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PLDT (PHI) AI Stock Analysis

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PHI

PLDT

(NYSE:PHI)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:$21.00â–²(15.64% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/18/26

The score is led by solid financial performance (strong margins and improving free cash flow) and compelling valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Offsetting these positives are balance-sheet leverage and a mixed technical setup that lacks clear bullish trend strength; the latest earnings call was supportive but still highlighted deleveraging and execution risks.

Positive Factors
Resilient EBITDA and marginsSustained EBITDA growth and a stable margin indicate durable operating resilience. This provides PLDT with recurring cash earnings to fund network investment, debt reduction and shareholder distributions despite competitive telecom pricing.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage limits flexibilityLeverage remains a material structural constraint for a capital-intensive telecom operator. Debt reduction depends partly on asset monetization, so elevated obligations may limit investment flexibility and increase sensitivity to financing costs.

PLDT (PHI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%PHI-0.44%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$3.92B
Dividend Yield
8.35%
Average Volume (3M)
185.52K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.0
Beta (1Y)
0.18
Revenue Growth
-1.72%
EPS Growth
-18.30%
Country
US
Employees
14,304
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Telecommunications Services

PLDT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

PLDT Inc., a major provider of telecommunications and digital services across the Philippines, is headquartered in Makati City. The company organizes its extensive operations into three main divisions: Wireless, Fixed Line, and Other services. Under...

How the Company Makes Money

PLDT primarily makes money by selling telecommunications and connectivity services on recurring subscription and usage-based plans across consumer and enterprise markets. Key revenue streams include: (1) Mobile services (via Smart Communications): re...

PLDT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-6.39%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a generally constructive picture: revenue and EBITDA are stable with a clear shift toward higher-margin data, enterprise and digital services. Enterprise, data center (VITRO) and Maya show strong growth trajectories and strategic positioning. Management demonstrated discipline on costs and capital, reducing CapEx intensity and maintaining margins while continuing to invest selectively. Near-term headwinds include a H1 revenue lag in Home from installation disruptions, higher depreciation/IFRS16 effects weighing on core income, some operating cost pressures and ongoing deleveraging needs. Overall, positives (sustained EBITDA growth, enterprise and Maya momentum, network awards, dividend policy and improved CapEx efficiency) outweigh the lowlights, though execution on asset monetization, margin protection and leverage reduction will be key to sustain momentum.

Positive Updates

Stable Top-Line and Service Revenue Growth
Consolidated gross service revenues grew 2% to PHP 108.7B; service revenues net of interconnection increased 1% to PHP 97.8B. Excluding legacy services, revenues grew 2% to PHP 89.2B, which now represent 91% of total revenue.

Negative Updates

Home Revenue Lag from Installation Constraints
Home revenues declined 1% (fiber -1% to PHP 29.4B) due to Q1 installation constraints and OSS migration; revenue recovery expected to lag installations by ~3–4 months, causing H1 growth to be muted.

Company Guidance

PLDT reiterated full‑year CapEx guidance in the mid‑PHP 50 billion range (H1 CapEx PHP 20.7B vs PHP 27.4B prior year; H1 CapEx intensity 19% down from 26%), with a priority on lowering CapEx intensity over time while sustaining positive free cash flow and funding key areas (new cell sites, regional fiber core, AI, submarine cables, IT modernization); net debt stood at PHP 287.3B with net debt/EBITDA at 2.57x and a stated objective to move toward ~2.0x (and to ~2.4x assuming a potential Q4 VITRO REIT that could release ~PHP 12–13B PPA proceeds to pay down debt); average pre‑tax interest cost improved to 5.05% (from 5.43%), USD debt is ~14% of total, average debt maturity >6 years and only ~3% of debt matures in 2026; management reiterated asset‑monetization plans (tower sale target ~PHP 2B) and dividend policy (interim cash dividend PHP 46/share, trailing 12‑month yield ~8%, payout aligned to ~60% of core income), while retaining investment‑grade ratings (S&P BBB, Moody’s Baa2).

PLDT Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability profile (high gross margins and solid EBIT margins) and improving free-cash-flow momentum, including a notable TTM uptick in growth. The main offset is elevated leverage (high debt-to-equity), and cash conversion is weaker with TTM free cash flow less than half of net income.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

67Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue220.64B217.67B216.83B210.95B205.25B193.26B
Gross Profit163.71B129.68B189.10B155.17B184.62B176.22B
EBITDA108.94B113.43B114.34B108.83B124.52B99.54B
Net Income28.30B28.66B32.31B26.61B10.48B26.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets638.28B632.74B623.27B609.52B624.16B626.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.68B12.19B11.00B17.09B25.80B33.42B
Total Debt361.02B359.22B335.62B302.34B292.01B274.24B
Total Liabilities503.16B505.08B506.54B499.13B510.20B498.86B
Stockholders Equity133.82B126.47B115.42B105.22B108.73B123.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.58B23.25B13.45B7.33B-19.35B-10.58B
Operating Cash Flow89.65B83.19B81.73B85.77B76.20B91.81B
Investing Cash Flow-50.62B-58.75B-65.70B-55.12B-33.01B-103.48B
Financing Cash Flow-38.24B-22.62B-22.33B-39.42B-42.30B-4.90B

PLDT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price18.16

Price Trends

50DMA18.21Negative
100DMA18.33Negative
200DMA19.32Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.16Positive
RSI47.98Neutral
STOCH36.61Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PHI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 18.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.67, below the 50-day MA of 18.21, and below the 200-day MA of 19.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PHI.

PLDT Risk Analysis

PLDT disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PLDT reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Macro & Political - Risks related to catastrophic events or geopolitical conditions that may disrupt the company’s business

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the Iran regional conflict, could disrupt global energy markets, supply chains, and financial conditions, which may indirectly adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.Q4, 2025

PLDT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

PHI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
VIVVIV77Outperform$18.11B15.119.70%7.81%16.10%24.13%
TIMBTIMB73Outperform$8.56B11.0917.54%7.62%13.99%29.93%
PHIPHI69Neutral$3.90B9.0122.35%8.35%-1.72%-18.30%
TKCTKC69Neutral$4.09B10.197.05%4.79%16.11%2.15%
TIGOTIGO64Neutral$12.92B19.8821.02%5.37%29.10%-29.84%
TLKTLK63Neutral$10.31B12.1712.77%11.21%-3.29%-28.64%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%PHITLKVIVTIMBTKCTIGODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
PHI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PHIPLDT, Inc.18.16-0.08-0.44%
TLKP.t. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk.10.95-8.51-43.72%
VIVTelefonica Brasil SA11.32-0.51-4.29%
TIMBTim S.A.18.22-3.38-15.64%
TKCTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri As4.60-1.12-19.61%
TIGOMillicom International Cellular Sa79.1234.2376.25%

PLDT Corporate Events

PLDT Clarifies 2025 Audit Opinion and Reports Officer Separation

Aug 14, 2026

On August 14, 2026, PLDT filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. SEC and corresponding disclosures with the Philippine Stock Exchange and Securities and Exchange Commission. The filings addressed an expected amendment to its Form 20-F for the year ended Decem...

PLDT Taps Mid‑Year Earnings to Fund Multi‑Class Dividends and Officer Promotions

Aug 13, 2026

On August 13, 2026, PLDT reported to regulators that it had released its unaudited consolidated financial results for the six months ended June 30, 2026, and used these interim earnings as the basis for several sizable dividend declarations. The comp...

PLDT Flags 2025 Material Weakness, Plans Amendment to Form 20-F

Aug 13, 2026

On August 13, 2026, PLDT Inc. announced that control deficiencies tied to the accounting for certain structured hedge arrangements constituted a material weakness in its internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2025. The company p...

PLDT Subsidiary VITRO REIT Files for PSE Main Board Listing

Jun 23, 2026

On June 22, 2026, PLDT Inc. disclosed that VITRO Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of ePLDT, has filed an application to list on the Main Board of the Philippine Stock Exchange in connection with its proposed initial public offering. VITRO is in the pr...

PLDT Files Registration for Proposed VITRO Data Center REIT IPO

Jun 22, 2026

On June 20, 2026, PLDT Inc. reported to regulators that VITRO Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of its ICT arm ePLDT, has submitted a registration statement for a proposed initial public offering of a VITRO real estate investment trust (REIT) in the Ph...

PLDT Details Results of June 9, 2026 Stockholders and Board Meetings

Jun 10, 2026

On June 9, 2026, PLDT held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders and the subsequent Organizational Meeting of its Board of Directors, formalizing key corporate actions and appointments. The company later filed a current report and supporting disclosure...

PLDT Declares Cash Dividend on Voting Preferred Shares for July 2026 Payout

Jun 9, 2026

On June 9, 2026, PLDT’s board of directors approved a cash dividend totaling P2,437,500 on all outstanding Voting Preferred shares for the quarter ending July 15, 2026, with payment set for July 15 to holders of record as of June 23. The divide...

PLDT Moves to Full Ownership of Radius With Deal for Paragon’s 65.1% Stake

Jun 5, 2026

On June 4, 2026, PLDT executed a Share Purchase Agreement with Paragon Vertical Corporation and Radius Telecoms covering the proposed acquisition of Paragon’s 65.1% equity stake in Radius. The stake comprises over 4.64 million common shares and...

PLDT Files Disclosure on Launch of Combined 2025 Annual and Sustainability Report

May 22, 2026

On May 21, 2026, PLDT Inc. disclosed to the Philippine Stock Exchange and the Securities and Exchange Commission that it had issued a press release titled “Going Beyond the Signal: PLDT releases combined 2025 Annual and Sustainability Report.&#...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026