Aura Minerals (AUGO)
NASDAQ:AUGO
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Aura Minerals
(NASDAQ:AUGO)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$57.00
▼(-47.77% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/11/26
The score is driven primarily by strong fundamentals and improving cash generation, reinforced by a constructive earnings-call outlook (reaffirmed/raised guidance, strong free cash flow, improving leverage). These positives are tempered by weak technicals (downtrend and negative momentum) and a demanding valuation (high P/E despite a supportive dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Improved cash generation
Material improvement in operating and free cash flow gives durable internal funding for growth capex, dividends and debt reduction. Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, reduces reliance on external financing and supports multi‑year project execution and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Debt above equity leaves the balance sheet more leveraged than ideal for a commodity producer, increasing sensitivity to price and cost shocks. Elevated leverage can constrain capital allocation, raise interest servicing risk and limit flexibility if cash flow softness occurs during project build.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved cash generation
Material improvement in operating and free cash flow gives durable internal funding for growth capex, dividends and debt reduction. Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, reduces reliance on external financing and supports multi‑year project execution and shareholder returns.
Read all positive factors
Aura Minerals (AUGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.10B
Dividend Yield2.81%
Average Volume (3M)912.43K
Price to Earnings (P/E)55.8
Beta (1Y)0.96
Revenue Growth83.13%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees1,337
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryGold
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.11
Shares Outstanding83,789,220
10 Day Avg. Volume884,066
30 Day Avg. Volume912,429
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.40
Price to Book (P/B)15.50
Price to Sales (P/S)4.47
P/FCF Ratio52.46
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.32
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.90
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit10.46
Enterprise Value/Ebitda18.21
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$116.00Price Target Upside6.29% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)10.88
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.76B
Aura Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Aura Minerals Inc. is an enterprise focused on the extraction and processing of gold and copper, strategically engaged in exploring, developing, and managing gold and various base metal projects across the Americas. Its active production sites com...
How the Company Makes Money
Aura Minerals makes money primarily by producing metals from its mining operations and selling those metals to third parties. Its key revenue stream is the sale of gold (typically sold as doré bars) and, where applicable, the sale of by-product me...
Aura Minerals Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operational and financial achievements — record revenue, record adjusted EBITDA, higher liquidity and trading volumes, a large reserves upgrade, improving net leverage, strong free cash flow and approved construction of a high‑quality project (Era Dorada). Most negatives were short‑term and operational: consolidation impacts from the MSG acquisition (raising near‑term costs and requiring a turnaround), mine sequencing effects depressing H1 production and costs, hedge mark‑to‑market volatility, a safety incident and some plant bottlenecks. Management provided timelines and mitigation plans for the main issues (MSG turnaround, Borborema filter additions, H2 production pickup), and reiterated confidence in full‑year guidance, balance sheet flexibility and dividend capacity.Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue and LTM Revenue
Revenue reached a record quarterly level of $383 million (management figure); last-12-month revenue exceeded $1.1 billion.
Negative Updates
All‑in Sustaining Cash Cost Increase
AISC increased to $1,829/oz in Q1 from $1,521/oz in the prior quarter (+~20%), driven largely by consolidation of MSG and short‑term mine sequencing effects. Management estimates AISC excluding MSG would be close to $1,500/oz and expects improvements later in the year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Quarterly Revenue and LTM Revenue
Revenue reached a record quarterly level of $383 million (management figure); last-12-month revenue exceeded $1.1 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reaffirmed 2026 production guidance of 340–390 koz (Q1 actual 82.1 koz including MSG) with stronger output expected in H2, aiming to exceed 600 koz longer term and ultimately target ~1 Moz via M&A; Q1 revenue was ~$383M, adjusted EBITDA $244M and recurring free cash flow $95M. Management flagged Q1 all‑in sustaining costs of $1,829/oz (would be ~$1,500/oz ex‑MSG), expects MSG to be in turnaround in 2026 with run‑rate ambition ~80 kozpa and AISC near $2,000/oz once prepared (temporary higher costs in Q1–Q2), and said Era Dorada construction is approved with expected production ~111 kozpa (first production 2028) and CapEx split over this year and next. Reserves were materially upgraded (P&P up to ~7.2 Moz, ~+3.8 Moz year‑on‑year, and total inventory approaching ~10 Moz when adding M&I after converting ~2.5 Moz), Borborema’s life‑of‑mine rose to 36 years while an expansion to ~4 Mtpa is under study (board decision expected Q2–Q3), and the company reiterated a strong capital allocation stance (net debt ~$115M, net leverage 0.16, cash ~ $207M end‑Q1, Q1 dividends declared/paid—record $65M declared/$55M distributed) while using an FX assumption of BRL/USD ~5.30 and continuing to evaluate hedging (puts/zero‑cost collars) as appropriate.Aura Minerals Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
71
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.14B | 921.73M | 594.16M | 416.89M | 392.70M | 424.01M |
| Gross Profit | 644.49M | 534.87M | 251.27M | 126.02M | 125.69M | 188.34M |
| EBITDA | 370.39M | 152.97M | 149.80M | 106.42M | 135.01M | 192.13M |
| Net Income | 89.07M | -79.34M | -30.27M | 31.88M | 66.50M | 43.50M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.64B | 1.61B | 1.08B | 923.82M | 727.31M | 592.48M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 271.14M | 286.06M | 270.19M | 237.29M | 127.90M | 161.49M |
| Total Debt | 430.26M | 411.17M | 385.35M | 289.38M | 180.08M | 100.97M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.34B | 1.34B | 857.31M | 609.02M | 417.18M | 320.20M |
| Stockholders Equity | 301.86M | 265.74M | 222.96M | 314.80M | 310.13M | 272.27M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 177.47M | 78.50M | 41.66M | 28.85M | -7.00M | 51.72M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 347.79M | 257.93M | 222.24M | 124.95M | 96.36M | 131.19M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -226.40M | -253.98M | -176.40M | -93.93M | -157.50M | -78.16M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -50.75M | 10.47M | 5.20M | 79.43M | 21.88M | -8.63M |
Aura Minerals Technical Analysis
Neutral
109.14
Price Trends
81.99
Negative
77.73
Negative
58.36
Positive
Market Momentum
-6.58
Positive
38.88
Neutral
18.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AUGO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 109.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.41, above the 50-day MA of 81.99, and above the 200-day MA of 58.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AUGO.
Aura Minerals Risk Analysis
Aura Minerals disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aura Minerals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Aura Minerals Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $390.18M | 6.43 | 24.36% | 2.06% | 40.20% | 141.58% | |
68 Neutral | $575.32M | 26.85 | 24.58% | ― | 82.76% | 124.83% | |
67 Neutral | $2.04B | 10.36 | 32.58% | 1.02% | 32.68% | 91.90% | |
64 Neutral | $5.10B | 55.83 | 34.60% | 2.81% | 83.13% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
42 Neutral | $2.35B | -29.95 | -65.73% | ― | ― | 40.49% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
AUGO
Aura Minerals
60.89
34.10
127.24%
DRD
Drdgold
23.47
9.00
62.21%
CMCL
Caledonia Mining
20.18
0.91
4.70%
HYMC
Hycroft Mining Holding
25.76
22.68
736.36%
IDR
Idaho Strategic Resources
36.39
21.92
151.49%
DC
Dakota Gold Corp
4.93
0.90
22.33%
Aura Minerals Corporate Events
Aura Minerals Files May 2026 Corporate Update Highlighting Production Growth and Expanded Reserves
May 26, 2026
Aura Minerals Inc. is a diversified Latin American gold and copper producer operating six mines and advancing additional projects in Brazil, Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala and Colombia. The company targets growth in gold-equivalent output while relyi...
Aura Minerals Showcases Record 2025 Output and Sustainability Gains in New Report
May 19, 2026
Aura Minerals has released its 2025 Sustainability Report, detailing performance and initiatives across its operations from January 1 to December 31, 2025. The report follows GRI and SASB standards and aligns with World Gold Council and UN Global ...
Aura Minerals Sets June 16 Virtual AGM to Vote on Board, Auditors and Charter Overhaul
May 14, 2026
Aura Minerals Inc. has called its 2026 Annual General and Special Meeting of Shareholders for June 16, 2026, to be held virtually via live webcast, reflecting an ongoing shift toward digital shareholder engagement. Investors of record as of May 4,...
Aura Minerals Announces Record Q1 2026 Dividend on Strong EBITDA and Project Advances
May 7, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Aura Minerals announced that its board approved a dividend of US$0.78 per common share, totaling about US$65.4 million and representing an indicated last‑twelve‑months dividend yield of 4.5%, above the minimum set in it...
Aura Minerals Posts Record Q1 2026 Results and Greenlights Era Dorada Development
May 7, 2026
Aura Minerals reported strong operational and financial performance for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, highlighted by record production of 82,137 gold equivalent ounces and record net revenue of US$382.6 million, driven by higher gold and coppe...
Aura Minerals Hikes 2026 CAPEX as Board Greenlights Era Dorada Construction
Apr 15, 2026
On April 13, 2026, Aura Minerals’ board approved the start of construction of the Era Dorada gold project in Guatemala, triggering a sharp revision to its 2026 capital expenditure plan. Expansion CAPEX guidance for 2026 was lifted from a pri...
Aura Minerals Board Clears US$382 Million Era Dorada Gold Project With Expanded Social and Environmental Commitments
Apr 14, 2026
Aura Minerals said on April 13, 2026 that its board has granted full approval for the development of the Era Dorada underground gold project in Guatemala, with total capital expenditures estimated at US$382 million and average annual production fo...
Aura Minerals Posts Record Q1 2026 Production, Stays on Track With Guidance
Apr 10, 2026
On April 10, 2026, Aura Minerals reported preliminary Q1 2026 production of 82,137 gold equivalent ounces at current prices, marking another record quarter and a 37% increase versus Q1 2025, with sales of 81,364 GEO and overall performance trackin...
Aura Minerals Doubles Proven and Probable Reserves in 2025 Update, Triples Inferred Resources
Apr 1, 2026
Aura Minerals reported on April 1, 2026 that its updated mineral reserves and resources for the year ended 2025 showed a sharp expansion across its six operating mines and key development projects. Proven and probable reserves rose to 7.22 million...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.