TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

AP Moller - Maersk (AMKBY) AI Stock Analysis

AMKBY

AP Moller - Maersk

(Other OTC:AMKBY)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:$20.00â–²(16.08% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

AMKBY scores in the mid-range primarily due to solid underlying financial quality (strong balance sheet and positive cash generation) but clear cyclicality and materially lower margins/returns versus the prior peak cycle. The earnings call meaningfully supports the score via upgraded 2026 guidance and positive free-cash-flow expectations, while technicals are trend-positive but overbought. Valuation is the key drag given the high P/E for a cyclical shipper despite a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetConservative leverage and a substantial equity base give Maersk financial flexibility through shipping cycles. This supports continued investment, improves resilience against operational shocks, and reduces the need to rely heavily on external funding when industry conditions weaken.
Negative Factors
Normalized ProfitabilityMaersk’s current earnings power is materially below the exceptional 2021–2022 cycle, demonstrating significant exposure to freight-rate and trade-volume conditions. The low normalized margin leaves less room to absorb cost inflation or weaker pricing without affecting returns.

AP Moller - Maersk (AMKBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%AMKBY+72.70%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$49.42B
Dividend Yield
2.14%
Average Volume (3M)
102.20K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
21.8
Beta (1Y)
0.76
Revenue Growth
-1.27%
EPS Growth
-64.83%
Country
US
Employees
107,638
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Marine Shipping

AP Moller - Maersk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S, often simply known as Maersk, is a global leader in integrated transportation and logistics solutions. Its Ocean division primarily handles containerized freight, delivering an array of associated services. These include char...

How the Company Makes Money

Maersk makes money primarily by providing transportation and logistics services to shippers and charging fees tied to moving, handling, and managing cargo. Its major revenue streams include: (1) Ocean shipping: freight revenue from containerized carg...

AP Moller - Maersk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:28.68%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong top‑line growth (revenues +20% YoY), improved profitability (EBITDA $3.0bn), positive free cash flow, and an upgraded full‑year guidance. These positives were supported by operational agility (Gemini efficiencies, 96% utilization) and momentum in Logistics & Services and Terminals. Material challenges were also emphasized: persistent and structural landside bottlenecks and trade imbalances, elevated bunker costs (+44% YoY) that trimmed earnings, increased working capital, and a low‑margin Solutions subsegment. While these headwinds are meaningful and imply ongoing volatility, they do not outweigh the quarter’s strong financial and operational achievements and the upgraded outlook.

Positive Updates

Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Total revenue of $15.8 billion, up 20% year‑on‑year; Group EBITDA of $3.0 billion and EBIT of $1.6 billion for the quarter.

Negative Updates

Widening Trade Imbalances and Persistent Congestion
Far East headhaul growth has outpaced backhaul, creating imbalanced flows and sustained congestion in regions including Europe, East Coast South America, West Africa and the Middle East; cumulative headhaul growth from Far East ~25% since 2024 vs global terminal capacity growth ~10% over same period.

Company Guidance

Maersk upgraded its 2026 full‑year outlook, now targeting underlying EBITDA of $10.5–$12.5 billion and underlying EBIT of $4.5–$6.5 billion and reiterating a positive free cash flow expectation, based on an assumed container market volume growth of ~4% and strong H1 performance (Q2 revenue $15.8bn; Q2 EBITDA $3.0bn; Q2 EBIT $1.6bn; Q2 free cash flow $549m). Cumulative CapEx guidance remains unchanged at $10–$11bn for 2025–26 (and the same for 2026–27). Management cited supporting operational and financial metrics behind the upgrade including Ocean loaded rates +22% YoY (+32% QoQ), loaded volumes +4.1% to 3.4m FFE, network utilization at 96%, Gemini cost benefits of about $950m, operating cash flow strength and cash & deposits of $18.5bn (net cash ~$1.5bn); they noted the upside to the range if congestion endures and the downside if congestion meaningfully eases (e.g., around Golden Week/early Q4).

AP Moller - Maersk Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet strength (conservative leverage around ~0.32 debt-to-equity and large equity base) and solid positive operating/free cash flow support a good financial profile. However, profitability and returns have normalized sharply from the 2021–2022 peak cycle (TTM net margin ~4.1% and ROE ~4.1%), highlighting meaningful cyclicality and weaker earnings power versus recent highs.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

66Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.26B53.99B55.48B51.06B81.53B61.79B
Gross Profit-2.60B9.44B12.11B3.87B31.32B19.81B
EBITDA9.68B10.21B12.68B11.37B36.96B24.48B
Net Income2.29B2.73B6.11B3.82B29.20B17.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.91B88.35B87.70B82.58B93.68B72.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.49B10.32B24.04B6.70B11.00B11.84B
Total Debt17.47B18.92B16.48B14.81B15.64B15.34B
Total Liabilities31.54B31.66B29.75B27.49B28.65B26.68B
Stockholders Equity55.23B55.58B56.92B54.03B63.99B44.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.37B4.96B7.21B6.00B30.31B19.05B
Operating Cash Flow8.73B9.76B11.41B9.64B34.48B22.02B
Investing Cash Flow-1.54B495.00M-7.92B4.08B-21.62B-8.34B
Financing Cash Flow-7.14B-7.87B-3.50B-16.80B-14.13B-7.90B

AP Moller - Maersk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price17.23

Price Trends

50DMA17.59Negative
100DMA15.36Positive
200DMA13.78Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.04Positive
RSI43.62Neutral
STOCH38.66Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMKBY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.93, below the 50-day MA of 17.59, and above the 200-day MA of 13.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AMKBY.

AP Moller - Maersk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

AMKBY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GSLGSL87Outperform$1.50B4.0120.88%5.99%5.55%-3.50%
DACDAC83Outperform$2.86B5.3013.97%6.11%2.45%21.62%
CMRECMRE74Outperform$1.71B5.4715.31%3.39%-42.03%3.81%
MATXMATX67Neutral$6.69B14.8716.94%0.65%-0.16%0.55%
AMKBYAMKBY66Neutral$49.09B21.804.14%2.14%-1.27%-64.83%
ZIMZIM65Neutral$3.42B24.463.52%7.01%-24.91%-93.09%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%AMKBYCMREDACGSLMATXZIMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AMKBY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AMKBYAP Moller Maersk17.237.0168.54%
CMRECostamare14.162.1217.58%
DACDanaos157.0272.0084.69%
GSLGlobal Ship Lease41.7412.1841.21%
MATXMatson Inc223.85124.82126.04%
ZIMZim Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.28.3813.7994.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026