Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.20B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 2.91M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.34
• Revenue Growth: 3.99%
• EPS Growth: -14.74%
• Country: US
• Employees: 24,480
• Sector: Healthcare
• Sector Strength: 45
• Industry: Medical - Care Facilities
• EPS (TTM): -0.18
• Shares Outstanding: 237,490,450
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,183,721
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,914,628
• PEG Ratio: -0.95
• Price to Book (P/B): 5.39
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.38
• P/FCF Ratio: -32.63
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 3.13
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.23
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 8.26
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 15.37
• 1Y Price Target: $7.67
• Price Target Upside: -17.26% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 60 Neutral
• Price Target: $9.00 ▼(-2.91% Downside)

Brookdale Senior Living's overall stock score reflects a mixed outlook. The most significant factor is the strong operational progress and improved guidance highlighted in the earnings call, which boosts confidence in future performance. However, financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability, weigh heavily on the score. Technical indicators are positive, suggesting potential for price appreciation, but valuation concerns remain due to the negative P/E ratio.

Positive Factors

Occupancy Growth

Improving occupancy rates indicate strong demand and operational efficiency, enhancing revenue potential and market position.

Leadership Change

New leadership can drive strategic initiatives and improve operational focus, potentially enhancing long-term business performance.

Adjusted EBITDA Growth

Strong EBITDA growth reflects improved cost management and operational efficiency, supporting sustainable profitability improvements.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.

Negative Profitability

Ongoing profitability challenges indicate difficulty in converting revenue into profit, impacting long-term financial health.

Cash Flow Issues

Declining cash flow generation limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt obligations.

Brookdale Senior Living Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) is a leading national provider of senior living services, operating a diverse portfolio of communities across the United States. The company specializes in independent living, assisted living, Alzheimer's and dementia care, rehabilitation, and skilled nursing services. With a commitment to enhancing the quality of life for seniors, Brookdale focuses on creating vibrant communities that foster engagement, wellness, and social interaction among residents.

How the Company Makes Money

Brookdale Senior Living generates revenue primarily through monthly rental fees and service charges from its residents, which vary based on the level of care and services provided. Key revenue streams include occupancy fees from independent living and assisted living facilities, as well as additional charges for specialized memory care services. The company also earns revenue from ancillary services such as rehabilitation and skilled nursing care. Significant partnerships with healthcare providers and insurance companies enhance its service offerings and contribute to its earnings. Furthermore, Brookdale benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to manage operational costs effectively while maximizing revenue across its numerous locations.

Brookdale Senior Living Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Brookdale Senior Living faces significant financial challenges. Despite improvements in gross profit margins, the company struggles with profitability and high leverage. Cash flow issues further compound the financial risks, necessitating strategic adjustments to improve financial health and stability.

Income Statement

Brookdale Senior Living's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin improved to 29.02%, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains negative at -7.60%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue growth is modest at 1.12% TTM, suggesting slow market expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, at 1.71% and 9.99% respectively, indicating limited operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 11.07, posing significant financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -128.14%, indicating poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing, which could be risky in volatile markets.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a concerning decline in free cash flow growth at -320.63% TTM, highlighting cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, indicating some ability to convert income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to net losses.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.09B	2.98B	2.87B	2.60B	2.56B	3.02B
Gross Profit	835.27M	807.43M	744.71M	520.24M	501.16M	700.64M
EBITDA	448.88M	420.80M	369.29M	190.03M	130.98M	256.69M
Net Income	-242.65M	-201.94M	-189.01M	-238.34M	-99.36M	82.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	6.14B	6.34B	5.57B	5.94B	6.41B	6.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	251.89M	328.80M	307.73M	447.53M	529.42M	553.33M
Total Debt	1.17B	5.65B	4.73B	4.89B	5.23B	5.21B
Total Liabilities	6.03B	6.12B	5.17B	5.35B	5.71B	6.10B
Stockholders Equity	105.38M	212.47M	403.66M	582.61M	697.40M	800.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	17.05M	-35.07M	-70.28M	-193.64M	-271.29M	19.78M
Operating Cash Flow	218.62M	166.18M	162.92M	3.28M	-94.63M	205.65M
Investing Cash Flow	-579.82M	-278.07M	-113.36M	-67.43M	181.46M	-425.11M
Financing Cash Flow	322.26M	142.06M	-174.44M	100.38M	-113.66M	382.91M

Brookdale Senior Living Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 9.27
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.70, above the 50-day MA of 8.22, and above the 200-day MA of 6.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BKD.

Brookdale Senior Living Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ADUS	―	$2.15B	25.78	8.54%	―	14.29%	7.85%
ASTH	―	$1.56B	60.46	3.50%	―	51.97%	-64.10%
NHC	―	$1.85B	17.81	10.65%	2.09%	25.19%	13.44%
PNTG	―	$872.34M	32.28	11.44%	―	30.58%	24.86%
BKD	―	$2.20B	-8.80	-108.91%	―	3.99%	-14.74%
AVAH	―	$1.89B	120.35	―	―	11.53%	―
Sector *	―	$7.86B	-0.30	-43.30%	2.27%	22.53%	-2.21%

Brookdale Senior Living Corporate Events

Brookdale Senior Living Reports September Occupancy Growth

Brookdale Senior Living reported an increase in occupancy rates for September 2025, with a weighted average occupancy of 82.5%, marking a 330 basis point increase year-over-year and a 70 basis point rise sequentially. The month-end consolidated occupancy reached 83.8%, reflecting a 60 basis point sequential increase, while the third quarter weighted average occupancy improved by 290 basis points year-over-year, indicating strong growth in the senior living sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKD) stock is a Sell with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookdale Senior Living stock, see the BKD Stock Forecast page.

Brookdale Senior Living Appoints New CEO Nikolas Stengle

On October 2, 2025, Brookdale Senior Living announced the appointment of Nikolas W. Stengle as the new Chief Executive Officer, effective October 6, 2025. Stengle, who brings extensive experience in senior living, healthcare, and hospitality, is expected to drive operational excellence and enhance the company’s industry leadership. His appointment follows a comprehensive search and is seen as a strategic move to capitalize on growth opportunities and increase shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKD) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookdale Senior Living stock, see the BKD Stock Forecast page.

Brookdale Senior Living Announces Executive Departure Agreement

On September 3, 2025, Brookdale Senior Living Inc. announced a mutual agreement with H. Todd Kaestner, the Executive Vice President – Corporate Development and President – CCRCs, to end his role effective September 30, 2025, as part of ongoing organizational restructuring. The separation agreement includes severance payments and benefits for Mr. Kaestner, reflecting the company’s commitment to its restructuring efforts and potential implications for its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKD) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookdale Senior Living stock, see the BKD Stock Forecast page.

Brookdale Senior Living’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. recently held its earnings call, which was marked by a largely positive sentiment. The company showcased significant improvements in key areas such as occupancy rates, EBITDA growth, and free cash flow. Additionally, Brookdale raised its annual guidance, demonstrating confidence in its strategic initiatives. Despite some challenges with the transition of leased assets, the overall outlook remains strong, with positives outweighing any negatives.

Brookdale Senior Living Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. is a leading operator of senior living communities in the United States, offering a range of services including independent living, assisted living, memory care, and continuing care retirement communities across 41 states.

Brookdale Senior Living Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results

Brookdale Senior Living announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing a significant improvement in occupancy rates and financial metrics compared to the previous year. The company reported a 200 basis point increase in occupancy to 80.1%, a critical threshold for cash flow generation, and raised its annual guidance for the second consecutive quarter, reflecting strong operational execution and momentum in occupancy performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKD) stock is a Sell with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookdale Senior Living stock, see the BKD Stock Forecast page.