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Autoliv
(NYSE:ALV)
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Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$131.00
▲(6.05% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/23/26
ALV scores as a solid, financially healthy operator supported by strong cash generation and improving profitability, with an attractive valuation (reasonable P/E and ~3% yield). The score is held back by only moderate technical momentum and earnings-call risks around margin guidance being at the low end and persistent cost/production headwinds despite expected Q4 improvement.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Robust operating cash flow and expanding free cash flow give Autoliv meaningful capacity to fund product development, capital investment, dividends, and repurchases. Although conversion bears watching, sustained cash production supports resilience and strategic flexibility over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverage
Leverage remains material relative to equity and recently increased as net debt rose, leaving Autoliv more exposed to weaker vehicle demand or sustained cost pressure. Debt-supported returns can amplify downside and constrain financial flexibility if operating conditions deteriorate.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Robust operating cash flow and expanding free cash flow give Autoliv meaningful capacity to fund product development, capital investment, dividends, and repurchases. Although conversion bears watching, sustained cash production supports resilience and strategic flexibility over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Autoliv Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Net Sales by Geography
Shows where Autoliv earns its sales across regions (for example Americas, Europe, and Asia), highlighting exposure to regional car production cycles, OEM customers, and currency or trade risks. Useful for spotting geographic concentration, faster-growing markets, and potential vulnerabilities if a region slows or faces supply-chain issues.
Shows where Autoliv earns its sales across regions (for example Americas, Europe, and Asia), highlighting exposure to regional car production cycles, OEM customers, and currency or trade risks. Useful for spotting geographic concentration, faster-growing markets, and potential vulnerabilities if a region slows or faces supply-chain issues.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyAutoliv (ALV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$8.40B
Dividend Yield3.03%
Average Volume (3M)829.22K
Price to Earnings (P/E)13.7
Beta (1Y)0.87
Revenue Growth4.26%
EPS Growth-13.85%
CountryUS
Employees56,515
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Parts
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)8.37
Shares Outstanding73,237,220
10 Day Avg. Volume938,468
30 Day Avg. Volume829,215
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.64
Price to Book (P/B)3.54
Price to Sales (P/S)0.84
P/FCF Ratio12.72
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.20
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.91
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.78
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.66
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$135.83Price Target Upside9.96% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)10.12
Revenue Forecast (FY)$11.11B
Autoliv Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Autoliv, Inc., operating through its global subsidiaries, specializes in the development, production, and supply of passive safety equipment for the automotive sector. The company's market presence spans Europe, the Americas, China, Japan, and oth...
How the Company Makes Money
Autoliv primarily makes money by designing, manufacturing, and selling automotive safety systems and components to vehicle OEMs under supply agreements tied to specific vehicle platforms and production programs. Its revenue model is largely volume...
Autoliv Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was broadly positive. Autoliv reported resilient sales and strong market outperformance despite declining vehicle production, delivered a 9.7% adjusted operating margin above earlier indications, continued efficiency and product initiatives, and maintained its sales and cash flow outlook. These positives were tempered by lower year-over-year profit, gross margin, cash flow, elevated raw material and logistics costs, weaker global vehicle production forecasts, and full-year margin guidance at the low end of the prior range.Positive Updates
Strong Q3 Execution and Margin Above Earlier Indications
Autoliv delivered a strong third quarter in a challenging environment, with adjusted operating margin of 9.7%, ahead of earlier indications. Management attributed the result to disciplined operational execution and higher engineering income.
Negative Updates
Revenue and Adjusted Operating Income Declined
Third-quarter net sales were $2.7 billion, down 0.5% year over year. Adjusted operating income decreased 3% to $262 million, while adjusted operating margin declined from 10.0% to 9.7%.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Q3 Execution and Margin Above Earlier Indications
Autoliv delivered a strong third quarter in a challenging environment, with adjusted operating margin of 9.7%, ahead of earlier indications. Management attributed the result to disciplined operational execution and higher engineering income.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Autoliv reiterated full-year 2026 guidance for flat organic sales and continued significant outperformance of light vehicle production, with organic sales expected to be flat, global light vehicle production expected to decline by 2%, and outperformance expected to be around 2 percentage points; the currency translation effect on sales is expected to be around 2.5% positive. Adjusted operating margin guidance is now around 10.5%, at the low end of the range of around 10.5% to 11%, operating cash flow is expected to be around $1.2 billion, CapEx around 4% of sales compared to previous guidance of less than 5%, and the tax rate around 30%. For Q4, they expect financial performance to strengthen versus Q3, supported by higher sales volumes, increased engineering income, and customer compensation related to raw material inflation, with actions expected to result in a meaningful stronger margin profile by year end and strong free cash flow generation to continue throughout the year.Autoliv Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 11.07B | 10.81B | 10.39B | 10.47B | 8.84B | 8.23B |
| Gross Profit | 2.10B | 2.07B | 1.93B | 1.82B | 1.40B | 1.51B |
| EBITDA | 1.31B | 1.50B | 1.37B | 1.08B | 1.03B | 1.07B |
| Net Income | 623.00M | 735.00M | 646.00M | 488.00M | 423.00M | 435.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 8.43B | 8.64B | 7.80B | 8.33B | 7.72B | 7.54B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 197.00M | 604.00M | 330.00M | 498.00M | 594.00M | 969.00M |
| Total Debt | 2.09B | 2.44B | 2.07B | 2.04B | 1.92B | 2.14B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.96B | 6.06B | 5.52B | 5.76B | 5.09B | 4.89B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.46B | 2.57B | 2.28B | 2.56B | 2.61B | 2.63B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 604.00M | 715.00M | 480.00M | 409.00M | 128.00M | 296.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 902.00M | 1.16B | 1.06B | 982.00M | 713.00M | 754.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -291.00M | -423.00M | -563.00M | -569.00M | -485.00M | -454.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -461.00M | -369.00M | -680.00M | -490.00M | -531.00M | -469.00M |
Autoliv Technical Analysis
Negative
123.53
Price Trends
117.50
Negative
119.05
Negative
117.23
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.08
Negative
48.21
Neutral
71.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 123.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 113.67, above the 50-day MA of 117.50, and above the 200-day MA of 117.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALV.
Autoliv Risk Analysis
Autoliv disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Autoliv reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Autoliv Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $8.40B | 13.70 | 24.54% | 3.03% | 4.26% | -13.85% | |
69 Neutral | $5.76B | 10.83 | 10.90% | 2.64% | 3.55% | 25.67% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
59 Neutral | $1.89B | 20.58 | 6.44% | 1.83% | 1.94% | -67.19% | |
55 Neutral | $1.28B | 27.68 | 2.77% | 3.48% | 4.98% | ― | |
53 Neutral | $8.86B | 40.66 | 2.41% | 0.97% | -5.40% | -75.68% | |
53 Neutral | $4.35B | 11.17 | 15.85% | 2.32% | 7.71% | 9.67% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
ALV
Autoliv
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1.83%
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Autoliv Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Autoliv Posts Solid Q3 2026 Results Amid Mixed Demand
Positive
Oct 23, 2026
Autoliv reported its third-quarter 2026 results on October 23, showing net sales of $2,693 million, down 0.5% year-on-year, and a 1.1% organic sales decline that still outperformed global light vehicle production. Performance was notably strong in...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.