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SuperCom (SPCB) AI Stock Analysis

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SPCB

SuperCom

(NASDAQ:SPCB)

Select Model
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:$6.50â–²(5.35% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/14/26

The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow quality (negative operating and free cash flow) and a bearish technical setup with the stock trading well below major moving averages. These risks outweigh the positive earnings-call tone and improving profitability/leverage trend, while valuation also screens as unattractive due to a very high P/E and no dividend support.

Positive Factors
Revenue Growth and ScalabilityMaterial revenue growth combined with faster EBITDA expansion indicates improving operating leverage as the installed base and monitoring programs scale. If sustained, this model can spread onboarding costs across a larger recurring revenue base and support stronger earnings conversion over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Cash FlowNegative operating and free cash flow despite recent reported profitability raises concerns about earnings conversion and working-capital intensity. Until cash generation becomes sustainably positive, SuperCom may need external funding to support deployments and growth, limiting financial flexibility even after balance-sheet improvements.

SuperCom (SPCB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%SPCB-29.00%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$38.75M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
75.07K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
205.7
Beta (1Y)
1.65
Revenue Growth
14.70%
EPS Growth
-95.19%
Country
US
Employees
133
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Security & Protection Services

SuperCom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

SuperCom Ltd., an Israeli company founded in Tel Aviv-Yafo in 1988, delivers a diverse range of digital identity, Internet of Things (IoT) and connectivity, and cybersecurity solutions. Serving governments and both private and public sector entities...

SuperCom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-28.42%|Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2021
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. SuperCom reported double-digit revenue growth, faster EBITDA growth, substantial U.S. and European contract wins, improved liquidity, reduced net debt, and a growing pipeline. The company also highlighted the launch and early customer interest in SafeGenie. These strengths outweighed lower gross margin, foreign-exchange-related operating losses, lower GAAP earnings per share, temporary Romanian ordering moderation, and contract deployment timing variability.

Positive Updates

Third-Quarter Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Third-quarter revenue increased approximately 21% year over year to $7.5 million from $6.2 million, while EBITDA increased approximately 17% to $2.6 million from $2.2 million.

Negative Updates

Lower Gross Profit and Gross Margin
Third-quarter gross profit was $3.7 million compared with $3.8 million in the prior-year period, while gross margin declined to 49.8%, or approximately 50%, from 60.8%.

Company Guidance

Management said several European opportunities are expected to come up for bid over the next 24 months, including Italy, while England remains a significant opportunity valued at more than 150 million British pounds; Sweden’s project value is estimated to range from $17 million to $75 million and may expand to as many as 6,000 active offenders. In the U.S., management said it expects the number of wins to continue and also the size of wins, while the current sales team is sufficient; contract deployment can take 6 months or more, and customer ordering patterns can affect timing and revenue recognition. SafeGenie has between 500,000 and 1 million endpoints at Safend, with initial versions close to being ready to deploy, and the product could generate roughly 50x or more than current Safend revenue from the existing customer base, though management said it is not going to convert everyone to this product.

SuperCom Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong recent revenue growth and a swing to profitability plus improved leverage/equity are clear positives, but persistent negative operating and free cash flow remains a major risk and raises concerns about earnings quality and ongoing funding needs.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.41M27.90M27.64M26.57M17.65M12.27M
Gross Profit16.40M15.39M13.38M10.22M6.39M6.20M
EBITDA3.13M7.98M5.46M1.47M-3.29M-4.26M
Net Income860.00K3.75M661.00K-4.02M-7.46M-10.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets76.09M68.38M45.92M44.75M42.04M42.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.46M12.25M3.54M5.21M4.04M3.54M
Total Debt23.16M20.58M30.73M35.35M34.16M31.75M
Total Liabilities28.29M24.87M34.23M39.94M38.91M37.73M
Stockholders Equity47.80M43.51M11.70M4.82M3.13M4.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-8.69M-4.64M-5.73M-6.79M-11.10M
Operating Cash Flow0-7.80M-1.29M-2.37M-4.65M-9.41M
Investing Cash Flow0-5.44M-3.35M-3.37M-2.19M-1.64M
Financing Cash Flow019.59M2.60M6.80M6.74M11.70M

SuperCom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price6.17

Price Trends

50DMA9.26Negative
100DMA10.07Negative
200DMA9.71Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.56Positive
RSI22.22Positive
STOCH11.44Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPCB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.91, below the 50-day MA of 9.26, and below the 200-day MA of 9.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.22 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SPCB.

SuperCom Risk Analysis

SuperCom disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SuperCom reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

SuperCom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SPCB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
SPCBSPCB53Neutral$41.83M205.670.46%―14.70%-95.19%
BKYIBKYI48Neutral$5.25M-0.32-51.58%―7.50%35.13%
KSCPKSCP43Neutral$10.51M-0.14-157.69%―126.15%56.23%
SUGPSUGP41Neutral$2.76M-0.33-21.40%―-13.97%-130.90%
GFAIGFAI38Underperform$5.30M-0.41-23.20%―-4.57%21.93%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%SPCBBKYIGFAIKSCPSUGPDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SPCB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SPCBSuperCom Ltd.6.17-2.24-26.63%
BKYIBio-Key International2.12-7.62-78.24%
GFAIGuardforce Ai Co., Ltd.0.14-0.67-82.12%
KSCPKnightscope Inc Class A0.42-4.63-91.70%
SUGPSU Group Holdings Ltd1.23-189.27-99.35%

SuperCom Corporate Events

SuperCom Files First-Half 2026 Results, Shows Revenue Growth but Lower Profit

Sep 30, 2026

On September 30, 2026, SuperCom Ltd. filed a Form 6-K furnishing unaudited condensed interim consolidated financial statements as of June 30, 2026 and related management discussion for the six-month period then ended. The filing integrates these figu...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2026