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Genuine Parts Company (GPC)
NYSE:GPC
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Genuine Parts Company (GPC) AI Stock Analysis

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GPC

Genuine Parts Company

(NYSE:GPC)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$140.00
▲(13.26% Upside)
Genuine Parts Company's overall stock score reflects steady revenue growth and a stable balance sheet, but challenges in profitability and cash flow stability weigh on its financial performance. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation metrics are moderate. The recent earnings call highlighted both positive sales growth and significant challenges, leading to a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Steady revenue growth indicates strong demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business sustainability and market presence.
Gross Margin Improvement
Improved gross margins suggest enhanced operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to better profitability over time.
E-commerce Growth
Strong e-commerce growth reflects successful digital transformation, expanding reach and customer engagement in a growing online market.
Negative Factors
Rising SG&A Costs
Increased SG&A costs can pressure margins and profitability, challenging the company's ability to maintain cost efficiency long-term.
Tariff and Market Uncertainty
Market uncertainties and tariffs can disrupt supply chains and increase costs, posing risks to stability and strategic planning.
Decreased Profitability
Decreased profitability in key segments indicates operational challenges, potentially affecting overall financial health and investment capacity.

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Genuine Parts Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenuine Parts Company (GPC) is a leading distributor of automotive and industrial replacement parts, based in the United States. The company operates primarily through two segments: Automotive Parts and Industrial Parts, supplying a vast range of products including vehicle parts, tools, and maintenance supplies. GPC serves a diverse customer base, including automotive repair shops, industrial manufacturers, and original equipment manufacturers, through its extensive network of locations across North America and beyond.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenuine Parts Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive and industrial replacement parts. Its Automotive Parts segment contributes a significant portion of its earnings, driven by sales to repair shops, retailers, and consumers. The Industrial Parts segment provides another critical revenue stream, focusing on various industries such as manufacturing and construction. GPC also benefits from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, allowing it to offer a wide range of high-quality products. Additionally, the company leverages its extensive distribution network to ensure efficient delivery and inventory management, which enhances customer satisfaction and leads to repeat business. Overall, GPC's revenue model is supported by its focus on customer service, product availability, and a strong brand reputation in the marketplace.

Genuine Parts Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Number of Locations
Number of Locations
Counts the total outlets or branches, reflecting the company's market presence and potential for customer reach and service delivery.
Chart InsightsGenuine Parts Company is experiencing a strategic shift in its distribution and service center locations. While distribution centers have seen a decline, branches and service centers are stabilizing after previous fluctuations. Retail locations continue to grow steadily, reflecting a focus on expanding retail presence. The earnings call highlights challenges such as tariffs and cost pressures, which may influence future location strategies. Despite these hurdles, the company remains committed to strategic initiatives, including leveraging e-commerce growth, which could offset some physical location pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Genuine Parts Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were several positive developments, such as an increase in total sales and improvements in gross margin, the company faces significant challenges. These include tariff and market uncertainties, a decrease in automotive segment margins, and increased SG&A costs, leading to a downward revision of full-year earnings guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Total GPC Sales Increase
Total GPC sales for the second quarter were $6.2 billion, up 3.4% compared to the same period in the prior year.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin expanded by 110 basis points versus the same period last year, reflecting strategic pricing and sourcing initiatives.
E-commerce Growth
E-commerce sales at Motion are now 40% of total sales, up over 10% versus the start of 2024, driven by digital integration leveraging Gen AI.
Asia Pacific Growth
Total sales in the Asia Pacific region increased approximately 13%, with comparable sales growth of approximately 5%.
Consistent US Automotive Performance
Total sales for the US automotive market were up 4%, with notable strength and sequential improvement in auto care and major accounts.
Negative Updates
Global Automotive Segment Margin Decrease
Global Automotive segment EBITDA for the second quarter was 8.6% of sales, representing a 110 basis point decrease from the same period last year.
Tariff and Market Uncertainty
Ongoing trade and tariff uncertainty, high interest rates, and cautious consumer behavior have negatively impacted market conditions.
Lowered Full Year Earnings Guidance
Revised full-year adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance to $7.50 to $8.00, down from the previous range of $7.75 to $8.25.
Industrial Segment Challenges
The global industrial segment saw only a 1% increase in sales, with comparable sales essentially flat and ongoing challenges in markets like iron and steel, automotive, and oil and gas.
SG&A Cost Increase
Adjusted SG&A as a percentage of sales for the second quarter was 28.7%, up 150 basis points year over year, driven by salaries, wages, rent, and freight expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Genuine Parts Company's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the remainder of the year. Total GPC sales reached $6.2 billion, marking a 3.4% increase compared to the same period last year, driven by strategic pricing and sourcing initiatives, as well as benefits from acquisitions. The gross margin improved by 110 basis points year-over-year. However, the company revised its 2025 full-year guidance due to ongoing tariff impacts and market conditions, with expected diluted earnings per share now between $6.55 and $7.05, down from the previous outlook. Adjusted diluted EPS is anticipated to range from $7.50 to $8.00. The automotive segment is projected to see 1.5% to 3.5% total sales growth, while the industrial segment is expected to grow 1% to 3%. The company continues to focus on controlling costs, managing tariff challenges, and executing strategic initiatives to drive long-term value, with anticipated free cash flow between $700 million and $900 million for the year.

Genuine Parts Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Genuine Parts Company shows solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and strong gross margins. However, challenges are evident in declining net profit margins and free cash flow, indicating pressure on profitability and cash generation. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Genuine Parts Company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a 2.88% increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous annual period. The gross profit margin stands at a healthy 36.88%, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin, however, shows a decline to 3.40% in TTM from 3.85%, reflecting pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, though slightly lower compared to historical performance, reflecting resilient operational efficiency despite increased cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.37, suggesting a balanced leverage position. Stockholders' equity has been growing, supporting a stable equity ratio of 23.01%. The return on equity has decreased to 17.20% in TTM from previous levels, indicating some challenges in generating returns from equity investments. Overall, the company maintains a solid asset base with prudent leverage.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow metrics are mixed, with a significant decline in free cash flow by 63.23% in TTM, pointing to increased capital expenditures or reduced cash inflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.00, indicating effective cash conversion from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.31, reflecting pressure on free cash generation due to higher capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.06B23.49B23.09B22.10B18.87B16.54B
Gross Profit8.91B8.52B8.29B7.74B6.63B5.65B
EBITDA1.67B1.68B2.16B1.99B1.55B743.26M
Net Income808.50M904.08M1.32B1.18B898.79M-29.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.69B19.28B17.97B16.50B14.35B13.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments431.36M479.99M1.10B653.46M714.70M990.17M
Total Debt6.40B5.74B4.89B4.16B3.20B3.47B
Total Liabilities15.89B14.93B13.55B12.69B10.85B10.22B
Stockholders Equity4.79B4.34B4.40B3.79B3.49B3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow133.52M683.91M922.93M1.13B992.15M1.87B
Operating Cash Flow665.72M1.25B1.44B1.47B1.26B2.02B
Investing Cash Flow-750.28M-1.51B-705.79M-1.68B-506.16M171.64M
Financing Cash Flow-552.48M-333.94M-292.16M205.10M-989.53M-1.51B

Genuine Parts Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price123.61
Price Trends
50DMA
135.86
Negative
100DMA
131.62
Negative
200DMA
125.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.42
Positive
RSI
26.44
Positive
STOCH
4.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 123.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 131.61, below the 50-day MA of 135.86, and below the 200-day MA of 125.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.44 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPC.

Genuine Parts Company Risk Analysis

Genuine Parts Company disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genuine Parts Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Genuine Parts Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$27.82B25.3445.46%1.73%4.26%0.73%
$17.71B21.9317.05%3.31%3.26%-25.41%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$77.65B31.786.19%6.98%
$59.48B24.682.43%-3.34%
$6.71B15.1068.48%0.50%-6.08%-2.40%
$2.85B-7.51-23.85%1.97%-19.41%-957.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
123.61
11.19
9.95%
AAP
Advance Auto Parts
47.41
10.79
29.46%
AZO
AutoZone
3,576.14
529.79
17.39%
MUSA
Murphy USA
368.04
-110.45
-23.08%
ORLY
O'Reilly Auto
91.70
14.53
18.83%
TSCO
Tractor Supply
52.49
-0.71
-1.33%

Genuine Parts Company Corporate Events

Genuine Parts Co. Faces Financial Risks from Key Customer and Vendor Insolvencies
Oct 23, 2025

Genuine Parts faces significant business risks due to potential bankruptcy or insolvency of key customers or vendors, which could disrupt their operations and supply chain. The company’s reliance on these relationships means that any financial failure could lead to delays, increased costs, and challenges in sourcing replacement goods. Such events may also impact Genuine Parts’ ability to collect receivables, generate sales, and maintain cash flow, ultimately affecting their revenue and financial condition. The company’s brand and operating results could suffer from reduced sales, price cuts, and increased product returns, highlighting the critical nature of managing these financial dependencies.

Genuine Parts Company Reports Steady Q3 2025 Growth
Oct 22, 2025

Genuine Parts Company is a global leader in the distribution of automotive and industrial replacement parts, providing value-added solutions across 17 countries with a vast network of over 10,700 locations.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Genuine Parts Company Announces Cooperation Agreement with Elliott
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

On September 4, 2025, Genuine Parts Company announced a Cooperation Agreement with Elliott Investment Management, leading to the appointment of two new independent directors, Matthew A. Carey and Court D. Carruthers, to its Board. This strategic move is part of the company’s ongoing board refreshment program aimed at enhancing operational performance and shareholder value. Concurrently, the company announced the retirement of long-serving directors John R. Holder and Robin C. Loudermilk, Jr. Additionally, retention awards and a new Severance Agreement were approved for key executives to ensure continuity during organizational changes. These developments reflect Genuine Parts Company’s commitment to advancing its long-term growth objectives and responding to shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPC) stock is a Buy with a $148.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genuine Parts Company stock, see the GPC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Genuine Parts Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Genuine Parts Company announced that its Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $1.03 per share on the company’s common stock. This dividend, payable on October 2, 2025, to shareholders of record on September 5, 2025, reflects the company’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its investors, reinforcing its stable financial position in the automotive and industrial parts industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPC) stock is a Buy with a $135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genuine Parts Company stock, see the GPC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025