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Backblaze (BLZE)
NASDAQ:BLZE
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Backblaze (BLZE) AI Stock Analysis

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BLZE

Backblaze

(NASDAQ:BLZE)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▼(-1.66% Downside)
Backblaze's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including ongoing profitability issues and negative returns on equity. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strong growth driven by AI opportunities, but concerns about sustainability and challenges in certain segments remain. Technical indicators suggest a lack of strong directional momentum, and the valuation reflects market caution due to the company's losses.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates expanding market reach and product adoption, which strengthens the company's market position and long-term prospects.
AI Opportunities
The significant growth in AI customers and data storage suggests a strong competitive advantage in a rapidly growing sector, potentially driving future revenue.
Gross Margin Improvement
Improved gross margins reflect better cost management and operational efficiencies, enhancing profitability potential and financial health.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues indicate challenges in cost management and revenue conversion, which may hinder long-term financial stability.
Decline in NRR
A declining NRR suggests potential customer churn or reduced spending, which could impact future revenue growth and market competitiveness.
Challenges in Computer Backup Segment
Sluggish growth in the Computer Backup segment may indicate market saturation or competitive pressures, limiting overall business expansion.

Backblaze (BLZE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Backblaze Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBackblaze, Inc. is a cloud storage and data backup company based in California, specializing in providing affordable and reliable solutions for individuals and businesses. Founded in 2007, Backblaze offers products such as personal cloud backup, business cloud storage, and the Backblaze B2 Cloud Storage service, catering to the needs of users seeking secure data management and protection. The company's innovative approach to data storage utilizes a cost-effective model that appeals to a broad range of customers, from casual users to enterprises.
How the Company Makes MoneyBackblaze generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based services. The company offers various plans for its personal backup solution, which provides unlimited backup for a flat fee, appealing to individual users. For businesses, Backblaze offers its B2 Cloud Storage service, which charges customers based on the amount of data stored and the bandwidth used for data retrieval. This pay-as-you-go model allows businesses to scale their storage needs effectively. Additionally, Backblaze has formed strategic partnerships with other technology companies to enhance its service offerings, further contributing to its revenue streams by expanding its customer base and providing integrated solutions.

Backblaze Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Backblaze's earnings call reflected strong financial performance with significant growth driven by AI opportunities and successful execution of their go-to-market strategy. However, there are concerns about the sustainability of AI-driven growth and challenges in the Computer Backup segment, which may affect future performance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Revenue and EBITDA Guidance
Backblaze delivered a strong Q2, exceeding both the revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance for the second consecutive quarter. Total revenue was $36.3 million, up 16% year-over-year, with B2 revenue at $19.8 million, up 29% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA margin doubled year-over-year to 18%.
Significant AI Opportunities
AI customers grew 70%, and data stored by these customers increased 40x year-over-year. Three of the top 10 customers are now AI companies, highlighting the significant impact of AI on financial metrics this quarter.
Go-to-Market Transformation Success
The number of customers generating over $50,000 in ARR increased by 30% year-over-year. The pipeline doubled year-over-year, with a growing increase in six-figure opportunities entering the pipeline quarter-over-quarter.
Innovative Product Launches
Backblaze launched B2 Overdrive, securing a six-figure customer within two months of its launch. They also introduced security-focused features such as Anomaly Alerts, Enterprise Web Console, and Bucket Access Logs.
Improvement in Gross Margin
Gross margin improved to 63% from 55% in the prior year, driven by changes in estimates of asset lifespan and operational efficiencies.
Negative Updates
Decline in NRR
Net Revenue Retention (NRR) for B2 Cloud Storage dropped to 112% from 126% in the prior year and 117% in the prior quarter, mainly due to the lapping effect of a previous price increase.
Challenges in Computer Backup Segment
Computer Backup revenue grew by only 4% year-over-year. A decline in this segment is expected in the low to mid-single digits on a quarterly basis moving forward.
Potential Variability in AI Customer Growth
While AI customer growth was a significant driver this quarter, there is potential variability in future quarters, creating some uncertainty in sustaining growth rates.
Company Guidance
During Backblaze's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported exceeding both revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance for the second consecutive quarter. Total revenue reached $36.3 million, marking a 16% increase year-over-year, while B2 revenue grew by 29% year-over-year to $19.8 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin doubled to 18% year-over-year. The company emphasized its progress towards becoming adjusted free cash flow positive by Q4 and highlighted a 30% year-over-year increase in customers generating over $50,000 in ARR. Backblaze's go-to-market transformation and AI-related opportunities significantly contributed to its growth, with AI companies now comprising 3 of its top 10 customers and data storage by these customers growing 40x year-over-year. The company also reported a gross margin improvement to 63% from 55% in the prior year, driven by a reassessment of its hardware's estimated useful life. Looking ahead, Backblaze raised its 2025 annual revenue guidance to a range of $145 million to $147 million, attributing the upward revision to better-than-expected B2 performance.

Backblaze Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Backblaze shows strong revenue growth and improved cash flow generation. However, persistent net losses and negative profit margins indicate challenges in achieving profitability. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but highlights the need for improved equity financing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Backblaze has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a notable increase from $85.16 million in 2022 to $132.27 million TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the company remains unprofitable, with a negative net profit margin of -35.4% TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational challenges. The gross profit margin is strong at 55%, showing efficient cost management in revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, suggesting a balanced use of debt. However, the company has a low equity ratio of 45.7%, indicating a significant portion of assets is financed through liabilities. The return on equity remains negative due to ongoing losses, posing concerns for the company's ability to generate shareholder value.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive at $14.03 million TTM, and free cash flow has improved to $6.35 million, highlighting better cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is not meaningful due to persistent net losses. The company shows potential to generate cash despite profitability issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue137.29M127.63M102.02M85.16M67.48M53.78M
Gross Profit78.60M69.34M49.86M43.86M34.34M27.98M
EBITDA-20.63M-16.54M-31.02M-24.54M-1.61M9.22M
Net Income-43.55M-48.53M-59.71M-51.70M-21.70M-6.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets186.04M168.56M131.69M150.91M163.58M54.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.54M54.91M29.30M65.42M104.84M6.08M
Total Debt61.60M46.34M46.85M44.87M33.25M31.48M
Total Liabilities106.40M90.94M86.75M82.36M68.09M61.31M
Stockholders Equity79.64M77.62M44.94M68.56M95.49M-6.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.40M10.79M-27.58M-29.76M-7.69M7.84M
Operating Cash Flow15.35M12.51M-7.35M-13.78M3.52M12.82M
Investing Cash Flow-15.88M-6.13M21.66M-73.85M-11.19M-4.97M
Financing Cash Flow18.76M22.77M-8.84M-6.21M106.61M-8.75M

Backblaze Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.66
Price Trends
50DMA
9.58
Negative
100DMA
7.77
Positive
200DMA
6.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Positive
RSI
43.65
Neutral
STOCH
30.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLZE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.84, above the 50-day MA of 9.58, and above the 200-day MA of 6.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BLZE.

Backblaze Risk Analysis

Backblaze disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Backblaze reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Backblaze Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.53B30.4913.29%79.98%
62
Neutral
$2.93B-2.60%24.41%40.20%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$7.58B17.82-0.04%-5.07%
57
Neutral
$37.52M-9.11%18.99%77.96%
52
Neutral
$545.79M-69.83%19.08%28.99%
44
Neutral
$498.74M-4.92-70.04%111.83%73.52%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLZE
Backblaze
9.34
1.35
16.90%
DBX
Dropbox
29.13
1.23
4.41%
JG
Aurora Mobile
6.50
0.84
14.84%
AVPT
AvePoint
14.28
1.19
9.09%
BKKT
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A
23.86
13.31
126.16%
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
45.81
6.99
18.01%

Backblaze Corporate Events

Backblaze Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Backblaze, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment with strong financial performance and growth, particularly in the B2 Cloud Storage segment and the AI market. The successful launch of B2 Overdrive and go-to-market transformation efforts were highlighted as notable achievements, despite some challenges such as the decline in Computer Backup revenue and net revenue retention (NRR). Overall, the positives significantly outweighed the negatives, painting an optimistic picture for the company’s future.

Navigating the AI Minefield: Backblaze, Inc.’s Struggle with Operational and Legal Risks
Aug 8, 2025

Backblaze, Inc. faces significant risks associated with its use of artificial intelligence technologies to boost internal productivity and efficiency. The implementation of AI introduces operational, legal, reputational, and competitive challenges, as AI models can produce flawed outputs that may impact decision-making and customer trust. Reliance on third-party providers for AI tools further exposes the company to data security risks and potential noncompliance with privacy laws. Additionally, the evolving landscape of AI regulation and intellectual property issues could impose further compliance burdens and impact Backblaze’s operations adversely.

Backblaze Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Aug 8, 2025

Backblaze, Inc., a cloud storage innovator, offers high-performance and secure cloud object storage solutions for various applications, including AI workflows and data protection, distinguishing itself as a modern alternative to traditional cloud providers. In its second quarter of 2025, Backblaze reported a 16% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $36.3 million, with its B2 Cloud Storage segment experiencing a remarkable 29% increase. The company also reduced its net loss to $7.1 million from $10.3 million in the previous year, showcasing improved financial health.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Backblaze Announces $10 Million Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Backblaze announced a stock repurchase program, allowing the company to buy back up to $10 million of its Class A common stock over the next 12 months, enhancing financial flexibility. In its second quarter of 2025, Backblaze reported a 16% overall revenue growth, with a notable 29% increase in B2 Cloud Storage revenue, and introduced new cybersecurity features and AI-powered solutions, positioning itself as a leading independent cloud storage provider.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLZE) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Backblaze stock, see the BLZE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025