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Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT)
NASDAQ:ALGT
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Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) AI Stock Analysis

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ALGT

Allegiant Travel Company

(NASDAQ:ALGT)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$64.00
▲(0.13% Upside)
Allegiant Travel Company's overall stock score is driven by a mix of positive operational performance and strategic initiatives, as highlighted in the earnings call, and technical indicators showing moderate bullish momentum. However, significant challenges in profitability, high leverage, and valuation concerns due to negative earnings and lack of dividends weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Operational Performance
Record passenger numbers highlight strong demand and effective capacity management, supporting long-term growth and market presence.
Aircraft Utilization
Improved aircraft utilization enhances operational efficiency and reduces per-unit costs, strengthening Allegiant's competitive edge.
New Aircraft Performance
The introduction of MAX aircraft enhances fleet efficiency and cost-effectiveness, providing a durable competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Negative profitability and high leverage can strain financial health, limiting investment capacity and long-term growth potential.
TRASM Decline
A decline in TRASM indicates pricing pressure and potential revenue challenges, impacting long-term profitability and market positioning.
Sunseeker Resort Losses
Losses from Sunseeker Resort and related charges highlight operational risks and potential financial strain on core business resources.

Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allegiant Travel Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between under-served cities and leisure destinations. As of February 14, 2022, it operated a fleet of 110 Airbus A320 series aircraft. The company also provides air-related services and products in conjunction with air transportation, including baggage fees, advance seat assignments, travel protection products, priority boarding, a customer convenience fee, food and beverage purchases on board, and other air-related services, as well as use of its call center for purchases. In addition, it offers third party travel products, such as hotel rooms and ground transportation, such as rental cars and hotel shuttle products; and air transportation services through fixed fee agreements and charter service on a year-round and ad-hoc basis. Further, the company operates a golf course. Allegiant Travel Company was founded in 1997 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllegiant Travel Company primarily generates revenue through its airline operations, which include ticket sales and ancillary services. Ticket sales form the bulk of its revenue, driven by a low-cost fare structure aimed at leisure travelers. Ancillary revenues also play a significant role, comprising fees for services such as checked baggage, seat selection, and priority boarding. Additionally, Allegiant earns revenue from vacation packages that bundle flights with accommodations and other travel services, making it appealing to travelers seeking convenience. Strategic partnerships with hotels, car rental companies, and travel agencies further enhance its offerings and contribute to its revenue streams. The company's focus on underserved markets and secondary airports allows for lower operating costs, which supports profitability.

Allegiant Travel Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Allegiant's strong operational performance and strategic initiatives that are expected to drive future growth, such as increased utilization of MAX aircraft and favorable passenger numbers. However, this is counterbalanced by challenges including a decline in TRASM, softer domestic leisure demand, and expected third quarter losses, primarily attributed to seasonal weakness and Sunseeker Resort issues.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Passenger Numbers
Allegiant flew more than 5 million passengers in the second quarter, a record for this period.
High Operating Margin
Achieved an airline operating margin of 8.6%, exceeding initial guidance, with a first half operating margin close to 9%, an improvement over the first half of 2024.
Increased Aircraft Utilization
Aircraft utilization increased by 17% in the first half compared to the previous year, while maintaining flat total aircraft and personnel.
New MAX Aircraft Performance
The new MAX aircraft are boosting performance, leading in reliability, and contributing a significant margin advantage compared to older A320 aircraft.
Award Recognition
Allegiant was named Skytrax Best Low-Cost Carrier in North America for the second consecutive year.
Negative Updates
TRASM Decline
Total Revenue per Available Seat Mile (TRASM) declined by 11.2% year-over-year.
Domestic Leisure Demand Softness
Domestic leisure demand was softer than anticipated during the first half of the year.
Expected Third Quarter Operating Loss
The company expects to incur an operating loss in the third quarter, traditionally its weakest period for leisure demand.
Sunseeker Resort Losses
Sunseeker Resort incurred losses, with special charges of $103 million related to its pending sale.
Company Guidance
During Allegiant Travel Company's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, significant metrics and strategic guidance were shared. The company reported an airline operating margin of 8.6%, surpassing initial expectations, and a record of flying over 5 million passengers with approximately 70% being repeat customers, highlighting strong Net Promoter Scores. Capacity plans were adjusted with a 16% growth in total ASM and a 17% increase in aircraft utilization, maintaining flat aircraft and personnel counts. Despite softer domestic leisure demand, Allegiant achieved solid profitability due to its low-cost structure and focus on value. The new MAX aircraft, comprising roughly 10% of ASMs, are expected to exceed 15% by year-end, providing a significant margin advantage. Looking ahead, capacity growth expectations have been reduced, with September ASMs expected to be flat year-over-year, and an operating loss anticipated in the third quarter. However, a healthy operating profit is expected for the full year, with improvements anticipated in the fourth quarter as leisure travel typically increases. For 2026, capacity is expected to remain flat, focusing on incremental revenue through commercial initiatives, including the Allegiant Extra product and the Allegiant credit card, with the latter expected to grow from $140 million this year. The company plans to divest some Airbus aircraft and increase the usage of MAX aircraft, which are projected to account for over 20% of ASMs in 2026, with a continued emphasis on cost control.

Allegiant Travel Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allegiant Travel Company faces challenges in profitability and leverage, with negative net income and high debt levels. While revenue growth is evident, cost management and profitability need improvement. Cash flow generation is a positive aspect, but free cash flow volatility poses a concern. Overall, the company needs to focus on improving margins and reducing financial risk.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Allegiant Travel Company has experienced fluctuating revenue growth, with a notable increase in the TTM period. However, profitability metrics such as net profit margin and EBIT margin are negative, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from the previous year, suggesting increased cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage, which poses financial risk. The return on equity is negative in the TTM period, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains positive, but the free cash flow has shown volatility, with a negative growth rate in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some level of cash generation efficiency despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.58B2.51B2.51B2.30B1.71B990.07M
Gross Profit1.04B1.57B664.37M340.47M231.54M-4.34M
EBITDA8.75M60.86M490.24M305.57M446.06M-128.37M
Net Income-286.08M-240.24M117.60M2.49M151.85M-184.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.39B4.43B4.86B4.51B3.99B3.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments842.82M781.13M814.67M955.10M1.18B685.30M
Total Debt2.03B2.15B2.36B2.21B1.88B1.78B
Total Liabilities3.33B3.34B3.53B3.29B2.77B2.56B
Stockholders Equity1.06B1.09B1.33B1.22B1.22B699.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow101.75M38.30M-447.39M-131.64M232.66M-45.70M
Operating Cash Flow385.37M338.46M423.09M303.05M488.20M234.50M
Investing Cash Flow-126.51M5.58M-721.88M-491.42M-593.28M-365.69M
Financing Cash Flow-263.09M-201.30M212.92M33.12M285.47M164.60M

Allegiant Travel Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price63.92
Price Trends
50DMA
58.82
Positive
100DMA
56.65
Positive
200DMA
64.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Positive
RSI
57.33
Neutral
STOCH
66.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALGT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 61.89, above the 50-day MA of 58.82, and below the 200-day MA of 64.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALGT.

Allegiant Travel Company Risk Analysis

Allegiant Travel Company disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allegiant Travel Company reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allegiant Travel Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$634.46M11.1810.15%3.76%17.44%
68
Neutral
$4.04B10.1916.95%20.45%131.25%
64
Neutral
$798.41M12.09-12.00%-7.05%-128.03%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
$1.15B-24.02%1.25%3.17%-1689.03%
45
Neutral
$1.76B-15.12%-1.90%61.06%
43
Neutral
$1.04B13.43-6.63%4.60%49.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALGT
Allegiant Travel Company
63.92
6.26
10.86%
JBLU
JetBlue Airways
4.88
-2.35
-32.50%
SKYW
SkyWest
100.34
14.76
17.25%
VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV
6.88
0.64
10.26%
SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings
11.56
1.63
16.41%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
4.64
-1.00
-17.73%

Allegiant Travel Company Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Allegiant Travel Completes $200M Sale to Blackstone
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 4, 2025, Allegiant Travel Company completed the sale of its Sunseeker Resort at Charlotte Harbor, Aileron Golf Course, and related properties in Southwest Florida to affiliates of Blackstone Real Estate Group for $200 million, after closing adjustments. The proceeds from this transaction are intended to be used by Allegiant to reduce corporate debt and for other general corporate purposes, potentially impacting its financial stability and operational focus.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allegiant Travel Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

Allegiant Travel Company reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a GAAP diluted loss per share of $(3.62) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.23. Despite the challenging demand environment, the company achieved a record number of flights and a 99.9% controllable completion factor, which contributed to its operational success. Allegiant’s commercial initiatives and digital transformation efforts are beginning to yield positive outcomes, with improvements in ancillary revenue and cost reductions. The company remains optimistic about strengthening domestic demand in the latter half of the year and plans to continue focusing on core strengths and cost improvements, including the sale of its Sunseeker Resort.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Allegiant Travel Sells Sunseeker Resort to Blackstone
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

On July 3, 2025, Allegiant Travel Company announced an agreement to sell its Sunseeker Resort Charlotte Harbor, Aileron Golf Course, and related properties in Southwest Florida to Blackstone Real Estate Group for $200 million, with the transaction expected to close in September 2025. Additionally, the company borrowed $158.6 million through credit facilities secured by Boeing 737-MAX aircraft to finance aircraft deliveries and manage debt, with $151 million in loan commitments still available.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Allegiant Travel Confirms Board Election and Key Approvals
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Allegiant Travel Company held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The election of an eight-member Board of Directors was confirmed, with Maurice J. Gallagher, Jr. and Gregory Anderson receiving the highest votes. Additionally, the stockholders approved the executive compensation and an amendment to the Company’s 2022 Long-term Incentive Plan. The appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was also ratified.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Allegiant Secures $144 Million Credit Facility
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Allegiant Travel Company secured a credit facility allowing it to borrow up to $144 million, backed by Boeing 737 MAX aircraft. The funds will be used for aircraft purchases, debt repayment, and general corporate purposes, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 04, 2025