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Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL)
:OWL
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Blue Owl Capital (OWL) AI Stock Analysis

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OWL

Blue Owl Capital

(NYSE:OWL)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(7.80% Upside)
Blue Owl Capital's overall score is driven by strong earnings call performance and solid financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and cash flow generation. However, the high P/E ratio and bearish technical indicators weigh down the score. The company's strategic initiatives and robust fundraising efforts are positive, but challenges in profitability and leverage remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exceeding revenue expectations indicates strong business momentum and effective strategy execution, supporting long-term growth.
Fundraising Performance
Record fundraising enhances capital availability, enabling strategic investments and expansion, crucial for sustained growth.
Digital Infrastructure Expansion
Strategic investments in digital infrastructure position Blue Owl as a leader in cloud and AI financing, driving future growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, potentially limiting flexibility and impacting long-term financial stability.
Profitability Challenges
Low profitability margins suggest inefficiencies, which could hinder the company's ability to reinvest and sustain growth.
Exposure to Rate Cuts
Sensitivity to interest rate cuts can affect revenue predictability, posing a risk to financial performance in changing rate environments.

Blue Owl Capital (OWL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blue Owl Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlue Owl Capital (OWL) is a leading investment firm specializing in direct lending and private equity. The company primarily focuses on providing capital solutions to middle-market companies across various sectors, including technology, healthcare, and consumer products. Blue Owl Capital offers a range of financial products, including private credit and equity investments, tailored to meet the unique needs of its clients. With a robust investment strategy and a dedicated team of professionals, the firm aims to deliver strong returns for its investors while supporting the growth of the businesses it finances.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlue Owl Capital generates revenue primarily through interest income from its direct lending activities and management fees from its private equity investments. The company makes money by charging interest on the loans it provides to middle-market companies, which typically have higher yields compared to traditional fixed-income investments. Additionally, Blue Owl collects management fees based on the assets under management (AUM) in its private equity funds. These fees are usually calculated as a percentage of the committed capital or AUM. The firm's revenue is further bolstered by potential performance fees tied to the successful outcomes of its investments. Key partnerships with financial institutions and access to a diverse network of borrowers also enhance Blue Owl's ability to generate revenue and expand its investment portfolio.

Blue Owl Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Blue Owl Capital showcased strong growth and strategic positioning across its investment platforms, particularly in digital infrastructure and direct lending. Despite some fee rate step-downs and sensitivity to rate cuts, the firm's record capital commitments and fundraising achievements highlight a positive trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Capital Commitments
Blue Owl Capital secured over $14 billion in new capital commitments during the quarter, with a record last 12-month capital raise of $57 billion, representing 24% of their assets under management a year ago.
Strong Fundraising Performance
The firm raised nearly $40 billion over the last 12 months, an increase of over 60% from the previous year, with $23 billion coming from institutional clients, reflecting over 100% growth year-over-year.
Digital Infrastructure Expansion
Significant investments in data centers, with over $50 billion in capital announced across two transactions, including partnerships with Meta and Oracle, positioning Blue Owl as a leader in cloud and AI innovation financing.
Robust Direct Lending Growth
Direct lending strategy gross returns were approximately 3% in the third quarter and 13% over the last 12 months, with weighted average LTVs remaining in the high 30s.
Negative Updates
Fee Rate Step Down
A fee step down on a portion of the AUM in Net Lease Fund VI resulted in very modest management fee growth for the Real Assets platform in the third quarter.
Exposure to Rate Cuts
For every 100 basis points of rate cuts, Part 1 fees are impacted by approximately $60 million, or about 2% of third quarter revenues annualized.
Company Guidance
During Blue Owl Capital's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported financial results indicating strong growth and performance. Key metrics included fee-related earnings (FRE) of $0.24 per share and distributable earnings (DE) of $0.22 per share. A dividend of $0.225 per share was declared for the third quarter, payable on November 24 to holders of record as of November 10. The company highlighted $14 billion in new capital commitments during the quarter, with a record $57 billion raised over the past 12 months. Blue Owl also noted $28 billion in assets under management (AUM) not yet paying fees, expected to generate over $360 million in management fees upon deployment. In direct lending, gross origination was approximately $11 billion, and net deployment increased to $3 billion. Alternative credit saw approximately $5 billion deployed over the last 12 months, focusing on sectors like small business, equipment leasing, and aviation. Blue Owl's real asset strategy executed capital investments of over $50 billion in data centers with notable partners like Meta and Oracle. The company also emphasized its strategic moves in digital infrastructure and private wealth, with $16 billion raised over the last year. For the GP Stakes strategy, over $2.5 billion was returned to investors, achieving a 3.2x gross return on asset sales. The company remains focused on performance, capital duration, and innovation to maintain its growth trajectory, aiming for 20% growth in management fees and FRE per share annually.

Blue Owl Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blue Owl Capital shows solid revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, which are positive indicators for future performance. However, challenges with profitability margins and high leverage require strategic focus to enhance financial stability and shareholder returns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Blue Owl Capital has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 6.22%. The gross profit margin has improved to 50.08% in the TTM, indicating strong cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.88%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to the previous year, reflecting potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54, indicating significant leverage. While the return on equity has decreased to 3.67% in the TTM, the equity ratio remains stable at around 19.15%. The balance sheet reflects a need for careful management of debt levels to mitigate financial risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Blue Owl Capital has demonstrated strong cash flow performance, with a free cash flow growth rate of 15.92% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.07, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.93, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.62B2.30B1.73B1.37B823.88M249.81M
Gross Profit1.40B1.28B860.97M475.04M-673.11M9.08M
EBITDA804.08M866.04M632.65M269.67M-1.73B-58.05M
Net Income75.40M109.58M54.34M-9.29M-376.17M-77.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.28B10.99B8.82B8.89B8.27B121.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments117.61M152.09M104.16M68.08M42.57M11.63M
Total Debt3.65B2.98B2.00B1.86B1.26B356.39M
Total Liabilities5.92B5.19B3.54B3.34B2.42B622.76M
Stockholders Equity2.35B2.13B1.53B1.60B1.66B-507.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.04B935.37M881.24M662.91M276.40M4.58M
Operating Cash Flow1.09B999.55M949.14M728.45M281.66M5.23M
Investing Cash Flow-750.33M-638.14M-118.03M-485.22M-1.60B-652.00K
Financing Cash Flow-658.91M-313.48M-795.03M-217.72M1.35B-295.00K

Blue Owl Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.77
Price Trends
50DMA
17.41
Negative
100DMA
18.31
Negative
200DMA
19.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Negative
RSI
40.54
Neutral
STOCH
30.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OWL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.42, below the 50-day MA of 17.41, and below the 200-day MA of 19.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OWL.

Blue Owl Capital Risk Analysis

Blue Owl Capital disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blue Owl Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blue Owl Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$178.68B42.0635.17%2.63%31.91%19.86%
$19.29B15.5623.07%2.63%101.10%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$24.44B350.445.11%27.24%-59.82%
$48.58B85.0713.92%2.88%45.89%-9.53%
$20.80B2.55%3.47%43.48%-24.02%
$105.43B56.758.22%0.61%-24.62%-48.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
15.77
-4.42
-21.89%
KKR
KKR & Co
118.33
-17.92
-13.15%
BX
Blackstone Group
146.64
-16.83
-10.30%
CG
Carlyle Group
53.32
5.55
11.62%
ARES
Ares Management
148.71
-6.89
-4.43%
TPG
TPG
55.04
-4.80
-8.02%

Blue Owl Capital Corporate Events

Blue Owl Capital Reports Record Fundraising and Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is a prominent asset manager specializing in alternative investments across Credit, Real Assets, and GP Strategic Capital, with a robust permanent capital base and a global team of over 1,365 professionals.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Blue Owl Capital Declares Cash Dividend for Q4 2025
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Blue Owl Capital Inc. announced a cash dividend of $0.225 per Class A Share, payable on November 24, 2025, to shareholders of record as of November 10, 2025. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with new capital commitments reaching $14 billion in the quarter and $57 billion over the past twelve months, reflecting robust interest in its investment strategies. This performance underscores Blue Owl’s strategic focus on innovation and economic growth sectors like Digital Infrastructure, enhancing its market position and offering substantial scale and expertise to its partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (OWL) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blue Owl Capital stock, see the OWL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Blue Owl Capital Expands Credit Agreement to $2.425B
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Blue Owl Finance LLC, a subsidiary of Blue Owl Capital Inc., along with several affiliated entities and financial institutions, entered into a Third Amendment to their existing Credit Agreement. This amendment increases the revolving credit commitment to $2.425 billion, with a potential increase to $3 billion, and extends the maturity date to August 8, 2030, while maintaining other terms of the facility.

The most recent analyst rating on (OWL) stock is a Hold with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blue Owl Capital stock, see the OWL Stock Forecast page.

Blue Owl Capital’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Aug 2, 2025

Blue Owl Capital Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a strong quarter marked by record capital raises and successful fundraising efforts across various segments. Despite facing some market disruptions and a slowdown in M&A activity, the company demonstrated robust growth and expansion, resulting in a predominantly positive sentiment throughout the call. The significant achievements and growth in key areas were highlighted as major contributors to this optimistic outlook.

Blue Owl Capital Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 1, 2025

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is a prominent asset management firm specializing in alternative investments, with a focus on providing private capital solutions across credit, real assets, and GP strategic capital platforms.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Blue Owl Capital Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Blue Owl Capital Inc. announced strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting record fundraising and over 30% growth in management fees despite market volatility. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.225 per Class A Share, payable on August 28, 2025, reflecting its strategic growth initiatives and expanding global distribution.

The most recent analyst rating on (OWL) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blue Owl Capital stock, see the OWL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025