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Brink's Company (BCO)
NYSE:BCO

Brink's Company (BCO) AI Stock Analysis

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Brink's Company

(NYSE:BCO)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
Brink's Company demonstrates strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and strategic initiatives, despite high leverage. Technical indicators suggest mixed momentum, and the valuation is moderate. The positive sentiment from the earnings call supports a favorable outlook, but financial risks and market challenges temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Business Growth
The higher-margin DRS/AMS business grew organically 20% in the first quarter and is expected to accelerate in the second half.
Earnings
First-quarter results handily beat consensus expectations, with adjusted EBITDA and EPS above the high end of guidance.
Share Repurchases
Share repurchases of $110 million year-to-date, accounting for 3% of share count, are seen as a supportive factor.
Negative Factors
Currency Impact
A stronger USD relative to other currencies is expected to present a 6% headwind to 2025 reported revenue growth compared to prior expectations of a 3.5% headwind.
FX Headwinds
Increased FX headwinds are expected to weigh on near-term revenue performance due to a stronger US Dollar and currency devaluations in key regions.
Revenue Growth
Reduced expectations for total company organic revenue growth in 2025 to 6%, down from 9%, reflecting slower Latin America growth as Argentina inflation moderates.

Brink's Company (BCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brink's Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Brink's Company provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers armored vehicle transportation of valuables; automated teller machine (ATM) management services, such as cash replenishment, replenishment forecasting, cash optimization, ATM remote monitoring, service call dispatching, transaction processing, installation, and first and second line maintenance services; network infrastructure; and cash-in-transit services. It also provides transportation services for diamonds, jewelry, precious metals, securities, bank notes, currency, high-tech devices, electronics, and pharmaceuticals; vault outsourcing and money processing services; and services related to deploying and servicing intelligent safes and safe control devices, as well as cashier balancing, counterfeit detection, account consolidation, electronic reporting, check imaging, and reconciliation services. In addition, the company offers technology applications, including online cash tracking, cash inventory management, and other web-based tools. Further, it provides bill payment and collection services; prepaid cards and corporate debit cards; and security system design and installation services that include alarms, motion detectors, closed-circuit televisions, and digital video recorders, as well as access control systems comprising card and biometric readers, electronic locks, and turnstiles. Additionally, the company offers monitoring services; and security and guarding services to protect airports, offices, warehouses, stores, and public venues. It serves banks and financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers, and other commercial operations. The company was formerly known as The Pittston Company and changed its name to The Brink's Company in May 2003. The Brink's Company was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrink's Company generates revenue primarily through its cash-in-transit services, which involve transporting cash and other valuables securely between locations. Additionally, Brink's provides cash management services, including cash processing, vaulting, and ATM replenishment and maintenance. The company also offers payment solutions that help businesses handle cash transactions efficiently. Key revenue streams include fees for transportation, storage, and processing of cash and valuables. Brink's partners with financial institutions, retailers, and other businesses, leveraging long-term contracts and service agreements to secure a stable income flow. The company's global presence and reputation for security and reliability are significant factors contributing to its earnings.

Brink's Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brink's Company demonstrates robust revenue growth and profitability improvements, supported by strong cash flow generation. However, high leverage and declining equity highlight potential financial risks. The company should focus on reducing debt and improving cost management to ensure long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Brink's Company shows a solid financial performance with a consistent revenue growth rate over multiple years. The gross profit margin and net profit margin have also increased, indicating improved profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins show room for improvement, suggesting potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a strong cash position and a decreasing trend in stockholders' equity, which indicates increased leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, posing potential risks of financial instability. The equity ratio is low, reflecting significant liabilities compared to equity.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Brink's Company has demonstrated strong operating cash flow and consistent free cash flow generation. However, the free cash flow growth rate has declined recently, and the reliance on debt financing raises concerns about long-term sustainability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.01B4.87B4.54B4.20B3.69B
Gross Profit
1.27B1.17B1.07B964.40M813.60M
EBIT
453.00M425.20M350.80M354.70M213.50M
EBITDA
817.30M715.40M613.00M576.10M373.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
162.90M87.70M170.60M105.20M22.70M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.40B1.18B972.00M710.30M620.90M
Total Assets
6.62B6.60B6.37B5.57B5.14B
Total Debt
4.25B3.88B3.65B3.21B2.75B
Net Debt
2.86B2.70B2.68B2.50B2.13B
Total Liabilities
6.31B6.08B5.80B5.31B4.93B
Stockholders Equity
184.90M397.40M570.20M252.60M202.50M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
203.50M499.70M297.30M310.10M199.20M
Operating Cash Flow
426.00M702.40M479.90M478.00M317.70M
Investing Cash Flow
-216.20M-179.80M-331.20M-454.70M-565.40M
Financing Cash Flow
42.20M-207.10M245.20M171.30M683.70M

Brink's Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price84.05
Price Trends
50DMA
87.57
Negative
100DMA
89.62
Negative
200DMA
95.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
38.78
Neutral
STOCH
4.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 84.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.40, below the 50-day MA of 87.57, and below the 200-day MA of 95.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BCO.

Brink's Company Risk Analysis

Brink's Company disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brink's Company reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We operate in regulated industries, and our failure to comply with the laws regulating our operations, and the costs we may incur to comply, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Q4, 2024
2.
We face risks related to our settlement agreements with the U.S. Department of Justice ("DOJ") and FinCEN, including additional monetary penalties if we fail to comply with the terms of the settlement agreements and costs and burdens associated with our compliance undertakings. Q4, 2024

Brink's Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.01B23.0827.48%1.68%-1.05%-2.78%
ADADT
72
Outperform
$7.14B14.6116.26%2.58%-5.44%-16.05%
SNSNT
70
Neutral
$92.02M65.29-3.47%
BCBCO
68
Neutral
$3.62B23.1054.50%1.12%1.97%41.88%
64
Neutral
$4.46B11.945.17%249.36%4.00%-12.35%
59
Neutral
$25.89M9.92%
GEGEO
58
Neutral
$3.89B146.202.12%0.50%-71.85%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCO
Brink's Company
84.05
-14.21
-14.46%
GEO
Geo Group
26.70
12.50
88.03%
SNT
Senstar Technologies
3.83
2.33
155.33%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
28.30
-18.71
-39.80%
SPCB
SuperCom
8.69
4.89
128.68%
ADT
Adt
8.46
1.39
19.66%

Brink's Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Brink's demonstrated strong growth in its high-margin AMS and DRS segments, expanded its shareholder returns, and secured significant new partnerships, which are positive indicators. However, the company faced currency headwinds in Latin America, a decline in interest income from Argentina, and margin pressures due to restructuring and FX impacts.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q1 Operating Profits and Organic Growth
Brink's delivered total organic growth of 6% in Q1 2025, at the top end of guidance. Operating profits increased by 40 basis points with a focus on higher-margin recurring revenue businesses.
Strong Performance in AMS and DRS
AMS and DRS grew over 20% for the fourth consecutive quarter, now representing 25% of the business. This growth supports performance consistency and margin expansion.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Brink's repurchased 1.3 million shares, representing about 3% of outstanding shares at year-end 2024. Additionally, the company announced the third consecutive annual increase to its quarterly dividend.
New Partnerships and Expansion
Brink's secured a new partnership with a leading financial institution in North America and announced new awards in Southeast Asia, indicating strong pipeline and market expansion.
Negative Updates
Currency Headwinds in Latin America
Organic growth of 7% in Latin America was more than offset by a 16% year-over-year currency devaluation, primarily impacting the Mexican peso and Argentine peso.
Interest Income Decline
Interest income from Argentina decreased by $5 million year-over-year due to moderating inflation, impacting overall margins.
Margin Pressure from Restructuring and FX
Q1 adjusted EBITDA margins were down 50 basis points due to currency mix impacts and higher restructuring costs.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Brink's Company reported a strong performance, achieving a total organic growth of 6%, which was at the top end of its previous guidance. The company's high-margin recurring revenue businesses, ATM Managed Services (AMS) and Digital Retail Solutions (DRS), experienced over 20% growth for the fourth consecutive quarter. Brink's reported an adjusted EBITDA of $215 million with a 17.2% margin and earnings per share of $1.62, both exceeding the high end of the guidance due to strong execution and expense timing shifts. The company also highlighted a free cash flow conversion of 40%, in line with expectations. Strategic initiatives remain focused on expanding AMS and DRS, enhancing margins, and adhering to a capital allocation framework. Brink's reaffirmed its full-year guidance, projecting mid-single-digit organic growth, 30 to 50 basis points of EBITDA margin expansion, and free cash flow conversion between 40% and 45%. For the second quarter, Brink's expects EBITDA between $205 million and $225 million, with earnings per share ranging from $1.25 to $1.65, maintaining its outlook despite currency headwinds and restructuring costs.

Brink's Company Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Brink’s Company Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Brink’s Company announced its strong first-quarter results, with revenue reaching the upper end of its guidance range and achieving a 6% organic growth. The company reported significant growth in ATM managed services and digital retail solutions, with a 20% increase in these areas. Brink’s also repurchased over 1.3 million shares year-to-date, nearly tripling the previous year’s repurchases. Despite global economic uncertainties, the company remains committed to executing its strategy to improve profitability and deliver shareholder value through growth in its AMS and DRS sectors, streamlining operations, and adhering to its capital allocation priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCO) stock is a Buy with a $111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brink’s Company stock, see the BCO Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on BCO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BCO is a Outperform.

Brink’s Company demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and profitability. The earnings call highlights promising strategic initiatives and partnerships despite currency headwinds. However, high leverage and a moderate valuation limit the overall potential. The technical indicators suggest positive momentum but warrant caution due to near-term resistance.

To see Spark’s full report on BCO stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Brink’s Company Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, The Brink’s Company held its annual meeting of shareholders where three proposals were discussed and voted on. Shareholders elected nine directors to the board, approved an advisory resolution on executive compensation, and selected KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s governance and financial oversight positively.

Spark’s Take on BCO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BCO is a Outperform.

Brink’s Company demonstrates strong financial performance and promising growth prospects, particularly highlighted by its earnings call. However, high leverage and mixed technical indicators present risks. Valuation remains moderate, offering potential but not a strong bargain. The overall score reflects the company’s solid present condition with caution due to financial risks and market sentiment.

To see Spark’s full report on BCO stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Brink’s Company Announces Leadership Changes in 2025
Neutral
Apr 3, 2025

On March 31, 2025, James K. Parks announced his retirement from his role as Executive Vice President and President of Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia at The Brink’s Company, effective May 1, 2025. Following his retirement, Michael Gabay will assume the role of Executive Vice President and President of Europe, while Nader Antar will expand his responsibilities to include the Rest of World segment, potentially impacting the company’s operational dynamics and leadership structure.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Brink’s Company Reports Record Revenue Growth in 2024
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Brink’s Company announced its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 results, highlighting a record revenue growth of 3% and organic growth of 12%. The company generated $426 million in cash from operations and $400 million in free cash flow, returning $245 million to shareholders. Brink’s also resolved investigations with the DOJ and FinCEN regarding historical cross-border currency shipments, incurring charges of $45.7 million, which impacted its earnings per share. The company remains focused on strategic growth and improving its revenue mix.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.