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Autoliv
(NYSE:ALV)
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Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$145.00
▲(21.93% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/12/26
ALV scores well on improving profitability and generally solid cash generation, supported by constructive price momentum. The score is tempered by elevated leverage and earnings-call flagged near-term headwinds (raw materials, tariffs, and working-capital pressure), while valuation and dividend provide a modest cushion.
Positive Factors
Margin improvement
Sustained margin expansion reflects lasting operational improvements, pricing power and productivity gains. Higher gross and EBIT margins increase earnings resilience across cycles, support reinvestment and returns, and provide more cushion against commodity or volume shocks over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Debt roughly in line with equity and a rising leverage trend reduce financial flexibility if OEM demand weakens. Higher leverage limits ability to absorb shocks, constrains opportunistic investments, and increases refinancing risk if rates or credit markets tighten over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin improvement
Sustained margin expansion reflects lasting operational improvements, pricing power and productivity gains. Higher gross and EBIT margins increase earnings resilience across cycles, support reinvestment and returns, and provide more cushion against commodity or volume shocks over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Autoliv Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Net Sales by Geography
Shows where Autoliv earns its sales across regions (for example Americas, Europe, and Asia), highlighting exposure to regional car production cycles, OEM customers, and currency or trade risks. Useful for spotting geographic concentration, faster-growing markets, and potential vulnerabilities if a region slows or faces supply-chain issues.
Shows where Autoliv earns its sales across regions (for example Americas, Europe, and Asia), highlighting exposure to regional car production cycles, OEM customers, and currency or trade risks. Useful for spotting geographic concentration, faster-growing markets, and potential vulnerabilities if a region slows or faces supply-chain issues.
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The Fly
The FlyAutoliv (ALV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$8.92B
Dividend Yield2.6%
Average Volume (3M)730.16K
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.7
Beta (1Y)0.98
Revenue Growth6.14%
EPS Growth7.30%
CountryUS
Employees59,310
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Parts
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)9.35
Shares Outstanding74,863,335
10 Day Avg. Volume802,995
30 Day Avg. Volume730,161
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.64
Price to Book (P/B)3.54
Price to Sales (P/S)0.84
P/FCF Ratio12.72
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.19
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.97
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.16
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$128.91Price Target Upside8.40% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering11
EPS Forecast (FY)10.53
Revenue Forecast (FY)$11.08B
Autoliv Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Autoliv, Inc., operating through its global subsidiaries, specializes in the development, production, and supply of passive safety equipment for the automotive sector. The company's market presence spans Europe, the Americas, China, Japan, and oth...
How the Company Makes Money
Autoliv primarily makes money by selling automotive safety systems and components to vehicle OEMs under supply agreements tied to vehicle production programs. Its main revenue streams are: (1) Airbags and associated components (e.g., airbag module...
Autoliv Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 17, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented several strong operational and commercial positives — record Q1 sales, notable outperformance in Asia (especially India and Chinese OEMs), gross profit and productivity gains, and reiterated full-year guidance including a mid-teens margin improvement target. Offsetting these positives were near-term financial pressures: a drop in adjusted operating income and margin in Q1, negative operating cash flow driven by temporary working capital headwinds, a larger-than-expected raw materials headwind (~$90M), tariff timing effects (~40 bps margin impact), and a modest increase in net debt and leverage. Management emphasized mitigation plans (productivity, price recovery, customer compensation) and maintained guidance, leaving the tone constructive but cautious.Positive Updates
Record Q1 Sales Growth
Consolidated net sales of approximately $2.8 billion, a 7% year-over-year increase and the highest Q1 on record; currency translation contributed ~$154 million and tariff-related compensation ~$14 million. Organic sales grew ~$21 million (≈0.8 percentage points). The company outperformed global light vehicle production by over 4 percentage points in Q1.
Negative Updates
Adjusted Operating Income and Margin Pressure in Q1
Adjusted operating income decreased 4% to $245 million (from $255 million prior year). Adjusted operating margin declined to 8.9%, down ~1.0 percentage point versus 9.9% in Q1 last year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Q1 Sales Growth
Consolidated net sales of approximately $2.8 billion, a 7% year-over-year increase and the highest Q1 on record; currency translation contributed ~$154 million and tariff-related compensation ~$14 million. Organic sales grew ~$21 million (≈0.8 percentage points). The company outperformed global light vehicle production by over 4 percentage points in Q1.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Autoliv reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance: organic sales expected to be flat while outperforming global light‑vehicle production by ~1 percentage point (company assumption: LVP down ~1%), an adjusted operating margin of about 10.5–11%, and a gross raw‑material headwind of roughly USD 90 million (versus ~USD 30 million a quarter ago); net currency translation is expected to add ~3% to sales, operating cash flow is targeted at ~USD 1.2 billion, CapEx below 5% of sales, and a tax rate of ~28%. The company noted Q1 dividend of $0.87 per share (~USD 65 million), a $2.5 billion share‑repurchase authorization through 2029 with an annual repurchase ambition of USD 300–500 million, leverage up to ~1.3x (net debt +~USD 200 million in Q1), and said guidance excludes capacity‑alignment/antitrust effects and assumes no material tariff or macro changes as of April 10, 2026; normal decrementals of ~20–30% were cited if volumes fall sharply.Autoliv Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 10.99B | 10.81B | 10.39B | 10.47B | 8.84B | 8.23B |
| Gross Profit | 2.12B | 2.07B | 1.93B | 1.82B | 1.40B | 1.51B |
| EBITDA | 1.48B | 1.50B | 1.37B | 1.08B | 1.03B | 1.07B |
| Net Income | 710.00M | 735.00M | 646.00M | 488.00M | 423.00M | 435.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 8.47B | 8.64B | 7.80B | 8.33B | 7.72B | 7.54B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 342.00M | 604.00M | 330.00M | 498.00M | 594.00M | 969.00M |
| Total Debt | 2.25B | 2.44B | 2.07B | 2.04B | 1.92B | 2.14B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.82B | 6.06B | 5.52B | 5.76B | 5.09B | 4.89B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.63B | 2.57B | 2.28B | 2.56B | 2.61B | 2.63B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 579.00M | 715.00M | 480.00M | 409.00M | 128.00M | 296.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.00B | 1.16B | 1.06B | 982.00M | 713.00M | 754.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -414.00M | -423.00M | -563.00M | -569.00M | -485.00M | -454.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -519.00M | -369.00M | -680.00M | -490.00M | -531.00M | -469.00M |
Autoliv Technical Analysis
Neutral
118.92
Price Trends
120.65
Negative
116.16
Positive
117.71
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.80
Positive
45.32
Neutral
25.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 118.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 124.36, below the 50-day MA of 120.65, and above the 200-day MA of 117.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ALV.
Autoliv Risk Analysis
Autoliv disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Autoliv reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Autoliv Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | $5.46B | 14.41 | 15.67% | 2.05% | 14.48% | 3.93% | |
74 Outperform | $6.86B | 13.56 | 10.41% | 2.63% | 2.86% | 17.30% | |
72 Outperform | $8.92B | 12.75 | 27.78% | 2.60% | 6.14% | 7.30% | |
71 Outperform | $13.97B | 39.60 | 6.34% | 1.24% | 2.36% | 34.03% | |
69 Neutral | $2.75B | 16.76 | 11.08% | 0.57% | -2.04% | -43.19% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $12.76B | 35.90 | 3.90% | ― | 5.20% | -71.83% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
ALV
Autoliv
119.17
10.56
9.72%
BWA
BorgWarner
68.11
35.07
106.16%
APTV
Aptiv
60.32
2.53
4.38%
GNTX
Gentex
25.65
4.10
19.04%
LEA
Lear
136.84
44.28
47.84%
VC
Visteon
103.08
10.91
11.83%
Autoliv Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsShareholder Meetings
Autoliv Closes Türkiye Plants in Cost-Cutting Move
Negative
May 11, 2026
On May 8, 2026 Autoliv’s management approved the closure of its steering wheel, airbag and seatbelt manufacturing plants in Türkiye, after determining that EMEA production capacity exceeds future demand. The move will cut about 2,200 jo...
Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Autoliv Names Monika Grama as New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Mar 11, 2026
On March 6, 2026, Autoliv announced that its board appointed long‑time executive Monika Grama as Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Finance, effective April 1, 2026, succeeding Fredrik Westin, who will leave the company on...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.