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Atlanticus Holdings Corp (ATLC)
:ATLC

Atlanticus Holdings (ATLC) AI Stock Analysis

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Atlanticus Holdings

(NASDAQ:ATLC)

80Outperform
Atlanticus Holdings shows strong revenue growth and robust cash flow generation, which contribute positively to its financial performance. While technical indicators suggest short-term bullish momentum, there are signs of potential resistance ahead. The valuation appears reasonable, although the lack of a dividend yield may limit appeal. High leverage and declining profitability margins are key risks to monitor.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
The significant growth rate anticipated for the next three years reinforces confidence in ATLC shares.
Partnerships
Atlanticus is growing through partnerships with major retailers like Lowe's and Home Depot, and potential new merchant partnerships.
Valuation
The valuation of ATLC is seen as attractive with a P/E multiple that is cheaper than peers, despite rapid growth and improving credit trends.
Negative Factors
Cost of Living
The cost of living remains high, with rent, gas, and food continuing to constrain borrowers’ household savings and liquidity.
Expenses
Expenses were 9% higher than consensus, impacting earnings per share and target price.
Regulatory Impact
Management continues to focus on the potential impact of updated late fee rules which could significantly decrease total late fee collections.

Atlanticus Holdings (ATLC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Atlanticus Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtlanticus Holdings Corporation provides credit and related financial services and products to customers the United States. It operates in two segments, Credit as a Service, and Auto Finance. The Credit as a Service segment originates a range of consumer loan products, such as private label and general purpose credit cards originated by lenders through various channels, including retail and healthcare, direct mail solicitation, digital marketing, and partnerships with third parties; and offers credit to their customers for the purchase of various goods and services, including consumer electronics, furniture, elective medical procedures, healthcare, educational services, and home-improvements by partnering with retailers and service providers. In addition, it offers loan servicing, such as risk management and customer service outsourcing for third parties; and engages in testing and investment activities in consumer finance technology platforms. The Auto Finance segment purchases and/or services loans secured by automobiles from or for a pre-qualified network of independent automotive dealers and automotive finance companies in the buy-here, pay-here, and used car business. This segment also provides floor plan financing and installment lending products. Further, the company invests in and services portfolios of credit card receivables. Atlanticus Holdings Corporation was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtlanticus Holdings makes money through its diverse portfolio of credit-related financial products. The company generates revenue primarily from interest and fees associated with its credit card and loan products, which are offered to consumers who may have limited access to traditional credit sources. Additionally, Atlanticus collaborates with various retail and financial partners to offer consumer credit solutions, enhancing its reach and potential customer base. The company also benefits from its proprietary technology platform, which helps manage credit risk and optimize customer acquisition and retention, contributing to its overall earnings.

Atlanticus Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atlanticus Holdings has demonstrated impressive revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. However, the decline in profitability margins and high leverage are areas of concern. Improvements in the equity ratio and a strong cash position provide some reassurance.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Atlanticus Holdings has demonstrated significant growth in its total revenue, with a noticeable increase from $292.6M in 2022 to $1.31B in 2024. The gross profit margin remains strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased over time, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining profitability despite higher revenues. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting increased operational costs or reduced pricing power.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio indicates a high level of leverage, with total debt significantly exceeding stockholders' equity. Despite this, the equity ratio has improved over the years, reflecting increased shareholder equity relative to total assets. Return on equity (ROE) has shown variability, indicating potential fluctuations in profitability. The balance sheet shows a strong cash position, enhancing liquidity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has been consistently strong, supporting robust free cash flow figures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the high investing cash outflows could pose a risk if not carefully managed, suggesting significant reinvestment into the business or acquisitions.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
299.40M1.16B292.56M399.80M340.27M
Gross Profit
249.26M1.05B248.69M361.57M307.79M
EBIT
298.75M257.85M207.03M219.69M114.59M
EBITDA
0.00241.94M0.000.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
111.30M102.84M135.60M177.90M94.12M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
499.64M383.65M384.98M409.66M178.10M
Total Assets
3.27B2.71B2.39B1.94B1.21B
Total Debt
2.51B2.03B1.82B1.43B923.69M
Net Debt
2.13B1.64B1.43B1.02B745.59M
Total Liabilities
2.78B2.17B2.02B1.62B1.09B
Stockholders Equity
492.91M434.68M366.41M328.00M117.28M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
467.62M455.32M341.28M205.28M211.99M
Operating Cash Flow
469.40M459.32M346.13M212.37M212.73M
Investing Cash Flow
-747.03M-672.20M-680.78M-475.02M-292.57M
Financing Cash Flow
393.61M163.34M261.25M510.33M162.38M

Atlanticus Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.42
Price Trends
50DMA
51.44
Positive
100DMA
54.33
Positive
200DMA
47.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.36
Negative
RSI
59.67
Neutral
STOCH
78.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATLC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.68, above the 50-day MA of 51.44, and above the 200-day MA of 47.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATLC.

Atlanticus Holdings Risk Analysis

Atlanticus Holdings disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atlanticus Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atlanticus Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$873.09M11.1222.68%15.21%20.25%
78
Outperform
$859.24M9.0520.78%-1.46%
YRYRD
75
Outperform
$561.83M2.5917.96%5.84%17.03%-23.72%
74
Outperform
$865.09M29.417.86%24.20%
RMRM
71
Outperform
$297.42M9.109.51%4.00%6.57%44.84%
64
Neutral
$12.75B9.937.86%17015.07%12.19%-5.92%
58
Neutral
$603.61M8.566.03%23.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATLC
Atlanticus Holdings
57.42
33.48
139.85%
PRAA
Pra Group
15.31
-9.75
-38.91%
RM
Regional Management
29.85
1.18
4.12%
WRLD
World Acceptance
148.00
16.72
12.74%
YRD
Yiren Digital
6.36
1.64
34.75%
NRDS
NerdWallet, Inc. Class A
11.58
-2.16
-15.72%

Atlanticus Holdings Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Atlanticus Holdings Concludes Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Atlanticus Holdings Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 8, 2025, where shareholders voted on three key proposals. All seven director nominees were elected for terms expiring at the 2026 Annual Meeting, the executive compensation was approved, and it was decided that future say-on-pay votes will occur every three years.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATLC) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atlanticus Holdings stock, see the ATLC Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on ATLC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, ATLC is a Outperform.

Atlanticus Holdings shows strong revenue growth and robust cash flow generation, which contribute positively to its financial performance. While technical indicators suggest short-term bullish momentum, there are signs of potential resistance ahead. The valuation appears reasonable, although the lack of a dividend yield may limit appeal. High leverage and declining profitability margins are key risks to monitor.

To see Spark’s full report on ATLC stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.