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Mccormick & Company Inc. (MKC)
NYSE:MKC
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McCormick & Company (MKC) AI Stock Analysis

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MKC

McCormick & Company

(NYSE:MKC)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$54.00
▼(-0.88% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:10/02/26
MKC scores well primarily due to solid underlying financial performance (strong profitability with improving scale) and very attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by very weak technical signals (broad downtrend and bearish momentum) and guidance risks highlighted on the earnings call, including Consumer Americas volume softness, cost inflation, and potential near-term supply constraints.
Positive Factors
Brand and Market Share Gains
Share gains across several categories and geographies indicate that McCormick’s brands remain competitive and relevant with consumers. Continued gains can support distribution, pricing power and repeat demand, reinforcing the company’s market position over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Consumer Americas Volume Pressure
Persistent volume weakness in the Americas can limit organic growth even when pricing remains positive. Competitive activity, value-conscious consumers and slower recovery in core categories may require further marketing and trade investment, putting pressure on sustainable mix and earnings growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Brand and Market Share Gains
Share gains across several categories and geographies indicate that McCormick’s brands remain competitive and relevant with consumers. Continued gains can support distribution, pricing power and repeat demand, reinforcing the company’s market position over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

McCormick & Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Shows revenue generated by each business unit, providing insight into which segments are contributing most to growth and how the company is diversifying its income streams.
Chart InsightsFlavor Solutions is the clear growth engine—steady, accelerating sales supported by broad customer wins, reformulation demand and acquisition contribution—now driving total volume growth even as Consumer remains seasonal and only recently stabilized into 2026. Consumer’s recent strength looks more pricing- and acquisition-driven than volume-led, and management flags U.S. spices share pressure and Americas volume softness. Key risks: H2 must deliver organic volume recovery (not just price/acquisitions) and margins must hold once one-time tariff benefits fade.
Data provided by:The Fly

McCormick & Company (MKC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

McCormick & Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
McCormick & Company, Incorporated is a global leader in the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of a wide array of flavorful products, including spices, seasoning mixes, and condiments, to the food industry. Its operations are divided into tw...
How the Company Makes Money
McCormick makes money by selling flavor products through two main revenue streams tied to its operating segments. (1) Consumer segment revenue is generated from the sale of branded and private-label spices, herbs, seasonings, and condiments to ret...

McCormick & Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 01, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was positive overall. Strong sales growth, margin expansion, operating income growth, cash generation, share gains, regional momentum, productivity savings, maintained 2026 guidance and progress on the Unilever Foods transaction significantly outweighed the stated challenges. The main pressures were weaker Consumer Americas volumes, slower recipe mix recovery, soft QSR and CPG demand, higher inflation and freight costs, a potential fourth-quarter packaging constraint, and a higher tax rate.
Positive Updates
Strong Third-Quarter Sales Growth
Total sales grew 17% in constant currency, including 2% organic growth, with the remaining growth driven by the acquisition contribution from McCormick de Mexico.
Negative Updates
Consumer Americas Volume Pressure
Consumer organic sales in the Americas were flat, with a 2% pricing contribution offset by volume decline. Volumes were pressured by the macro environment, softer category consumption and a value-conscious consumer environment.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Third-Quarter Sales Growth
Total sales grew 17% in constant currency, including 2% organic growth, with the remaining growth driven by the acquisition contribution from McCormick de Mexico.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For fiscal 2026, McCormick expects full year organic growth to reflect stable volumes and positive pricing contributions, with organic growth between the low end and midpoint of its guidance range, including approximately a 30 basis point impact from the supply constraint; the constraint may have a negative impact of up to 1 point on total company volume growth for the fourth quarter. Cost inflation is now expected at 6% to 7%, while full year gross margin expansion remains 100 to 120 basis points versus 2025, with the company now expecting to be at the high end of the range; fourth-quarter margin is expected to face year-over-year compression. Operating income growth and earnings per share are expected to be at the midpoint of the range for the year, with fourth-quarter earnings per share impacted by lapping a favorable tax rate in the prior year of 23.9%. The global 10% tariff assumption remains unchanged, and Canadian tariffs are not expected to have a meaningful impact on this year's results; at the close of Unilever Foods, the company expects industry-leading operating margins of 21%, 100% free cash flow conversion from net income before any synergies, $1.5 billion to $2 billion available to pay down debt within the first 2 years and delever to 3x, and a longer-term leverage ratio target of 2x to 3x.

McCormick & Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid but not without quality questions. Income statement strength (healthy gross/EBIT margins and improving TTM revenue growth) is partly offset by concerns about sustainability of the unusually high TTM net margin and mixed cash-flow momentum (FCF down ~8.7% TTM and modest cash conversion/coverage), despite solid absolute OCF/FCF.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.69B6.84B6.72B6.66B6.35B6.32B
Gross Profit3.00B2.59B2.59B2.50B2.27B2.49B
EBITDA1.33B1.34B1.32B1.21B1.16B1.22B
Net Income1.49B789.40M788.50M680.60M682.00M755.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.65B13.20B13.07B12.86B13.12B12.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments331.10M95.90M186.10M166.60M334.00M351.70M
Total Debt4.25B4.00B4.51B4.59B5.33B5.39B
Total Liabilities9.06B7.43B7.75B7.78B8.43B8.48B
Stockholders Equity7.00B5.74B5.29B5.06B4.68B4.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow925.90M740.40M647.00M973.40M389.50M550.30M
Operating Cash Flow1.14B962.20M921.90M1.24B651.50M828.30M
Investing Cash Flow-944.10M-255.20M-269.00M-260.50M-146.40M-908.60M
Financing Cash Flow27.70M-840.90M-583.10M-1.18B-487.20M22.00M

McCormick & Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price54.48
Price Trends
50DMA
49.44
Negative
100DMA
49.67
Negative
200DMA
52.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Negative
RSI
54.54
Neutral
STOCH
81.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MKC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 54.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.87, above the 50-day MA of 49.44, and above the 200-day MA of 52.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MKC.

McCormick & Company Risk Analysis

McCormick & Company disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McCormick & Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

McCormick & Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$12.95B8.6722.32%3.99%13.23%91.32%
67
Neutral
$13.88B60.464.06%3.40%5.08%―
66
Neutral
$6.04B10.2913.46%3.44%-1.38%-10.81%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
53
Neutral
$29.41B-8.67-8.44%6.45%-1.62%36.06%
52
Neutral
$18.39B-20.84-10.69%7.10%-4.49%-131.46%
47
Neutral
$7.09B-3.73-26.28%8.24%-1.80%-323.82%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MKC
McCormick & Company
48.12
-16.67
-25.73%
CAG
Conagra Brands
14.86
-2.28
-13.32%
GIS
General Mills
34.39
-10.78
-23.87%
SJM
JM Smucker
129.98
29.35
29.17%
INGR
Ingredion
95.70
-18.06
-15.88%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
24.80
0.85
3.55%

McCormick & Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
McCormick Announces Audit Chair Transition After Director Resignation
Neutral
Aug 28, 2026
On August 25, 2026, McCormick Company announced that director Anne Bramman, who also serves as Chair of the Audit Committee, intends to resign from the Board due to time commitments associated with her new role as Executive Vice President and Chi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 02, 2026