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Willis Lease Finance Corp. (WLFC)
NASDAQ:WLFC

Willis Lease Finance (WLFC) AI Stock Analysis

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Willis Lease Finance

(NASDAQ:WLFC)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$159.00
▲( 19.90% Upside)
Willis Lease Finance demonstrates robust financial performance with notable revenue growth and strategic transactions, despite challenges like high leverage and negative cash flow. The technical outlook is bearish, but the valuation appears attractive. Positive earnings call outcomes and beneficial corporate events further support the stock's potential.

Willis Lease Finance (WLFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Willis Lease Finance Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWillis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) is a leading provider of aviation services, specializing in leasing commercial aircraft engines and auxiliary power units to airlines, OEMs, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) facilities worldwide. The company, established in 1985, operates within the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on asset management and innovative leasing programs that support the global aviation industry's needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyWillis Lease Finance makes money primarily through leasing aircraft engines and related equipment to commercial airlines, OEMs, and MRO facilities. The company's revenue model is based on long-term and short-term lease agreements, where clients pay a monthly or periodic fee for the use of engines and auxiliary power units. Additionally, WLFC generates income through the sale of spare parts and engines, as well as providing maintenance services and asset management solutions. The company's strategic partnerships with airlines and manufacturers enhance its revenue streams by ensuring a steady demand for its leasing and maintenance services. Furthermore, WLFC's investment in innovative programs, such as its ConstantThrust program, offers flexible leasing options that adjust to the changing needs of the aviation sector, thereby contributing to its financial performance.

Willis Lease Finance Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Willis Lease Finance shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability with significant enhancements in operational efficiency and shareholder returns. The elimination of debt strengthens the balance sheet, although high capital expenditures have led to negative free cash flow, presenting a challenge for liquidity management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Willis Lease Finance demonstrated strong revenue growth with a significant revenue increase from $407.97 million in 2023 to $569.22 million in 2024, yielding a revenue growth rate of approximately 39.5%. The company also improved its net profit margin from 10.73% to 18.34% in the same period, indicating enhanced profitability. The Gross Profit Margin remained robust at 100% due to the nature of their business model. EBIT Margin increased to 25.37%, and EBITDA Margin improved to 60.71%, reflecting operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement shows a positive trajectory with strong growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with Stockholders' Equity increasing to $549.34 million by 2024. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio improved significantly as the company reported zero total debt in 2024, reducing financial leverage risk. However, the Equity Ratio slightly decreased from 18.43% in 2023 to 16.67% in 2024, indicating a higher proportion of liabilities relative to assets. The Return on Equity increased significantly from 8.95% to 19.00%, highlighting enhanced shareholder value creation. The balance sheet reflects a transition to a more stable financial structure, though the slight dip in the equity ratio warrants attention.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Despite a strong operating cash flow of $284.41 million, Willis Lease Finance experienced a negative free cash flow of -$546.07 million in 2024, primarily due to significant capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio was negative, indicating cash flow issues in covering net income. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio was positive at 2.72, showing robust cash generation from operations relative to net income. The cash flow statement reveals strong operational cash generation but highlights significant capital spending impacting liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
569.22M407.97M311.93M274.20M288.69M
Gross Profit
429.44M301.84M202.83M168.77M177.39M
EBIT
144.40M136.83M7.57M-5.66M11.05M
EBITDA
345.63M236.85M164.80M167.63M176.90M
Net Income Common Stockholders
108.61M43.78M5.44M3.35M9.75M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
9.11M7.07M12.15M14.33M42.54M
Total Assets
3.30B2.65B2.58B2.46B2.36B
Total Debt
2.26B1.80B1.85B1.79B1.69B
Net Debt
2.26B1.80B1.84B1.78B1.65B
Total Liabilities
2.75B2.16B2.17B2.09B2.00B
Stockholders Equity
549.34M488.93M404.69M375.88M364.01M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-546.07M60.96M-148.60M-117.29M-318.78M
Operating Cash Flow
284.41M229.74M144.42M90.66M93.44M
Investing Cash Flow
-764.91M-92.78M-194.38M-148.00M-506.67M
Financing Cash Flow
444.98M-57.94M43.33M74.05M428.48M

Willis Lease Finance Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price132.61
Price Trends
50DMA
152.32
Negative
100DMA
175.16
Negative
200DMA
166.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.45
Negative
RSI
42.59
Neutral
STOCH
49.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WLFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 132.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 143.92, below the 50-day MA of 152.32, and below the 200-day MA of 166.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WLFC.

Willis Lease Finance Risk Analysis

Willis Lease Finance disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Willis Lease Finance reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Willis Lease Finance Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PRPRG
75
Outperform
$1.19B6.0433.88%1.66%4.62%101.14%
JBJBI
70
Outperform
$1.22B23.679.51%-13.95%-63.37%
69
Neutral
$951.16M9.4418.32%0.54%32.55%70.32%
68
Neutral
$887.73M10.5917.74%2.49%-3.95%-14.56%
64
Neutral
$4.46B11.945.17%249.36%4.00%-12.35%
64
Neutral
$1.06B-3.76%-0.61%-248.58%
43
Neutral
$1.44B-148.98%-2.94%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WLFC
Willis Lease Finance
132.61
67.36
103.23%
PRG
PROG Holdings
28.81
-6.84
-19.19%
APOG
Apogee
39.29
-24.85
-38.74%
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source
4.37
-0.31
-6.62%
JBI
Janus International Group
8.27
-6.11
-42.49%
EVEX
Eve Holding
4.30
-1.35
-23.89%

Willis Lease Finance Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -14.97%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to 2025 with record revenues and significant strategic transactions. However, increased G&A expenses and finance costs posed challenges. Overall, the positive aspects, such as improved utilization and growth, outweigh the negatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Growth
Record quarterly revenues of $157.7 million, up 33% from the comparable quarter in 2024, driven by core lease rent revenue and maintenance reserve revenues.
Improved Utilization Rate
Portfolio utilization grew from 76.7% at year-end 2024 to 86.4% by the end of Q1 2025.
Significant Spare Parts Sales Increase
Spare parts and equipment sales to third parties increased by 455% to $18.2 million in Q1 2025 compared to $3.3 million in the comparable quarter.
Successful Strategic Transactions
Announced purchase of 30 additional LEAP engines and a new ConstantThrust deal with Air India Express, as well as a joint venture to build an engine test facility.
Negative Updates
Increased G&A Expenses
G&A expenses were $47.7 million in Q1 2025, up from $29.6 million in the comparable period in 2024, mainly related to consultant-related fees for sustainable aviation fuel project and share-based compensation.
Higher Finance Costs
Net finance costs were $32.1 million in Q1 2025, up from $23.0 million in the comparable period in 2024, due to increased indebtedness and higher average cost of debt.
Reduced Gain on Sale of Leased Equipment
Gain on sale of leased equipment was $4.8 million in Q1 2025, down from $9.2 million in the comparable period.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) reported strong financial performance with total revenue reaching $157.7 million, a 33% increase from the previous year, and pre-tax income of $25.2 million. The average utilization rate for the quarter was 79.9%, ending at 86.4%. The company paid its fourth consecutive quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share. WLFC also highlighted the purchase of 30 LEAP engines, a new ConstantThrust deal with Air India Express, and the development of an engine test facility in Florida. The company's portfolio size increased to $2.82 billion, with core lease rent revenue at $67.7 million and maintenance reserve revenues at $54.9 million. Additionally, spare parts and equipment sales rose significantly, up 455% to $18.2 million. Despite macroeconomic concerns, WLFC remains confident in its business model and continues to lead in value creation.

Willis Lease Finance Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Willis Lease Finance Appoints New General Counsel
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Dean Poulakidas resigned as General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of Willis Lease Finance Corporation, receiving a compensation package totaling approximately $6.8 million, which includes accelerated stock vesting. His successor, Clifton Dameron, was appointed on the same day, bringing extensive experience in aviation and corporate law, having previously served as Chief Legal Officer at Carlyle Aviation Partners. Dameron’s appointment is expected to strengthen WLFC’s legal functions and support its market opportunities.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Willis Lease Finance Sells UK Aviation Consultancy
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Willis Asset Management Limited, a subsidiary of Willis Lease Finance Corporation, entered into a Share Purchase Agreement to sell Bridgend Asset Management Limited, its UK-based aviation consultancy business, to Willis Mitsui & Co Engine Support Limited for $45 million. This strategic move aims to enhance the joint venture’s capabilities in aviation services and expand its service offerings and asset portfolio, reflecting WLFC’s commitment to strengthening collaboration with Mitsui & Co., Ltd. The transaction is expected to unlock fresh capital for WLFC, which can be reinvested to accelerate its portfolio growth, and further solidify the long-term relationship between WLFC and Mitsui.

Financial Disclosures
Willis Lease Finance to Announce Q1 2025 Results
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Willis Lease Finance Corporation announced it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 6, 2025, followed by a conference call to discuss these results. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to keep stakeholders informed about its financial performance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Executive/Board Changes
Willis Lease Finance Amends CEO Compensation Agreement
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Willis Lease Finance Corporation’s Compensation Committee approved an amendment to the employment agreement with Charles F. Willis IV, canceling a non-qualified stock option for 231,000 shares and altering the vesting schedule for a restricted stock award. This amendment impacts Mr. Willis’s compensation structure, aligning it with the company’s 2023 Incentive Stock Plan, and affects the vesting conditions based on his continued service or termination circumstances.

Executive/Board Changes
Willis Lease Finance Renews Executive Chairman’s Contract
Neutral
Mar 19, 2025

On March 13, 2025, Willis Lease Finance Corporation’s Board of Directors approved a renewed and amended employment agreement for Charles F. Willis IV, who will continue as Executive Chairman. The agreement includes a five-year term with automatic renewals, an initial annual base salary of $1,269,000, and a target annual bonus of 150% of the base salary. Additionally, the agreement introduces a new trigger for change in control and includes a grant of restricted stock and stock options for Mr. Willis, which are subject to vesting conditions and are part of the company’s incentive plan.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Willis Lease Finance Achieves Record Financial Results for 2024
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Willis Lease Finance Corporation reported record financial results for 2024, with total revenues reaching $569.2 million and pre-tax income at $152.6 million. The company experienced significant growth in core lease rent and maintenance reserve revenues, driven by a robust aviation market, and successfully reinvested earnings into high-demand engines and aircraft. The book value of lease assets increased significantly, and the company expanded its credit facility to support further growth. These achievements reflect the company’s strong market position and operational efficiency, benefiting stakeholders through increased dividends and asset value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.