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Aspen Group Inc (ASPU)
OTHER OTC:ASPU
US Market

Aspen Group (ASPU) AI Stock Analysis

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Aspen Group

(OTC:ASPU)

46Neutral
Aspen Group's financial performance is the most significant factor affecting its stock score, with challenges in profitability and revenue decline. Technical indicators suggest weak momentum, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation due to negative earnings. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these aspects do not influence the score.

Aspen Group (ASPU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Aspen Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAspen Group, Inc. (ASPU) is an education technology company that operates primarily in the United States. The company focuses on providing online higher education services, targeting adult learners and other non-traditional student demographics. Aspen Group offers a range of degree programs, including nursing, business, and education, through its two main institutions: Aspen University and United States University. These institutions aim to deliver affordable, high-quality education through innovative online platforms, catering to the needs of working professionals and those seeking career advancement.
How the Company Makes MoneyAspen Group primarily generates revenue through tuition fees paid by its students enrolled in various degree programs. The company's revenue model is based on the enrollment of students in its online courses, with a significant portion of its earnings derived from the nursing programs, which have been a focal point due to high demand. Aspen Group also benefits from partnerships with healthcare organizations that can provide a steady stream of students and potential tuition reimbursement agreements. Additionally, Aspen Group may receive revenue through financial aid programs and government assistance that support students in funding their education. The company's financial performance can be influenced by enrollment trends, tuition rates, and the successful implementation of its growth strategies in the education sector.

Aspen Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aspen Group faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability, coupled with increasing debt levels. While there are some strengths in gross profit margins and cash flow improvements, the overall financial health remains a concern, with the company needing to address its profitability and leverage issues to improve its financial stability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The company has been experiencing declining revenues and worsening profitability over the years. For the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), the gross profit margin stands at 64.4%, indicating effective cost management relative to revenue. However, the net profit margin is negative at -28.3%, highlighting significant losses. Revenue has decreased substantially compared to the previous year, showing a negative growth trajectory, which is concerning.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.86, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity is negative at -46.3% for the TTM, suggesting poor profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio of 41.7% demonstrates a solid equity base relative to total assets, but the declining stockholder's equity over the years is a negative trend.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate is positive, which is encouraging, but the company has historically struggled with negative free cash flows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing better cash generation relative to net losses, yet the overall cash position has weakened.
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
51.40M66.32M76.69M67.81M49.06M
Gross Profit
31.44M35.53M41.44M38.36M29.93M
EBIT
-4.15M-5.57M-7.47M-5.98M-2.61M
EBITDA
-4.80M-1.85M-5.07M-5.94M-1.59M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-13.58M-8.35M-9.59M-10.45M-5.66M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.62M5.72M6.48M8.51M14.35M
Total Assets
75.95M80.87M91.07M80.81M66.24M
Total Debt
26.67M35.00M33.72M18.33M15.82M
Net Debt
24.05M29.28M27.24M9.82M1.47M
Total Liabilities
43.67M45.32M48.52M31.72M24.49M
Stockholders Equity
32.28M35.55M42.55M49.09M41.75M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-4.81M-7.00M-15.61M-7.99M-9.04M
Operating Cash Flow
-3.66M-4.40M-11.28M985.58K-5.75M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.33M-2.60M-4.33M-8.98M-3.29M
Financing Cash Flow
1.89M-190.47K14.86M3.75M16.98M

Aspen Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.15
Price Trends
50DMA
0.16
Negative
100DMA
0.15
Negative
200DMA
0.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
48.85
Neutral
STOCH
44.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASPU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, below the 50-day MA of 0.16, and above the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ASPU.

Aspen Group Risk Analysis

Aspen Group disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aspen Group reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aspen Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$2.79B11.370.20%8519.74%6.07%-14.95%
52
Neutral
$7.40M-49.39%
46
Neutral
$3.81M-44.40%-19.36%-84.06%
44
Neutral
$5.55M-7.45%
43
Neutral
$6.26M-7.52%-28.27%-409.38%
37
Underperform
$7.87M-83.71%42.73%18.30%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASPU
Aspen Group
0.15
-0.09
-37.50%
AMBO
Ambow Education Holding
3.19
1.50
88.76%
WAFU
Wah Fu Education Group
1.42
-0.45
-24.06%
CLEU
China Liberal Education Holdings
1.89
-1,233.99
-99.85%
EEIQ
Elite Education Group International
0.60
-0.47
-43.93%

Aspen Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 13, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: -6.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with significant financial improvements, enrollment growth, and improved NCLEX pass rates despite revenue challenges and legal settlement costs.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Reduced Net Loss
Net loss narrowed by 30% year-over-year, demonstrating financial discipline and effective cost management.
Positive EBITDA
Achieved fourth consecutive quarter of positive EBITDA, with a cumulative positive EBITDA of approximately $2.7 million over the past four quarters.
Cash Generation and Liquidity
Generated over $400,000 of cash from operations and projected unrestricted cash balance exceeding $2 million by the end of January 2024.
Enrollment Growth
Enrollments increased by 5% year-over-year and 34% sequentially, reflecting strong demand for postgraduate nursing degrees.
Improved NCLEX Pass Rates
NCLEX first-time pass rate in Arizona increased to 89%, with similar success in Texas and Tennessee.
Cost Control Measures
Year-over-year G&A expense down 23% due to cost control efforts and restructuring in previous fiscal quarters.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decrease
Total revenue decreased by 19% year-over-year, mainly due to the teach-out of the pre-licensure program and lower marketing spend.
Legal Settlement Costs
Final settlement of $550,000 approved for class action complaint in Arizona, with $50,000 paid by Aspen University.
Heightened Cash Management Status
Aspen University remains on Heightened Cash Management 2 status, impacting the timing of federal financial aid reimbursements.
Company Guidance
During the Aspen Group's second quarter fiscal year 2024 earnings call, executives provided detailed guidance on the company's financial and operational performance. The company reported a notable 30% year-over-year reduction in net loss and achieved positive EBITDA for the fourth consecutive quarter. Enrollments rose by 34% sequentially, driven by strong demand in the healthcare sector, particularly for postgraduate nursing degrees. Despite a 19% decrease in total revenue to $13.8 million, attributed largely to the teach-out of the pre-licensure program, gross margin improved to 63%, up from 60% the previous year. The quarter saw a decrease in G&A expenses by 23% and a marked reduction in marketing spend, contributing to a positive cash flow from operations of $409,000. The company anticipates an unrestricted cash balance exceeding $2 million by the end of January 2024, bolstered by a significant financial aid payment of approximately $3.9 million. Additionally, Aspen University reported an 89% first-time NCLEX pass rate in Arizona, reflecting improved academic performance. However, the company withheld specific guidance for future quarters.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.