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Banco De Chile (BCH) AI Stock Analysis

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BCH

Banco De Chile

(NYSE:BCH)

Select Model
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:$42.00â–²(8.70% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The score is supported primarily by solid financial fundamentals (strong profitability and ROE) and attractive valuation/income (mid P/E with a high dividend yield). Offsetting these positives are uneven revenue and cash-flow consistency and a weaker technical backdrop (below key moving averages with negative MACD), while the earnings call adds modest support but includes slightly more conservative guidance and higher provisioning.

Positive Factors
Strong ProfitabilityHigh profitability and returns on equity indicate that Banco de Chile is converting its balance sheet and customer franchise into substantial earnings. This supports internal capital generation, resilience through moderate economic weakness, and continued investment in products, technology, and distribution.
Negative Factors
Rising Credit CostsRapid growth in expected credit losses signals a less benign credit cycle and can reduce earnings even while operating revenue remains resilient. Persistent provisioning pressure would weaken returns, constrain capital available for growth, and make profitability more sensitive to borrower performance.

Banco De Chile (BCH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%BCH+9.07%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$19.81B
Dividend Yield
5.66%
Average Volume (3M)
328.16K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.1
Beta (1Y)
0.48
Revenue Growth
3.85%
EPS Growth
3.99%
Country
US
Employees
11,156
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Banco De Chile Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating across Chile, Banco de Chile (BCH) and its subsidiaries offer a wide array of banking and financial products and services to customers throughout the country. The company's operations are structured into three primary divisions: Retail Bank...

How the Company Makes Money

Banco de Chile primarily makes money through traditional banking revenue streams. The largest driver is typically net interest income, earned from the spread between interest received on loans (e.g., consumer, mortgage, and commercial lending) and in...

Banco De Chile Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-8.54%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong revenue and fee growth, industry‑leading margins, high profitability, top‑tier efficiency and solid capital/coverage metrics. Weak macro activity in H1, higher inflation volatility, additional provisioning and a modest downward revision to loan growth and ROE guidance were notable cautions. Overall the bank delivered robust results while taking conservative provisions and maintaining flexibility to deploy capital as the economy recovers.

Positive Updates

Strong Operating Revenue Growth
Operating revenues reached CLP 922 billion in Q2, up 20.9% year‑on‑year (from CLP 749 billion in the prior quarter), driven by higher inflation and loan/fee growth.

Negative Updates

Macroeconomic Slowdown and Revised Growth Forecast
Chile GDP was weak in H1 (GDP down ~0.2% year‑on‑year in H1; Q2 weak expansion ~0.1% y/y) and the bank revised its 2026 growth forecast down from 2.1% to 1.3% due to supply‑side shocks (notably mining).

Company Guidance

Management updated 2026 guidance noting weaker H1 macro performance but continued resilience: Banco de Chile now expects nominal loan growth of ~6% (vs ~7% previously), a year‑end NIM of ~4.6% (H1 NIM 4.9%), cost of risk of 1.2–1.3% (up from 1.15% excluding the CLP 50bn Q2 additional provisions that drove a quarterly cost of risk of 1.65%), an efficiency ratio improving to ~37% by Dec‑2026 (vs prior 38%), and return on average capital & reserves of 21–22% by year‑end (management attributed ~90bp impact on guidance from the extra provisions). Macro assumptions: Chile GDP ~1.3% for 2026 and ~3% for 2027, inflation ~4% in 2026 and a policy rate of 4.5%; industry benchmarks were modestly revised to industry loan growth ~4% nominal, industry NIM 3.6–3.8%, industry NPLs ending 2.3–2.4% and credit loss expense 1.2–1.3%. Management also flagged capital strength (CET1 13.9%, total capital 17.6% at June), a long‑run effective tax benefit from the reform of ~CLP 40bn/year with a one‑off ~CLP 69–70bn impact on enactment, and a long‑term dividend assumption of ~60% payout.

Banco De Chile Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability for a regional bank (TTM net margin ~29%) and healthy ROE (~21% TTM) support the score, but revenue inconsistency across 2023–2025, pronounced cash-flow volatility (deeply negative FCF growth in TTM), and large swings in leverage metrics reduce confidence in stability.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

61Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.58T3.03T4.65T5.09T5.31T3.03T
Gross Profit2.76T2.64T2.69T2.77T2.71T2.20T
EBITDA2.21T1.61T1.68T1.79T1.82T1.41T
Net Income1.23T1.19T1.25T1.37T1.45T1.06T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.91T54.10T52.06T55.72T55.11T51.43T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.69T6.48T5.14T6.78T7.51T7.10T
Total Debt13.70T13.55T12.06T11.67T10.62T9.27T
Total Liabilities50.09T47.42T45.55T49.64T49.68T46.61T
Stockholders Equity5.82T6.69T6.50T6.08T5.43T4.82T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow386.61B748.78B379.42B1.64T50.49B2.94T
Operating Cash Flow430.53B826.08B396.64B1.73T128.61B3.01T
Investing Cash Flow-43.23B-1.19T-58.34B-346.50B-847.82B-2.99T
Financing Cash Flow-1.68T110.76B-1.56T-1.56T-161.80B1.38T

Banco De Chile Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price38.64

Price Trends

50DMA39.83Negative
100DMA40.32Negative
200DMA39.50Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.19Negative
RSI47.25Neutral
STOCH74.07Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 38.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.70, below the 50-day MA of 39.83, and below the 200-day MA of 39.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BCH.

Banco De Chile Risk Analysis

Banco De Chile disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco De Chile reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Banco De Chile Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

BCH against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CIBCIB73Outperform$23.53B9.1920.04%4.42%15.64%10.35%
BCHBCH68Neutral$19.74B16.0721.27%5.66%3.85%3.99%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
BSACBSAC61Neutral$15.15B13.7822.03%4.63%17.78%9.86%
BBDBBD57Neutral$27.33B5.4514.24%5.90%29.04%34.36%
BSBRBSBR51Neutral$18.21B34.5710.09%2.94%18.27%16.65%
GGALGGAL51Neutral$5.17B44.902.13%5.69%3.21%-89.45%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%BCHBBDBSBRBSACCIBGGALDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BCH and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BCHBanco De Chile38.643.8511.06%
BBDBanco Bradesco2.51-0.97-27.87%
BSBRBanco Santander Brasil SA5.02-1.04-17.18%
BSACBanco Santander-Chile31.973.8413.67%
CIBGrupo Cibest S.A.88.6429.2449.22%
GGALGrupo Financiero Galicia29.04-22.03-43.14%

Banco De Chile Corporate Events

Banco de Chile Places CLF 684,000 Senior Bonds Locally

Nov 2, 2026

Banco de Chile is a Chilean banking institution providing financial services to retail, commercial and institutional customers, with a focus on the domestic market.On November 2, 2026, the bank placed senior, dematerialized, bearer Series FT bonds in...

Banco de Chile Files September 30, 2026 Interim Financials on Form 6-K

Oct 30, 2026

On October 30, 2026, Banco de Chile filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, furnishing its interim consolidated financial statements as of September 30, 2026. The package includes full IFRS-compliant statements of financial...

Banco de Chile Posts Higher Revenues but Rising Credit Costs in Q3 2026

Oct 30, 2026

On October 30, 2026, Banco de Chile reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2026 and for the year to date ended September 30, 2026, showing modest profit growth despite rising credit costs. Net income declined 1.8% year-on-year in the...

Banco de Chile Sets April 2027 CEO Transition in Planned Succession

Oct 29, 2026

On October 29, 2026, Banco de Chile disclosed that long-serving Chief Executive Officer Eduardo Ebensperger Orrego submitted his resignation to the board, effective April 2, 2027. The board accepted his departure, commended his more than ten-year ten...

Banco de Chile Raises Long-Term Funding with Local Bond Placement on September 4, 2026

Sep 4, 2026

On September 4, 2026, Banco de Chile completed the placement of senior, dematerialized bearer bonds in the Chilean local market, underscoring its ongoing use of domestic capital markets for funding. The issuance comprised two series that extend the b...

Banco de Chile Places UF-Denominated Serie FT Bonds in Local Market

Sep 3, 2026

Banco de Chile on September 3, 2026 reported to Chile’s Financial Market Commission that it had completed a local placement of senior, dematerialized and bearer bonds, reinforcing its use of domestic capital markets for long-term funding. The issuanc...

Banco de Chile Board Amends Related-Party Transactions Policy

Aug 27, 2026

Banco de Chile disclosed that its board of directors amended the bank’s Customary Transactions with Related Parties Policy at a meeting held in Santiago on August 27, 2026. The updated policy, now available at the bank’s corporate offices and on its...

Banco de Chile Raises Long-Term Funding with Local FT Bond Placement

Aug 27, 2026

On August 27, 2026, Banco de Chile executed a placement of senior, dematerialized, bearer bonds in the Chilean local market, reinforcing its access to domestic funding sources. The FT series bonds, registered under number 11/2022, totaled 1,100,000 C...

Banco de Chile Secures Long-Term Funding with CLF 1.3 Million Bond Placement

Aug 21, 2026

Banco de Chile is one of Chile’s leading commercial banks, offering retail and corporate banking, treasury services and capital markets products across the domestic market. The institution regularly taps local debt markets, reflecting its role as a k...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026