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Portland General Electric (POR)
NYSE:POR
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Portland GE (POR) AI Stock Analysis

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POR

Portland GE

(NYSE:POR)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$53.00
â–²(1.83% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by stable but not pristine fundamentals: strong TTM revenue growth and steady operating profitability are offset by persistently negative free cash flow and meaningful leverage typical of a capital-intensive utility. Technical indicators are currently weak (negative MACD, below key moving averages), limiting near-term momentum. Valuation is supported by a solid ~4.31% dividend yield but tempered by a ~21.54 P/E. The latest earnings call was constructive with reaffirmed guidance, strong industrial/data-center demand signals, and a dividend increase, partially offset by power-cost timing and regulatory/transaction uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Strong industrial & data-center load growth
Sustained double-digit industrial and data-center load growth expands long-term volumetric demand and supports multi-year revenue visibility. That structural customer mix raises utilization on existing assets, justifies incremental rate-base investments, and creates durable topline tailwinds for regulated earnings and cash flows.
Negative Factors
Persistently negative free cash flow
Consistent negative free cash flow signals that operating cash does not cover heavy capital spending, forcing repeated external financing. Over time this raises refinancing risk, increases interest and issuance costs, and can pressure the company’s ability to fund dividends or opportunistic investments absent regulatory recovery timing that restores cash conversion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong industrial & data-center load growth
Sustained double-digit industrial and data-center load growth expands long-term volumetric demand and supports multi-year revenue visibility. That structural customer mix raises utilization on existing assets, justifies incremental rate-base investments, and creates durable topline tailwinds for regulated earnings and cash flows.
Read all positive factors

Portland GE Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down where Portland GE earns its money—retail rates, wholesale sales, generation, transmission and services or renewables. A larger regulated retail share typically means more predictable cash flow, while big exposure to wholesale or unregulated generation increases volatility from price swings. Watching how revenue shifts between segments highlights strategic moves, margin drivers, and key sources of risk or upside.
Chart InsightsResidential remains the largest revenue driver but showed a Q1 year‑over‑year pullback consistent with management’s mild‑winter headwind that pressured EPS; by contrast Industrial is the clear growth engine—steady, double‑digit expansion tied to data‑center and large‑load demand that validates management’s 10% growth call and RFP strategy. Commercial is stable, Wholesale is very lumpy and its recent sharp drop highlights timing and contract/regulatory exposure, and improving alternative revenue/accruals are modest offsets while weather and regulatory timing remain the main near‑term risks.
Data provided by:The Fly

Portland GE (POR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Portland GE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Portland General Electric (PGE) functions as a fully integrated electric utility, overseeing the generation, wholesale procurement, transmission, distribution, and direct retail sale of electricity throughout Oregon. Its power generation assets in...
How the Company Makes Money
Portland General Electric primarily makes money by providing regulated electric utility service and recovering its costs plus an allowed return through rates approved by the Oregon Public Utility Commission. Its main revenue stream is retail elect...

Portland GE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated multiple constructive operational and financial developments: strong industrial and data center-driven load growth (double-digit industrial growth and ~10% expected CAGR to 2030), reaffirmed full-year EPS guidance, completed key financing transactions, a 5% dividend increase, and regulatory progress on a large-load tariff and renewable procurement. Offsetting items include near-term timing-related power cost headwinds, some weakness in commercial and weather-adjusted residential deliveries, transaction and regulatory uncertainty around the holding company and Washington acquisition, and expiration of a previously helpful reliability recovery mechanism. Overall, positives (demand growth, tariff-driven margin improvement, financing completion, guidance reaffirmation) materially outweigh the manageable near-term headwinds and regulatory timing risks.
Positive Updates
Strong Industrial Demand Growth
Industrial demand increased ~11% year-over-year (11.2% reported) and industrial load has grown ~10% CAGR over the last 5 years. Management expects approximately 10% annual large-customer capacity growth through 2030, driven by technology, semiconductor and data center customers.
Negative Updates
Power Cost Timing Headwind Impacting Earnings
Quarterly earnings included a $0.18 per-share decrease related to intra-year timing of revenue collection and power cost recognition, creating a near-term headwind to results.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Industrial Demand Growth
Industrial demand increased ~11% year-over-year (11.2% reported) and industrial load has grown ~10% CAGR over the last 5 years. Management expects approximately 10% annual large-customer capacity growth through 2030, driven by technology, semiconductor and data center customers.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Portland General Electric reiterated its 2026 and multi‑year outlook, reporting Q2 GAAP net income of $68 million ($0.59/share) and non‑GAAP net income of $74 million ($0.64/share) and reaffirming full‑year EPS guidance of $3.33–$3.53 and long‑term earnings/dividend growth of 5–7%; management also reaffirmed 2026 weather‑adjusted load growth of 1.5–2.5% (Q2 retail deliveries +3.9% nominal / +2.7% weather‑adjusted), with industrial demand up 11.2% y/y (industrial load ~10% CAGR over the past 5 years and ~10% CAGR expected through 2030) and a 1.7 GW incremental data‑center pipeline; next week’s GRC filing proposes ~4.8% overall rates effective July 1, 2027 (residential ~3.9%) on a 50/50 capital structure and 9.75% ROE, while net variable power costs are forecast to cut customer prices ~2.4% beginning Jan 1; the recently approved New Large Load Tariff raises data‑center prices ~30% and should boost margins, the company expects improved power costs in H2 2026 and ongoing regulatory recoveries (Seaside battery, DSP) to support results, and financing completed to date includes $550M equity forward, $500M ATM, $350M term loan and a $680M delayed‑draw facility for the Washington acquisition; the Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.55125/share (5% annualized increase) with a 60–70% payout target.

Portland GE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is resilient with meaningful TTM revenue growth (+20%) and solid utility-style operating margins (EBIT ~15%, EBITDA ~32%), but net margin has eased (~7% TTM vs ~9% prior). Balance sheet leverage remains a constraint (debt/equity ~1.2–1.4x historically) and TTM debt data appears inconsistent. Cash flow is the main weak spot: operating cash flow improved, but free cash flow is consistently negative (TTM -$189M), implying continued external funding needs.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.46B3.37B3.44B2.92B2.65B2.40B
Gross Profit1.53B1.14B1.59B1.36B1.31B1.26B
EBITDA1.10B1.17B1.02B860.00M828.00M777.00M
Net Income257.00M306.00M313.00M228.00M233.00M244.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.64B13.51B12.54B11.21B10.46B9.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.00M76.00M12.00M5.00M165.00M52.00M
Total Debt5.21B5.53B5.17B4.46B3.98B3.60B
Total Liabilities9.52B9.38B8.75B7.89B7.68B6.79B
Stockholders Equity4.12B4.13B3.79B3.32B2.78B2.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-189.00M-71.00M-490.00M-938.00M-92.00M-104.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.04B1.12B778.00M420.00M674.00M532.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.24B-1.20B-1.30B-1.36B-758.00M-656.00M
Financing Cash Flow177.00M142.00M526.00M778.00M197.00M-81.00M

Portland GE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.05
Price Trends
50DMA
50.84
Negative
100DMA
50.57
Negative
200DMA
49.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.68
Positive
RSI
50.17
Neutral
STOCH
44.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For POR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.47, above the 50-day MA of 50.84, and above the 200-day MA of 49.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for POR.

Portland GE Risk Analysis

Portland GE disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Portland GE reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Portland GE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$6.11B11.1110.70%4.41%9.54%294.77%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
$9.71B20.749.56%3.45%0.63%-6.14%
61
Neutral
$5.92B22.176.30%4.09%2.95%-17.06%
60
Neutral
$8.16B23.089.36%2.36%-1.11%8.18%
60
Neutral
$12.21B19.089.04%3.44%5.69%6.83%
52
Neutral
$5.91B31.835.67%2.84%9.97%-7.29%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
POR
Portland GE
50.76
10.13
24.94%
IDA
IdaCorp
142.61
20.35
16.65%
OGE
OGE Energy
47.50
4.03
9.28%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
101.48
13.55
15.40%
TXNM
TXNM Energy
57.40
2.13
3.85%
ENIC
Enel Chile SA
4.53
1.28
39.26%

Portland GE Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Portland GE posts Q2 results, maintains 2026 guidance
Positive
Jul 31, 2026
Portland General Electric reported second quarter 2026 GAAP net income of $68 million, or $0.59 per diluted share, and non-GAAP net income of $74 million, or $0.64 per share, modestly above 2025 GAAP results but slightly below non-GAAP performance...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Portland General to Acquire PacifiCorp Washington Utility Assets
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Portland General Electric released an investor presentation outlining plans to acquire electric utility operations and certain assets in Washington state from PacifiCorp, a move that would expand its regional footprint. The combin...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026