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Avolta (DUFRY)
OTHER OTC:DUFRY
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Avolta (DUFRY) AI Stock Analysis

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DUFRY

Avolta

(OTC:DUFRY)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(10.91% Upside)
Dufry AG's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are offset by bearish technical indicators and high valuation. The company's robust cash flow and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation, but market sentiment and valuation concerns weigh on the overall score.

Avolta (DUFRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avolta Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvolta, a subsidiary of DUFRY, operates in the travel retail sector, specializing in the sale of luxury goods, cosmetics, perfumes, and alcoholic beverages. The company partners with various brands to offer a curated selection of products in airports, seaports, and other travel hubs, aiming to enhance the shopping experience for travelers. Avolta leverages the global reach of DUFRY to maintain a strong presence in key markets, focusing on delivering high-quality products and exceptional customer service.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvolta generates revenue primarily through the sale of products in duty-free retail environments. The company's revenue model is centered around the significant markup on luxury goods, which are sold to international travelers who benefit from tax exemptions. Key revenue streams include sales from cosmetics, fragrances, premium spirits, and confectionery items. Additionally, Avolta benefits from strategic partnerships with renowned luxury brands, which provide exclusive product offerings that attract customers. The company's earnings are further bolstered by its ability to capitalize on seasonal travel trends and promotions, as well as its operational efficiency in high-traffic travel locations.

Avolta Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong overall growth, expansion of the loyalty program, and improvements in EBITDA margin despite regional challenges in North America and the Middle East. The praise from Aena and positive cash flow developments further underscore the company's resilience.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Growth
The company reported a 7.1% growth at constant exchange rates for the first half of the year, with a strong organic growth of 5.7%, despite challenges such as the U.S. slowdown and geopolitical crises.
EBITDA Margin Improvement
EBITDA margin improved by 30 basis points to 9.3%, aligning with the company's mid-term outlook of a 20 to 40 basis points increase.
Equity Free Cash Flow and Deleveraging
The company generated CHF 216 million in equity free cash flow, enabling a reduction in net debt to EBITDA from 2.35x to 2.15x.
Expansion of Loyalty Program
The Club of Bolta loyalty program reached 13 million members, contributing significantly to sales with members spending 3x the average ticket.
Positive Feedback from Aena
Avolta received praise from Aena, a major airport partner, highlighting successful retail and hybrid concept operations.
Negative Updates
North America Performance
Weakness in North America was attributed to a decrease in the number of domestic passengers, resulting in flat organic growth in that region.
Middle East Crisis Impact
The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East affected growth, with an estimated 0.2% to 0.3% impact on the overall growth in Q2.
Early Terminations in Asia Pacific
The company is undergoing early terminations in Asia Pacific, though specifics about the countries or airports involved were not disclosed.
Company Guidance
During the call, Avolta provided a detailed guidance for the first half of the fiscal year 2025, highlighting a robust performance despite geopolitical challenges. The company reported a 7.1% growth at constant currency and a 5.7% organic growth. The EBITDA margin improved by 30 basis points, reaching 9.3%, while the equity free cash flow amounted to CHF 216 million. Avolta's net debt to EBITDA ratio improved to 2.15x, close to their target of 1.5 to 2x. The company also emphasized their ongoing digital transformation, with their loyalty program, Club of Bolta, reaching 13 million members who spend three times more than average. Avolta reaffirmed its mid-term outlook of 5% to 7% organic growth and EBITDA margin expansion of 20 to 40 basis points annually. They also highlighted their strategic focus on value creation, with plans for progressive dividend growth and share buybacks.

Avolta Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dufry AG shows a strong recovery with increasing revenues and robust cash flows. Despite high leverage, the company maintains profitable operations with strong cash flow management, positioning it well in the retail industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dufry AG has demonstrated a strong recovery in revenue with a notable growth rate of 7.32% from the previous year. The company maintains healthy profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 64.13% and a net profit margin of 0.75%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 6.81% and 20.73% respectively, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.07, suggesting significant leverage. However, the return on equity (ROE) stands at 4.39%, showing the company's ability to generate profit from shareholder investments. The equity ratio is at 13.50%, indicating moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
The cash flow statement is strong with a 10.64% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 25.29 indicates solid cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 20.60, demonstrating excellent cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.00B13.72B12.79B6.88B3.92B2.56B
Gross Profit8.79B8.80B3.92B4.19B2.21B1.38B
EBITDA1.67B2.84B2.47B1.62B-258.90M-1.13B
Net Income118.50M103.00M87.30M58.20M-385.40M-2.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.63B17.40B16.51B9.31B9.99B11.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments935.00M756.00M769.50M854.70M793.50M360.30M
Total Debt11.74B11.91B11.19B6.58B7.45B9.12B
Total Liabilities14.67B14.88B14.02B8.34B8.96B10.34B
Stockholders Equity1.83B2.35B2.36B893.00M956.60M839.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.37B2.12B1.92B1.40B587.00M-464.30M
Operating Cash Flow2.83B2.60B2.36B1.51B678.20M-345.30M
Investing Cash Flow-308.30M-312.00M-1.00M-67.40M-72.80M-74.90M
Financing Cash Flow-2.33B-2.18B-2.40B-1.34B-136.20M257.00M

Avolta Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.41
Price Trends
50DMA
5.59
Negative
100DMA
5.48
Negative
200DMA
4.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
36.37
Neutral
STOCH
2.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DUFRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.66, below the 50-day MA of 5.59, and above the 200-day MA of 4.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DUFRY.

Avolta Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$40.40B19.5342.63%1.24%3.05%-10.82%
76
Outperform
$23.89B21.5651.75%1.23%3.28%9.29%
71
Outperform
$16.25B21.3226.72%4.93%-2.21%-37.30%
68
Neutral
$7.72B58.365.58%1.78%6.66%-2.52%
67
Neutral
$19.53B24.1817.50%2.93%2.65%-32.91%
66
Neutral
$16.28B105.9034.48%9.04%-56.79%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DUFRY
Avolta
5.41
1.45
36.62%
BBY
Best Buy Co
76.86
-16.20
-17.41%
EBAY
eBay
92.17
26.45
40.25%
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
139.73
8.96
6.85%
WSM
Williams-Sonoma
199.43
52.12
35.38%
CHWY
Chewy
37.53
9.51
33.94%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2025