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Bapcor Ltd
(Sydney:BAP)
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Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.79
▲(67.66% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/29/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance, with a severe 2026 revenue decline and a swing to deep losses, plus moderate leverage and reduced equity. Offsetting factors are resilient and improving cash generation and a very high dividend yield, while technicals show near-term momentum but with overbought signals and a still-weak longer-term trend versus the 200-day average.
Positive Factors
Resilient aftermarket demand
Bapcor serves an essential vehicle-maintenance market where replacement parts, consumables and workshop supplies are needed regardless of broader spending conditions. This supports recurring demand, repeat trade-customer purchases and greater revenue durability over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue contraction
The sharp revenue decline indicates a material deterioration in trading performance rather than ordinary volatility. Sustained top-line weakness can reduce purchasing leverage, pressure store and distribution economics, and make recovery in margins and earnings more difficult over the coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Resilient aftermarket demand
Bapcor serves an essential vehicle-maintenance market where replacement parts, consumables and workshop supplies are needed regardless of broader spending conditions. This supports recurring demand, repeat trade-customer purchases and greater revenue durability over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
Bapcor Ltd (BAP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$524.75M
Dividend Yield4.69%
Average Volume (3M)8.72M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.83
Revenue Growth-2.61%
EPS Growth-1584.86%
CountryAU
Employees5,200
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.98
Shares Outstanding672,753,050
10 Day Avg. Volume2,889,573
30 Day Avg. Volume8,719,269
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.34
Price to Sales (P/S)0.10
P/FCF Ratio1.40
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$0.67Price Target Upside42.29% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)0.03
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$1.95B
Bapcor Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Bapcor Limited, founded in 1971 in Melbourne, Australia, and previously known as Burson Group Limited until its rebranding in July 2016, is a prominent supplier of automotive components, accessories, equipment, and associated services. The company...
How the Company Makes Money
Bapcor makes money primarily by selling automotive aftermarket products and related services through a multi-channel distribution model. Its core revenue stream is the sale of vehicle replacement parts, accessories, fluids, batteries, tools, and w...
Bapcor Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.92B | 1.98B | 2.04B | 2.02B | 1.84B |
| Gross Profit | 288.36M | 895.23M | 923.60M | 400.40M | 377.77M |
| EBITDA | 137.72M | 185.45M | -28.49M | 272.06M | 285.63M |
| Net Income | -431.63M | 28.14M | -158.31M | 106.45M | 125.76M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.36B | 1.83B | 1.90B | 2.21B | 2.09B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 67.20M | 58.58M | 71.59M | 78.63M | 80.21M |
| Total Debt | 431.80M | 642.21M | 694.16M | 642.42M | 599.71M |
| Total Liabilities | 792.17M | 971.27M | 1.01B | 1.08B | 996.18M |
| Stockholders Equity | 563.33M | 854.08M | 893.51M | 1.12B | 1.09B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 137.18M | 98.47M | 68.54M | 172.38M | 47.42M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 152.33M | 133.63M | 125.80M | 213.73M | 104.82M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -26.28M | -50.68M | -57.62M | -59.01M | -64.50M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -115.22M | -96.28M | -76.26M | -157.22M | 771.00K |
Bapcor Ltd Technical Analysis
Neutral
0.47
Price Trends
0.67
Positive
0.55
Positive
0.75
Positive
Market Momentum
0.03
Positive
51.15
Neutral
17.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BAP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.81, below the 50-day MA of 0.67, and below the 200-day MA of 0.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:BAP.
Bapcor Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Neutral | AU$3.07B | 14.96 | 16.02% | 4.78% | 3.19% | -7.17% | |
63 Neutral | AU$316.23M | 29.11 | 23.74% | 4.83% | 4.64% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
52 Neutral | AU$524.75M | -0.80 | -68.06% | 4.69% | -2.61% | -1584.86% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AU:BAP
Bapcor Ltd
0.78
-1.47
-65.26%
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3.31
0.07
2.13%
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13.61
-1.94
-12.45%
Bapcor Ltd Corporate Events
Citigroup Group Entities Exit Substantial Holder Position in Bapcor
Sep 30, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia and its related entities have notified Bapcor that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of 28 September 2026. The change stems from reduced relevant interests held through Citibank N.A. S...
Bapcor Director Lachlan Edwards Increases Indirect Shareholding
Sep 28, 2026
Bapcor has disclosed a change in director Lachlan Edwards’ indirect shareholding, reflecting additional investment by his associated superannuation fund. The shares are held via a custodian on behalf of the Edwards Family Super Fund, for whi...
JPMorgan exits substantial shareholder position in Bapcor
Sep 27, 2026
JPMorgan Chase Co. and several of its subsidiaries have notified Bapcor Ltd that they have ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the automotive aftermarket group as of 23 September 2026. The change follows a series of transactions and securit...
Bapcor Director Lachlan Edwards Lifts Indirect Shareholding via On-Market Purchase
Sep 23, 2026
Bapcor director Lachlan Edwards has increased his indirect shareholding in the company, with a custodian nominee acquiring 25,000 fully paid ordinary shares on-market at $0.8549 per share for the Edwards Family Super Fund. Following the transactio...
Aware Super exits substantial shareholding position in Bapcor
Sep 23, 2026
Aware Super, acting as trustee for Aware Super and through its controlled entities, has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Bapcor Limited as of 18 September 2026. The notice, lodged under Australia’s Corporations Act, indicates that A...
Bapcor director Jacqueline Korhonen lifts indirect shareholding
Sep 22, 2026
Bapcor has reported a change in the shareholding interests of non‑executive director Jacqueline Korhonen, disclosed in line with ASX requirements. Korhonen increased her indirect stake in Bapcor through Monsour Enterprises Pty Ltd, of which ...
Bapcor’s 2026 Annual Report Highlights Scale and Strategy in Automotive Aftermarket
Sep 22, 2026
Bapcor Limited has released its Annual Report for the 2026 financial year, outlining performance, strategy and governance across its diversified automotive parts and services operations in Australia, New Zealand and Thailand. The report highlights...
Bapcor Sets 2026 AGM with Hybrid Format and Governance Focus
Sep 22, 2026
Bapcor Limited has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 22 October at 1:30pm AEDT, to be held at its Melbourne Airport premises and simultaneously via virtual technology. The notice of meeting is accompanied by an explanatory memorandum, ...
Norges Bank Exits Substantial Holder Position in Bapcor
Sep 22, 2026
Norges Bank, the central bank of Norway, has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Australian automotive parts supplier Bapcor Ltd, according to a notice filed under the Corporations Act. The change follows the return of collateral shares, res...
Yarra Capital Group Exits Substantial Shareholding in Bapcor
Sep 22, 2026
Yarra Capital Management and related entities have ceased to be substantial shareholders in Bapcor Limited, according to a notice filed under Australia’s Corporations Act. Between March and September 2026, the group acquired 738,298 Bapcor s...
Bapcor director Korhonen increases indirect shareholding via on‑market purchase
Sep 16, 2026
Bapcor Limited has disclosed a change in director Jacqueline Korhonen’s indirect shareholding, reflecting an on‑market purchase through Monsour Enterprises Pty Ltd. The transaction increased her indirect interest from 28,806 to 41,306 ...
Citi Group Entities Cease to Be Substantial Shareholders in Bapcor
Sep 14, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited and related Citi group entities have filed notice that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in Bapcor Ltd, following changes in their relevant interests in the company’s ordinary full...
Bapcor Director Christopher Wilesmith Increases Shareholding Through On‑Market Purchase
Sep 10, 2026
Bapcor Limited has disclosed a change in the shareholding of director Christopher David Wilesmith, who increased his direct holding in the company through an on‑market purchase. Wilesmith acquired 100,000 fully paid ordinary shares at a pric...
S&P Dow Jones Unveils Broad Rebalance of Major S&P/ASX Indices
Sep 4, 2026
SP Dow Jones Indices has announced its September 2026 quarterly rebalance of key SP/ASX indices, triggering a series of additions and removals across the SP/ASX 50, 100, 200, and 300 benchmarks while leaving the SP/ASX 20 unchanged. The reshuffle,...
Mitsubishi UFJ Exits Substantial Shareholder Status in Bapcor
Sep 3, 2026
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has filed a notice that it has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Bapcor Limited under Australian Corporations Act disclosure rules. The change follows a series of transactions involving purchases of Bap...
First Sentier Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Bapcor
Sep 2, 2026
First Sentier Group Limited and its related entities, including Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group affiliates, have lodged a notice confirming they have ceased to be substantial holders in Bapcor Limited. The change in status indicates their collectiv...
Bapcor Director Andrew Fraser Acquires Initial On-Market Shareholding
Sep 1, 2026
Bapcor Limited has reported a change in director Andrew Fraser’s relevant interests, disclosing that an associated entity, Anthanel Pty Ltd as trustee for the Fraser Family Trust, has acquired 60,000 fully paid ordinary shares. The purchase ...
Bapcor Flags Limits and Risks in FY26 Results Presentation
Aug 26, 2026
Bapcor Ltd has released its FY26 results presentation, framing the document as general background information for investors rather than comprehensive advice. The company emphasises that the material is current as at the presentation date and does ...
Bapcor Strengthens Balance Sheet as Turnaround Gains Traction Despite Heavy Impairments
Aug 26, 2026
Bapcor Limited reported that FY26 was a reset and turnaround year marked by a new CEO, chair and refreshed board, alongside strengthened leadership in key business units. The automotive aftermarket group focused on restoring business fundamentals,...
Bapcor Swings to $431.6m Loss but Slashes Net Debt in FY26
Aug 26, 2026
Bapcor Limited has reported its preliminary final results for the year ended 30 June 2026, revealing a significant deterioration in bottom-line performance. The consolidated entity recorded a net loss of $431.6 million for FY26, compared with a re...
Bapcor sets 2026 AGM date and deadline for board nominations
Aug 25, 2026
Bapcor Limited has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 22 October 2026 at its Melbourne Airport premises, with shareholders able to attend via a hybrid format in person or online. The company plans to release a formal Notice of Meeting i...
Mitsubishi UFJ exits substantial holding position in Bapcor
Aug 25, 2026
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc., a major institutional investor, has filed a notice confirming it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Bapcor Ltd under Australian securities law. The annexed details show a series of Bapcor share purchases...
First Sentier Group Ceases to Be Substantial Shareholder in Bapcor
Aug 24, 2026
Bapcor Limited has disclosed that First Sentier Group Limited and a wide network of related entities have ceased to be substantial shareholders in the company. The notice, lodged under Australian Corporations Act disclosure rules, indicates that t...
First Sentier Group ceases to be substantial holder in Bapcor
Aug 19, 2026
First Sentier Group Limited and related entities have lodged a notice that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in Bapcor Limited as of 17 August 2026. The filing, made under Australia’s Corporations Act, indicates that this global in...
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Bapcor
Aug 13, 2026
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group has lodged a notice confirming it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Bapcor Limited, following changes in its relevant interest in the company’s voting securities. The move reflects a restructuring of sha...
First Sentier Group exits substantial holder status in Bapcor
Aug 12, 2026
Investment manager First Sentier Group Limited and a wide network of related entities disclosed that they have ceased to be substantial holders in Bapcor Ltd as of 10 August 2026, under section 671B of the Corporations Act. The notice signals a re...
Bapcor Reaffirms FY26 Earnings Guidance, Signalling Operational Stability
Aug 12, 2026
Bapcor Limited has reaffirmed its financial guidance for the 2026 financial year, signalling that current trading remains in line with previously communicated expectations. The company now confirms it is on track to deliver underlying FY26 EBITDA ...
MUFG and First Sentier cease to be substantial shareholders in Bapcor
Jul 13, 2026
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and its asset management affiliates, including First Sentier Investors entities, have notified Bapcor Ltd that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in the automotive parts group as of 9 July 2026. The chan...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.