showing operational efficiency but also a decline. Overall, while profitability remains reasonable, the declining revenue and margins are areas to watch.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Century Communities reflects a stable yet cautious financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio for the TTM is 0.44, indicating a conservative approach to leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 10.14%, which is reasonable, though it has declined compared to previous annual periods. The equity ratio is 55.97%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Despite a strong equity position, the decline in ROE and increased debt levels over time suggest potential financial pressure.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow metrics show some challenges and improvements for Century Communities. The free cash flow growth rate has declined significantly in the TTM, with free cash flow dropping to $47.02 million from $86.73 million the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, indicating adequate conversion of income to cash but with room for improvement. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.18, showing limited free cash flow generation compared to net income. While operational cash flow is positive, the overall cash flow position suggests cash management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.16B4.40B3.69B4.51B4.22B3.16B
Gross Profit854.22M962.76M802.97M1.14B1.05B616.33M
EBITDA307.38M470.56M371.43M716.08M669.63M285.59M
Net Income214.38M333.82M259.22M525.13M498.50M206.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.69B4.53B4.14B3.77B3.50B2.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments130.07M150.00M226.15M296.72M316.31M394.00M
Total Debt1.15B1.48B1.30B1.22B1.35B1.15B
Total Liabilities2.12B1.91B1.75B1.62B1.73B1.56B
Stockholders Equity2.58B2.62B2.39B2.15B1.76B1.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow183.72M86.72M-90.05M264.65M-212.73M332.06M
Operating Cash Flow242.02M125.69M41.63M315.35M-201.15M340.58M
Investing Cash Flow75.64M-232.69M-131.98M-54.26M-6.48M-8.40M
Financing Cash Flow-333.35M40.31M23.86M-274.83M131.79M7.39M

Century Communities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price59.40
Price Trends
50DMA
63.72
Negative
100DMA
61.35
Negative
200DMA
62.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.43
Negative
RSI
42.09
Neutral
STOCH
30.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 59.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.61, below the 50-day MA of 63.72, and below the 200-day MA of 62.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CCS.

Century Communities Risk Analysis

Century Communities disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Century Communities reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Century Communities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$2.75B9.439.47%-16.60%-29.85%
$1.75B8.678.37%1.90%-6.28%-31.55%
$3.30B7.4215.76%4.77%-9.30%
$760.70M5.8620.08%7.97%-35.64%
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
$941.40M6.167.84%-7.89%-19.53%
$1.86B6.7723.25%20.18%-1.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CCS
Century Communities
59.40
-27.75
-31.84%
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises
120.23
-56.77
-32.07%
MHO
M/I Homes
125.19
-25.04
-16.67%
TPH
Tri Pointe
31.85
-8.65
-21.36%
LGIH
LGI Homes
40.81
-61.71
-60.19%
DFH
Dream Finders Homes
19.80
-10.95
-35.61%

Century Communities Corporate Events

Century Communities’ Earnings Call: Mixed Outlook Amid Growth
Oct 24, 2025

Century Communities, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment about its financial performance and future outlook. While the company demonstrated robust cost management and community growth, it faces challenges with declining home deliveries, revenue, and increased incentives affecting margins.

Century Communities Reports Solid Q3 2025 Results
Oct 23, 2025

Century Communities, Inc., a leading homebuilder in the United States, specializes in constructing and selling high-quality, affordable homes across 16 states and over 45 markets. In its third quarter of 2025, Century Communities reported total revenues of $980.3 million, with net income reaching $37.4 million, or $1.25 per diluted share. The company delivered 2,486 homes and achieved a record book value per share of $87.74. Key financial metrics included an adjusted net income of $45.7 million and an adjusted homebuilding gross margin of 20.1%. Additionally, the company repurchased nearly 297,000 shares of common stock and completed a $500 million senior notes offering. Despite economic uncertainties, Century Communities maintains a strong balance sheet with $2.6 billion in stockholders’ equity and $836 million in liquidity. Looking ahead, the company anticipates delivering between 10,000 to 10,250 homes for the full year 2025, with expected home sales revenues ranging from $3.8 to $3.9 billion.

Private Placements and Financing
Century Communities Issues $500M in Senior Notes
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Century Communities, Inc. issued $500 million in 6.625% Senior Notes due 2033, with interest accruing from the issuance date and payable semi-annually. These notes are unsecured senior obligations and are subject to specific covenants and redemption options, impacting the company’s financial strategy and flexibility in managing debt and equity transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCS) stock is a Buy with a $73.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Century Communities stock, see the CCS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Century Communities Announces $500M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Century Communities announced the pricing of a private offering of $500 million in 6.625% Senior Notes due 2033. The offering is expected to close on September 17, 2025, with net proceeds of approximately $494 million intended to finance the redemption of the company’s existing 6.750% Senior Notes due 2027. This strategic financial move aims to optimize the company’s debt structure and potentially improve its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCS) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Century Communities stock, see the CCS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Century Communities Launches $500M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Century Communities announced the launch of a private offering of $500 million in Senior Notes due 2033, aimed at qualified institutional buyers and certain non-U.S. persons. Concurrently, the company issued a conditional notice for the redemption of its 6.750% Senior Notes due 2027, contingent upon the successful completion of the new offering. The proceeds from the new notes, along with cash on hand, will be used to finance the redemption of the 2027 notes. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to impact the company’s debt structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCS) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Century Communities stock, see the CCS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025