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Stellus Capital (SCM)
NYSE:SCM

Stellus Capital (SCM) AI Stock Analysis

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Stellus Capital

(NYSE:SCM)

64Neutral
Stellus Capital's stock score is driven by moderate financial performance with growth potential but significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The valuation appears attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, while the earnings call reflects a balanced outlook with both growth achievements and financial risks. Investors should consider the high dividend yield against the backdrop of financial uncertainties.

Stellus Capital (SCM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Stellus Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStellus Capital Management, LLC (SCM) is an investment firm specializing in providing capital solutions to middle-market companies. Operating primarily in sectors such as business services, industrial, healthcare, and energy, Stellus Capital offers a range of financial products including debt financing and equity investments. The company is focused on delivering tailored financial solutions to support growth, acquisitions, and recapitalizations.
How the Company Makes MoneyStellus Capital makes money through interest income and capital gains generated from its investment portfolio. The company primarily invests in debt and equity securities of middle-market companies, earning interest from loans and potentially benefiting from the appreciation of equity investments. Stellus Capital may also generate fees from managing investment funds and forming strategic partnerships that expand its investment network and enhance deal flow. By leveraging its expertise in credit analysis and risk management, Stellus Capital aims to achieve attractive risk-adjusted returns for its shareholders.

Stellus Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stellus Capital has demonstrated revenue growth potential, but profitability issues and cash flow management challenges persist. The high leverage and inconsistent income generation pose risks to financial stability. Improvements in cost management and cash flow optimization are essential.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a volatile revenue trend with a significant increase in the latest year, but consistent profitability issues as indicated by zero net income for the latest period. Gross profit margins were healthy in previous years, with EBIT margins showing strength but no EBITDA data available. Revenue growth has been inconsistent year-over-year.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high level of debt with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.14 for 2023. Stockholders' equity has grown over the years, indicating capital accumulation. However, the equity ratio stands at around 35%, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on equity has fluctuated, with a ROE of 5.48% in 2023, reflecting modest efficiency in using equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow statements indicate negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, reflecting cash management challenges. There is no data on free cash flow growth or its relation to net income due to missing values. The company shows reliance on financing activities, which may pose risks in maintaining liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
51.21M105.85M20.95M42.66M25.88M
Gross Profit
13.42M21.23M19.14M21.47M10.56M
EBIT
47.46M75.25M54.22M37.12M21.19M
EBITDA
79.08M0.0069.24M0.0046.53M
Net Income Common Stockholders
45.84M17.53M14.49M33.57M20.19M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
20.06B26.13M892.78M44.17M18.48M
Total Assets
980.90M908.09M898.18M821.26M674.91M
Total Debt
420.70B575.83M604.13M518.17M393.20M
Net Debt
400.64B549.71M556.09M474.00M374.73M
Total Liabilities
610.98M588.15M622.41M536.15M401.55M
Stockholders Equity
369.92B319.94M275.78M285.11M273.36M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-28.65M-17.27M-56.29M-76.10M-3.49M
Operating Cash Flow
-28.65M-17.27M-56.29M-76.10M-3.49M
Investing Cash Flow
0.000.00-83.46T-99.64B-23.38B
Financing Cash Flow
22.58M-4.65M60.16M101.80M5.83M

Stellus Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.61
Price Trends
50DMA
13.19
Positive
100DMA
13.61
Negative
200DMA
13.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
58.70
Neutral
STOCH
86.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.02, above the 50-day MA of 13.19, and above the 200-day MA of 13.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SCM.

Stellus Capital Risk Analysis

Stellus Capital disclosed 92 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Stellus Capital reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Stellus Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$230.71M11.698.67%11.67%
SASAR
68
Neutral
$359.54M12.087.36%12.14%-24.05%28.25%
SCSCM
64
Neutral
$383.33M9.4310.83%11.86%17.67%128.48%
64
Neutral
$12.82B9.837.68%17000.34%12.38%-5.56%
60
Neutral
$295.03M5.8718.18%6.79%21.99%23.40%
52
Neutral
$447.72M27.503.05%11.71%1.13%-86.09%
48
Neutral
$444.67M46.041.95%13.80%-66.59%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCM
Stellus Capital
13.61
1.12
8.97%
NEWT
Newtek Business
11.27
-1.12
-9.04%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
6.90
0.44
6.81%
SAR
Saratoga Investment
24.66
4.68
23.42%
LIEN
Chicago Atlantic BDC
10.23
-0.03
-0.29%
PSBD
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.
14.02
-0.77
-5.21%

Stellus Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive investment activity and portfolio growth against challenges such as reduced net asset value per share, non-accrual loans, and difficulties in covering dividends with net investment income. Despite strong asset management and potential for equity gains, the current economic factors and specific company challenges weigh on the outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Investment Activity and Portfolio Growth
In the first quarter, Stellus Capital invested $46.7 million in seven new portfolio companies, increasing the investment portfolio at fair value from $953.5 million to $991.1 million across 110 companies.
Equity Co-Investment Portfolio Potential
The company has an equity co-investment portfolio valued at $83 million with the potential for more than $10 million of equity gains by the end of the year.
Positive Asset Quality and Loan Security
98% of loans were secured, with 91% priced at floating rates, and the overall asset quality was slightly better than planned, with a decrease in non-accrual loans from the prior quarter.
Successful Equity Issuance
The ATM program was active, issuing 656,085 shares for $9.3 million at an average gross price of $14.11, all above net asset value.
Negative Updates
Net Asset Value Per Share Decrease
Net asset value per share decreased by $0.21 during the quarter due to company-specific write-downs in the loan portfolio and a reduction of spillover income.
Non-Accrual Loans
Currently, loans to five portfolio companies are on non-accrual, comprising 6.7% of total cost and 4% of fair value of the total loan portfolio.
Interest Income and Dividend Coverage
Adjusted net investment income was below the dividend payout, with expectations to remain below for the rest of the year due to current yield levels and the level of SOFR.
Reduced Pipeline Activity
The pipeline for new opportunities is slower than three months ago due to market disruptions, primarily attributed to tariff activities affecting M&A.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Stellus Capital Investment Corporation provided guidance for the upcoming quarters. They expect their portfolio size to remain approximately $985 million by the end of the second quarter of 2025, with new loan originations balancing out repayments. The company highlighted a strong first quarter for equity issuance under its ATM program, with 656,085 shares issued at an average price of $14.11, all above net asset value. Stellus Capital also declared a dividend of $0.40 per share for the second quarter, with an expectation to maintain this rate in the third quarter, subject to Board approval. The potential for over $10 million in equity gains by year-end was noted. Furthermore, Stellus Capital received a green light letter from the Small Business Administration for Stellus Capital SBIC III, anticipating continued leverage use under this license for portfolio investments. They also issued $75 million in principal amount notes at 7.25% due 2030 to repay a bank facility, indicating strategic efforts to manage capital structure effectively.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.