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Autosports Group Ltd
(Sydney:ASG)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.00
▼(-31.97% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/28/26
The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance (margin compression, weaker cash generation, and higher leverage) and very weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative momentum). Valuation helps meaningfully (low P/E and high dividend yield), while the earnings call adds moderate support via positive order momentum and deleveraging expectations, tempered by higher finance costs and near-term supply/cash timing pressures.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Autosports has demonstrated sustained scale expansion, supported by acquisitions, greenfield sites and organic growth. A decade of revenue compounding indicates a repeatable growth platform, while the latest increase shows that the dealership network continues to broaden its contribution to group sales.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
The sharp increase in debt relative to equity reduces balance-sheet flexibility and raises the sensitivity of earnings to interest costs. Autosports must continue deleveraging to restore financial capacity, potentially limiting funds available for acquisitions, expansion and other growth investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Autosports has demonstrated sustained scale expansion, supported by acquisitions, greenfield sites and organic growth. A decade of revenue compounding indicates a repeatable growth platform, while the latest increase shows that the dealership network continues to broaden its contribution to group sales.
Read all positive factors
Autosports Group Ltd (ASG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$216.62M
Dividend Yield7.96%
Average Volume (3M)335.13K
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.8
Beta (1Y)0.98
Revenue Growth11.24%
EPS Growth-22.58%
CountryAU
Employees1,800
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Dealerships
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.13
Shares Outstanding213,422,700
10 Day Avg. Volume488,482
30 Day Avg. Volume335,134
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.58
Price to Book (P/B)0.67
Price to Sales (P/S)0.11
P/FCF Ratio22.17
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$2.51Price Target Upside70.88% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)0.2
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$3.69B
Autosports Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Autosports Group Limited, an Australian entity operating through its subsidiaries, is primarily involved in the automotive retail sector. The company's diverse offerings include the sale of both new and pre-owned vehicles, along with a selection o...
Autosports Group Ltd Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 19, 2026
(Q4-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a broadly positive operational and strategic picture: record revenues and gross profit, a large and accelerating EV order bank, strong site expansion and OEM relationships, and multiple growth levers for FY2027. Key near-term challenges include higher interest costs, working capital timing impacts, a statutory NPAT decline driven by accounting and lease effects, and supply constraints for certain European BEV models that have created a significant order backlog expected to unwind in H2 FY2027. On balance, the operational momentum and growth prospects outweigh the financial timing and cost headwinds.Positive Updates
Record Revenue
Total revenue of AUD 3.186 billion, up 12% year-on-year, driven by acquisitions, greenfields and organic growth.
Negative Updates
Statutory NPAT Decline
Statutory net profit after tax was down 18% on the prior corresponding period, impacted by a FY2025 prior period impairment reversal ( AUD 5.7m benefit in FY25) and AUD 2.3m additional AASB 16 interest from new leases.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Revenue
Total revenue of AUD 3.186 billion, up 12% year-on-year, driven by acquisitions, greenfields and organic growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Autosports guided that FY2027 revenue growth will be driven by the full‑year contribution of FY2026 acquisitions (AUD204m), prior‑year cycling (AUD76m) and expansion brands (AUD22m), noting July new‑car orders +18% and FY26 orders written +20% (order bank up 290% and EV demand tripled since March) which management expects to start unwinding from H2 FY27 as European supply (Nov–Dec) arrives while Chinese supply is steadier; they expect net debt/EBITDA to fall below 2x in FY27, have an AUD85m undrawn facility, plan AUD27–30m capex, and remain confident in margin and cash resilience (gross margin 18.5%, +3ppt; EBITDA margin 4.2%; PBT margin 1.7%; operating cash flow AUD59.2m, 82% cash conversion) while carrying corporate debt of AUD321m backed by property valuations of AUD263.8m (book value AUD230m, unrecognized equity AUD33.6m) and maintaining a fully franked FY26 dividend of AUD0.08 per share.Autosports Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 3.19B | 2.86B | 2.65B | 2.37B | 1.88B |
| Gross Profit | 258.89M | 514.97M | 514.91M | 234.48M | 174.69M |
| EBITDA | 190.08M | 169.95M | 204.50M | 185.99M | 149.13M |
| Net Income | 25.68M | 32.86M | 60.87M | 65.43M | 53.38M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.32B | 1.89B | 1.73B | 1.62B | 1.22B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 31.13M | 61.53M | 36.29M | 42.00M | 90.82M |
| Total Debt | 1.49B | 1.12B | 991.95M | 902.98M | 579.15M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.79B | 1.38B | 1.23B | 1.14B | 775.08M |
| Stockholders Equity | 537.84M | 506.27M | 494.54M | 472.48M | 444.17M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 16.17M | 90.01M | 90.35M | 32.34M | 65.91M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 59.17M | 115.88M | 119.53M | 166.00M | 135.03M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -93.67M | -83.82M | -29.18M | -250.46M | -88.17M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 22.29M | -24.61M | -96.05M | 35.49M | -52.89M |
Autosports Group Ltd Technical Analysis
Negative
1.47
Price Trends
1.23
Negative
1.42
Negative
1.99
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.06
Negative
29.39
Positive
2.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ASG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.08, above the 50-day MA of 1.23, and below the 200-day MA of 1.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.39 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ASG.
Autosports Group Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | AU$1.40B | 15.04 | 12.52% | 4.17% | -3.83% | -5.92% | |
70 Neutral | AU$2.85B | 13.97 | 16.02% | 5.14% | 3.19% | -7.17% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
52 Neutral | AU$571.84M | -0.87 | -68.06% | 4.69% | -2.61% | -1584.86% | |
51 Neutral | AU$118.68M | 18.43 | 1.22% | 5.22% | 0.28% | -47.51% | |
49 Neutral | AU$216.62M | 7.83 | 4.82% | 7.96% | 11.24% | -22.58% | |
44 Neutral | AU$36.96M | -2.53 | -18.29% | 5.36% | -17.25% | 74.53% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AU:ASG
Autosports Group Ltd
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-73.90%
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Autosports Group Ltd Corporate Events
Autosports Group Sets Date for 2026 Annual General Meeting
Oct 19, 2026
Autosports Group Limited has issued the notice for its 2026 Annual General Meeting, confirming that the meeting will take place at the company’s head office on Parramatta Road in Leichhardt, New South Wales. The AGM is scheduled for Friday, ...
Autosports Group Buys Canberra Site to Expand Mercedes-Benz Presence
Oct 1, 2026
Autosports Group Limited has completed the $16.2 million acquisition of land and buildings at 158 Melrose Drive in Phillip, ACT, through its wholly owned subsidiary Prestige Group Holdings, funded via existing debt facilities. The 8,088 square met...
Autosports Group Updates Director Pagent’s Relevant Share Interests
Sep 2, 2026
Autosports Group has disclosed changes in director Nicholas Ian Pagent’s relevant interests in the company’s securities, detailing adjustments to both his direct and indirect shareholdings. The notice outlines new ordinary share acquis...
Autosports Group Discloses Increase in Director Pagent’s Indirect Shareholding
Sep 2, 2026
Autosports Group Limited has disclosed a change in director James (Ian) Pagent’s relevant interest in its ordinary shares, stemming from adjustments in holdings by JIP Parramatta Pty Ltd as trustee for the JIP Parramatta Trust. The notice de...
Autosports Group Cuts 185,225 Lapsed Performance Rights From Capital Structure
Sep 2, 2026
Autosports Group Ltd has notified the market of the cessation of 185,225 performance rights, identified under ASX code ASGAA, following the lapse of conditional rights that failed to meet required performance or satisfaction conditions. The securi...
Autosports Group Seeks ASX Quotation for New Employee Incentive Shares
Sep 2, 2026
Autosports Group Ltd has applied for quotation on the ASX of 387,008 new ordinary fully paid shares. These securities have been issued under an employee incentive scheme and are scheduled to be quoted following their issue on 1 September 2026.The ...
Autosports Group Updates Director Nicholas Pagent’s Indirect Shareholdings
Aug 27, 2026
Autosports Group Limited has reported a change in the relevant interests of director Nicholas Ian Pagent in the company’s ordinary shares. The update details indirect holdings through Sastempo Pty Ltd as trustee for the Nicholas Pagent Famil...
Autosports Group Details Change in Director Pagent’s Indirect Shareholdings
Aug 27, 2026
Autosports Group Limited has disclosed a change in director James (Ian) Pagent’s relevant interest in ordinary shares, stemming from transactions involving associate Nicholas Pagent’s holdings. The update details how unwritten agreemen...
Autosports Group corrects final dividend payment date
Aug 20, 2026
Autosports Group Limited, Australia’s only ASX-listed specialist prestige and luxury automotive retailer, operates over 90 businesses across key metropolitan centres in Australia and New Zealand, providing a full suite of automotive services...
Autosports Group details climate risk approach in inaugural 2026 sustainability report
Aug 19, 2026
Autosports Group Limited has released its Sustainability Report for the year ended 30 June 2026, prepared under the new mandatory Australian Sustainability Reporting Standard AASB S2 and aligned with its consolidated financial statements. The repo...
Autosports Group outlines FY26 results and luxury‑focused strategy
Aug 19, 2026
Autosports Group has released its FY26 investor presentation, outlining financial results, current market conditions and a strategic roadmap for the business. The materials also flag an outlook for FY27, indicating management’s focus on exec...
Autosports Group Declares A$0.03 Interim Dividend for June 2026 Half
Aug 19, 2026
Autosports Group Limited has declared a fully paid ordinary share dividend of A$0.03 for the six‑month period ended 30 June 2026, continuing its pattern of semi‑annual shareholder returns. The dividend will trade ex‑dividend on 2...
Autosports Group Showcases Luxury Focus in 2026 Annual Report
Aug 19, 2026
Autosports Group’s 2026 annual report highlights its strategic emphasis on growth, values and a diversified group portfolio anchored by luxury automotive brands. The cover features Bentley Sydney’s launch of the Bentley Continental GTC...
Autosports Group lifts revenue but profit slips amid acquisition costs
Aug 19, 2026
Autosports Group reported a 12.3% rise in revenue to $3.22 billion for the year to 30 June 2026, but profit attributable to owners fell 21.9% to $25.7 million as acquisition and restructuring costs weighed on results. Directors highlighted a profi...
Autosports Group sets date for FY26 results and market briefing
Aug 3, 2026
Autosports Group Limited will release its financial results for the year ended 30 June 2026 on 20 August 2026 and has scheduled an analyst and media briefing on the same day at 10:00 a.m. AEST. Chief Executive Officer Nick Pagent and Chief Financi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.