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Zumiez Inc (ZUMZ)
NASDAQ:ZUMZ
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Zumiez (ZUMZ) AI Stock Analysis

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ZUMZ

Zumiez

(NASDAQ:ZUMZ)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(8.40% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/17/26
The score reflects improved fundamentals and cash flow versus last year and constructive operational momentum from the latest update, partially offset by a clearly bearish technical trend and cautious near-term guidance. Valuation is neutral without dividend support, keeping the overall profile mid-range.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Free cash flow exceeding net income and positive operating cash flow indicate earnings are backed by cash. This durability supports reinvestment, share repurchases, and liquidity buffers, reducing refinancing risk and enabling strategic flexibility over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Top‑Line Still Below Peak
Net sales remain materially under the 2022 peak despite recent recovery, suggesting persistent demand or market share challenges. A sub‑peak revenue base limits scale economies and constrains the company's ability to convert margin gains into stronger absolute profits.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Free cash flow exceeding net income and positive operating cash flow indicate earnings are backed by cash. This durability supports reinvestment, share repurchases, and liquidity buffers, reducing refinancing risk and enabling strategic flexibility over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Zumiez (ZUMZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zumiez Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Zumiez Inc., along with its various affiliates, operates as a specialized merchant providing a diverse selection of apparel, footwear, accessories, and action sports equipment designed for a youthful male and female demographic. The company's cate...
How the Company Makes Money
Zumiez makes money primarily by selling merchandise to consumers through (1) physical retail stores and (2) e-commerce websites. Revenue is generated when customers purchase apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods; the company earns gross pr...

Zumiez Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a balanced message: clear operational improvements (sales comps, margin expansion, record private label penetration, stronger cash position and reduced operating loss) countered by persistent net losses, category weakness (footwear), soft May trends in North America and cautious near-term guidance including a potentially negative Q2 operating income. Management emphasized disciplined execution and flexibility but withheld specific full-year EPS guidance given consumer headwinds.
Positive Updates
Comparable Sales Momentum
Consolidated comparable sales increased 4.0% in Q1, marking the company's eighth consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales; North America comps up 4.4% (ninth consecutive positive quarter) and other international comps up 2.2%.
Negative Updates
Continued Net Loss and EPS Headwind
Net loss of $13.3 million in Q1 (EPS loss $0.82) compared with a $14.3 million loss (EPS loss $0.79) a year ago; share repurchases reduce share count which can make EPS swings larger in loss quarters.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Comparable Sales Momentum
Consolidated comparable sales increased 4.0% in Q1, marking the company's eighth consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales; North America comps up 4.4% (ninth consecutive positive quarter) and other international comps up 2.2%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Zumiez guided Q2 (13 weeks ending Aug 1, 2026) to net sales of $210–$215 million (growth of -2% to +0.5% year-over-year) with comparable sales expected to be consistent with that range, product margin “down slightly to up slightly” versus last year, consolidated operating income of -1.5% to 0.0% of sales and diluted EPS between a loss of $0.23 and $0.08 (prior‑year Q2 loss $0.06). For fiscal 2026 management stopped short of precise full‑year EPS guidance but expects full‑year sales growth despite a roughly $12 million closed‑store headwind, product‑margin expansion (helped by private label at >30% of sales), operating‑margin improvement of about 50–100 basis points, a full‑year effective tax rate of roughly 40–45% (vs 44.4% in FY25), capital expenditures of $14–$16 million (vs $11M prior year), depreciation & amortization ~ $19.1M (down from $21.3M), plans to open 5 U.S. stores and close ~26 stores (20 North America, 6 international), projects ~16.9 million diluted shares outstanding (ex any future repurchases), and remains in a strong liquidity position with $124.2M cash & marketable securities, no debt, a $25M unused credit facility and a $40M repurchase program authorized.

Zumiez Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a recovery: profitability returned versus the 2024 loss year and TTM cash generation is solid (free cash flow exceeding net income). Balance sheet flexibility is supported by manageable leverage in the statements and improving fundamentals, but overall margins/returns remain modest and revenue is still below the 2022 peak.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue938.06M929.06M889.20M875.49M958.38M1.18B
Gross Profit338.56M332.54M303.04M280.89M324.68M456.73M
EBITDA44.20M38.16M24.11M-39.12M52.73M180.74M
Net Income14.44M13.38M-1.71M-62.61M21.03M119.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets618.74M699.84M634.88M664.23M747.90M862.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments124.16M160.62M147.56M171.58M173.49M294.48M
Total Debt203.83M199.33M199.82M220.76M254.29M267.89M
Total Liabilities312.87M375.56M305.90M311.02M340.57M393.69M
Stockholders Equity305.87M324.29M328.98M353.21M407.33M468.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.83M54.29M5.70M-5.59M-26.01M119.20M
Operating Cash Flow47.46M53.47M20.70M14.76M-379.00K134.95M
Investing Cash Flow-28.45M-6.39M32.60M-8.55M54.21M101.64M
Financing Cash Flow-18.27M-37.34M-24.60M704.00K-87.26M-191.41M

Zumiez Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.45
Price Trends
50DMA
18.61
Negative
100DMA
20.93
Negative
200DMA
22.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Positive
RSI
46.25
Neutral
STOCH
63.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZUMZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.98, below the 50-day MA of 18.61, and below the 200-day MA of 22.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZUMZ.

Zumiez Risk Analysis

Zumiez disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zumiez reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zumiez Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$6.56B12.2936.89%4.73%8.69%
78
Outperform
$7.10B12.1217.64%11.01%24.97%
73
Outperform
$1.26B6.0720.84%2.58%5.17%41.92%
62
Neutral
$2.95B10.1217.24%2.94%6.22%65.05%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$311.29M19.384.73%4.68%3252.79%
49
Neutral
$119.82M-38.79-3.98%1.69%93.35%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZUMZ
Zumiez
17.64
0.08
0.46%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
145.75
49.23
51.00%
AEO
American Eagle
16.69
3.87
30.21%
CRI
Carter's
33.34
5.48
19.66%
TLYS
Tilly's
3.84
1.91
98.96%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
78.79
9.09
13.04%

Zumiez Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Zumiez Announces Planned CFO Transition and Leadership Search
Neutral
Jul 1, 2026
Zumiez Inc. announced that Chief Financial Officer Christopher C. Work has decided to step down from his role, after nearly 19 years of service to the company, with his notice given on June 30, 2026. He will remain in the CFO position and support ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Zumiez Shareholders Reaffirm Board, Pay, and Auditor
Positive
Jun 5, 2026
At its 2026 annual meeting of shareholders, Zumiez investors elected Thomas D. Campion, Liliana Gil Valletta, and Carmen R. Bauza to three-year terms on the board, extending their service through the 2029 annual meeting. The voting outcomes indica...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 17, 2026