FGPN Stock Chart & Stats
€4.70
-€0.10(-2.08%)
At close: 4:00 PM EDT
€4.70
-€0.10(-2.08%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week Range€3.04 - €8.55
Previous CloseN/A
Volume0.00
Average Volume (3M)93.00
Market Cap
€210.77M
Enterprise Value€644.65
Total Cash (Recent Filing)€322.92M
Total Debt (Recent Filing)€117.06M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta0.61
Next Earnings
Nov 10, 2026EPS Estimate
0.04Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-4.85
Shares Outstanding45,013,590
10 Day Avg. Volume75
30 Day Avg. Volume93
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.51
Price to Sales (P/S)1.46
P/FCF Ratio-7.02
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€10.41Price Target Upside121.45% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.41
Revenue Forecast (FY)€78.96M
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Revenue MomentumLarge, repeatable top-line gains in Insurance Distribution (92% YoY, 42% organic) reflect scalable distribution and successful M&A integration (ArmadaCare). Persistent organic growth indicates durable demand and a growing platform that can drive revenue scale over multiple quarters.
Margin Recovery In Core SegmentSustained margin expansion in the distribution business and a move to positive consolidated adjusted EBITDA signal operating leverage from scale and improved underwriting/expense control. If maintained, this supports cash generation and reduces reliance on financing over the medium term.
De‑risked Consolidated Balance SheetLow consolidated leverage and a sizable equity base give Octave flexibility to fund growth, absorb underwriting volatility, and support strategic M&A. A stronger balance sheet lowers default risk and provides time for operating businesses to reach sustained profitability.
Bears Say
Negative Cash GenerationMaterial negative operating and free cash flow constrains reinvestment and leaves the company dependent on external financing or asset sales. Persistent cash burn weakens the ability to self-fund underwriting volatility or new MGA launches over the coming quarters.
Weak Overall ProfitabilityDeep negative operating and net margins show the business has not yet converted revenue growth into sustainable earnings. Continued GAAP losses imply caution: recurring profitability improvements must outpace de novo and acquisition costs to restore durable earnings power.
Segment Leverage & Collateral NeedsMeaningful segment-level leverage and the need to provide equity as collateral increase funding costs and operational sensitivity to underwriting cycles. Elevated leverage in distribution can limit capital flexibility and amplify downside if underwriting or cash flow weakens.
Octave Specialty Group News
FGPN FAQ
What was Octave Specialty Group’s price range in the past 12 months?
Octave Specialty Group lowest stock price was €3.04 and its highest was €8.55 in the past 12 months.
What is Octave Specialty Group’s market cap?
Octave Specialty Group’s market cap is €210.77M.
When is Octave Specialty Group’s upcoming earnings report date?
Octave Specialty Group’s upcoming earnings report date is Nov 10, 2026 which is in 95 days.
How were Octave Specialty Group’s earnings last quarter?
Octave Specialty Group released its earnings results on Aug 06, 2026. The company reported -€0.035 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of -€0.004 by -€0.03.
Is Octave Specialty Group overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Octave Specialty Group’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Octave Specialty Group pay dividends?
Octave Specialty Group does not currently pay dividends.
What is Octave Specialty Group’s EPS estimate?
Octave Specialty Group’s EPS estimate is 0.04.
How many shares outstanding does Octave Specialty Group have?
Octave Specialty Group has 45,013,590 shares outstanding.
What happened to Octave Specialty Group’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Octave Specialty Group reported an EPS of -€0.035 in its last earnings report, missing expectations of -€0.004. Following the earnings report the stock price went same N/A.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Octave Specialty Group?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in DE:FGPN
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Octave Specialty Group Stock Smart Score
Neutral
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Analyst Consensus
Moderate Buy
Average Price Target:
€10.41 (121.45% Upside)
€10.41 (121.45% Upside)
Blogger Sentiment
Neutral
DE:FGPN Sentiment 100%
Sector Average ―
Sector Average ―
News Sentiment
Very Bullish
Bullish news 100%
Bearish news 0%
Bearish news 0%
Technicals
SMA
Negative
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
-32.14%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
―
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
-78.71%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Octave Specialty Group
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. functions as a financial services holding company, organizing its operations into two distinct divisions. Its Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segment delivers specialized program insurance, primarily focusing on coverage for commercial and personal liability exposures. The second division, Insurance Distribution, offers a broad spectrum of services for distributing specialty property and casualty insurance, which includes roles such as managing general agents, underwriters, and insurance brokers, alongside other related distribution and underwriting ventures. Established in 1971, the company, with its corporate headquarters located in New York, New York, rebranded from its former name, Ambac Financial Group, Inc., to Octave Specialty Group, Inc. in November 2025.
FGPN Company Deck
FGPN Earnings Call
Q1 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call presented a strong operational and financial improvement story: very large revenue and adjusted-EBITDA gains in the Insurance Distribution segment, narrower GAAP losses, premium growth and loss-ratio improvement at Everspan on a pro forma basis, cost reductions, expanded capacity, and continued strategic progress on platform and AI initiatives. The quarter did include notable one-off headwinds — primarily a litigation settlement and related legal costs that materially inflated reported loss ratios, early-stage losses from newly launched MGAs, and ongoing non-recurring charges — but management quantified these items and highlighted pro forma metrics showing more normalized performance. On balance, the positive operational momentum and material improvements in non‑GAAP profitability and margins significantly outweigh the quarter’s lowlights.View all DE:FGPN earnings summariesFGPN Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
€10.41
▲(121.45% Upside)