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Noble Corporation (NE)
NYSE:NE
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Noble Corporation (NE) AI Stock Analysis

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NE

Noble Corporation

(NYSE:NE)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(10.37% Upside)
Noble Corporation's overall stock score is driven by its solid financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's strong cash flow and dividend yield are significant strengths. While technical indicators are neutral, the positive long-term outlook and successful strategic initiatives support the stock's potential. Near-term market challenges and reduced revenue guidance are risks to monitor.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors

Noble Corporation (NE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Noble Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNoble Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore drilling contractor for the oil and gas industry worldwide. The company provides contract drilling services to the oil and gas industry through its fleet of mobile offshore drilling units. As of February 16, 2022, it operated a fleet of 20 offshore drilling units, which included 12 floaters and 8 jackups. The company was formerly known as Noble Holding Corporation plc. Noble Corporation was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyNoble Corporation generates revenue primarily through day rates charged for the use of its drilling rigs and related services. The company enters into contracts with oil and gas companies for the leasing of its drilling units, which can range from short-term contracts to long-term agreements spanning several years. Key revenue streams include the utilization of its high-specification offshore rigs, which are in demand due to the ongoing exploration activities in deepwater regions. Additionally, Noble may also earn revenue from providing supplemental services, such as crew training and equipment maintenance. Significant partnerships with major oil producers enhance its revenue potential, as these collaborations often lead to multi-year contracts that ensure steady cash flow. Market dynamics, including oil prices and demand for offshore drilling capabilities, also play a crucial role in influencing the company's earnings.

Noble Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Noble Corporation reported strong financial performance and successful integration efforts but faced challenges with near-term market softness and reduced revenue guidance. Despite these challenges, the company has a positive outlook for future demand in key regions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Noble Corporation reported strong financial results with adjusted EBITDA of $282 million and free cash flow of $107 million for Q2 2025.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $80 million to shareholders through a $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, with a total capital return of over $1.1 billion since Q4 2022.
Successful Integration
Achieved $100 million synergy target from the Diamond acquisition ahead of schedule.
New Contracts and Backlog
Secured six new contracts and increased total backlog to $6.9 billion, with $2.8 billion in new contract value year-to-date.
Positive Market Outlook
Continued strength in South America, with potential for a rebound in West Africa and promising deepwater demand projected for late 2026 and 2027.
Negative Updates
Near-Term Market Softness
Pressure on day rates and near-term gaps in rig contracts due to macroeconomic uncertainties and softening demand in certain regions.
Reduced Revenue Guidance
Lowered full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $3.2 billion to $3.3 billion due to softer spot market and unexercised options.
Idle and Disposed Rigs
Several rigs are idle or being disposed of, including the Noble Globetrotter II and Noble Highlander, highlighting surplus cost burdens.
Soft North Sea Market
Muted market conditions in the North Sea and Norway, with fiscal and regulatory headwinds affecting jackup demand.
Company Guidance
During Noble Corporation's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance for the fiscal year, highlighting several financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported strong financial results with an adjusted EBITDA of $282 million and free cash flow of $107 million for Q2. Despite lowering its total revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $3.2 billion to $3.3 billion, the company narrowed its adjusted EBITDA guidance to the upper end of its previous range, now set at $1.075 billion to $1.15 billion, driven by effective cost management. The company also emphasized its ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders, having returned $80 million through a $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, with a cumulative capital return exceeding $1.1 billion since Q4 2022. Noble achieved its $100 million synergy target from the Diamond acquisition ahead of schedule, focusing now on optimization. The company secured new contracts worth a total contract value of $2.8 billion year-to-date, contributing to a total backlog of $6.9 billion as of August 5. Looking ahead, Noble Corporation anticipates a sequential decline in adjusted EBITDA in Q3 due to contract rollovers and planned downtime but remains constructive on the long-term market, expecting a significant rebound starting in the second half of 2026.

Noble Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.30B3.06B2.59B1.41B847.81M964.27M
Gross Profit967.33M744.48M743.75M305.44M-7.33M-25.53M
EBITDA1.16B1.02B765.95M381.10M34.63M-3.70B
Net Income461.18M448.35M481.90M168.95M352.21M-3.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.12B7.96B5.51B5.23B2.07B4.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments187.09M247.30M360.79M476.21M194.14M365.03M
Total Debt3.87B1.98B611.87M672.77M216.00M6.91M
Total Liabilities4.53B3.31B1.59B1.63B572.82M4.58B
Stockholders Equity4.18B4.65B3.92B3.61B1.50B-311.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow274.92M80.16M164.76M106.67M-162.87M124.31M
Operating Cash Flow797.85M655.48M574.34M280.99M6.17M273.20M
Investing Cash Flow-890.55M-959.02M-366.51M375.77M193.45M-121.52M
Financing Cash Flow184.46M188.08M-325.79M-367.77M-367.94M107.44M

Noble Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.90
Price Trends
50DMA
28.08
Positive
100DMA
27.28
Positive
200DMA
26.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
56.42
Neutral
STOCH
66.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.52, above the 50-day MA of 28.08, and above the 200-day MA of 26.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NE.

Noble Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.75B15.517.18%8.36%29.23%-53.65%
72
Outperform
$3.71B13.5612.23%18.78%-72.57%
69
Neutral
$2.29B7.12-1.19%4.34%25.92%-109.50%
66
Neutral
$1.96B27.052.60%-13.36%-82.21%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
$3.71B-14.99%23.26%-284.22%
52
Neutral
$2.14B-27.16%5.76%-7.98%-1011.04%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NE
Noble Corporation
29.90
-5.30
-15.06%
HP
Helmerich & Payne
23.05
-10.86
-32.03%
PTEN
Patterson-UTI
5.56
-2.60
-31.86%
RIG
Transocean
3.37
-1.20
-26.26%
VAL
Valaris
52.07
-4.31
-7.64%
SDRL
Seadrill Limited
31.56
-8.44
-21.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 29, 2025