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Telefonica Brasil (VIV)
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Telefonica Brasil (VIV) AI Stock Analysis

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VIV

Telefonica Brasil

(NYSE:VIV)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(7.66% Upside)
Telefonica Brasil's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust revenue growth, high profitability, and effective cash flow management are complemented by strategic expansions in mobile and fiber connectivity. While technical indicators suggest some short-term weakness, the stock's valuation remains attractive with a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth in both mobile and fixed services highlights Telefonica Brasil's strong market position and ability to capture increased demand, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Operational Efficiency
Improved EBITDA and margin expansion indicate enhanced operational efficiency, which strengthens profitability and supports sustainable growth.
Strategic Reorganization
The strategic reorganization aims to improve operational efficiency and cost management, potentially strengthening market position and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Prepaid Market Competition
Intense competition in the prepaid market could hinder revenue growth and market share, challenging the company's ability to maintain its competitive edge.
Prepaid Revenue Decline
A decline in prepaid revenues suggests challenges in this segment, potentially impacting overall revenue growth and requiring strategic adjustments.
Real Estate Asset Volatility
Volatility in real estate asset sales introduces uncertainty in financial performance, potentially affecting cash flow stability and strategic planning.

Telefonica Brasil (VIV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Telefonica Brasil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelefonica Brasil (VIV) is a leading telecommunications company in Brazil, providing a wide range of services including mobile and fixed-line telephony, broadband internet, and pay television. As a subsidiary of the multinational Telefónica Group, VIV operates primarily in the telecommunications sector, catering to both residential and business customers. The company is known for its strong market presence and extensive network infrastructure, offering innovative solutions and digital services aimed at enhancing connectivity and communication across the country.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelefonica Brasil generates revenue through multiple streams, including mobile services, fixed broadband, and pay television subscriptions. The majority of its income comes from mobile telecommunications, where it offers a variety of prepaid and postpaid plans to individual consumers and businesses. Additionally, the company earns revenue from fixed-line services, including voice and broadband internet, catering to residential and corporate clients. VIV also monetizes its network infrastructure through partnerships and wholesale agreements with other telecom operators. Significant partnerships, such as those with content providers for bundled services, and investments in digital transformation initiatives, further contribute to its earnings. Furthermore, the company capitalizes on the growing demand for data services, offering enhanced mobile internet and value-added services that drive customer retention and acquisition.

Telefonica Brasil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance across key segments, particularly in the postpaid mobile and fiber connectivity areas, alongside significant revenue and EBITDA growth. The company has also made notable progress in ESG initiatives and shareholder returns. However, challenges in the prepaid mobile revenue and volatility in real estate asset sales were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Postpaid Mobile Growth
Postpaid segment access grew by 7.3% year-over-year, now accounting for 68% of the total mobile customer base, reaching approximately 103 million connections.
Fiber Connectivity Expansion
Fiber connections increased by 12.7% year-over-year, with 7.6 million homes connected and a footprint covering 30.5 million homes nationwide.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Total revenues rose by 6.5%, with mobile service revenues up by 5.5% and fixed services by 9.6%. EBITDA grew 9% year-over-year, with a margin expansion to 43.4%.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Operating cash flow reached BRL 11.2 billion, up 12.4% year-over-year. BRL 5.7 billion was returned to shareholders by September.
B2B Segment Performance
B2B revenues reached BRL 13.2 billion, up 15% year-over-year, with digital B2B growing 34.2%.
ESG Initiatives
Vivo launched the Futuro Vivo Forest initiative to regenerate the Amazon, received top rankings in sustainability indices, and was recognized for corporate social responsibility.
Negative Updates
Prepaid Mobile Revenue Challenges
Prepaid segment revenues declined by 7.6%, although there is a positive trend due to increased customer base recharging and data usage.
Volatility in Real Estate Asset Sales
The sale of real estate assets related to the concession migration shows volatility, with BRL 199 million from real estate sales this quarter.
Prepaid Market Competition
The prepaid market remains highly competitive, impacting revenue growth, although trends are improving.
Company Guidance
In Vivo's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported robust financial performance with key metrics highlighting their growth. Mobile postpaid access grew by 7.3% year-over-year, now comprising 68% of their 103 million connections. Fiber connections increased by 12.7%, reaching 7.6 million homes, and covering 30.5 million homes nationwide. Total revenues rose by 6.5%, driven by a 5.5% increase in mobile services and a 9.6% increase in fixed services. EBITDA grew by 9%, with the margin expanding to 43.4%. Operating cash flow for the first nine months reached BRL 11.2 billion, a 12.4% increase from the previous year. Net income rose by 13.4% to BRL 4.3 billion, and free cash flow approached BRL 7 billion, with a margin of 15.6%. The company returned BRL 5.7 billion to shareholders by the end of September, demonstrating their commitment to sustainable value creation.

Telefonica Brasil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telefonica Brasil demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth, high profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with low leverage and strong equity, positioning it well for future growth and stability in the telecommunications sector.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Telefonica Brasil shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.7%, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 62.6% in TTM, suggesting enhanced operational efficiency. Net profit margin is stable at 10.1%, reflecting consistent profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 16.0% and 41.8% respectively, highlighting strong earnings before interest and taxes.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.30, indicating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 8.5%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 53.8%, reflecting a strong equity base relative to total assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow growth is impressive at 21.3% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.75, suggesting good cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, demonstrating effective cash management and reinvestment potential.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.66B55.85B52.10B48.04B44.03B43.13B
Gross Profit36.10B24.49B22.68B20.61B36.04B30.07B
EBITDA22.26B21.54B19.52B14.64B14.05B14.40B
Net Income5.83B5.55B5.03B4.09B6.24B4.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets126.47B124.94B120.74B119.12B115.74B108.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.45B6.69B4.36B2.27B6.45B5.76B
Total Debt20.32B20.75B18.74B19.30B16.93B13.24B
Total Liabilities58.34B55.14B51.11B50.67B45.66B39.18B
Stockholders Equity68.07B69.73B69.57B68.40B70.01B69.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.43B10.55B9.97B9.05B8.78B11.05B
Operating Cash Flow20.19B19.88B18.79B18.94B18.07B19.34B
Investing Cash Flow-9.39B-8.91B-7.85B-14.20B-8.13B-6.41B
Financing Cash Flow-8.71B-8.63B-8.85B-8.91B-9.26B-10.56B

Telefonica Brasil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.54
Price Trends
50DMA
12.33
Positive
100DMA
11.88
Positive
200DMA
10.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
55.94
Neutral
STOCH
35.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.23, above the 50-day MA of 12.33, and above the 200-day MA of 10.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VIV.

Telefonica Brasil Risk Analysis

Telefonica Brasil disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Telefonica Brasil reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Changes in taxes and other assessments may adversely affect us and our shareholders. Q4, 2022
2.
The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine may have a material adverse effect on the global and Brazilian economies as well as on us. Q4, 2022

Telefonica Brasil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$11.08B15.5014.93%6.26%-4.90%14.83%
77
Outperform
$19.81B18.508.36%4.86%-3.16%4.70%
74
Outperform
$69.69B18.2517.70%2.27%1.14%83.48%
74
Outperform
$20.77B15.2215.54%6.14%-5.21%-7.45%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
54
Neutral
$27.02B-7.17%4.36%0.89%-494.16%
49
Neutral
$24.22B-0.70%7.89%-5.49%-75.51%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
12.54
3.68
41.53%
AMX
America Movil
22.71
7.32
47.56%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
20.48
4.06
24.73%
TEF
Telefonica
4.14
-0.09
-2.13%
TIMB
TIM
22.81
9.92
76.96%
VOD
Vodafone
11.34
2.46
27.70%

Telefonica Brasil Corporate Events

Telefonica Brasil Streamlines Operations with Strategic Subsidiary Incorporation
Nov 3, 2025

On November 1, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced the incorporation of its wholly-owned subsidiary, IPNet Serviços em Nuvem e Desenvolvimento de Sistemas Ltda., into Telefônica Cloud e Tecnologia do Brasil S.A., as part of a strategic reorganization. This move aims to streamline operations, reduce costs, and enhance synergies within the company, without affecting the share capital or equity interests, thereby potentially strengthening Telefônica’s market position and operational efficiency.

Telefonica Brasil Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth in Mobile and Fiber Services
Oct 31, 2025

Telefonica Brasil reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting significant growth in several key areas. The company saw a 6.5% year-over-year increase in total revenues, driven by strong performances in postpaid mobile services, fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) connections, and corporate digital services. The mobile segment achieved 102.9 million accesses, with a notable expansion in 5G coverage. The fiber network reached 30.5 million homes, with a 12.7% increase in connected homes. EBITDA grew by 9.0%, marking the highest growth in two years, while net income rose by 13.3%. These results underscore Telefonica Brasil’s strategic focus on enhancing connectivity and digital services, which are crucial for its growth and stakeholder value.

Telefônica Brasil Confirms Unchanged Interest on Capital for Shareholders
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. confirmed that there were no changes in the amount of Interest on Capital per share as previously deliberated by its Board of Directors on October 14, 2025. The company announced that the Interest on Capital will be paid to shareholders based on their shareholding position as of October 27, 2025, with the payment scheduled to be completed by April 30, 2026. This announcement indicates stability in the company’s financial strategy and provides clarity to its shareholders regarding their expected returns.

Telefônica Brasil Declares R$380 Million Interest on Capital
Oct 15, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced that its Board of Directors approved the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) amounting to R$380 million, with a net amount of R$323 million after tax. This payout, based on the balance sheet of September 30, 2025, will be distributed to shareholders holding positions as of October 27, 2025, and will be considered part of the mandatory dividends for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The move reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may impact the company’s financial strategies and shareholder relations.

Telefônica Brasil Approves R$380 Million Interest on Capital
Oct 15, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A.’s Board of Directors held its 503rd meeting, where they approved a proposal for the declaration of interest on capital (IoC) amounting to R$380 million gross, based on the balance sheet as of September 30, 2025. This decision, which aligns with the company’s financial strategy, will see the IoC credited to shareholders based on their holdings as of October 27, 2025, and will contribute to the mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The payment is scheduled to be completed by April 30, 2026, pending approval at the 2026 Ordinary General Meeting, highlighting Telefônica Brasil’s commitment to shareholder returns.

Telefonica Brasil Approves Interest on Capital Declaration
Oct 15, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Telefonica Brasil’s Fiscal Council held a meeting to discuss the proposal for the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) based on the balance sheet of September 30, 2025. The Council approved the proposal to declare a gross amount of R$380,000,000.00 as IoC, which will be credited to shareholders based on their shareholding position as of October 27, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to shareholder returns and will be included in the minimum mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The payment is scheduled to be completed by April 30, 2026, pending approval at the Ordinary General Meeting in 2026.

Telefonica Brasil Approves Strategic Share Transfer to Vivo Ventures
Oct 7, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Telefonica Brasil’s Board of Directors held its 502nd meeting where they approved a transaction involving the transfer of shares of VivaE Educação Digital S.A. to the Vivo Ventures investment fund. This decision, which was unanimously agreed upon by the board, represents a strategic move to enhance the company’s investment portfolio through a contribution valued at approximately R$17.4 million. The transaction is expected to strengthen Telefonica Brasil’s position in the private equity sector, with implications for its investment strategy and stakeholder interests.

Telefônica Brasil Completes Reorganization and Announces Vivae-Ada Merger
Oct 7, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced the completion of a corporate reorganization involving its stake in Vivae Educação Digital S.A. The reorganization involved transferring Vivae shares to the Vivo Ventures investment fund, valued at approximately R$17.4 million. Additionally, Vivae entered into a business combination agreement with Ada Tecnologia e Educação S.A., aiming to enhance synergies and strategic partnerships in the technology education sector. This move is expected to strengthen Telefônica’s position in the B2B education market, pending antitrust approval.

Telefônica Brasil Adjusts Interest on Capital Amid Share Buyback
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced a recalculation of the Interest on Capital (IoC) amount per share, initially declared on September 11, 2025. This adjustment follows the company’s share buyback program and slightly increases the gross and net amounts per share. The payment will be based on the shareholding position as of September 22, 2025, and is scheduled to be executed by April 30, 2026. This recalibration reflects Telefônica Brasil’s ongoing efforts to optimize shareholder value and manage capital effectively.

Telefônica Brasil Approves R$400 Million Interest on Capital
Sep 11, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Telefônica Brasil’s Fiscal Council held its 250th meeting, where they unanimously approved a proposal for the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) amounting to R$400 million gross, based on the August 31, 2025 balance sheet. This decision, which aligns with applicable legislation, will impact shareholders by crediting the IoC based on their shareholding position as of September 22, 2025, and it will be included in the mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with payment expected by April 30, 2026.

Telefônica Brasil Approves R$400 Million Interest on Capital
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A.’s Board of Directors approved a proposal for the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) amounting to R$400 million gross, based on the balance sheet as of August 31, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders, with the net value of the IoC contributing to the mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The IoC will be allocated to shareholders based on their positions as of September 22, 2025, and the payment is scheduled by April 30, 2026, pending approval at the Ordinary General Meeting in 2026.

Telefônica Brasil Declares R$400 Million Interest on Capital
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced that its Board of Directors approved a declaration of Interest on Capital amounting to R$400 million, with a net amount of R$340 million after tax deductions. This decision, based on the balance sheet of August 31, 2025, is part of the mandatory dividends for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and will be paid by April 30, 2026. The announcement reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Telefônica Brasil Adjusts Interest on Capital Amid Share Buyback
Aug 26, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced a recalculation of the Interest on Capital (IoC) amount per share, initially declared on August 14, 2025. This adjustment follows the company’s recent share buyback program. The gross amount per share has been slightly increased, impacting the net amount received by shareholders. The IoC will be paid based on the shareholding position as of August 25, 2025, with payments scheduled by April 30, 2026. This recalibration reflects the company’s ongoing financial strategies and may influence shareholder returns and market perceptions.

Telefônica Brasil Approves R$250 Million Interest on Capital
Aug 14, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Telefônica Brasil’s Fiscal Council held its 249th meeting, where they unanimously approved a proposal for the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) amounting to R$250 million gross, based on the balance sheet of July 31, 2025. This decision, which aligns with applicable legislation, will see the IoC credited to shareholders based on their holdings as of August 25, 2025, and is set to be included in the mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with payment by April 30, 2026.

Telefonica Brasil Declares R$250 Million Interest on Capital
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Telefonica Brasil’s Board of Directors held their 500th meeting, where they approved a proposal for the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) based on the balance sheet as of July 31, 2025. The gross amount approved was R$250 million, with a net amount of R$212.5 million after tax. This IoC will be credited to shareholders based on their holdings as of August 25, 2025, and will contribute towards the mandatory dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with payment scheduled by April 30, 2026. This decision underscores the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

Telefônica Brasil Approves R$250 Million Interest on Capital
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Telefônica Brasil S.A. announced that its Board of Directors approved the declaration of Interest on Capital (IoC) amounting to R$250 million, with a net amount of R$212.5 million after withholding income tax. This IoC will be considered as part of the mandatory dividends for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and will be paid to shareholders based on their positions as of August 25, 2025. The payment is expected to be completed by April 30, 2026, and may be adjusted according to the company’s shareholding base due to its Share Buyback Program.

Telefonica Brasil Releases Interim Financial Statements for June 2025
Aug 12, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Telefonica Brasil S.A. released its interim financial statements for the period ending June 30, 2025. The review, conducted by PricewaterhouseCoopers, concluded that the financial statements fairly present the company’s financial position and performance in accordance with Brazilian and international accounting standards. This release provides stakeholders with assurance regarding the company’s financial health and compliance with relevant accounting practices.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025