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Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. (PSBD) AI Stock Analysis

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PSBD

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.

(NYSE:PSBD)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:$10.50â–²(6.17% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

PSBD scores as neutral overall, led by improving/strong recent cash generation but constrained by inconsistent profitability and balance-sheet comparability concerns. Technicals are mildly supportive (price above key moving averages with positive MACD), while valuation is mixed due to a negative P/E despite a very high dividend yield. Earnings-call commentary adds support via confidence in the base dividend, refinancing benefits, and buybacks, though management flagged macro uncertainty and softer income trends.

Positive Factors
Diversified senior-secured portfolioA broad portfolio dominated by senior-secured investments can reduce concentration risk and improve recovery prospects relative to unsecured exposure. Very low nonaccruals and diversified industry allocation indicate currently strong credit performance, supporting the durability of investment income.
Negative Factors
Declining investment incomeLower investment income directly pressures net investment income and reduces the cushion supporting shareholder distributions. Management attributed the decline partly to lower base rates, indicating that earnings can weaken when portfolio yields reset downward unless new investments or financing actions offset the pressure.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. (PSBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%PSBD-5.91%SPY+8.73%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$303.14M
Dividend Yield
15.47%
Average Volume (3M)
116.41K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-15.7
Beta (1Y)
0.64
Revenue Growth
-22.29%
EPS Growth
-245.58%
Country
US
Employees
0
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Asset Management

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Palmer Square Capital BDC, Inc. specializes in providing diverse investment offerings. The firm actively supplies capital to businesses by issuing loans and acquiring their debt instruments. Founded in 2019, its operations are headquartered in Missio...

How the Company Makes Money

PSBD makes money primarily through investment income earned on its portfolio of financings to middle-market borrowers. The core revenue stream is interest income on debt investments (e.g., floating- or fixed-rate loans and other credit instruments),...

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-0.10%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive. Management highlighted solid quarterly earnings, a fully covered base dividend, NAV appreciation, lower leverage, reduced financing costs, strong portfolio diversification and credit metrics, and attractive opportunities in private credit and secondary markets. These positives were tempered by lower year-over-year investment income, a 2.3% decline in portfolio fair value, reduced liquidity, tight spreads, subdued deal activity, and elevated macroeconomic and AI-related uncertainty.

Positive Updates

Solid Quarterly Performance and Shareholder Distributions
PSBD reported total investment income of $26.6 million, net investment income of $11.6 million, and net investment income of $0.38 per share for the third quarter. It paid a $0.38 per share total dividend, including a $0.02 supplemental distribution, representing an 11.4% yield on NAV and a 15.3% yield on the stock price as of October 30. The Board declared a fourth quarter base dividend of $0.36 per share.

Negative Updates

Investment Income Declined Year Over Year
Total investment income was $26.6 million, down 16.1% from $31.7 million in the comparable prior-year period. Net investment income was $11.6 million, or $0.38 per share, compared with $13.6 million, or $0.43 per share, in the prior-year period. Management said income was impacted by lower base rates versus the prior year.

Company Guidance

Management declared a fourth quarter 2026 base dividend of $0.36 per share, with the supplemental dividend to be determined in the normal course, and remains confident in the sustainability of the base dividend heading into 2027, anticipating paying out any additional excess income through supplementals. If interest rate volatility and geopolitical uncertainty remain elevated, management expects it to continue weighing on deal activity in the fourth quarter, although sponsors ultimately need to transact and activity is expected to improve over time, although the pace of that improvement may be uneven. Share repurchases remain a top near-term priority, with $24.8 million left on the plan after $5.2 million of third-quarter repurchases, while management feels good about 1.63x leverage and does not expect to take it too much higher; recent refinancing activity is expected to be additive to earnings power, and market implied base rate expectations are expected to be supportive as well.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed and volatile. Profitability has been inconsistent with a net loss in 2025 and negative TTM net income/EBIT margin, while the balance sheet shows historically elevated leverage and comparability concerns in TTM. Offsetting this, operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive in 2023–2025 and very strong in TTM, providing recent support despite earnings weakness.

Income Statement

46Neutral

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue68.92M111.20M110.32M153.66M-49.39M29.54M
Gross Profit46.64M94.66M52.31M109.18M-72.84M20.92M
EBITDA455.54M1.78B47.67M107.84M-74.48M19.06M
Net Income-20.08M-3.17M47.67M107.84M-74.48M19.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.11T1.22B1.43B1.12B1.06B1.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.03M3.22M2.77M2.12M1.65M1.09M
Total Debt656.62M716.51M804.16M641.83M641.31M649.91M
Total Liabilities702.75B755.25M893.20M659.86M694.01M764.49M
Stockholders Equity403.44B464.12M537.84M461.96M363.44M452.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow107.65B160.66M106.73M57.12M-39.25M-438.01M
Operating Cash Flow107.65B160.66M106.73M57.12M-39.25M-438.01M
Investing Cash Flow64.74B0-305.05M-26.65M35.40M-519.55M
Financing Cash Flow-207.15M-160.21M198.97M-30.00M4.40M438.42M

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price9.89

Price Trends

50DMA9.83Positive
100DMA9.82Positive
200DMA9.86Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.05Negative
RSI52.47Neutral
STOCH57.35Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSBD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.77, above the 50-day MA of 9.83, and above the 200-day MA of 9.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PSBD.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

PSBD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
LIENLIEN73Outperform$209.95M6.5410.45%14.96%47.16%34.42%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
CIONCION65Neutral$346.88M-15.71-2.03%20.61%3.63%―
CCAPCCAP62Neutral$355.20M-105.00-0.46%16.72%-28.84%-107.31%
TCPCTCPC61Neutral$366.66M-1.81-24.32%17.80%-141.00%-809.18%
PSBDPSBD59Neutral$306.21M-15.70-0.02%15.47%-22.29%-245.58%
SARSAR51Neutral$216.28M-51.60-1.08%25.19%-10.96%-110.82%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%PSBDSARTCPCCCAPLIENCIONDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
PSBD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PSBDPalmer Square Capital BDC Inc.9.89-0.54-5.20%
SARSaratoga Investment12.90-5.62-30.35%
TCPCBlackRock TCP Capital Corp.4.27-0.45-9.55%
CCAPCrescent Capital Bdc, Inc.9.45-2.69-22.15%
LIENChicago Atlantic Bdc, Inc.9.090.252.83%
CIONCion Investment Corp.6.60-1.48-18.33%

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Palmer Square Capital BDC Reports Third-Quarter 2026 Results

Neutral
Nov 4, 2026

On November 4, 2026, Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. reported results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. Total investment income fell to $26.6 million from $31.7 million a year earlier, while net investment income declined to $11.6 million, or...

Financial Disclosures

Palmer Square Capital BDC Updates Net Asset Value Estimate

Neutral
Oct 13, 2026

As of September 30, 2026, management of Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. estimated the unaudited net asset value per share of its common stock at $13.34. This update offers investors a snapshot of the company’s underlying portfolio value at that...

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Palmer Square Capital BDC Declares Q3 Supplemental Dividend

Positive
Sep 22, 2026

On September 22, 2026, Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. announced that its board declared a third-quarter 2026 supplemental dividend of $0.02 per share, payable on October 13, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 25, 2026. The supplemental p...

Financial Disclosures

Palmer Square Capital BDC Reports Updated NAV Estimate

Neutral
Sep 15, 2026

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. reported that management’s unaudited estimate of the company’s net asset value per share of common stock was $13.66 as of August 31, 2026. This estimated NAV figure offers shareholders an updated view of the...

Financial Disclosures

Palmer Square Capital BDC Updates July 2026 NAV Estimate

Neutral
Aug 17, 2026

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. reported that management’s unaudited estimate of the company’s net asset value per share was $13.39 as of July 31, 2026. This updated NAV figure offers investors a snapshot of the company’s underlying...

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Palmer Square Capital BDC Announces Key Compliance Appointment

Neutral
Aug 7, 2026

On August 3, 2026, Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.’s board unanimously appointed Ben Wiesenfeld as Chief Compliance Officer, effective immediately, succeeding Scott Betz, who continues with the company as Chief Operating Officer from the same da...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Palmer Square Capital BDC Reports Strong Q2 Results

Positive
Aug 5, 2026

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. reported second quarter 2026 results on August 5, 2026, posting total investment income of $27.3 million and net investment income of $12.0 million, or $0.39 per share, with net asset value at $13.21 per share and total...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026