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reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) AI Stock Analysis

AIRE

reAlpha Tech Corp.

(NASDAQ:AIRE)

Select Model
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:$0.69â–¼(-4.46% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

The score is held down mainly by very weak financial performance (large ongoing losses and substantial cash burn) and a strongly bearish technical trend (price below all major moving averages with negative MACD). Corporate events provide some strategic upside from acquisitions but add execution/regulatory risk, while valuation signals are limited due to negative earnings and no dividend support.

Positive Factors
Improving gross marginGross-margin improvement indicates that the company’s underlying property and technology activities may be producing better unit economics than in earlier periods. If maintained, stronger margins can support reinvestment and gradually narrow losses as the platform expands.
Negative Factors
Persistent severe unprofitabilityThe scale of ongoing losses shows that the current operating structure is not yet supported by revenue. Without substantial growth or cost reduction, continued deficits can erode capital, constrain strategic investment, and make a durable path to break-even difficult.

reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-75%-50%-25%0%25%AIRE-94.48%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$4.31M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
111.70K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.2
Beta (1Y)
2.67
Revenue Growth
41.01%
EPS Growth
74.61%
Country
US
Employees
113
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Software - Application

reAlpha Tech Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

reAlpha Tech Corp., a real estate technology company, develops an end-to-end homebuying platform. It operates through two segments, Homebuying Services and Technology Services. The Homebuying Services segment consists of realty services; digital titl...

reAlpha Tech Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are the primary weakness: revenue is small and slightly down TTM (~$4.29M, -3.2%), losses remain extremely large (TTM net margin ~-421%), and cash burn is severe (TTM operating cash flow ~-$12.1M; free cash flow ~-$12.2M). Low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.05) helps, but equity has fallen sharply (~$12.5M to ~$5.6M) and negative returns indicate continued capital erosion.

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Apr 2023Apr 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.02M4.52M948.42K182.53K419.41K305.38K
Gross Profit122.15K2.45M-2.48M-1.46M126.21K138.18K
EBITDA-18.34M-16.23M-6.23M-9.07M-5.11M-5.06M
Net Income-19.31M-17.59M-26.02M-1.88M-5.45M-5.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.64M21.72M11.99M27.88M21.09M6.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.17M7.78M3.12M6.46M1.26M2.07M
Total Debt2.15M384.60K5.98M437.10K7.32M8.23M
Total Liabilities8.33M9.20M10.43M3.17M7.93M12.20M
Stockholders Equity9.30M12.51M1.56M24.71M13.16M-5.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.25M-11.31M-6.05M-2.87M-5.41M-6.54M
Operating Cash Flow-12.14M-11.26M-6.04M-2.83M-4.96M-1.56M
Investing Cash Flow-2.05M-1.74M-1.55M506.10K1.08M-2.65M
Financing Cash Flow15.82M17.65M4.26M7.52M3.04M5.53M

reAlpha Tech Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.72

Price Trends

50DMA1.28Negative
100DMA1.49Negative
200DMA3.91Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.15Positive
RSI31.62Neutral
STOCH6.55Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIRE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.98, below the 50-day MA of 1.28, and below the 200-day MA of 3.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.55 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AIRE.

reAlpha Tech Corp. Risk Analysis

reAlpha Tech Corp. disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. reAlpha Tech Corp. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.We are currently ineligible to use a Registration Statement on Form S-3 to register the offer and sale of our securities until April 2027, which could adversely impact our ability to raise future capital on acceptable terms to us, or at all.Q2, 2026

reAlpha Tech Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AIRE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
OPADOPAD55Neutral$10.49M-0.21-98.86%―-42.49%50.50%
DOUGDOUG44Neutral$140.88M5.9615.69%―-2.75%―
AIREAIRE41Neutral$4.31M-0.21-183.89%―41.01%74.61%
FTHMFTHM39Underperform$6.12M-0.22-75.90%―4.33%24.93%
OMHOMH37Underperform$6.04M-0.22-126.27%―――

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%AIREFTHMOPADDOUGOMHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AIRE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AIREreAlpha Tech Corp.0.72-12.80-94.69%
FTHMFathom Holdings Inc0.18-1.21-87.12%
OPADOfferpad Solutions Inc.2.17-20.83-90.57%
DOUGDouglas Elliman Inc.1.55-0.91-36.99%
OMHOhmyhome Limited2.86-62.14-95.60%

reAlpha Tech Corp. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

reAlpha Tech Corp updates director equity compensation structure

Positive
Oct 21, 2026

Effective March 9, 2026, reAlpha Tech Corp. updated its compensation policy for non-executive directors, setting total annual remuneration at $100,000, split between stock and cash. Each director will receive $75,000 in common stock issued quarterly...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

reAlpha Tech Corp. Updates Investor Presentation Disclosure

Neutral
Oct 7, 2026

On October 7, 2026, reAlpha Tech Corp. posted a new investor presentation on its website for use in upcoming meetings and conferences with investors, analysts and other interested parties. The materials are available through the News & Events sec...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

reAlpha Tech Corp. Approves New 2026 RSU Program

Positive
Sep 11, 2026

On April 23, 2026, reAlpha Tech Corp.’s compensation committee approved an annual program of restricted stock unit grants for each fiscal quarter of the year ending Dec. 31, 2026, under its 2022 Equity Incentive Plan. The awards, tied to the vo...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

reAlpha Tech Completes InstaMortgage Merger, Raises Risks

Negative
Aug 25, 2026

On August 19, 2026, reAlpha Tech Corp. completed its merger with InstaMortgage under an amended and restated agreement, waiving closing conditions tied to two outstanding regulatory approvals. All InstaMortgage common shares were cancelled and conver...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

reAlpha Tech Completes InstaMortgage Acquisition, Expands Lending Reach

Positive
Aug 21, 2026

On August 19, 2026, reAlpha Tech Corp. completed its acquisition of InstaMortgage Inc., a multi-state mortgage lender with in-house underwriting and funding capabilities, for approximately $8.5 million in a mix of cash, stock and deferred considerati...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

reAlpha Issues Equity to Complete Prevu Acquisition Obligations

Positive
Aug 6, 2026

On November 21, 2025, reAlpha Tech Corp. completed its acquisition of Prevu, Inc. under a merger agreement that included obligations to make additional payments totaling $2.5 million, payable in cash or common stock at the company’s discretion....

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026