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DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN)
NYSE:DOCN
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DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) AI Stock Analysis

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DOCN

DigitalOcean Holdings

(NYSE:DOCN)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$139.00
▲(12.51% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is led by a very strong earnings update (raised guidance, accelerating AI traction, and high profitability/FCF outlook) and solid underlying operating performance. Offsetting factors are a still-risky/volatile balance-sheet history with meaningful debt, mixed technical momentum signals, and a high valuation multiple with no dividend cushion.
Positive Factors
Accelerating Revenue & ARR
Sustained ARR additions and 29% YoY revenue growth reflect deeper penetration of larger, higher‑spend customers. Recurring ARR growth increases revenue predictability and upsell potential, supporting durable top‑line expansion and repeatable cash generation over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Capacity Constraints
Customer demand outstrips available data center capacity, which can cap near‑term revenue despite strong demand. Scaling capacity requires multi‑quarter capital, lead time and supply‑chain coordination; delays could blunt AI momentum and defer revenue realization for many months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Accelerating Revenue & ARR
Sustained ARR additions and 29% YoY revenue growth reflect deeper penetration of larger, higher‑spend customers. Recurring ARR growth increases revenue predictability and upsell potential, supporting durable top‑line expansion and repeatable cash generation over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

DigitalOcean Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate
Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate
Indicates how much revenue is retained from existing customers, reflecting customer satisfaction and the potential for upselling.
Chart InsightsAfter peaking above 110 in 2021–2022, net retention slid through 2023 into sub‑100 territory—signaling weaker expansion—then stabilized around 99–101 over the last year. That leveling matches the Q1 surge in AI customer ARR, record organic ARR additions and larger customer cohorts, suggesting upsell dynamics are beginning to recover. If management sustains AI pull‑through into multi‑product adoption, retention can re‑accelerate; however, capacity‑ramp timing and competitive risk mean further improvement isn’t guaranteed in the near term.
Data provided by:The Fly

DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DigitalOcean Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc., through its various operating entities, provides a global cloud computing environment with reach across North America, Europe, Asia, and beyond. This adaptable platform delivers on-demand infrastructure and essential d...
How the Company Makes Money
DigitalOcean primarily makes money by charging customers for access to its cloud platform through recurring, usage-based and subscription-like billing for infrastructure and managed services. Key revenue streams include: (1) Compute: charges for v...

DigitalOcean Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong set of operational and financial positives: accelerating revenue growth, record incremental ARR, very rapid adoption of the inference engine and AI workloads, robust margins, a significantly larger RPO, and balance sheet improvements. The primary negatives are capacity and timing constraints tied to data center buildouts and industry supply chain realities, RPO lumpiness, and potential effects of recent GPU price increases. On balance, the positive developments (strong growth, profitability, AI traction, and financial flexibility) substantially outweigh the challenges, though execution of capacity plans will be critical to sustain the momentum into 2027.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth and Record ARR Addition
Q2 revenue of $281M, up ~29% year-over-year; record $93M incremental ARR in Q2 (largest quarterly ARR addition in company history).
Negative Updates
Capacity Constraints and Demand > Supply
Management stated demand is well in excess of capacity; token demand and customer growth outpacing supply, with some new capacity not expected online until late 2027 and into 2028, which could limit near-term revenue upside.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth and Record ARR Addition
Q2 revenue of $281M, up ~29% year-over-year; record $93M incremental ARR in Q2 (largest quarterly ARR addition in company history).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
DigitalOcean raised its 2026 outlook, guiding Q3 revenue of $304–$307 million (32–34% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA margins of 38–39% and non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $0.28–$0.30 on ~126.5 million diluted shares; for full‑year 2026 it now expects $1.17–$1.18 billion of revenue (~30.5% YoY) with a Q4 exit growth rate of ≥35%, ~39% adjusted EBITDA margin, non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $1.35–$1.40 and adjusted free cash flow margin of 11–13%; management also reiterated confidence in 50%+ revenue growth for 2027 and highlighted a strengthened balance sheet after equitizing ~$472 million of convertible notes (pro‑forma net leverage ~0.7x).

DigitalOcean Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (scaled to ~$1.01B TTM revenue with strong profitability), supported by consistently positive operating cash flow. The main constraints are balance-sheet risk from historically volatile equity and still-meaningful debt, plus weaker recent cash conversion (free cash flow lagging reported earnings).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.01B901.43M780.62M692.88M576.32M428.56M
Gross Profit578.58M539.59M465.94M408.92M364.39M257.97M
EBITDA374.11M362.05M236.86M153.59M86.74M73.92M
Net Income235.24M259.26M84.49M19.41M-27.80M-19.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.12B1.84B1.64B1.46B1.82B2.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments767.03M254.47M428.45M411.77M864.23M1.71B
Total Debt1.50B730.55M1.70B1.66B1.64B1.46B
Total Liabilities2.19B1.87B1.84B1.77B1.77B1.52B
Stockholders Equity930.73M-28.69M-202.96M-313.70M47.57M578.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.88M41.09M96.20M110.13M74.94M24.02M
Operating Cash Flow356.88M309.60M282.73M234.94M195.15M133.11M
Investing Cash Flow-378.16M-268.29M-94.81M401.15M-1.15B-113.61M
Financing Cash Flow886.01M-216.91M-76.45M-468.90M-610.36M1.59B

DigitalOcean Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price123.54
Price Trends
50DMA
144.92
Negative
100DMA
126.67
Negative
200DMA
89.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.25
Negative
RSI
45.54
Neutral
STOCH
56.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOCN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 123.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123.43, below the 50-day MA of 144.92, and above the 200-day MA of 89.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DOCN.

DigitalOcean Holdings Risk Analysis

DigitalOcean Holdings disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DigitalOcean Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DigitalOcean Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.45B22.8537.04%1.36%46.60%66.04%
70
Outperform
$2.76B59.9615.70%27.12%
69
Neutral
$13.74B45.3754.71%17.61%119.62%
67
Neutral
$2.13B46.9419.61%0.70%12.08%-8.14%
62
Neutral
$3.60B521.412.41%9.93%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
124.15
91.10
275.64%
ATEN
A10 Networks
26.84
9.64
56.03%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
36.38
7.39
25.49%
AVPT
AvePoint
12.79
-1.54
-10.75%
DLO
DLocal
14.41
3.62
33.53%

DigitalOcean Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
DigitalOcean restructures capital via major debt repurchase
Neutral
Jul 24, 2026
On July 23, 2026, DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. completed the repurchase of approximately $471.8 million in principal amount of its 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 from a limited number of noteholders in privately negotiated transactions, pa...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
DigitalOcean advances legal approval for new stock offering
Positive
Jul 23, 2026
DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. disclosed that Freshfields US LLP has issued a legal opinion affirming the legality of the issuance and sale of its common stock. The shares are being offered under a prospectus supplement dated July 15, 2026, indicatin...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
DigitalOcean Shareholders Approve Directors, Auditor and Executive Pay
Positive
Jun 17, 2026
At its June 15, 2026 annual meeting, DigitalOcean stockholders elected Warren Adelman and Pueo Keffer as Class II directors to serve on the board until the 2029 annual meeting, reinforcing the company’s longer-term governance structure. Stoc...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingProduct-Related Announcements
DigitalOcean Posts Strong Q1 Growth, Expands AI Cloud
Positive
May 5, 2026
DigitalOcean reported first-quarter 2026 results on May 5, posting revenue of $258 million, up 22% year over year, and annual run-rate revenue of $1.03 billion, while AI customer ARR surged 221% to $170 million and million-dollar customer ARR jump...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026