Treasury Wine Estates Limited (TWE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.99B
• Dividend Yield: 5.42%
• Average Volume (3M): 4.54M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.70
• Revenue Growth: 6.47%
• EPS Growth: 281.30%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 2,600
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
• EPS (TTM): 0.28
• Shares Outstanding: 811,426,450
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,333,430
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,541,093
• PEG Ratio: 0.05
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.32
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.16
• P/FCF Ratio: 16.31
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.36
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.73
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.75
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 8.44
• 1Y Price Target: $9.64
• Price Target Upside: 30.59% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 12

• Rating: 71 Outperform
• Price Target: AU$8.50 ▲(15.18% Upside)

Treasury Wine Estates Limited scores well due to its strong earnings call performance and solid financial management, particularly in cash flow and profitability. The valuation is attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield. However, technical indicators are mixed, and challenges in revenue growth and distribution disruptions pose risks.

Positive Factors

Negative Factors

Treasury Wine Estates Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Treasury Wine Estates Limited operates as a wine company primarily in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Americas. The company engages in the viticulture and winemaking; and marketing, sale, and distribution of wine. Its wine portfolio includes luxury, premium and commercial wine brands, such as 19 Crimes, Acacia Vineyard, Annie's Lane, Beaulieu Vineyard, Belcreme de Lys, Beringer Vineyards, Blossom Hill, Cavaliere d'Oro, Coldstream Hills, Devil's Lair, EMBRAZEN, Etude, Fifth Leg, Heemskerk, Hewitt Vineyard, Ingoldby, Jamieson's Run, Killawarra, Leo Buring, Lindeman's, Maison de Grand Esprit, Matua, Penfolds, Pepperjack, Rawson's Retreat, Rosemount Estate, Run Riot, Saltram, Samuel Wynn & Co, Secret Stone, Seppelt, Shingle Peak, Sledgehammer, Squealing pig, St Huberts, Stags' Leap Winery, Stellina di Notte, Sterling Vineyards, T'Gallant, The Walking Dead Wine, Wolf Blass, Wynns Coonawarra Estate, and Yellowglen. The company also provides contract bottling services to third parties; and sells grape and bulk wine. It owns and leases 8,362 planted hectares of vineyards in Australia and New Zealand; 2,702 planted hectares in California, including the Napa Valley, Sonoma County, Lake County, and Central Coast; 90 planted hectares in France's Bordeaux region; and 154 planted hectares in Tuscany, Italy. The company markets and sells its products to distributors, wholesalers, retails chains, independent retailers, and on-premise outlets, as well as directly to consumers. Treasury Wine Estates Limited was founded in 1843 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Treasury Wine Estates Limited makes money primarily through the sale of its wine products across various global markets. The company's revenue model is based on the production and distribution of wine from its own vineyards and sourced grapes. Key revenue streams include wholesale distribution to retailers and restaurants, direct-to-consumer sales through online platforms and cellar doors, and exports to international markets. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include its strong brand portfolio, strategic investments in vineyard acquisitions, and partnerships with distributors and retailers worldwide. TWE's focus on premiumization and brand differentiation helps drive profitability, alongside its expansion into emerging markets and investment in digital sales channels.

Treasury Wine Estates Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Treasury Wine Estates Limited shows a stable financial position with strengths in profitability and cash flow management. Despite challenges in revenue growth, the company maintains healthy margins and improved cash flow generation. The balance sheet is solid, though rising debt levels require attention.

Income Statement

Treasury Wine Estates Limited shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a revenue decline of 4.15% in the most recent year, indicating potential challenges in sales growth. However, the gross profit margin remains healthy, suggesting effective cost management. The net profit margin has improved significantly from the previous year, reflecting enhanced profitability. Despite a decrease in EBIT, the company maintains a solid EBITDA margin, which is a positive indicator of operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Treasury Wine Estates Limited is relatively strong, with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure. Return on equity has improved, showcasing better utilization of shareholder funds. However, the increase in total debt over the years suggests a need for careful monitoring of leverage levels to avoid potential financial strain.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals positive trends, with a notable growth in free cash flow, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio has also improved, highlighting effective cash management. These factors contribute to a robust cash flow position, supporting the company's financial flexibility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.99B	2.94B	2.81B	2.49B	2.53B	2.68B
Gross Profit	1.42B	1.37B	1.23B	1.07B	1.03B	1.16B
EBITDA	966.90M	1.03B	528.90M	636.70M	644.40M	615.30M
Net Income	436.90M	436.90M	98.90M	254.50M	263.20M	250.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	8.31B	8.31B	8.11B	7.09B	6.66B	6.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	427.70M	427.70M	458.10M	565.80M	430.50M	448.10M
Total Debt	2.20B	2.20B	2.16B	1.94B	1.74B	1.53B
Total Liabilities	3.51B	3.51B	3.50B	3.21B	2.87B	2.69B
Stockholders Equity	4.78B	4.78B	4.59B	3.86B	3.78B	3.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	396.60M	388.60M	241.60M	23.00M	449.80M	350.50M
Operating Cash Flow	525.70M	525.70M	431.70M	272.00M	562.00M	471.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-149.00M	-149.00M	-1.32B	-111.40M	-408.60M	-59.40M
Financing Cash Flow	-408.50M	-408.50M	783.00M	-27.20M	-184.80M	-403.60M

Treasury Wine Estates Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 7.38
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TWE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.67, below the 50-day MA of 7.66, and below the 200-day MA of 8.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:TWE.

Treasury Wine Estates Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TWE	71 Outperform	$5.99B	13.84	9.13%	5.42%	6.47%	281.30%
EDV	60 Neutral	6.55B	15.43	11.11%	5.14%	-2.04%	-16.79%
AVG	50 Neutral	46.12M	-4.83	0.00%	―	-1.31%	92.08%
LRK	48 Neutral	81.69M	-6.85	-9.72%	―	2.62%	-85.79%
TSI	42 Neutral	13.00M	-0.44	0.00%	―	0.00%	0.00%
ZNO	40 Underperform	13.00M	-3.17	0.00%	―	17.41%	67.94%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%

Treasury Wine Estates Limited Corporate Events

Treasury Wine Estates Updates on Buy-Back Program

Treasury Wine Estates Limited has announced an update on its ongoing on-market buy-back program, revealing that a total of 1,644,978 securities have been bought back to date, with an additional 180,000 securities purchased on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TWE) stock is a Buy with a A$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Treasury Wine Estates Limited stock, see the AU:TWE Stock Forecast page.

Treasury Wine Estates Updates on Buy-Back Program

Treasury Wine Estates Limited announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program. As of September 4, 2025, the company reported buying back a total of 1,197,978 securities before the previous day and an additional 447,000 securities on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TWE) stock is a Buy with a A$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Treasury Wine Estates Limited stock, see the AU:TWE Stock Forecast page.

Treasury Wine Estates Updates on Daily Buy-Back Activity

Treasury Wine Estates Limited has announced a daily update on its ongoing on-market buy-back program, revealing that a total of 217,000 ordinary fully paid securities were bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TWE) stock is a Buy with a A$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Treasury Wine Estates Limited stock, see the AU:TWE Stock Forecast page.

Treasury Wine Estates Updates on Share Buy-Back Progress

Treasury Wine Estates Limited has announced an update on its ongoing on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities, with a total of 305,528 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TWE) stock is a Buy with a A$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Treasury Wine Estates Limited stock, see the AU:TWE Stock Forecast page.

Treasury Wine Estates Updates on Share Buy-Back Program

Treasury Wine Estates Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program. As of September 1, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 675,450 ordinary fully paid securities, with 350,000 bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TWE) stock is a Buy with a A$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Treasury Wine Estates Limited stock, see the AU:TWE Stock Forecast page.

Treasury Wine Estates Updates on Buy-Back Program

Treasury Wine Estates Limited announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program, with 325,450 ordinary fully paid securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TWE) stock is a Buy with a A$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Treasury Wine Estates Limited stock, see the AU:TWE Stock Forecast page.

Treasury Wine Estates Director Increases Shareholding

Treasury Wine Estates Limited announced a change in the relevant interests of its Non-Executive Director, Nigel Garrard, who acquired 10,000 ordinary shares through on-market trades. This acquisition increases Mr. Garrard’s total holdings to 17,500 shares, reflecting his confidence in the company’s future prospects and potentially impacting investor perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TWE) stock is a Buy with a A$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Treasury Wine Estates Limited stock, see the AU:TWE Stock Forecast page.

Treasury Wine Estates Director Increases Shareholding

Treasury Wine Estates Limited announced a change in the director’s interest as Non-Executive Director Antonia Korsanos acquired 5,000 ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition reflects a personal investment by a key member of the company’s board, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TWE) stock is a Buy with a A$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Treasury Wine Estates Limited stock, see the AU:TWE Stock Forecast page.

Treasury Wine Estates Chairman Increases Shareholding

Treasury Wine Estates Limited announced a change in the securities interests of its Non-Executive Director and Chairman, John Mullen. Mr. Mullen acquired 65,000 ordinary shares through an on-market trade and an additional 15,350 shares via the TWE Director Share Acquisition Plan. This acquisition reflects a significant increase in Mr. Mullen’s stake in the company, which could signal confidence in the company’s future prospects and may influence stakeholder perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TWE) stock is a Buy with a A$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Treasury Wine Estates Limited stock, see the AU:TWE Stock Forecast page.