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TPFC - ETF AI Analysis

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TPFC

Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF (TPFC)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
TPFC’s rating suggests it is a generally solid ETF, supported by strong holdings like Diamondback Energy and Newmont Mining, which bring robust financial performance, efficient operations, and positive growth outlooks to the portfolio. However, positions such as Vistra Energy and Humana introduce some drag due to leverage, profitability, and cash flow challenges. The main risk factor is the fund’s exposure to several companies facing cash flow and valuation concerns, which could increase volatility if market conditions worsen.
Positive Factors
Several Strong Top Holdings
Many of the largest positions, especially in energy, technology, and health care, have shown strong gains, helping support the fund’s overall results.
Broad Sector Diversification
The ETF spreads its investments across multiple sectors like technology, energy, health care, materials, and utilities, which can help reduce the impact if any one area struggles.
Meaningful Asset Base
The fund manages a solid level of assets, which can support trading liquidity and ongoing operations for investors.
Negative Factors
Recent Weak Performance
The ETF has shown weak recent returns over both the year-to-date and the past month, which may concern investors looking for near-term strength.
High U.S. Concentration
Almost all of the fund’s assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering little geographic diversification if the U.S. market faces a downturn.
Relatively High Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is on the higher side for an ETF, which means more of the returns are used to cover fees instead of going to investors.

TPFC vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TPFC Summary

The Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF (TPFC) is a U.S. stock fund that follows the Victory Free Cash Flow BRI Index, focusing on large companies that generate strong, steady cash after expenses and also meet biblical values screens. It owns well-known names like ServiceNow and Phillips 66, and spreads investments across sectors such as technology, energy, and health care. Someone might invest in TPFC to seek long-term growth and diversification in financially solid companies while aligning with faith-based principles. A key risk is that the fund can rise or fall with the stock market and may perform differently from broad indexes because of its value and faith-based screens.
How much will it cost me?This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.59%, which means you’ll pay about $5.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. That’s higher than the average low-cost index ETF because this fund uses a more specialized, rules-based strategy with faith-based and quality screens rather than simple passive market tracking.
What would affect this ETF?This ETF could benefit if the U.S. economy stays healthy and demand for technology, energy, and health care remains strong, since many of its largest holdings are in those sectors and focus on companies that generate solid cash flow. On the other hand, rising interest rates, lower energy prices, pressure on health care profits, or new rules that affect faith-based or values-screened funds could hurt performance, especially because the fund is concentrated in U.S. large-cap stocks and avoids certain industries.

TPFC Top 10 Holdings

TPFC leans heavily on U.S. names with a clear tilt toward cash‑rich tech, energy, and health care. NXP Semiconductors and Humana have been the fund’s standouts, with both stocks climbing steadily and giving the ETF a solid backbone. Vistra is also rising, adding some spark from the utilities side. On the flip side, ServiceNow has been losing steam, and Tenet Healthcare’s mixed results are dragging at the margins. With most exposure in U.S. large caps, the fund’s story is all about domestically driven free‑cash‑flow strength.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
ServiceNow4.63%$1.86M$109.65B-47.25%
75
Outperform
Phillips 664.09%$1.64M$70.73B36.41%
73
Outperform
Vistra Corp3.63%$1.46M$50.93B-18.83%
65
Neutral
Diamondback3.46%$1.39M$48.40B25.96%
81
Outperform
Tenet Healthcare3.46%$1.39M$17.55B21.13%
74
Outperform
NXP Semiconductors3.39%$1.36M$69.02B20.73%
70
Neutral
Humana3.33%$1.34M$47.63B66.16%
69
Neutral
Coeur Mining3.32%$1.33M$17.83B81.45%
69
Neutral
Newmont Mining3.18%$1.27M$103.60B65.01%
81
Outperform
HCA Healthcare3.15%$1.26M$91.07B12.05%
70
Neutral

TPFC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
100DMA
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
59.22
Neutral
STOCH
91.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.17, equal to the 50-day MA of ―, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPFC.

TPFC Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$40.31M0.59%
74
Outperform
$97.16M0.45%
69
Neutral
$96.55M0.80%
67
Neutral
$93.97M0.35%
73
Outperform
$92.27M0.93%
63
Neutral
$88.28M0.49%
71
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPFC
Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF
25.65
0.58
2.31%
ACEP
ARS Core Equity Portfolio ETF
FCUS
Pinnacle Focused Opportunities ETF
JOYT
JPMorgan Equity and Options Total Return ETF
EGGQ
NestYield Visionary ETF
JHDG
John Hancock Hedged Equity ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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