TipRanks
Advertisement

TPFC - ETF AI Analysis

Compare

Top Page

TPFC

Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF (TPFC)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:―
TPFC, the Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF, appears to be a solid-quality fund, supported by several strong holdings with healthy financials and growth prospects. Standout positions like Newmont Mining, Diamondback Energy, and Permian Resources contribute positively through robust profitability, efficient operations, and supportive technical trends, while names such as Coeur Mining and HCA Healthcare introduce some caution due to operational and financial risks. The main risk factor is the fund’s meaningful exposure to energy and mining companies, which can make overall performance more sensitive to commodity price swings and sector-specific volatility.
Positive Factors
Strong Year-to-Date Results
The ETF has delivered solid gains so far this year, showing that its strategy has recently worked well for investors.
Energy and Materials Strength
Several of the largest energy and materials holdings have shown strong performance, helping drive the fund’s overall returns.
Broad Sector Mix
Exposure to multiple sectors like technology, energy, health care, and materials helps spread risk across different parts of the economy.
Negative Factors
Relatively High Expense Ratio
The fund’s ongoing fee is on the higher side for an ETF, which can slowly reduce investors’ net returns over time.
Heavy U.S. Concentration
Almost all of the ETF’s assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering little diversification across global markets.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some of the largest positions have shown weak or negative performance this year, which can create more ups and downs in the fund’s returns.

TPFC vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TPFC Summary

The Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF (TPFC) follows the Victory Free Cash Flow BRI Index, focusing on large U.S. companies that generate strong, steady cash after their basic business costs. It also uses faith-based screens, avoiding areas like alcohol, gambling, and adult entertainment. Well-known holdings include Phillips 66 and Cognizant. Someone might invest in this ETF to seek long-term growth from financially solid companies while aligning with biblical values and getting broad sector diversification. A key risk is that the fund can still rise and fall with the overall stock market and may perform differently from broad indexes due to its faith-based screens.
How much will it cost me?This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.59%, which means you’ll pay about $5.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. That’s higher than the average low-cost index ETF because this fund uses a more specialized, rules-based strategy with faith-based and quality screens rather than simple passive market tracking.
What would affect this ETF?This ETF could benefit if the U.S. economy stays healthy and demand for technology, energy, and health care remains strong, since many of its largest holdings are in those sectors and focus on companies that generate solid cash flow. On the other hand, rising interest rates, lower energy prices, pressure on health care profits, or new rules that affect faith-based or values-screened funds could hurt performance, especially because the fund is concentrated in U.S. large-cap stocks and avoids certain industries.

TPFC Top 10 Holdings

TPFC is leaning heavily on U.S. energy names, with Phillips 66 and Permian Resources acting as key engines for the fund thanks to their rising, cash-rich profiles. Diamondback and Devon Energy add more fuel, keeping the energy sleeve a major performance driver. On the flip side, tech exposure via ServiceNow and Cognizant has been more mixed lately, with momentum cooling and occasionally dragging on returns. Newmont and Coeur Mining bring a materials twist, but overall this is a U.S.-centric, free-cash-flow story dominated by energy and selective tech.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Phillips 665.27%$2.26M$111.00B119.45%
73
Outperform
Cognizant4.95%$2.12M$26.67B-10.03%
79
Outperform
ServiceNow4.70%$2.01M$145.65B-20.75%
75
Outperform
Tenet Healthcare4.63%$1.98M$21.24B39.14%
74
Outperform
Newmont Mining4.51%$1.93M$124.17B38.41%
81
Outperform
Devon Energy4.13%$1.77M$53.09B48.49%
79
Outperform
HCA Healthcare4.00%$1.72M$97.66B8.66%
70
Neutral
Coeur Mining3.88%$1.66M$17.61B-12.42%
69
Neutral
Diamondback3.79%$1.63M$53.80B37.41%
81
Outperform
Vistra Corp3.55%$1.52M$54.20B-17.97%
65
Neutral

TPFC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price―
Price Trends
50DMA
27.92
Positive
100DMA
26.69
Positive
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
60.12
Neutral
STOCH
95.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.64, equal to the 50-day MA of 27.92, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPFC.

TPFC Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
――$42.89M0.59%
75
Outperform
――$93.21M0.80%
67
Neutral
――$92.51M1.00%
73
Outperform
――$87.32M0.09%
74
Outperform
――$86.75M0.93%
58
Neutral
――$82.61M0.60%
71
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPFC
Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF
28.24
3.21
12.82%
FCUS
Pinnacle Focused Opportunities ETF
―
―
―
PRMR
PeakShares RMR Prime Equity ETF
―
―
―
SPXE
ProShares S&P 500 Ex-Energy ETF
―
―
―
EGGQ
NestYield Visionary ETF
―
―
―
ALTL
Pacer Lunt Large Cap Alternator ETF
―
―
―
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
Table of Contents
Advertisement