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Avis Budget (CAR)
NASDAQ:CAR
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Avis Budget (CAR) AI Stock Analysis

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CAR

Avis Budget

(NASDAQ:CAR)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$139.00
▲(2.45% Upside)
Avis Budget's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and valuation concerns. High leverage and negative profitability weigh heavily on the score. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further contributing to the low score. Despite some positive aspects from the earnings call, the significant challenges faced by the company overshadow these, resulting in a low overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's ability to achieve revenue growth after eight quarters indicates resilience and potential for market recovery.
International Segment Performance
Strong international performance suggests effective strategic shifts and potential for sustained profitability in global markets.
Customer Experience Initiative
High customer satisfaction from new initiatives can enhance brand loyalty and competitive positioning, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity pose solvency risks, limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates liquidity issues, potentially hindering the company's ability to invest in growth and manage debt.
Vehicle Recall Impact
Ongoing vehicle recalls increase operational costs and reduce fleet efficiency, impacting profitability and operational stability.

Avis Budget (CAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avis Budget Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvis Budget Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and ancillary products and services to businesses and consumers. It operates the Avis brand, that offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions to the premium commercial and leisure segments of the travel industry; the Budget Truck brand, a local, and one-way truck and cargo van rental businesses with a fleet of approximately 20,000 vehicles, which are rented through a network of approximately 465 dealer-operated and 385 company-operated locations that serve the consumer and light commercial sectors in the continental United States; and the Zipcar brand, a car sharing network. The company also operates various other car rental brands, such as Budget, Payless, Apex, Maggiore, MoriniRent, FranceCars, Amicoblue, Turiscar, and ACL Hire. In addition, it offers optional insurance products and coverages, such as supplemental liability, personal accident, personal effects protection, emergency sickness protection, and automobile towing protection and cargo insurance products; fuel service options, roadside assistance services, electronic toll collection services, curbside delivery, tablet rentals, access to satellite radio, portable navigation units, and child safety seat rentals; automobile towing equipment and other moving accessories, such as hand trucks, furniture pads, and moving supplies; and Business Intelligence solution, an online portal for corporate travel. Avis Budget Group, Inc. operates in approximately 10,400 locations worldwide. The company was formerly known as Cendant Corporation and changed its name to Avis Budget Group, Inc. in September 2006. Avis Budget Group, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvis Budget generates revenue primarily through its vehicle rental operations. The company charges customers for the rental of vehicles on a daily, weekly, or monthly basis, with pricing varying based on vehicle type, rental duration, and location. Key revenue streams include not only rental fees but also ancillary services such as insurance, fuel options, and GPS rentals. Additionally, Avis Budget benefits from partnerships with travel agencies, airlines, and hotels, allowing it to reach a broader customer base and offer bundled services. The company also generates income through its Zipcar brand, providing car-sharing services that cater to urban customers looking for flexible transportation options. Furthermore, Avis Budget's fleet management solutions for businesses contribute to its overall revenue, as companies frequently require reliable and efficient vehicle management services.

Avis Budget Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable revenue and EBITDA growth, especially in international segments, and successful customer experience initiatives. However, challenges such as declining RPD in the Americas, significant vehicle recall impacts, and negative free cash flow offset these positive developments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Avis Budget Group delivered $3.51 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, up from $3.48 billion a year ago, marking a $39 million increase and the first revenue growth in eight quarters.
Adjusted EBITDA Increase
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA increased by 11% year-over-year despite challenges, driven by improved operational efficiency and strategic focus.
International Segment Performance
International RPD grew 5%, excluding exchange rate effects, driven by a mix shift towards higher-margin leisure and inbound business, contributing to a nearly 40% year-over-year EBITDA increase.
Customer Experience Initiative
The launch of 'Avis First' is showing promising results with a 4.9-star average rating from customers, demonstrating successful differentiation in the market.
Negative Updates
Americas RPD Decline
The Americas region saw a 3% decline in RPD, reflecting soft leisure pricing and overall industry weakness.
Vehicle Recall Impact
Significant vehicle recalls affected fleet utilization and costs, with an expected $90 million to $100 million impact on full-year EBITDA.
Fleet Cost Pressures
Fleet costs were pressured due to retaining older vehicles and ongoing safety recalls, impacting depreciation expenses and utilization.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Year-to-date adjusted free cash flow was negative $517 million, driven by over $1 billion in voluntary fleet contributions.
Company Guidance
During the Avis Budget Group's Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a modest revenue growth of $39 million year-over-year, reaching $3.51 billion. Despite a challenging environment, consolidated adjusted EBITDA saw an 11% increase. The company faced a 3% decline in Revenue Per Day (RPD) in the Americas, attributed to softer leisure pricing and a significant recall affecting vans and mini-vans, which led to lower utilization and higher fleet costs. Internationally, RPD grew by 5%, excluding exchange rate effects, driven by a strategic shift towards higher-margin leisure business. The company is focused on improving customer experience and operational efficiency, which it sees as key to sustainable EBITDA growth. Despite these headwinds, Avis is optimistic about its future, citing a more stable pricing trend and ongoing strategic initiatives like Avis First, which received high customer satisfaction ratings post-launch. The company maintains a disciplined approach to cost management and capital allocation, with plans to continue investing in fleet and technology modernization while keeping a strong balance sheet. Looking ahead, Avis expects its 2025 EBITDA to be on the lower end of its previously stated range, with ongoing recall impacts and softer commercial demand noted as significant challenges.

Avis Budget Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Avis Budget's financial performance is mixed. While revenue growth is strong at 33.6%, profitability is a concern with negative net profit and EBIT margins. The balance sheet shows high leverage with negative equity, posing solvency risks. Cash flow generation is moderate but declining, indicating potential liquidity issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Avis Budget's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a significant revenue growth rate of 33.6%, which is a positive sign. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -18.02% and a negative EBIT margin of -14.66%. The gross profit margin is relatively strong at 53.97%, but the negative net income suggests challenges in managing expenses or other financial obligations.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a high-risk financial structure with a negative stockholders' equity and a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -3.62 in the TTM period. This indicates high leverage and potential solvency issues. The return on equity is positive at 81.61%, but this is primarily due to the negative equity, which distorts the ratio. The equity ratio is negative, highlighting the company's reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -122.09% in the TTM period, indicating potential liquidity issues. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.15, suggesting that the company is generating sufficient cash from operations relative to its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.51, which is moderate but indicates some ability to generate cash relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.70B11.79B12.01B11.99B9.31B5.40B
Gross Profit2.87B3.00B3.93B4.77B3.39B596.00M
EBITDA2.35B2.67B6.43B7.15B4.74B2.17B
Net Income-2.10B-1.82B1.63B2.76B1.28B-684.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.52B29.95B33.42B25.93B22.60B17.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments568.00M537.00M559.00M572.00M537.00M693.00M
Total Debt28.59B26.04B26.45B20.92B17.80B13.66B
Total Liabilities34.89B32.27B33.76B26.63B22.81B17.69B
Stockholders Equity-2.40B-2.33B-349.00M-703.00M-220.00M-155.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.87B-6.54B-11.63B576.00M-2.59B3.95B
Operating Cash Flow3.63B3.52B3.83B4.71B3.49B691.00M
Investing Cash Flow-4.70B-2.75B-7.35B-4.30B-6.31B3.18B
Financing Cash Flow1.06B-781.00M3.51B-360.00M2.69B-4.04B

Avis Budget Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price135.68
Price Trends
50DMA
154.22
Negative
100DMA
161.31
Negative
200DMA
124.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.20
Positive
RSI
30.59
Neutral
STOCH
7.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 135.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 149.55, below the 50-day MA of 154.22, and above the 200-day MA of 124.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CAR.

Avis Budget Risk Analysis

Avis Budget disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avis Budget reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Avis Budget Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.16B7.6324.56%1.70%3.71%9.14%
$3.97B37.039.82%0.95%-2.34%-37.24%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$4.57B-54.56-4.05%1.95%19.40%-120.47%
$6.90B14.3316.26%1.96%1.68%9.91%
$4.89B-1.22%-639.34%
$1.64B-350.48%-7.58%-225.06%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAR
Avis Budget
135.68
52.68
63.47%
PRG
PROG Holdings
29.35
-13.64
-31.73%
WSC
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
21.82
-11.06
-33.64%
HRI
Herc Holdings
137.34
-68.06
-33.14%
R
Ryder System
169.40
26.03
18.16%
HTZ
Hertz Global
4.99
2.21
79.50%

Avis Budget Corporate Events

Avis Budget Group Reports Revenue Growth in Q3 2025
Oct 29, 2025

Avis Budget Group is a leading global provider of mobility solutions, operating through its Avis, Budget, and Zipcar brands, with a presence in approximately 180 countries worldwide. Headquartered in Parsippany, N.J., the company offers car rental and car-sharing services, primarily in North America, Europe, and Australasia.

Avis Budget Group’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 29, 2025

Avis Budget Group’s recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both growth and challenges. The company reported notable revenue and EBITDA growth, especially in its international segments, alongside successful customer experience initiatives. However, these positive developments were tempered by challenges such as a decline in Revenue Per Day (RPD) in the Americas, significant impacts from vehicle recalls, and negative free cash flow.

Private Placements and Financing
Avis Budget Issues $793.2 Million in Asset-Backed Securities
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Avis Budget‘s subsidiary, Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, issued $793.2 million in asset-backed securities with maturities of three and five years. These securities, secured by vehicles in the company’s domestic fleet, are structured into various classes of notes, with some retained for potential future sale. The issuance aims to comply with U.S. risk retention rules and involves commercial and investment banking services from various affiliates.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAR) stock is a Hold with a $151.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avis Budget stock, see the CAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Avis Budget Amends Cooperation Agreement with SRS
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Avis Budget Group, Inc. amended its cooperation agreement with SRS Investment Management, LLC, increasing SRS’s voting cap from 35% to 45%. The amendment also sets the board size at five or six directors as long as SRS owns at least 10% of voting securities, with no more than two directors affiliated with SRS. Additionally, restrictions are placed on share transfers to maintain board composition and voting structures.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAR) stock is a Hold with a $153.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avis Budget stock, see the CAR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Avis Budget Amends Certificate of Incorporation
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Avis Budget Group, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where stockholders approved amendments to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation. These changes, filed on July 31, 2025, include revising director removal vote requirements, allocating voting privileges for preferred stock amendments, and providing for officer exculpation, potentially impacting governance and shareholder rights.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAR) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avis Budget stock, see the CAR Stock Forecast page.

Avis Budget Group Reports Q2 2025 Earnings
Jul 31, 2025

Avis Budget Group, a leading global provider of mobility solutions, operates through its Avis, Budget, and Zipcar brands, offering car rental and car-sharing services across approximately 180 countries worldwide. Headquartered in Parsippany, N.J., the company is recognized for its extensive network and innovative mobility solutions.

Avis Budget Group’s Strategic Moves Amid Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

Avis Budget Group’s recent earnings call painted a picture of strategic ambition tempered by immediate operational challenges. The company is clearly focused on long-term growth through innovation and partnerships, as evidenced by the launch of Avis First and a collaboration with Waymo. However, the path forward is not without obstacles, including fleet recalls and a competitive pricing landscape that present significant short-term hurdles.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025