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Australian Vintage Ltd (AU:AVG)
ASX:AVG
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Australian Vintage Ltd (AVG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AVG

Australian Vintage Ltd

(Sydney:AVG)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.08
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/28/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (large 2026 losses, rising leverage, and negative free cash flow). Technicals provide some support with improving short-term momentum, but valuation is not compelling given a negative P/E and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Positive revenue growth indicates ongoing demand for the company’s wine products and provides a foundation for recovery if margins improve. Sustained sales expansion can support better production utilisation and strengthen distribution relationships.
Negative Factors
Sharp Profitability Deterioration
Deep operating and net losses show that the current business model is not converting revenue into sustainable profit. The sharp margin contraction signals weak pricing and cost resilience, making recovery dependent on a material improvement in earnings quality.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Positive revenue growth indicates ongoing demand for the company’s wine products and provides a foundation for recovery if margins improve. Sustained sales expansion can support better production utilisation and strengthen distribution relationships.
Read all positive factors

Australian Vintage Ltd (AVG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Australian Vintage Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Australian Vintage Ltd, through its various subsidiaries, oversees the entire process of wine production, from manufacturing and packaging to marketing and global distribution. Its significant international presence spans Australia, the United Kin...
How the Company Makes Money
AVG primarily makes money by selling wine and related products through a mix of branded consumer channels and commercial supply arrangements. Its main revenue stream is the sale of branded packaged wine (e.g., bottled and other retail-ready format...

Australian Vintage Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak overall fundamentals driven by a sharp deterioration in profitability and stability. 2026 margins turned meaningfully negative (EBIT and net losses), leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~1.12x), and cash generation remains inconsistent with negative free cash flow in 2026 despite slightly positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue257.56M257.19M260.59M258.56M260.10M
Gross Profit31.90M69.36M27.69M75.11M85.35M
EBITDA-28.02M3.20M-62.28M12.77M35.41M
Net Income-66.36M-9.56M-93.03M4.01M17.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets387.20M431.35M415.43M498.04M515.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.74M8.88M6.02M6.90M2.55M
Total Debt152.10M142.05M137.27M128.89M125.37M
Total Liabilities251.18M240.34M201.83M206.92M215.75M
Stockholders Equity136.02M191.01M213.60M291.12M299.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.64M-14.65M-18.84M-23.48M4.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.32M-7.66M-10.96M-12.72M15.35M
Investing Cash Flow-8.94M-811.00K-2.74M57.46M-9.70M
Financing Cash Flow2.48M11.33M12.82M-40.39M-6.75M

Australian Vintage Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.08
Price Trends
50DMA
0.07
Positive
100DMA
0.07
Positive
200DMA
0.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
64.05
Neutral
STOCH
59.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, above the 50-day MA of 0.07, and below the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AVG.

Australian Vintage Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
AU$4.48B-4.17-29.99%3.61%-12.18%-347.47%
49
Neutral
AU$5.85B108.671.37%3.68%1.28%-87.89%
47
Neutral
AU$26.69M-0.41-42.35%5.40%0.14%-594.48%
47
Neutral
AU$91.28M-2.31-41.67%14.75%-231.49%
44
Neutral
AU$1.43B-335.96-0.82%1.48%11.29%-107.51%
43
Neutral
AU$23.74M-2.51-27.95%6.99%-0.25%60.85%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AVG
Australian Vintage Ltd
0.08
-0.04
-35.20%
AU:TWE
Treasury Wine Estates Limited
5.54
-2.10
-27.49%
AU:CBO
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd.
2.99
-0.19
-5.97%
AU:LRK
Lark Distilling Co. Ltd.
0.85
0.09
11.84%
AU:EDV
Endeavour Group Ltd
3.26
-0.31
-8.79%
AU:MBH
Maggie Beer Holdings Ltd.
0.05
>-0.01
-14.52%

Australian Vintage Ltd Corporate Events

Australian Vintage lifts CEO pay after FY26 turnaround
Aug 26, 2026
Australian Vintage Ltd has approved a variation to Chief Executive Officer Tom Dusseldorp&#8217;s employment agreement, increasing his remuneration from the start of the FY27 financial year in recognition of a successful FY26 turnaround. The board...
Australian Vintage Issues FY26 Results Presentation with Extensive Risk Disclaimers
Aug 26, 2026
Australian Vintage Limited has released a FY26 full-year results presentation that provides a high-level overview of the company&#8217;s activities as of August 2026, while stressing that the material is general background information and may chan...
Australian Vintage turns cash flow positive as innovation-led brands drive FY26 reset
Aug 26, 2026
Australian Vintage reported flat revenue of $258 million for FY26 but significantly improved cash generation, delivering positive operating and underlying free cash flow for the first time since FY22 despite a reported NPAT loss of $64 million dri...
Australian Vintage Posts Heavy Losses Despite Flat Revenue
Aug 26, 2026
Australian Vintage Ltd reported flat total operating revenue of $257.6 million for the year to 30 June 2026 compared with the prior year, highlighting stable top-line performance in a challenging environment. However, the company&#8217;s net tangi...
Australian Vintage Finalises Debt Refinancing Deal with NAB
Jun 17, 2026
Australian Vintage Limited has confirmed the execution of a final, binding amendment deed with National Australia Bank to refinance its structural debt. The facility extends the company&#8217;s debt profile for two years to 2028, with an option to...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026