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TPFC - ETF AI Analysis

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TPFC

Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF (TPFC)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
TPFC, the Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF, earns a solid overall rating largely because many of its biggest positions—like Newmont Mining (NEM), Diamondback Energy (FANG), and Permian Resources (PR)—show strong financial performance, supportive technical trends, and generally positive earnings commentary, which together suggest healthy cash generation and growth potential. Holdings such as Coeur Mining (CDE) and HCA Healthcare (HCA) are more mixed, with operational or financial risks that slightly weigh on the fund’s appeal, and the ETF’s notable tilt toward energy and mining names means its results can be sensitive to commodity price swings.
Positive Factors
Several Strong Top Holdings
Many of the largest positions, especially in energy, technology, and health care, have shown strong gains, helping support the fund’s overall results.
Broad Sector Diversification
The ETF spreads its investments across multiple sectors like technology, energy, health care, materials, and utilities, which can help reduce the impact if any one area struggles.
Meaningful Asset Base
The fund manages a solid level of assets, which can support trading liquidity and ongoing operations for investors.
Negative Factors
Recent Weak Performance
The ETF has shown weak recent returns over both the year-to-date and the past month, which may concern investors looking for near-term strength.
High U.S. Concentration
Almost all of the fund’s assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering little geographic diversification if the U.S. market faces a downturn.
Relatively High Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is on the higher side for an ETF, which means more of the returns are used to cover fees instead of going to investors.

TPFC vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TPFC Summary

The Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF (TPFC) is a U.S. stock fund that follows the Victory Free Cash Flow BRI Index, focusing on large companies that generate strong, steady cash after expenses and also meet biblical values screens. It owns well-known names like ServiceNow and Phillips 66, and spreads investments across sectors such as technology, energy, and health care. Someone might invest in TPFC to seek long-term growth and diversification in financially solid companies while aligning with faith-based principles. A key risk is that the fund can rise or fall with the stock market and may perform differently from broad indexes because of its value and faith-based screens.
How much will it cost me?This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.59%, which means you’ll pay about $5.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. That’s higher than the average low-cost index ETF because this fund uses a more specialized, rules-based strategy with faith-based and quality screens rather than simple passive market tracking.
What would affect this ETF?This ETF could benefit if the U.S. economy stays healthy and demand for technology, energy, and health care remains strong, since many of its largest holdings are in those sectors and focus on companies that generate solid cash flow. On the other hand, rising interest rates, lower energy prices, pressure on health care profits, or new rules that affect faith-based or values-screened funds could hurt performance, especially because the fund is concentrated in U.S. large-cap stocks and avoids certain industries.

TPFC Top 10 Holdings

TPFC leans heavily into U.S. energy, health care, and tech names, with a clear tilt toward cash‑rich operators. Phillips 66 and Permian Resources are doing the heavy lifting, with rising energy prices helping them power the fund. Newmont and Coeur Mining add a strong materials kicker, also trending higher. On the health care side, Tenet is climbing, but HCA looks more mixed, keeping a bit of a lid on gains. In tech, ServiceNow and Cognizant are more of a tug‑of‑war, with recent softness partly offsetting the fund’s commodity‑driven strength.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Cognizant5.20%$2.25M$27.97B-13.43%
79
Outperform
Newmont Mining4.94%$2.14M$138.67B81.79%
81
Outperform
Coeur Mining4.90%$2.12M$22.04B76.83%
69
Neutral
Tenet Healthcare4.58%$1.98M$22.08B45.10%
74
Outperform
ServiceNow4.50%$1.95M$130.08B-25.46%
75
Outperform
Phillips 664.43%$1.91M$96.65B80.54%
73
Outperform
Devon Energy3.93%$1.70M$51.51B31.33%
79
Outperform
Diamondback3.86%$1.67M$55.96B34.42%
81
Outperform
HCA Healthcare3.63%$1.57M$92.48B2.96%
70
Neutral
Permian Resources3.27%$1.41M$19.05B60.42%
81
Outperform

TPFC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
26.40
Positive
100DMA
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
0.68
Negative
RSI
81.41
Negative
STOCH
82.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.85, equal to the 50-day MA of 26.40, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.41 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPFC.

TPFC Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$42.82M0.59%
75
Outperform
$91.94M0.60%
71
Outperform
$91.52M1.00%
72
Outperform
$86.54M0.09%
74
Outperform
$85.96M0.80%
67
Neutral
$84.31M0.70%
72
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPFC
Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF
28.86
3.80
15.16%
ALTL
Pacer Lunt Large Cap Alternator ETF
PRMR
PeakShares RMR Prime Equity ETF
SPXE
ProShares S&P 500 Ex-Energy ETF
FCUS
Pinnacle Focused Opportunities ETF
HUSV
First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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