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Matson Inc (MATX)
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Matson (MATX) AI Stock Analysis

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MATX

Matson

(NYSE:MATX)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$113.00
▲(20.95% Upside)
Matson's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, despite challenges in revenue and cash flow growth. Technical analysis indicates mixed signals, and the earnings call highlighted both opportunities and risks. The company's low P/E ratio and solid dividend yield enhance its attractiveness, but market volatility, especially in the China service, poses challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio indicates financial stability, providing Matson with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Hawaii and Alaska Volume Growth
Growth in key markets like Hawaii and Alaska suggests strong demand and market position, supporting long-term revenue stability and expansion potential.
New Vessel Construction Funding
Secured funding for new vessels ensures Matson can modernize its fleet, enhancing operational efficiency and service reliability in the long term.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A sharp decline in revenue growth can hinder Matson's ability to sustain profitability and invest in future growth, impacting long-term competitiveness.
China Service Volume Decline
Decreased volume in China due to market uncertainty and tariffs could limit revenue from a significant trade lane, affecting overall performance.
Decreased Operating Income
A decline in operating income reflects reduced profitability, which can strain resources for reinvestment and shareholder returns over time.

Matson (MATX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Matson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMatson, Inc. (MATX) is a leading provider of ocean transportation and logistics services, primarily serving the Pacific region. The company operates through two main segments: Ocean Transportation and Logistics. Matson's core services include container shipping, terminal operations, and logistics solutions, catering mainly to the transportation of goods between the U.S. mainland and Hawaii, as well as to other Pacific islands. The company is known for its reliable service and commitment to customer satisfaction in the transportation of a wide range of cargo, including retail goods, food products, and industrial materials.
How the Company Makes MoneyMatson generates revenue primarily through its Ocean Transportation segment, which accounts for a significant portion of its earnings. This segment derives income from the shipping of containerized freight, with revenue influenced by factors such as shipping volumes, freight rates, and fuel costs. The Logistics segment contributes additional revenue by providing integrated supply chain solutions, including transportation management, warehousing, and distribution services. Key revenue streams include contracts with large retail and food companies, as well as spot market transactions. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other logistics providers enhance service offerings and expand reach, bolstering Matson's competitive edge in the market.

Matson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance with both positive and negative aspects. While there were achievements such as volume growth in Hawaii and Alaska and a successful share repurchase program, challenges included significant volume declines in the China service, lower logistics income, and a decrease in consolidated operating income.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Hawaii Service Container Volume Increase
Container volume in Hawaii service increased 2.6% year-over-year in Q2 2025 due to higher general demand.
SSAT Terminal Joint Venture Performance
SSAT terminal joint venture contributed $7.3 million in Q2 2025, a year-over-year increase of $6.1 million, primarily due to higher lift volume.
Alaska Container Volume Growth
Alaska's container volume increased by 0.9% year-over-year in Q2 2025, with continued economic growth expected in the region.
Share Repurchase Program
Matson repurchased approximately 0.9 million shares in Q2 2025 for a total cost of $93.7 million, continuing its commitment to return excess capital to shareholders.
New Vessel Construction Funding
92% of the remaining obligations for new vessel construction are already covered by the capital construction fund.
Negative Updates
China Service Volume Decline
Container volume in the China service decreased 14.6% year-over-year in Q2 2025 due to market uncertainty and tariffs.
Logistics Operating Income Decrease
Logistics operating income in Q2 2025 was $14.4 million, $1.2 million lower than the previous year, due to a lower contribution from transportation brokerage.
Consolidated Operating Income Decrease
Consolidated operating income decreased $11.6 million year-over-year to $113 million in Q2 2025, primarily due to lower contributions from Ocean Transportation and Logistics.
Guam Container Volume Decline
Matson's container volume in Guam decreased 2.2% year-over-year in Q2 2025.
Net Income and Earnings Per Share Decline
Net income decreased 16.3% year-over-year to $94.7 million, and diluted earnings per share decreased 11.8% year-over-year to $2.92 per share in Q2 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Matson Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company reported a mixed performance across its trade lanes. In Ocean Transportation, container volume increased by 2.6% year-over-year in Hawaii and 0.9% in Alaska, while Guam and China saw decreases of 2.2% and 14.6%, respectively. The China service faced challenges due to market volatility and tariffs, although freight rates were modestly higher year-over-year. The SSAT terminal joint venture contributed $7.3 million in the quarter, up from the previous year, and logistics operating income was slightly lower at $14.4 million. Matson raised its full-year 2025 outlook, projecting lower year-over-year freight rates and volume. The company has been actively managing costs and expects full-year Ocean Transportation operating income to be moderately lower than the $500.9 million achieved in 2024, while Logistics income is expected to remain comparable. The focus remains on maintaining fast and reliable services, particularly as customers shift production outside of China, with Vietnam transshipment volumes rising to 21% of China service in Q2 2025.

Matson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Matson demonstrates strong profitability with a solid balance sheet, highlighted by a low debt-to-equity ratio and healthy return on equity. However, challenges exist with declining revenue and cash flow growth, which need addressing for sustained long-term growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Matson's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a strong net profit margin of 14.26% in the TTM period, indicating good profitability. However, there is a significant decline in revenue growth rate (-48.5% TTM), which is a concern. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, and the EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a decline, reflecting reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of Matson is relatively strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is healthy at 18.90%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Matson's cash flow statement reveals some challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative (-9.09% TTM), indicating a decline in cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, suggesting that the company generates sufficient cash from operations to cover its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 0.70, indicating good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.46B3.42B3.09B4.34B3.93B2.38B
Gross Profit876.50M855.90M623.90M1.53B1.37B479.00M
EBITDA892.20M893.70M690.50M1.68B1.45B494.30M
Net Income494.10M476.40M297.10M1.06B927.40M193.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.48B4.60B4.29B4.33B3.69B2.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.10M266.80M134.00M249.80M282.40M14.40M
Total Debt665.30M749.00M725.00M910.70M1.06B1.00B
Total Liabilities1.86B1.94B1.89B2.03B2.03B1.94B
Stockholders Equity2.62B2.65B2.40B2.30B1.67B961.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow432.90M457.70M262.10M1.06B658.80M237.50M
Operating Cash Flow617.90M767.80M510.50M1.27B984.10M429.80M
Investing Cash Flow-388.40M-336.10M-338.20M-729.30M-323.40M-177.00M
Financing Cash Flow-341.00M-301.20M-289.70M-576.60M-392.70M-261.50M

Matson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price93.43
Price Trends
50DMA
100.12
Negative
100DMA
104.63
Negative
200DMA
113.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
55.76
Neutral
STOCH
75.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MATX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 93.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.21, below the 50-day MA of 100.12, and below the 200-day MA of 113.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MATX.

Matson Risk Analysis

Matson disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Matson reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Matson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$5.77B19.219.17%1.59%3.36%
$3.21B6.8319.70%1.48%8.75%56.21%
$1.67B3.7513.38%3.74%5.63%-17.54%
$1.49B5.2514.61%3.76%-7.24%-16.39%
$2.09B17.275.11%4.33%2.95%-61.74%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$1.85B0.9259.06%49.74%43.57%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MATX
Matson
99.96
-54.13
-35.13%
CMRE
Costamare
12.43
2.59
26.32%
DAC
Danaos
90.96
12.35
15.71%
KEX
Kirby
104.35
-10.98
-9.52%
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers
18.26
0.10
0.55%
ZIM
ZIM
15.32
-0.40
-2.54%

Matson Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Matson Highlights Strategic Focus at Jefferies Conference
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Matson, Inc. presented an overview of the company at the Jefferies Industrials Conference in New York. The presentation highlighted Matson’s strong market positions in niche markets, its commitment to returning cash to shareholders, and its financial strength to invest in growth opportunities. The company also emphasized its unique network connecting the Pacific and its premium services, such as the China-to-Long Beach Express, which offer competitive advantages and high return on invested capital. The announcement underscores Matson’s strategic focus on expanding its service offerings and maintaining its leadership in the Pacific transportation and logistics industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (MATX) stock is a Buy with a $116.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Matson stock, see the MATX Stock Forecast page.

Matson Inc Navigates Challenges Amid Earnings Call Insights
Aug 2, 2025

Matson Inc’s recent earnings call presented a balanced perspective, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company reported notable growth in container volumes in specific regions and a robust performance from its SSAT joint venture. However, these positives were offset by significant hurdles, including a decline in operating income and reduced volumes in the China service, attributed to market volatility and tariffs. While proactive measures like share repurchases and vessel program funding were commendable, the overall sentiment was cautious due to ongoing uncertainties in trade and logistics.

Matson Inc. Reports Q2 2025 Earnings Amid Trade Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

Matson, Inc., a prominent U.S. carrier in the Pacific, provides ocean transportation and logistics services, notably connecting Hawaii, Alaska, and Guam with mainland U.S. and offering expedited services from China to California.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025