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Breville Group (BRG) AI Stock Analysis
Breville Group
(ASX:BRG)
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial quality (low leverage, solid profitability, and strong growth) and a generally constructive earnings-call outlook backed by strategic execution and balance-sheet capacity. This is offset by margin/cash-flow volatility, a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E with modest yield), and only neutral near-term technical momentum.
Breville Group (BRG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
- Market Cap
- AUD 3.03B
- Dividend Yield
- 1.24%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 365.06K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 31.9
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.31
- Revenue Growth
- 6.74%
- EPS Growth
- 1.18%
- Country
- Australia
- Employees
- 1,239
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Breville Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in 1957 and headquartered in Alexandria, Australia, Breville Group Limited operates as a worldwide developer, manufacturer, marketer, and distributor of small electrical household appliances. The company's diverse product portfolio, acces...
How the Company Makes Money
Breville Group makes money mainly by selling small kitchen appliances and related products to consumers, with revenue recognized when products are sold through its distribution channels. Its core revenue stream is the sale of branded appliances—espec...
Breville Group Earnings Call Summary
The call portrayed a predominantly positive operational and strategic position: record revenues (> $1.8B), broad-based constant currency growth (9.7%), strong retail execution (Best Buy), successful manufacturing diversification (85% of 120V GP dollars outside China), rapid expansion of new direct markets (74% growth), a solid balance sheet (net cash $104.4M), and meaningful AI‑driven productivity gains (e.g., 6.3x recipe production improvement). Offsetting these positives were persistent near‑term headwinds — tariff complexity and refunds/provisions, commodity inflation from Middle East tensions, elevated inventory (~$40M) tied to the manufacturing transition, and only 1.2% EBIT growth (below the company's normal target). Management emphasized readiness, continued investment in growth, and improving second‑half margins, indicating the positives materially outweigh the transitory challenges.
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management gave no numeric FY‑27 targets on the call, saying formal guidance will be provided with the FY‑27 first half results, but outlined the planning assumptions and financial capacity: the group starts FY‑27 in a net cash position of $104.4m with significant unused debt facilities and will continue to use cash flow and the balance sheet to invest in growth assets and inventory as a mitigant to uncertainty. They noted FY‑26 delivered sales of over $1.8bn, EBIT of $207m (in line with budget/guidance), FY‑26 gross margin 36.0% (H2 margin 36.8% vs FY‑25 36.6%), global constant‑currency revenue growth 9.7% (reported AUD growth 6.7%), and highlighted structural tailwinds to FY‑27 (manufacturing diversification — 85% of 120V gross profit dollars sourced outside China, localization, annualization of 300 Best Buy store‑in‑store installs) while flagging material downside risks from a fluid U.S. tariff outlook and oil‑related inflation; they also said the IEEPA cash refund of $59.6m and related $55.2m provision leave only a minimal net FY‑26 profit impact.
Breville Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Strong operating profile supported by steady revenue growth (with a sharp acceleration in 2026), healthy profitability, and a conservative, improving balance sheet with very modest leverage and strong ROE. Offsetting factors are meaningful gross-margin variability and volatile operating/free-cash-flow conversion across years.
Income Statement
78PositiveBalance Sheet
88Very PositiveCash Flow
72Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.81B | 1.81B | 1.70B | 1.53B | 1.48B | 1.42B |
| Gross Profit | 347.45M | 347.45M | 620.48M | 556.94M | 287.73M | 296.94M |
| EBITDA | 243.61M | 207.90M | 269.55M | 243.40M | 214.69M | 186.13M |
| Net Income | 138.13M | 138.13M | 135.85M | 118.51M | 110.21M | 105.72M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.72B | 1.72B | 1.48B | 1.34B | 1.37B | 1.18B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 193.36M | 193.36M | 105.74M | 137.77M | 84.16M | 168.26M |
| Total Debt | 153.42M | 153.42M | 118.46M | 155.98M | 280.49M | 222.16M |
| Total Liabilities | 656.76M | 656.76M | 507.50M | 492.86M | 605.19M | 564.74M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.06B | 1.06B | 973.71M | 848.21M | 769.66M | 614.42M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 176.80M | 176.80M | 71.07M | 240.50M | 37.01M | -84.84M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 220.66M | 220.66M | 171.47M | 302.62M | 90.25M | -42.15M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -90.44M | -90.44M | -100.21M | -61.86M | -132.85M | -42.65M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -41.14M | -41.14M | -106.31M | -186.41M | -48.88M | 121.53M |
Breville Group Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BRG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.88, below the 50-day MA of 30.94, and above the 200-day MA of 30.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:BRG.
Breville Group Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
AU:BRG72Outperform
AU:KGN69Neutral
AU:JBH68Neutral
AU:HVN60Neutral
AU:TPW51Neutral
AU:MYR45Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72Outperform | AUD 4.46B | 31.85 | 13.12% | 1.24% | 6.74% | 1.18% | |
| 69Neutral | AUD 376.41M | 34.65 | 23.74% | 4.06% | 4.64% | ― | |
| 68Neutral | AUD 7.97B | 16.27 | 29.54% | 4.62% | 4.82% | 5.95% | |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% |
| 60Neutral | AUD 5.15B | 9.60 | 10.78% | 6.56% | 4.65% | 2.02% | |
| 51Neutral | AUD 615.37M | 147.90 | 3.54% | ― | 10.63% | -62.61% | |
| 45Neutral | AUD 345.55M | -1.28 | -36.45% | 7.50% | 11.98% | 3.09% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AU:BRG | Breville Group Limited | 30.58 | 1.35 | 4.61% | |
| AU:HVN | Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd | 4.13 | -2.80 | -40.38% | |
| AU:KGN | Kogan.com Ltd. | 3.94 | 0.93 | 30.85% | |
| AU:TPW | Temple & Webster Group Ltd | 5.28 | -18.45 | -77.75% | |
| AU:MYR | Myer Holdings Limited | 0.20 | -0.18 | -47.92% | |
| AU:JBH | JB Hi-Fi Limited | 72.88 | -26.15 | -26.41% |
Breville Group Corporate Events
Breville refreshes board as long-serving director retires
Breville Group has announced a board reshuffle, with long-serving director Dean Howell set to retire at the conclusion of the company’s annual general meeting on 5 November 2026. Howell, who spent 18 years on the board, was credited by chair Ti...
Breville Releases FY26 Full Year Investor Presentation
Breville Group has released its full year investor presentation for the financial year ended 30 June 2026.The presentation, authorised by the board, provides the market with detailed information on the company’s FY26 performance, offering inves...
Breville Declares Interim Dividend of AUD 0.19 Per Share
Breville Group Limited has declared an interim dividend of AUD 0.19 per ordinary fully paid share, relating to the six-month period ended 30 June 2026. The record date is set for 11 September 2026, with the stock trading ex-dividend from 10 September...
Breville files 2026 corporate governance disclosures with ASX
Breville Group has lodged its Appendix 4G with the ASX, outlining where investors can find the company’s corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026. The statement, included in the 2026 annual report and approved by the board...
Breville posts higher 2026 revenue and profit, keeps dividend steady
Breville Group has reported a solid financial performance for the year ended 30 June 2026, with total sales revenue rising 6.7% to A$1.81 billion and net profit after tax increasing 1.7% to A$138.1 million. Earnings per share edged up 1.2% to 95.5 ce...
Breville Performance Rights Lapse After Unmet Conditions
Breville Group Limited has disclosed that 19,368 performance rights, previously on issue under its equity arrangements, have lapsed after the applicable vesting conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The lapse marginally redu...
Breville Reshapes Company Secretary Roles to Strengthen ASX Governance
Breville Group has announced a change in its corporate governance team, with Craig Robinson stepping down from his role as company secretary effective 1 July 2026. The board has appointed Luxmy Wigneswaran as a new company secretary alongside existin...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2026