Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

Aspen Group (ASPU) AI Stock Analysis

374 Followers
ASPU

Aspen Group

(Other OTC:ASPU)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:$0.23â–²(4.09% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/18/26

The overall score is constrained by a very weak valuation due to negative earnings. This is partially offset by a solid financial performance score, driven by a successful operational turnaround that has generated positive cash flow and a healthier balance sheet. Technicals are neutral and do not provide a catalyst in either direction.

Positive Factors
Improving MarginsMargin expansion indicates that Aspen is delivering improved unit economics and operating efficiency despite its difficult top-line trend. If sustained, stronger gross, EBIT, and EBITDA margins can support reinvestment, improve resilience, and help convert educational revenue into more durable operating cash flow.
Negative Factors
Declining RevenueA multiyear revenue decline signals that Aspen has not yet established a durable growth trajectory, even as margins improve. Persistent contraction can limit operating leverage, reduce resources available for student support and program development, and make future profitability more dependent on additional cost controls.

Aspen Group (ASPU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%ASPU+57.14%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$7.01M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
32.83K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.0
Beta (1Y)
-0.07
Revenue Growth
-7.06%
EPS Growth
-16.70%
Country
US
Employees
120
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Education & Training Services

Aspen Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aspen Group, Inc. functions as an education technology enterprise, concentrating on providing virtual higher education offerings throughout the United States. The company delivers an extensive array of academic qualifications, encompassing undergradu...

How the Company Makes Money

Aspen Group makes money primarily by charging students tuition and related educational fees for enrollment in its online academic programs. Revenue is generally recognized as instruction is delivered over the academic term (rather than entirely at th...

Aspen Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 18, 2024(Q2-2024)|% Change Since:29.41%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 14, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with significant financial improvements, enrollment growth, and improved NCLEX pass rates despite revenue challenges and legal settlement costs.

Positive Updates

Reduced Net Loss
Net loss narrowed by 30% year-over-year, demonstrating financial discipline and effective cost management.

Negative Updates

Revenue Decrease
Total revenue decreased by 19% year-over-year, mainly due to the teach-out of the pre-licensure program and lower marketing spend.

Company Guidance

During the Aspen Group's second quarter fiscal year 2024 earnings call, executives provided detailed guidance on the company's financial and operational performance. The company reported a notable 30% year-over-year reduction in net loss and achieved positive EBITDA for the fourth consecutive quarter. Enrollments rose by 34% sequentially, driven by strong demand in the healthcare sector, particularly for postgraduate nursing degrees. Despite a 19% decrease in total revenue to $13.8 million, attributed largely to the teach-out of the pre-licensure program, gross margin improved to 63%, up from 60% the previous year. The quarter saw a decrease in G&A expenses by 23% and a marked reduction in marketing spend, contributing to a positive cash flow from operations of $409,000. The company anticipates an unrestricted cash balance exceeding $2 million by the end of January 2024, bolstered by a significant financial aid payment of approximately $3.9 million. Additionally, Aspen University reported an 89% first-time NCLEX pass rate in Arizona, reflecting improved academic performance. However, the company withheld specific guidance for future quarters.

Aspen Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance reflects a strong turnaround with improved margins, reduced debt, and positive cash flow, though revenue decline and a persistent net loss remain concerns.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMApr 2026Jul 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.21M43.31M45.30M51.40M66.32M76.69M
Gross Profit31.05M31.46M30.06M31.44M35.53M41.44M
EBITDA5.05M5.03M2.94M-4.80M-1.85M-5.07M
Net Income-1.57M-1.84M-1.54M-13.58M-8.35M-9.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.40M60.16M66.77M75.95M80.87M91.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.60M1.32M1.07M2.62M5.72M6.48M
Total Debt16.62M17.73M22.43M26.67M35.00M33.72M
Total Liabilities30.30M30.97M35.80M43.67M45.32M48.52M
Stockholders Equity30.10M29.20M30.97M32.28M35.55M42.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.68M2.31M233.72K-4.81M-7.00M-15.61M
Operating Cash Flow3.20M2.90M1.19M-3.66M-4.40M-11.28M
Investing Cash Flow-579.60K-646.83K-1.02M-1.33M-2.60M-4.33M
Financing Cash Flow-1.85M-2.00M-1.72M1.89M-190.47K14.86M

Aspen Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.22

Price Trends

50DMA0.24Negative
100DMA0.26Negative
200DMA0.26Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI47.72Neutral
STOCH66.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASPU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, below the 50-day MA of 0.24, and below the 200-day MA of 0.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ASPU.

Aspen Group Risk Analysis

Aspen Group disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aspen Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Aspen Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

ASPU against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
LRNLRN74Outperform$3.19B9.6020.59%―2.48%7.90%
APEIAPEI68Neutral$744.15M16.2215.00%―2.95%85.59%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
LINCLINC58Neutral$702.13M29.6212.03%―18.96%66.40%
ASPUASPU58Neutral$7.16M-3.04-5.01%―-7.06%-16.70%
STRASTRA55Neutral$1.20B188.690.60%4.39%2.79%-94.16%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%200%ASPUAPEILRNLINCSTRADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ASPU and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ASPUAspen Group0.220.0969.23%
APEIAmerican Public Education, Inc.40.887.7423.36%
LRNStride, Inc.75.8213.0820.85%
LINCLincoln Educational Services22.812.6613.20%
STRAStrategic Education54.72-20.23-26.99%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 18, 2026